• Title/Summary/Keyword: Prediction tables

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Prediction on Mix Proportion Factor and Strength of Concrete Using Neural Network (신경망을 이용한 콘크리트 배합요소 및 압축강도 추정)

  • 김인수;이종헌;양동석;박선규
    • Journal of the Korea Concrete Institute
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    • v.14 no.4
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    • pp.457-466
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    • 2002
  • An artificial neural network was applied to predict compressive strength, slump value and mix proportion of a concrete. Standard mixed tables were trained and estimated, and the results were compared with those of the experiments. To consider variabilities of material properties, the standard mixed fables from two companies of Ready Mixed Concrete were used. And they were trained with the neural network. In this paper, standard back propagation network was used. The mix proportion factors such as water cement ratio, sand aggregate ratio, unit water, unit cement, unit weight of sand, unit weight of crushed sand, unit coarse aggregate and air entraining admixture were used. For the arrangement on the approval of prediction of mix proportion factor, the standard compressive strength of $180kgf/cm^2{\sim}300kgf/cm^2$, and target slump value of 8 cm, 15 cm were used. For the arrangement on the approval of prediction of compressive strength and slump value, the standard compressive strength of $210kgf/cm^2{\sim}240kgf/cm^2$, and target slump value of 12 cm and 15 cm wore used because these ranges are most frequently used. In results, in the prediction of mix proportion factor, for all of the water cement ratio, sand aggregate ratio, unit water, unit cement, unit weight of sand, unit weight of crushed sand, unit coarse aggregate, air entraining admixture, the predicted values and the values of standard mixed tables were almost the same within the target error of 0.10 and 0.05, regardless of two companies. And in the prediction of compressive strength and slump value, the predicted values were converged well to the values of standard mixed fables within the target error of 0.10, 0.05, 0.001. Finally artificial neural network is successfully applied to the prediction of concrete mixture and compressive strength.

Characteristics of Growth and Development of Empirical Stand Yield Model on Pinus densiflora in Central Korea (중부지방소나무의 생장특성 및 경험적 임분수확모델 개발)

  • Jeon, Ju Hyeon;Son, Yeong Mo;Kang, Jin Taek
    • Journal of Korean Society of Forest Science
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    • v.106 no.2
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    • pp.267-273
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    • 2017
  • This study was conducted to construct a empirical yield table for Pinus densiflora in real forest. Since existing normal yield tables have been derived by studying and analyzing communities in ideal environment for tree growth, those tables provide more over-estimated values than ones from real forest. Because of this, there are some difficulties to apply the tables to empirical forest except for normal forest. In this study, therefore, we estimated stand growth for real forest on P. densiflora as the representative species of conifers. We used 1,957 sample plot data of P. densiflora in central Korea from National Forest Inventory (NFI) system, and analyzed through estimation, recovery and prediction in order by using Weibull function as a diameter distribution model. Weilbull and Schumacher models were applied for estimating mean DBH and mean basel area and it was found that the site index for P. densiflora in central Korea ranges from 8 to 14 at reference age 30. According to site 12 in the stand yield table, the Mean Annual Increment (MAI) of P. densiflora was $4.42m^3/ha$ at 30 years of age. Compared to existing volume table constructed before, it is showed that MAI of this study were lower. According to the paired t-test that is conducted with the gap of volume values between normal forest and real forest by site index and age, the P-value was less than 0.001 which is recognized to have a statistically significant difference. Based on the results in this study, it is considered to be helpful for practical management and management policy on P. densiflora in central Korea.

Empirical Forecast of Solar Proton Events based on Flare and CME Parameters

  • Park, Jin-Hye;Moon, Yong-Jae
    • The Bulletin of The Korean Astronomical Society
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    • v.36 no.2
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    • pp.97.1-97.1
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    • 2011
  • In this study we have examined the probability of solar proton events (SPEs) and their peak fluxes depending on flare (flux, longitude and impulsive time) and CME parameters (linear speed, longitude, and angular width). For this we used the NOAA SPE list and their associated flare data from 1976 to 2006 and CME data from 1997 to 2006. We find that about 3.5% (1.9% for M-class and 21.3% for X-class) of the flares are associated with SPEs. It is also found that this fraction strongly depends on longitude; for example, the fraction for $30W^{\circ}$ < L < $90W^{\circ}$ is about three times larger than that for $30^{\circ}E$ < L < $90^{\circ}E$. The SPE probability with long duration (${\geq}$ 0.3 hours) is about 2 (X-class flare) to 7 (M-class flare) times larger than that for flares with short duration (< 0.3 hours). In case of halo CMEs with V ${\geq}$ 1500km/s, 36.1% are associated with SPEs but in case of partial halo CME ($120^{\circ}$ ${\leq}$ AW < $360^{\circ}$) with 400 km/s ${\leq}$ V < 1000 km/s, only 0.9% are associated with SPEs. The relationships between X-ray flare peak flux and SPE peak flux are strongly dependent on longitude and impulsive time. The relationships between CME speed and SPE peak flux depend on longitude as well as direction parameter. From this study, we suggest a new SPE forecast method with three-steps: (1) SPE occurrence probability prediction according to the probability tables depending on flare and CME parameters, (2) SPE flux prediction from the relationship between SPE flux and flare (or CME) parameters, and (3) SPE peak time.

