• Title/Summary/Keyword: Prediction quality

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The Anti-obesity Effects of Bangpungtongseong-san and Daesiho-tang: A Study Protocol of Randomized, Double-blinded Clinical Trial (방풍통성산 및 대시호탕의 항비만효과 분석: 단일기관 무작위배정 이중맹검 임상시험 프로토콜)

  • Oh, Jihong;Shim, Hyeyoon;Cha, Jiyun;Kim, Ho Seok;Kim, Min Ji;Ahn, Eun Kyung;Lee, Myeong-Jong;Lee, Jun-Hwan;Kim, Hojun
    • Journal of Korean Medicine for Obesity Research
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    • v.20 no.2
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    • pp.138-148
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    • 2020
  • Objectives: The aim of this study is to evaluate the effects of Bangpungtongseong-san (Fangfengtongsheng-san, BTS) and Daesiho-tang (Dachaihu-tang, DST) on weight loss and improvement in lipid metabolism and glucose metabolism. Furthermore, we intend to develop a prediction model for drug effects through the analysis of the single nucleotide polymorphism (SNP), gut-microbiota, and the expression of immune-related biomarkers. Methods: This study is a single-center, randomized, double-blind, parallel-design clinical trial. One hundred twenty-eight participants will be assigned to the BTS group (n=64) and DST group (n=64). Both groups will be administered 4 g medication three times a day for up to 2 weeks. The primary outcomes is weight loss. The secondary outcomes include bioelectrical impedance analysis, waist circumstance, body mass index, total cholesterol, high-density lipoprotein, triglyceride, insulin resistance. The exploratory outcomes include 3-day dietary recall, food frequency questionnaire, quality of life questionnaire, gut microbiota analysis, immune biomarkers analysis, and SNP analysis. Assessment will be made at baseline and at week 4, 8, and 12. Conclusions: This protocol will be implemented by approval of the Institutional Review Board of Dongguk University. The results of this trial will provide a systematic evidence for the treatment of obesity and enable more precise herbal medicine prescriptions.

Radiomics-based Machine Learning Approach for Quantitative Classification of Spinal Metastases in Computed Tomography (컴퓨터 단층 촬영 영상에서의 전이성 척추 종양의 정량적 분류를 위한 라디오믹스 기반의 머신러닝 기법)

  • Lee, Eun Woo;Lim, Sang Heon;Jeon, Ji Soo;Kang, Hye Won;Kim, Young Jae;Jeon, Ji Young;Kim, Kwang Gi
    • Journal of Biomedical Engineering Research
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    • v.42 no.3
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    • pp.71-79
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    • 2021
  • Currently, the naked eyes-based diagnosis of bone metastases on CT images relies on qualitative assessment. For this reason, there is a great need for a state-of-the-art approach that can assess and follow-up the bone metastases with quantitative biomarker. Radiomics can be used as a biomarker for objective lesion assessment by extracting quantitative numerical values from digital medical images. In this study, therefore, we evaluated the clinical applicability of non-invasive and objective bone metastases computer-aided diagnosis using radiomics-based biomarkers in CT. We employed a total of 21 approaches consist of three-classifiers and seven-feature selection methods to predict bone metastases and select biomarkers. We extracted three-dimensional features from the CT that three groups consisted of osteoblastic, osteolytic, and normal-healthy vertebral bodies. For evaluation, we compared the prediction results of the classifiers with the medical staff's diagnosis results. As a result of the three-class-classification performance evaluation, we demonstrated that the combination of the random forest classifier and the sequential backward selection feature selection approach reached AUC of 0.74 on average. Moreover, we confirmed that 90-percentile, kurtosis, and energy were the features that contributed high in the classification of bone metastases in this approach. We expect that selected quantitative features will be helpful as biomarkers in improving the patient's survival and quality of life.

