• Title/Summary/Keyword: Prediction of Crop Production

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Predicting Crop Production for Agricultural Consultation Service

  • Lee, Soong-Hee;Bae, Jae-Yong
    • Journal of information and communication convergence engineering
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    • 제17권1호
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    • pp.8-13
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    • 2019
  • Smart Farming has been regarded as an important application in information and communications technology (ICT) fields. Selecting crops for cultivation at the pre-production stage is critical for agricultural producers' final profits because over-production and under-production may result in uncountable losses, and it is necessary to predict crop production to prevent these losses. The ITU-T Recommendation for Smart Farming (Y.4450/Y.2238) defines plan/production consultation service at the pre-production stage; this type of service must trace crop production in a predictive way. Several research papers present that machine learning technology can be applied to predict crop production after related data are learned, but these technologies have little to do with standardized ICT services. This paper clarifies the relationship between agricultural consultation services and predicting crop production. A prediction scheme is proposed, and the results confirm the usability and superiority of machine learning for predicting crop production.

Random Forest를 이용한 남한지역 쌀 수량 예측 연구 (Rice yield prediction in South Korea by using random forest)

  • 김준환;이주석;상완규;신평;조현숙;서명철
    • 한국농림기상학회지
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    • 제21권2호
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    • pp.75-84
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    • 2019
  • 이 연구의 목적은 random forest 를 활용하여 기상요소만을 이용하여 우리나라 전체의 벼 평균수량을 예측하는데 있다. Random forest 는 예측에 사용되는 각 predictor variable 을 분리할 수 있는데 이를 통해 분리된 시계열 상의 추세가 비정상적인 증가형태를 보였다. 이는 결국 예측능력의 저하로 이어지기 때문에 이를 제거할 필요가 있고 본 연구에서는 이동 평균을 이용하여 제거한 후 예측을 하였다. 1991 년부터 2005 년까지의 기상자료와 수량자료를 학습에 사용하였고 2006 년부터 2015 년까지의 자료들을 검증용으로 사용하였다. 학습자료에 대해서는 상당히 정확한 예측 능력을 보여주었으나 검증 자료에서는 그렇지 못하였다. 그 이유를 분석하기 위해 학습 자료와 검증자료에 대해서 각각 변수 중요도를 산출하여 비교한 결과 두 자료 간에 월별 기상 자료에 대한 중요도가 변동되었음을 발견하였다. 이러하 차이가 발생한 이유는 학습자료와 검증 자료에서의 전국적으로 표준이앙기가 이동하여 벼의 생육기간 자체가 변하였기 때문이다. 따라서, 정확한 예측을 위해서는 지역별 파종기 또는 이앙기에 대한 자료가 필요하며 단순히 기상 자료만을 활용한 예측은 어려운 것으로 생긱된다.

Growth Monitoring for Soybean Smart Water Management and Production Prediction Model Development

  • JinSil Choi;Kyunam An;Hosub An;Shin-Young Park;Dong-Kwan Kim
    • 한국작물학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국작물학회 2022년도 추계학술대회
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    • pp.58-58
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    • 2022
  • With the development of advanced technology, automation of agricultural work is spreading. In association with the 4th industrial revolution-based technology, research on field smart farm technology is being actively conducted. A state-of-the-art unmanned automated agricultural production demonstration complex was established in Naju-si, Jeollanam-do. For the operation of the demonstration area platform, it is necessary to build a sophisticated, advanced, and intelligent field smart farming model. For the operation of the unmanned automated agricultural production demonstration area platform, we are building data on the growth of soybean for smart cultivated crops and conducting research to determine the optimal time for agricultural work. In order to operate an unmanned automation platform, data is collected to discover digital factors for water management immediately after planting, water management during the growing season, and determination of harvest time. A subsurface drip irrigation system was established for smart water management. Irrigation was carried out when the soil moisture was less than 20%. For effective water management, soil moisture was measured at the surface, 15cm, and 30cm depth. Vegetation indices were collected using drones to find key factors in soybean production prediction. In addition, major growth characteristics such as stem length, number of branches, number of nodes on the main stem, leaf area index, and dry weight were investigated. By discovering digital factors for effective decision-making through data construction, it is expected to greatly enhance the efficiency of the operation of the unmanned automated agricultural production demonstration area.

