• Title/Summary/Keyword: Prediction technique

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Prediction of Radiated Sound on Structure-acoustic Coupled Plate by the Efficient Configuration of Structural Sensors (구조센서의 효율적인 구성을 통한 구조 음향연성 평판의 방사음 예측)

  • Lee, Ok-Dong;Oh, Jae-Eung
    • Transactions of the Korean Society for Noise and Vibration Engineering
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    • v.24 no.9
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    • pp.695-705
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    • 2014
  • In this paper, two types of techniques for the prediction of radiated sound pressure due to vibration of a structure are investigated. The prediction performance using wave-number sensing technique is compared to that of conventional prediction method, such as Rayleigh's integral method, for the prediction of far-field radiated sound pressure. For a coupled plate, wave-number components are predicted by the vibration response of plate and the prediction performance of far-field sound is verified. In addition, the applicability of distributed sensors that are not allowable to Rayleigh's integral method is considered and these can replace point sensors. Experimental implementation verified the prediction accuracy of far-field sound radiation by the wave-number sensing technique. Prediction results from the technique are as good as those of Rayleigh's integral method and with distributed sensors, more reduced computation time is expected. To predict the radiated sound by the efficient configuration of structural sensors, composed(synthesized) mode considering sound power contribution is determined and from this size and location of sensors are chosen. Four types of sensor configuration are suggested, simulated and compared.

Development of Prediction Techniques of Water Pollution Sources for the Management of Total Maximum Daily Load - Population Prediction of Pollution Sources from Human Living - (수질오염총량관리를 위한 오염원 예측기법 개발 - 생활계 오염원 인구 예측 -)

  • Park, Jundae;Park, Juhyun;Lee, Suwoong;Jeong, Donghwan;Rhew, Doughee
    • Journal of Korean Society on Water Environment
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    • v.23 no.4
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    • pp.561-567
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    • 2007
  • It is necessary to predict future water pollution sources in the establishment of Total Maximum Daily Load (TMDL) plan for watershed management. There are some difficulties and limits in estimating the pollution sources accurately since the prediction method is not firmly established. This study reviewed the existing methods of prediction and developed a technique characteristics. The characteristics were obtained by analyzing the change pattern of pollution sources by region and incorporated in the technique. A distinctive feature of the technique is to eliminate the influences of land use change included in the pollution source data of a region. The technique has been applied and tested. The test result showed the improvement on the prediction accuracy. A computer program was also developed for the easy application of the technique.

A Prediction Algorithm for a Heavy Rain Newsflash using the Evolutionary Symbolic Regression Technique (진화적 기호회귀 분석기법 기반의 호우 특보 예측 알고리즘)

  • Hyeon, Byeongyong;Lee, Yong-Hee;Seo, Kisung
    • Journal of Institute of Control, Robotics and Systems
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    • v.20 no.7
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    • pp.730-735
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    • 2014
  • This paper introduces a GP (Genetic Programming) based robust technique for the prediction of a heavy rain newsflash. The nature of prediction for precipitation is very complex, irregular and highly fluctuating. Especially, the prediction of heavy precipitation is very difficult. Because not only it depends on various elements, such as location, season, time and geographical features, but also the case data is rare. In order to provide a robust model for precipitation prediction, a nonlinear and symbolic regression method using GP is suggested. The remaining part of the study is to evaluate the performance of prediction for a heavy rain newsflash using a GP based nonlinear regression technique in Korean regions. Analysis of the feature selection is executed and various fitness functions are proposed to improve performances. The KLAPS data of 2006-2010 is used for training and the data of 2011 is adopted for verification.

A Comparative Study on the Prediction of the Final Settlement Using Preexistence Method and ARIMA Method (기존기법과 ARIMA기법을 활용한 최종 침하량 예측에 관한 비교 연구)

  • Kang, Seyeon
    • Journal of the Korean GEO-environmental Society
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    • v.20 no.10
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    • pp.29-38
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    • 2019
  • In stability and settlement management of soft ground, the settlement prediction technology has been continuously developed and used to reduce construction cost and confirm the exact land use time. However, the preexistence prediction methods such as hyperbolic method, Asaoka method and Hoshino method are difficult to predict the settlement accurately at the beginning of consolidation because the accurate settlement prediction is possible only after many measurement periods have passed. It is judged as the reason for estimating the future settlement through the proportionality assumption of the slope which the preexistence prediction method computes from the settlement curve. In this study, ARIMA technique is introduced among time series analysis techniques and compared with preexistence prediction methods. ARIMA method was predictable without any distinction of ground conditions, and the results similar to the existing method are predicted early (final settlement).

An Experimental Study on the Prediction Control Technique for a Magnetic Bearing (자기베어링 예측 제어 기법의 실험적 연구)

  • Kim, Chae Sil;Jung, Hoon Hyung;Shin, Min Jae
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Precision Engineering
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    • v.31 no.2
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    • pp.99-104
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    • 2014
  • Active vibration control methods are required in the high speed rotor systems supported by magnetic bearings. A prediction control technique is one of the control methods. Gain and phase angle are primarily chosen with analyzing the responses for a certain rotor speed. The feasibility of this technique has been reported for only analytical simulations. Therefore this paper constructs the test rig supported by ball bearings with a magnetic bearing type actuator and develops a prediction control system by using LabVIEW and Compact RIO. Finally as rotating speeds are modulated, the gains and phase angles for the speeds are determined with vibration control of the test rig. This leads that the prediction control technique may be applied to the rotor system with the magnetic bearing.

