• 제목/요약/키워드: Prediction performance

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부분분사 축류형 마이크로터빈에서의 성능예측 및 성능특성에 관한 연구 (Performance Characteristics and Prediction on a Partially Admitted Single-Stage Axial-Type Micro Turbine)

  • 조종현;최상규;조수용
    • 한국유체기계학회 논문집
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    • 제9권4호
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    • pp.13-19
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    • 2006
  • For axial-type turbines which operate at partial admission, a performance prediction model is developed. In this study, losses generated within the turbine are classified to windage loss, expansion loss and mixing loss. The developed loss model is compared with experimental results. Particularly, if a turbine operates at a very low partial admission rate, a circular-type nozzle is more efficient than a rectangular-type nozzle. For this case, a performance prediction model is developed and an experiment is conducted with the circular-type nozzle. The predicted result is compared with the measured performance, and the developed model quite well agrees with the experimental results. So the developed model could be applied to predict the performance of axial-type turbines which operate at various partial admission rates or with different nozzle shape.

Mean Streamline Analysis for Performance Prediction of Cross- Flow Fans

  • Kim, Jae-Won;Oh, Hyoung-Woo
    • Journal of Mechanical Science and Technology
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    • 제18권8호
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    • pp.1428-1434
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    • 2004
  • This paper presents the mean streamline analysis using the empirical loss correlations for performance prediction of cross-flow fans. Comparison of overall performance predictions with test data of a cross-flow fan system with a simplified vortex wall scroll casing and with the published experimental characteristics for a cross-flow fan has been carried out to demonstrate the accuracy of the proposed method. Predicted performance curves by the present mean streamline analysis agree well with experimental data for two different cross-flow fans over the normal operating conditions. The prediction method presented herein can be used efficiently as a tool for the preliminary design and performance analysis of general-purpose cross-flow fans.

A Study of the Performance Prediction Models of Mobile Graphics Processing Units

  • Kim, Cheong Ghil
    • 반도체디스플레이기술학회지
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    • 제18권1호
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    • pp.123-128
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    • 2019
  • Currently mobile services are on the verge of full commercialization ahead of 5G mobile communication (5G). The first goal could be to preempt the 5G market through realistic media services utilizing VR (Virtual Reality) and AR (Augmented Reality) technologies that users can most easily experience. Basically this movement is based on the advanced development of smart devices and high quality graphics processing computing power of mobile application processors. Accordingly, the importance of mobile GPUs is emerging and the most concern issue becomes a model for predicting the power and performance for smooth operation of high quality mobile contents. In many cases, the performance of mobile GPUs has been introduced in terms of power consumption of mobile GPUs using dynamic voltage and frequency scaling and throttling functions for power consumption and heat management. This paper introduces several studies of mobile GPU performance prediction model with user-friendly methods not like conventional power centric performance prediction models.

조기학습정지를 이용한 원전 SG세관 결함크기 예측 신경회로망의 성능 향상 (A performance improvement of neural network for predicting defect size of steam generator tube using early stopping)

  • 조남훈
    • 전기학회논문지
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    • 제57권11호
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    • pp.2095-2101
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    • 2008
  • In this paper, we consider a performance improvement of neural network for predicting defect size of steam generator tube using early stopping. Usually, neural network is trained until MSE becomes less than a prescribed error goal. The smaller the error goal, the greater the prediction performance for the trained data. However, as the error goal is decreased, an over fitting is likely to start during supervised training of a neural network, which usually deteriorates the generalization performance. We propose that, for the prediction of an axisymmetric defect size, early stopping can be used to avoid the over-fitting. Through various experiments on the axisymmetric defect samples, we found that the difference bet ween the prediction error of neural network based on early stopping and that of ideal neural network is reasonably small. This indicates that the error goal used for neural network training for the prediction of defect size can be efficiently selected by early stopping.

원심 압축기의 성능 예측 및 손실 해석 (Performance prediction and loss analysis of centrifugal compressors)

  • 오형우;윤의수;정명균
    • 대한기계학회논문집B
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    • 제21권6호
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    • pp.804-812
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    • 1997
  • The present study has tested most of loss models previously published in the open literature and found an optimum set of empirical loss models for a reliable performance prediction of centrifugal compressors. In order to improve the prediction of efficiency curves, this paper recommends a modified parasitic loss model. Predicted performance curves by the proposed optimum set agree fairly well with experimental data for a variety of centrifugal compressors. The prediction method developed through this study can serve as a tool for preliminary design and assist the understanding of the operational characteristics of general purpose centrifugal compressors.