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Comparative Analysis of Machine Learning Models for Crop's yield Prediction

  • Babar, Zaheer Ud Din;UlAmin, Riaz;Sarwar, Muhammad Nabeel;Jabeen, Sidra;Abdullah, Muhammad
    • International Journal of Computer Science & Network Security
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    • 제22권5호
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    • pp.330-334
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    • 2022
  • In light of the decreasing crop production and shortage of food across the world, one of the crucial criteria of agriculture nowadays is selecting the right crop for the right piece of land at the right time. First problem is that How Farmers can predict the right crop for cultivation because famers have no knowledge about prediction of crop. Second problem is that which algorithm is best that provide the maximum accuracy for crop prediction. Therefore, in this research Author proposed a method that would help to select the most suitable crop(s) for a specific land based on the analysis of the affecting parameters (Temperature, Humidity, Soil Moisture) using machine learning. In this work, the author implemented Random Forest Classifier, Support Vector Machine, k-Nearest Neighbor, and Decision Tree for crop selection. The author trained these algorithms with the training dataset and later these algorithms were tested with the test dataset. The author compared the performances of all the tested methods to arrive at the best outcome. In this way best algorithm from the mention above is selected for crop prediction.

신경망을 이용한 Edger압연 크롭저감 연구 (Crop Control by Using Neural Network in Edger Mill)

  • 천명식;장대섭;이준정
    • 한국소성가공학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국소성가공학회 1999년도 제3회 압연심포지엄 논문집 압연기술의 미래개척 (Exploitation of Future Rolling Technologies)
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    • pp.438-446
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    • 1999
  • Crop minimization of the top and bottom ends of hot rolled plate, in a plate, in a plate mill, has been investigated. The existing model to determine the edging pattern at the finishing rolling pass was not reasonable to get high width accuracy and rolling yields. New models including width prediction have been formulated by using neural network model of back propagation learning algorithm and statistical analysis based on the actual production rolling data to give the optimal pattern for minimizing trimming loss. Using these models, at a given rolling condition of broadside pass and finishing pass and the permissible condition of width variation, it was possible to minimize crip at the top and bottom ends according to optimum procedure in plate mill. An application to improve the plan view pattern reduced width variation by 23% and crop length by 30% on average with an effective fishtail crop shape.

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Automatic Estimation of Tillers and Leaf Numbers in Rice Using Deep Learning for Object Detection

  • Hyeokjin Bak;Ho-young Ban;Sungryul Chang;Dongwon Kwon;Jae-Kyeong Baek;Jung-Il Cho ;Wan-Gyu Sang
    • 한국작물학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국작물학회 2022년도 추계학술대회
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    • pp.81-81
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    • 2022
  • Recently, many studies on big data based smart farming have been conducted. Research to quantify morphological characteristics using image data from various crops in smart farming is underway. Rice is one of the most important food crops in the world. Much research has been done to predict and model rice crop yield production. The number of productive tillers per plant is one of the important agronomic traits associated with the grain yield of rice crop. However, modeling the basic growth characteristics of rice requires accurate data measurements. The existing method of measurement by humans is not only labor intensive but also prone to human error. Therefore, conversion to digital data is necessary to obtain accurate and phenotyping quickly. In this study, we present an image-based method to predict leaf number and evaluate tiller number of individual rice crop using YOLOv5 deep learning network. We performed using various network of the YOLOv5 model and compared them to determine higher prediction accuracy. We ako performed data augmentation, a method we use to complement small datasets. Based on the number of leaves and tiller actually measured in rice crop, the number of leaves predicted by the model from the image data and the existing regression equation were used to evaluate the number of tillers using the image data.

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기후변화에 따른 과수작물 재배지 변화 예측 연구: 한라봉을 중심으로 (Research on predicting changes in crop cultivation areas due to climate change: Focusing on Hallabong)

  • 박혜은;이종태
    • 한국정보시스템학회지:정보시스템연구
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    • 제33권1호
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    • pp.31-44
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    • 2024
  • Purpose The purpose of this study is to use climate data to find the algorithm with the highest Hallabong production prediction ability and to predict future Hallabong production in areas where Hallabong cultivation is expected to be possible. Design/methodology/approach The research is conducted in two stages. In the first step, find the algorithm with the highest predictive power among XGBoost, Random Forest, SVM, and LSTM methodologies. In the second stage, the algorithm found in the first stage is applied to predict future Hallabong production in three regions where Hallabong production is expected to be possible. Findings As with many prediction studies, we found that XGBoost showed the highest prediction power. Even in areas where Hallabong production is expected to be possible, Hallabong production was predicted to be highest in Hongcheon, Gangwon-do, which has the highest latitude.