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Program development and preliminary CHF characteristics analysis for natural circulation loop under moving condition

  • Gui, Minyang;Tian, Wenxi;Wu, Di;Chen, Ronghua;Su, G.H.;Qiu, Suizheng
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • v.53 no.2
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    • pp.446-454
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    • 2021
  • Critical heat flux (CHF) has traditionally been evaluated using look-up tables or empirical correlations for nuclear power plants. However, under complex moving condition, it is necessary to reconsider the CHF characteristics since the conventional CHF prediction methods would no longer be applicable. In this paper, the additional forces caused by motions have been added to the annular film dryout (AFD) mechanistic model to investigate the effect of moving condition on CHF. Moreover, a theoretical model of the natural circulation loop with additional forces is established to reflect the natural circulation characteristics of the loop system. By coupling the system loop with the AFD mechanistic model, a CHF prediction program called NACOM for natural circulation loop under moving condition is developed. The effects of three operating conditions, namely stationary, inclination and rolling, on the CHF of the loop are then analyzed. It can be clearly seen that the moving condition has an adverse effect on the CHF in the natural circulation system. For the calculation parameters in this paper, the CHF can be reduced by 25% compared with the static value, which indicates that it is important to consider the effects of moving condition to retain adequate safety margin in subsequent thermal-hydraulic designs.

A LONGITUDINAL CEPHALOMETRIC STUDY OF CRANIOFACIAL GROWTH OF KOREAN CHILDREN (한국인 아동의 악안면 성장에 관한 두부방사선 규격사진 분석에 의한 누년적 연구)

  • Park, Tae-Soo
    • The korean journal of orthodontics
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    • v.14 no.2
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    • pp.217-231
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    • 1984
  • Many investigators have studied the growth changes of craniofacial complex to obtain important informations and standard values with which attempts at prediction of growth and treatment results have been under exploration. The author analyzed 360 cephalometric roentgenograms of 40 boys and 50 girls taken from the ages of 6 to 9 to assess the growth changes of craniofacial complex and to establish Korean norms by Ricketts' analysis method. 17 Landmarks, 10 planes and 8 angles were plotted and measured by linearly and angularly. The results were as follows: 1. The author made the tables of means, standard deviations from the measured values. 2. The item which showed significant difference between males and females in longitudinal study was facial axis length. 3. Items which show significant changes during 3 years were cranial base length, facial axis length, lower incisor to APO, Upper molar to PTV in males, and cranial base length, facial axis length, upper molar to PTV in females. 4. The correlations between cranial base length and facial axis length to body height and weight were higher in males than in females throughout the items.

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Development of an Aerodynamic Performance Analysis Module for Rotorcraft Comprehensive Analysis Code (회전익기 통합해석프로그램을 위한 공력해석코드 개발)

  • Lee, Joon-Bae;Lee, Jae-Won;Yee, Kwan-Jung;Oh, Se-Jong;Kim, Deog-Kwan
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Aeronautical & Space Sciences
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    • v.37 no.3
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    • pp.224-231
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    • 2009
  • In this study, an aerodynamic performance analysis code has been developed as a part of rotorcraft comprehensive program. Airloads on rotor blades are calculated based on the blade element theory with look-up tables of aerodynamic coefficients of 2-D airfoils. In order to calculate rotor induced inflow, various inflow prediction methods such as linear inflow, dynamic inflow, prescribed wake and free wake model are integrated into the present module. The aerodynamic characteristics of each method are compared and validated against available experimental data such as Elliot's inflow distribution and sectional normal force coefficients of AH-1G.