직렬 두요소 모델, 두 영역 모델, Stanitz 방정식에 대한 변수 연구 (Parameter Study of TEIS Model, Two-zone Model, and Stanitz's Equations)

  • 윤성호;백제현
    • 대한기계학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 대한기계학회 2000년도 춘계학술대회논문집B
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    • pp.580-585
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    • 2000
  • Recently TEIS model, Two-zone model aid Stanitz equations are often used for off-design performance prediction of centrifugal compressor and pump. The prediction results often agree well with experimental data. However these models and equations have some important variables which have a great influence on overall performance prediction me. But no systematic study about these variables has been performed. So, in this paper, a systematic study about these variables influence on overall performance prediction owe is peformed. Finally the meaning of the variables and the research to be undertaken are discussed.

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Comparative Analysis of PM10 Prediction Performance between Neural Network Models

  • Jung, Yong-Jin;Oh, Chang-Heon
    • Journal of information and communication convergence engineering
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    • 제19권4호
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    • pp.241-247
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    • 2021
  • Particulate matter has emerged as a serious global problem, necessitating highly reliable information on the matter. Therefore, various algorithms have been used in studies to predict particulate matter. In this study, we compared the prediction performance of neural network models that have been actively studied for particulate matter prediction. Among the neural network algorithms, a deep neural network (DNN), a recurrent neural network, and long short-term memory were used to design the optimal prediction model using a hyper-parameter search. In the comparative analysis of the prediction performance of each model, the DNN model showed a lower root mean square error (RMSE) than the other algorithms in the performance comparison using the RMSE and the level of accuracy as metrics for evaluation. The stability of the recurrent neural network was slightly lower than that of the other algorithms, although the accuracy was higher.

시계열 분석 모형 및 머신 러닝 분석을 이용한 수출 증가율 장기예측 성능 비교 (Comparison of long-term forecasting performance of export growth rate using time series analysis models and machine learning analysis)

  • 남성휘
    • 무역학회지
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    • 제46권6호
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    • pp.191-209
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    • 2021
  • In this paper, various time series analysis models and machine learning models are presented for long-term prediction of export growth rate, and the prediction performance is compared and reviewed by RMSE and MAE. Export growth rate is one of the major economic indicators to evaluate the economic status. And It is also used to predict economic forecast. The export growth rate may have a negative (-) value as well as a positive (+) value. Therefore, Instead of using the ReLU function, which is often used for time series prediction of deep learning models, the PReLU function, which can have a negative (-) value as an output value, was used as the activation function of deep learning models. The time series prediction performance of each model for three types of data was compared and reviewed. The forecast data of long-term prediction of export growth rate was deduced by three forecast methods such as a fixed forecast method, a recursive forecast method and a rolling forecast method. As a result of the forecast, the traditional time series analysis model, ARDL, showed excellent performance, but as the time period of learning data increases, the performance of machine learning models including LSTM was relatively improved.

근사모델을 이용한 해양시스템 성능예측에 관한 연구 (A Study on the Performance Prediction of Marine System using Approximation Model)

  • 이재철;신성철;이순섭;강동훈;이종현
    • 한국지능시스템학회논문지
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    • 제26권4호
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    • pp.286-294
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    • 2016
  • 초기설계 단계에서 시스템의 성능을 고려한 형상의 최적화가 필요하다. 하지만, 일반적으로 공학시스템의 성능예측은 많은 계산 시간이 요구되는 작업이다. 시스템 형상의 최적화를 위해서는 다양한 설계대안에 대한 성능의 평가가 요구되므로 초기 설계과정에서 많은 어려움이 있다. 이러한 문제를 해결하기 위해, 많은 연구자들은 응답표면방법을 이용한 성능예측에 관한 다양한 연구를 시도하고 있다. 하지만, 이 방법은 비선형성이 강한 문제에서 예측오차가 비교적 크게 발생하는 단점이 있다. 따라서 본 연구의 최종목표는 초기설계과정에서 성능예측을 위한 적절한 근사모델을 제시하고, 해양시스템 성능예측문제(부유식 해상발전기 하부구조물 최적화 문제, 유조선의 선저외판 최적화 문제)에 적용하여 제시된 근사모델을 검증하는 것이다.

Adaptive MPEG Traffic Prediction

  • Jung, Souhwan;Yoo, Jisang
    • The Journal of the Acoustical Society of Korea
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    • 제16권3E호
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    • pp.7-13
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    • 1997
  • This paper addresses traffic prediction issues on MPEG. A new adaptive traffic prediction scheme is proposed using MPEG picture characteristic that picture traffic depends on the coding mode of that picture, that is, I, P, and B mode. Our prediction scheme, which is based n picture decomposition (PD) and the cross-correlation of the different types of pictures, has better performance in predicting bursty MPEG traffic than that of the first-order autoregressive (AR) prediction scheme. Our simulation results show that the performance is further improved about 15% by utilizing the cross-correlations between pictures.

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