기후변화에 따른 작물의 수량 예측을 위한 시스템 요구도 분석 (Requirement Analysis of a System to Predict Crop Yield under Climate Change)

  • 김준환;이충근;김현애;이변우;김광수
    • 한국농림기상학회지
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    • 제17권1호
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    • pp.1-14
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    • 2015
  • 온실가스 증가로 인한 기후변화는 농업 생태계에 다양한 경로로 영향을 미쳐 작물 생산에 영향을 미칠 수 있다. 또한, 농업 생태계는 생물, 기후, 토양 및 경제 환경이 서로 복잡하게 연결되어 있어 개별 분야에 초점을 맞춘 적응 대책들은 농업 부문 내 다른 영역에 의도하지 않은 파급 효과를 초래할 수 있다. 기후변화 조건에서 복잡한 농업 생태계의 상호작용을 고려하면서 최적의 작물 생산성을 유지하기 위해 개별분야별 모델을 연계한 통합 예측 시스템 구축이 요구된다. 이러한 통합시스템을 구축하기 위해서는 단계적 접근이 필요하다. 국내에서 사용되고 있는 모델들은 통합시스템에 적합하도록 설계된 것이 아니기 때문에, 이를 위한 모델의 재개발이 필요하다. 농업생태계 감시를 위한 수퍼사이트와 위성사이트의 구축을 통해 장기간 작물 생육 자료를 확보하고 이를 개별 분야 모델의 개선에 활용할 수 있다. 모델 대상의 추상화와 상속과정을 통해 보다 유연한 형태의 통합 모델의 모듈 개발이 가능할 것이다. 마지막으로, 농업분야는 사회경제적인 요인에 지대한 영향을 받기 때문에, 농업생산과 경제분야가 연계될 수 있는 통합 시스템 구축이 바람직 할 것 이다.

A Study on Growth and Development Information and Growth Prediction Model Development Influencing on the Production of Citrus Fruits

  • Kang, Heejoo;Lee, Inseok;Goh, Sangwook;Kang, Seokbeom
    • Agribusiness and Information Management
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    • 제6권1호
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    • pp.1-11
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    • 2014
  • The purpose of this study is to develop the growth prediction model that can predict growth and development information influencing on the production of citrus fruits. The growth model was developed to predict the floral leaf ratio, number of fruit sets, fruit width, and overweight fruits depending on the main period of growth and development by considering the weather factors because the fruit production is influenced by weather depending on the growth and development period. To predict the outdoor-grown citrus fruit production, the investigation result for the standard farms is used as the basic data; in this study, we also understood that the influence of weather factors on the citrus fruit production based on the data from 2004 to 2013 of the outdoor-grown citrus fruit observation report in which the standard farms were targeted by the Agricultural Research Service and suggested the growth and development information prediction model with the weather information as an independent variable to build the observation model. The growth and development model for outdoor-grown citrus fruits was assumed by using the Ordinary Least Square method (OLS), and the developed growth prediction model can make a prediction in advance with the weather factors prior to the observation investigation for the citrus fruit production. To predict the growth and development information of the production of citrus fruits having a great ripple effect as a representative crop in Jeju agriculture, the prediction result regarding the production applying the weather factors depending on growth and development period could be applied usefully.

Application of data mining and statistical measurement of agricultural high-quality development

  • Yan Zhou
    • Advances in nano research
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    • 제14권3호
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    • pp.225-234
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    • 2023
  • In this study, we aim to use big data resources and statistical analysis to obtain a reliable instruction to reach high-quality and high yield agricultural yields. In this regard, soil type data, raining and temperature data as well as wheat production in each year are collected for a specific region. Using statistical methodology, the acquired data was cleaned to remove incomplete and defective data. Afterwards, using several classification methods in machine learning we tried to distinguish between different factors and their influence on the final crop yields. Comparing the proposed models' prediction using statistical quantities correlation factor and mean squared error between predicted values of the crop yield and actual values the efficacy of machine learning methods is discussed. The results of the analysis show high accuracy of machine learning methods in the prediction of the crop yields. Moreover, it is indicated that the random forest (RF) classification approach provides best results among other classification methods utilized in this study.