Development of suspended solid concentration measurement technique based on multi-spectral satellite imagery in Nakdong River using machine learning model (기계학습모형을 이용한 다분광 위성 영상 기반 낙동강 부유 물질 농도 계측 기법 개발)

  • Kwon, Siyoon;Seo, Il Won;Beak, Donghae
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.54 no.2
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    • pp.121-133
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    • 2021
  • Suspended Solids (SS) generated in rivers are mainly introduced from non-point pollutants or appear naturally in the water body, and are an important water quality factor that may cause long-term water pollution by being deposited. However, the conventional method of measuring the concentration of suspended solids is labor-intensive, and it is difficult to obtain a vast amount of data via point measurement. Therefore, in this study, a model for measuring the concentration of suspended solids based on remote sensing in the Nakdong River was developed using Sentinel-2 data that provides high-resolution multi-spectral satellite images. The proposed model considers the spectral bands and band ratios of various wavelength bands using a machine learning model, Support Vector Regression (SVR), to overcome the limitation of the existing remote sensing-based regression equations. The optimal combination of variables was derived using the Recursive Feature Elimination (RFE) and weight coefficients for each variable of SVR. The results show that the 705nm band belonging to the red-edge wavelength band was estimated as the most important spectral band, and the proposed SVR model produced the most accurate measurement compared with the previous regression equations. By using the RFE, the SVR model developed in this study reduces the variable dependence compared to the existing regression equations based on the single spectral band or band ratio and provides more accurate prediction of spatial distribution of suspended solids concentration.

Air passenger demand forecasting for the Incheon airport using time series models (시계열 모형을 이용한 인천공항 이용객 수요 예측)

  • Lee, Jihoon;Han, Hyerim;Yoon, Sanghoo
    • Journal of Digital Convergence
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    • v.18 no.12
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    • pp.87-95
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    • 2020
  • The Incheon airport is a gateway to and from the Republic of Korea and has a great influence on the image of the country. Therefore, it is necessary to predict the number of airport passengers in the long term in order to maintain the quality of service at the airport. In this study, we compared the predictive performance of various time series models to predict the air passenger demand at Incheon Airport. From 2002 to 2019, passenger data include trend and seasonality. We considered the naive method, decomposition method, exponential smoothing method, SARIMA, PROPHET. In order to compare the capacity and number of passengers at Incheon Airport in the future, the short-term, mid-term, and long-term was forecasted by time series models. For the short-term forecast, the exponential smoothing model, which weighted the recent data, was excellent, and the number of annual users in 2020 will be about 73.5 million. For the medium-term forecast, the SARIMA model considering stationarity was excellent, and the annual number of air passengers in 2022 will be around 79.8 million. The PROPHET model was excellent for long-term prediction and the annual number of passengers is expected to be about 99.0 million in 2024.

Predicting Calcium and Phosphorus Concentrations in Imported Hay by near Infrared Reflectance Spectroscopy (근적외선분광법을 이용한 수입건초의 Ca과 P 함량 예측)

  • Lee, Bae Hun;Kim, Ji Hye;Oh, Mirae;Lee, Ki Won;Park, Hyung Soo
    • Journal of The Korean Society of Grassland and Forage Science
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    • v.41 no.1
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    • pp.29-34
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    • 2021
  • Near infrared reflectance spectroscopy (NIRS) is routinely used for the determination of nutrient components of forages. However, little is known about the impact of sample preparation and wavelength on the accuracy of the calibration to predict minerals. This study was conducted to assess the effect of sample preparation and wavelength of near infrared spectrum for the improvement of calibration and prediction accuracy of Calcium (Ca) and Phosphorus (P) in imported hay using NIRS. The samples were scanned in reflectance in a monochromator instrument (680-2,500 nm). Calibration models (n = 126) were developed using partial least squares regression (PLS) based on cross-validation. The optimum calibrations were selected based on the highest coefficients of determination in cross validation (R2) and the lowest standard error of cross-validation (SECV). The highest R2 and the lowest SECV were obtained using oven-dry grinded sample preparation and 1,100-2,500 nm wavelength. The calibration (R2) and SECV were 0.99 (SECV: 468.6) for Ca and 0.91 (SECV: 224.7) for P in mg/kg DM on a dry weight, respectively. Results of this experiment showed the possibility of NIRS method to predict mineral (Ca and P) concentration of imported hay in Korea for routine analysis method to evaluate the feed value.