Multi-support excitation shaking table test of a base-isolated steel cable-stayed bridge (지진격리 강재 케이블 교량의 다지점 진동대 실험)

  • Kim, Seong-Do;Ahn, Jin-Hee;Kong, Young-Ee;Choi, Hyoung-Suk;Cheung, Jin-Hwan
    • Journal of the Earthquake Engineering Society of Korea
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    • v.19 no.4
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    • pp.161-171
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    • 2015
  • A series of tests was conducted for full-scale single-pylon asymmetric cable-stayed bridges using a system of multiple shaking tables. The 2-span bridge length was 28 m, and the pylon height was 10.2 m. 4 different base conditions were considered: the fixed condition, RB (rubber bearings), LRB (lead rubber bearings), and HDRB (high damping rubber bearings). Based on investigation of the seismic response, the accelerations and displacements in the axial direction of the isolated bridge were increased compared to non-isolated case. However, the strain of the pylon was decreased, because the major mode of the structure was changed to translation for the axial direction due to the dynamic mass. The response of the cable bridge could differ from the desired response according to the locations and characteristics of the seismic isolator. Therefore, caution is required in the design and prediction in regard to the location and behavior of the seismic isolator.

The development of wheel-rail contact module for the next generation express train (차세대 고속철 해석을 위한 훨레일 모듈 개발)

  • Yoon, Ji-Won;Park, Tae-Won;Lee, Soo-Ho;Cho, Jae-Ik
    • Proceedings of the KSR Conference
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    • 2009.05b
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    • pp.225-230
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    • 2009
  • From the view point of railway vehicle dynamics, the interaction between wheel and rail have an huge effect on the behavior of the vehicle. This phenomenon is an unique motion, only for railway vehicles. Furthermore, close investigation of the backgrounds of the interaction is the key to estimate the dynamic behavior of the vehicle, successfully. To evaluate the model including flexible bodies such as car body and catenary system of the next generation express train, it is necessary to develop proper dynamic solver including a wheel rail contact module. In this study, wheel-rail contact module is developed using the general purpose dynamic solver. First of all, the procedure for calculation of the wheel-rail contact force has been established. Generally, yaw angle of the wheelset is ignored. Sets of information are summarized as tables and splined for further uses. With this information, normal force and creep coefficient can be extracted and used for FASTSIM algorithm, which has been shown good reliability over years. Normal force and longitudinal, lateral force at the contact surface are also calculated. Those data are verified by commercial railway simulation program 'VAMPIRE'. This procedure and program can offer a basic process for estimation of the dynamic behavior and wear of the wheel-rail system, even while running on the curved rail. Finally, multi-dimensional inspection tool will be developed including the prediction of the derailment.

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ROENTGENOGRAPHIC CEPHALOMETRIC STANDARD FOR KOREAN ACCORDING TO THE MCNAMARA'S ANALYSIS (McNamara-분석법에 의한 두부방사선 계측 기준치)

  • Kim, Jung-Min;Kyung, Hee-Moon;Kwon, Oh-Won;Sung, Jae-Hyun
    • The korean journal of orthodontics
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    • v.19 no.1 s.27
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    • pp.107-122
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    • 1989
  • The purpose of this study was to assess the growth changes of craniofacial complex and to establish Korean norms by McNamara's cephalometric analysis. Lateral cephalograms were obtained from males and females with normal occlusion & acceptable profiles in 9-21 years of age. The lateral cephalograms of males & females in 9-13 years of age were serial cephalometric radiograms which were taken at 2 year interval. 11 landmarks, 10 planes and 3 angles were plotted and measured linearly and angularly. The results were as follows: 1. The author made the tables of means, standard deviations in each item, sex, age. 2. During 9-13 years of age, annual growth increments of effective maxillary length, effective mandibular length and lower anterior facial height were 1.90, 2.89 and 0.99mm. 3. The prediction tabulation was made in an attempt to predict effective mandibular length & lower anterior facial height derived from effective maxillary length.

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CASMAC(Context Aware Sensor MAC Protocol) : An Energy Efficient MAC Protocol for Ubiquitous Sensor Network Environments (CASMAC(상황인식 센서 매체접근제어 프로토콜) : USN 환경을 위한 에너지 효율적 MAC 프로토콜)

  • Joo, Young-Sun;Jung, Min-A;Lee, Seong-Ro
    • The Journal of Korean Institute of Communications and Information Sciences
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    • v.34 no.11B
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    • pp.1200-1206
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    • 2009
  • In this paper, we propose an energy-efficient MAC(Medium Access Control) protocol for processing context information in ubiquitous sensor network environments. CASMAC(Context Aware Sensor MAC) use context information for energy-efficient operation and its operation principle is as follows. First, we make scenarios with possible prediction for CASMAC. And then we save setted context information in server. When event occur at specific sensor node, and then it send three times sample data to server. According to context information, server process sample data. If server process sample data with event, it receive continuous data from event occur node by a transmission request signal. And then server send data transmission stop signal to event occur node when it do not need to data. If server process sample data with no event, it have not reply. Through we make energy consumption tables and an energy consumption model, we simulate analysis of CASMAC performance. In a result, we gains about 5.7 percents energy reduction compared to SMAC.