Red Tide Prediction in the Korean Coastal Areas by RS and GIS

  • Yoon, Hong-Joo
    • Proceedings of the KSRS Conference
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    • v.1
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    • pp.332-335
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    • 2006
  • Red tide(harmful algae) in the Korean Coastal Waters has a given a great damage to the fishery every year. However, the aim of our study understands the influence of meteorological factors (air and water temperature, precipitation, sunshine, solar radiation, winds) relating to the mechanism of red tide occurrence and monitors red tide by satellite remote sensing, and analyzes the potential area for red tide occurrence by GIS. The meteorological factors have directly influenced on red tide formation. Thus, We want to predict and apply to red tide formation from statistical analyses on the relationships between red tide formation and meteorological factors. In future, it should be realized the near real time monitoring for red tide by the development of remote sensing technique and the construction of integrated model by the red tide information management system (the data base of red tide - meteorological informations). Finally our purpose is support to the prediction information for the possible red tide occurrence by coastal meteorological information and contribute to reduce the red tide disaster by the prediction technique for red tide.

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A Proposal of parameter Determination Method in the Residual Strength Degradation Model for the Prediction of Fatigue Life(II) (피로수명예측을 위한 잔류강도 저하모델의 파라미터 결정법 제안(II))

  • Kim, Sang-Tae;Jang, Seong-Su
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers A
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    • v.25 no.9
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    • pp.1452-1460
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    • 2001
  • A new method of parameter determination in the fatigue residual strength degradation model is proposed. The new method and minimization technique is compared experimentally to account for the effect of tension-compression fatigue loading of spheroidal graphite cast iron and graphite/epoxy laminate. It is shown that the correlation between the experimental results and the theoretical prediction on the fatigue life and residual strength distribution using the proposed method is very reasonable. Therefore, the proposed method is more adjustable in the determination of the parameter than minimization technique for the prediction of the fatigue characteristics.

Flashover Prediction of Polymeric Insulators Using PD Signal Time-Frequency Analysis and BPA Neural Network Technique

  • Narayanan, V. Jayaprakash;Karthik, B.;Chandrasekar, S.
    • Journal of Electrical Engineering and Technology
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    • v.9 no.4
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    • pp.1375-1384
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    • 2014
  • Flashover of power transmission line insulators is a major threat to the reliable operation of power system. This paper deals with the flashover prediction of polymeric insulators used in power transmission line applications using the novel condition monitoring technique developed by PD signal time-frequency map and neural network technique. Laboratory experiments on polymeric insulators were carried out as per IEC 60507 under AC voltage, at different humidity and contamination levels using NaCl as a contaminant. Partial discharge signals were acquired using advanced ultra wide band detection system. Salient features from the Time-Frequency map and PRPD pattern at different pollution levels were extracted. The flashover prediction of polymeric insulators was automated using artificial neural network (ANN) with back propagation algorithm (BPA). From the results, it can be speculated that PD signal feature extraction along with back propagation classification is a well suited technique to predict flashover of polymeric insulators.

Establishment of the Refined Model for Prediction of Flocculation/Sedimentation Efficiency Using Model Tree Technique (Model Tree기법을 이용한 정수처리공정에서의 응집/침전 효율 예측에 관한 연구)

  • Park, No-Suk;Park, Sang-Young;Kim, Seong-Su;Jeong, Nam-Jeong;Lee, Sun-Ju
    • Journal of Korean Society of Water and Wastewater
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    • v.20 no.6
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    • pp.789-797
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    • 2006
  • This study was conducted to establish the refined model for prediction of flocculation/sedimentation efficiency in factual drinking water treatment plants using model tree technique. In order to carry out machine leaning for determining each linear model, five parameters; time, coagulant dose, raw water turbidity, SCD and conductivity, which were measured and collected from the field (K_DWTP), were selected and used. The existing analytical models developed by previous researchers were used only to examine closely the mechanism of flocculation rather than to apply it for practical purpose. The refined model established using model tree technique in this study could predict the factual sedimentation efficiency accurately (below 9% of average absolute error). Also, in aspect of engineering convenience, without any additional manipulation of parameters, it can be applied to practical works.

Control of Chaos using M-step ahead prediction (M단계 예측방법을 이용한 혼돈현상 제어)

  • 이철목;권영석;이균경
    • 제어로봇시스템학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 1996.10b
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    • pp.85-88
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    • 1996
  • We develop an efficient technique of controlling chaos using M-step ahead prediction with the OGY method. It has smaller transient time than the OGY method, and prevents burst phenomena that occur in noisy environment. This technique is very simple and needs small memory compared with targeting algorithms. Numerical examples show that the proposed algorithm has good performance, especially in noisy environment.

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