Identification and functional prediction of long noncoding RNAs related to intramuscular fat content in Laiwu pigs

  • Wang, Lixue;Xie, Yuhuai;Chen, Wei;Zhang, Yu;Zeng, Yongqing
    • Animal Bioscience
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    • v.35 no.1
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    • pp.115-125
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    • 2022
  • Objective: Intramuscular fat (IMF) is a critical economic indicator of pork quality. Studies on IMF among different pig breeds have been performed via high-throughput sequencing, but comparisons within the same pig breed remain unreported. Methods: This study was performed to explore the gene profile and identify candidate long noncoding RNA (lncRNAs) and mRNAs associated with IMF deposition among Laiwu pigs with different IMF contents. Based on the longissimus dorsi muscle IMF content, eight pigs from the same breed and management were selected and divided into two groups: a high IMF (>12%, H) and low IMF group (<5%, L). Whole-transcriptome sequencing was performed to explore the differentially expressed (DE) genes between these two groups. Results: The IMF content varied greatly among Laiwu pig individuals (2.17% to 13.93%). Seventeen DE lncRNAs (11 upregulated and 6 downregulated) and 180 mRNAs (112 upregulated and 68 downregulated) were found. Gene Ontology analysis indicated that the following biological processes played an important role in IMF deposition: fatty acid and lipid biosynthetic processes; the extracellular signal-regulated kinase cascade; and white fat cell differentiation. In addition, the peroxisome proliferator-activated receptor, phosphatidylinositol-3-kinase-protein kinase B, and mammalian target of rapamycin pathways were enriched in the pathway analysis. Intersection analysis of the target genes of DE lncRNAs and mRNAs revealed seven candidate genes associated with IMF accumulation. Five DE lncRNAs and 20 DE mRNAs based on the pig quantitative trait locus database were identified and shown to be related to fat deposition. The expression of five DE lncRNAs and mRNAs was verified by quantitative real time polymerase chain reaction (qRT-PCR). The results of qRT-PCR and RNA-sequencing were consistent. Conclusion: These results demonstrated that the different IMF contents among pig individuals may be due to the DE lncRNAs and mRNAs associated with lipid droplets and fat deposition.

Experimental Comparison of Network Intrusion Detection Models Solving Imbalanced Data Problem (데이터의 불균형성을 제거한 네트워크 침입 탐지 모델 비교 분석)

  • Lee, Jong-Hwa;Bang, Jiwon;Kim, Jong-Wouk;Choi, Mi-Jung
    • KNOM Review
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    • v.23 no.2
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    • pp.18-28
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    • 2020
  • With the development of the virtual community, the benefits that IT technology provides to people in fields such as healthcare, industry, communication, and culture are increasing, and the quality of life is also improving. Accordingly, there are various malicious attacks targeting the developed network environment. Firewalls and intrusion detection systems exist to detect these attacks in advance, but there is a limit to detecting malicious attacks that are evolving day by day. In order to solve this problem, intrusion detection research using machine learning is being actively conducted, but false positives and false negatives are occurring due to imbalance of the learning dataset. In this paper, a Random Oversampling method is used to solve the unbalance problem of the UNSW-NB15 dataset used for network intrusion detection. And through experiments, we compared and analyzed the accuracy, precision, recall, F1-score, training and prediction time, and hardware resource consumption of the models. Based on this study using the Random Oversampling method, we develop a more efficient network intrusion detection model study using other methods and high-performance models that can solve the unbalanced data problem.

Modern Paradigm of Organization of the Management Mechanism by Innovative Development in Higher Education Institutions

  • Kubitsky, Serhii;Domina, Viktoriia;Mykhalchenko, Nataliia;Terenko, Olena;Mironets, Liudmyla;Kanishevska, Lyubov;Marszałek, Lidia
    • International Journal of Computer Science & Network Security
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    • v.22 no.11
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    • pp.141-148
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    • 2022
  • The development of the education system and the labor market today requires new conditions for unification and functioning, the introduction of an innovative culture in the field of Education. The construction of modern management of innovative development of a higher education institution requires consideration of the existing theoretical, methodological and practical planes on which its formation is based. The purpose of the article is to substantiate the modern paradigm of organizing the mechanism of managing the innovative development of higher education institutions. Innovation in education is represented not only by the final product of applying novelty in educational and managerial processes in order to qualitatively improve the subject and objects of management and obtain economic, social, scientific, technical, environmental and other effects, but also by the procedure for their constant updating. The classification of innovations in education is presented. Despite the positive developments in the development of Education, numerous problems remain in this area, which is discussed in the article. The concept of innovative development of higher education institutions is described, which defines the prerequisites, goals, principles, tasks and mechanisms of university development for a long-term period and should be based on the following principles: scientific, flexible, efficient and comprehensive. The role of the motivational component of the mechanism of innovative development of higher education institutions is clarified, which allows at the strategic level to create an innovative culture and motivation of innovative activity of each individual, to make a choice of rational directions for solving problems, at the tactical level - to form motives for innovative activity in the most effective directions, at the operational level - to monitor the formation of a system of motives and incentives, to adjust the directions of motivation. The necessity of the functional component of the mechanism, which consists in determining a set of steps and management decisions aimed at achieving certain goals of innovative development of higher education institutions, is proved. The monitoring component of the mechanism is aimed at developing a special system for collecting, processing, storing and distributing information about the stages of development of higher education institutions, prediction based on the objective data on the dynamics and main trends of its development, and elaboration of recommendations.

Use of Near Infrared Reflectance Spectroscopy for Determination of Grain Components in Barley (보리종실 성분분석을 위한 근적외선분광광도계의 이용방법)

  • Kim, Byung-Joo;Park, Eui-Ho;Suh, Hyung-Soo
    • KOREAN JOURNAL OF CROP SCIENCE
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    • v.40 no.6
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    • pp.716-722
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    • 1995
  • Near Infrared Reflectance Spectroscopy (NIRS) has been used as a tool for the rapid, accurate and nondestructive assay of small grain and forage quality analysis. The objective of this study was to establish the rapid, easy and accurate analysis method for major components of covered barley using NIRS system. NIRS used in this study was filter type instrument, Neotec 102. To obtain a useful calibration equation, standard regression between the data was analyzed by chemical analysis and by NIRS method. Standard errors of prediction (SEP) and simple correlations for unknown samples were calculated using obtained equation. SEPs for starch, $\beta$-glucan, protein and ash contents were 2.75%, 0.64%, 0.26% and 0.19%, respectively. The simple correlations for starch, $\beta$-glucan, protein and ash contents were 0.932, 0.588, 0.984 and 0.867, respectively. It was concluded that the NIRS method would be applicabl for the rapid determination of starch, protein and ash contents in barley grains.

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Development of Regression Models for Estimation of Unmeasured Dissolved Organic Carbon Concentrations in Mixed Land-use Watersheds (복합토지이용 유역의 수질 관리를 위한 미측정 용존유기탄소 농도 추정)

  • Min Kyeong Park;Jin a Beom;Minhyuk Jeung;Ji Yeon Jeong;Kwang Sik Yoon
    • Journal of Korean Society on Water Environment
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    • v.39 no.2
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    • pp.162-174
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    • 2023
  • In order to prevent water pollution caused by organic matter, Total Organic Carbon(TOC) has been adopted indicator and monitored. TOC can be divided into Dissolved Organic Carbon(DOC) and Particulate Organic Carbon(POC). POC is largely precipitated and removed during stream flow, which making DOC environmentally significant. However, there are lack of studies to define spatio-temporal distributions of DOC in stream affected by various land use. Therefore, it is necessary to estimate the past DOC concentration using other water quality indicators to evaluate status of watershed management. In this study, DOC was estimated by correlation and regression analysis using three different organic matter indicators monitored in mixed land-use watersheds. The results of correlation analysis showed that DOC has the highest correlation with TOC. Based on the results of the correlation analysis, the single- and multiple-regression models were developed using Biochemical Oxygen Demand(BOD), Chemical Oxygen Demand(COD), and TOC. The results of the prediction accuracy for three different regression models showed that the single-regression model with TOC was better than those of the other multiple-regression models. The trend analysis using extended average concentration DOC data shows that DOC tends to decrease reflecting watershed management. This study could contribute to assessment and management of organic water pollution in mixed land-use watershed by suggesting methods for assessment of unmeasured DOC concentration.