• Title/Summary/Keyword: Prediction modeling

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Assessment of modal parameters considering measurement and modeling errors

  • Huang, Qindan;Gardoni, Paolo;Hurlebaus, Stefan
    • Smart Structures and Systems
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    • v.15 no.3
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    • pp.717-733
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    • 2015
  • Modal parameters of a structure are commonly used quantities for system identification and damage detection. With a limited number of studies on the statistics assessment of modal parameters, this paper presents procedures to properly account for the uncertainties present in the process of extracting modal parameters. Particularly, this paper focuses on how to deal with the measurement error in an ambient vibration test and the modeling error resulting from a modal parameter extraction process. A bootstrap approach is adopted, when an ensemble of a limited number of noised time-history response recordings is available. To estimate the modeling error associated with the extraction process, a model prediction expansion approach is adopted where the modeling error is considered as an "adjustment" to the prediction obtained from the extraction process. The proposed procedures can be further incorporated into the probabilistic analysis of applications where the modal parameters are used. This study considers the effects of the measurement and modeling errors and can provide guidance in allocating resources to improve the estimation accuracy of the modal data. As an illustration, the proposed procedures are applied to extract the modal data of a damaged beam, and the extracted modal data are used to detect potential damage locations using a damage detection method. It is shown that the variability in the modal parameters can be considered to be quite low due to the measurement and modeling errors; however, this low variability has a significant impact on the damage detection results for the studied beam.

An Improved Secondary Path Modeling Method by Modified Kuo Model

  • Park, Byoung-Uk;Kim, Hack-Yoon
    • The Journal of the Acoustical Society of Korea
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    • v.22 no.1E
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    • pp.33-42
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    • 2003
  • Kuo et al proposed an on-line method for an adaptive prediction error filter for improving secondary path modeling performance in the modeling method of the secondary path. This method have some disadvantages, namely having to use additive noise with the result that noise control performance is not good since it is focused on the estimated performance of the secondary path. In this paper, we proposes a modified Kuo model using gain control parameter and delay. It uses a reference signal for additive noise to improve the problems in the existing Kuo model.

동적 비선형 신호의 온라인 모델링

  • 한정희;왕지남
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society of Precision Engineering Conference
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    • 1994.10a
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    • pp.371-376
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    • 1994
  • This paper presents an on-line modeling method approach for the machine condition. the machine condition is continuously monitored with a sensor such as, a vibration, a current, an acoustic emission (AE) sensor. In this study, neural network modeling by radial basis function is designed for analysis a prediction error. An on-line learning algorithm is designed using the RLS(recursive least square) estimation and the existing clustering method of Kohonen neural network. Experimental results show that the proposed RBNN modeling is suitable for predicting simulated data.

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A new method to predict the protein sequence alignment quality (단백질 서열정렬 정확도 예측을 위한 새로운 방법)

  • Lee, Min-Ho;Jeong, Chan-Seok;Kim, Dong-Seop
    • Bioinformatics and Biosystems
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    • v.1 no.1
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    • pp.82-87
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    • 2006
  • The most popular protein structure prediction method is comparative modeling. To guarantee accurate comparative modeling, the sequence alignment between a query protein and a template should be accurate. Although choosing the best template based on the protein sequence alignments is most critical to perform more accurate fold-recognition in comparative modeling, even more critical is the sequence alignment quality. Contrast to a lot of attention to developing a method for choosing the best template, prediction of alignment accuracy has not gained much interest. Here, we develop a method for prediction of the shift score, a recently proposed measure for alignment quality. We apply support vector regression (SVR) to predict shift score. The alignment between a query protein and a template protein of length n in our own library is transformed into an input vector of length n +2. Structural alignments are assumed to be the best alignment, and SVR is trained to predict the shift score between structural alignment and profile-profile alignment of a query protein to a template protein. The performance is assessed by Pearson correlation coefficient. The trained SVR predicts shift score with the correlation between observed and predicted shift score of 0.80.

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A Study of Damage District Forecast by Combine Topograph Modeling of Insular Areas Using GIS

  • Choi, Byoung Gil;Na, Young Woo;Ahn, Soon Myoung
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Surveying, Geodesy, Photogrammetry and Cartography
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    • v.35 no.2
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    • pp.113-122
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    • 2017
  • Natural disasters caused by climate change are increasing globally. There are few studies on the quantitative analysis methods for predicting damages in the island area due to sea level rise. Therefore, it is necessary to study the damage prediction analysis method using the GIS which can quantitatively analyze. In this paper, we analyze the cause and status of sea level rise, quantify the vulnerability index, establish an integrated terrestrial modeling method of the ocean and land, and establish a method of analyzing the damage area and damage scale due to sea level rise using GIS and the method of making the damage prediction figure was studied. In order to extract the other affected areas to sea level rise are apart of the terrain model is generated by one requires a terrain modeling of target areas are offshore and vertical reference system differences in land, found the need for correction by a tidal observations and geoid model there was. Grading of terrain, coastline erosion rate, coastal slope, sea level rise rate, and even average by vulnerable factors due to sea level rise indicates that quantitative damage prediction is possible due to sea level rise in the island area. In the case of vulnerable areas extracted by GIS, residential areas and living areas are concentrated on the coastal area due to the nature of the book area, and field survey shows that coastal changes and erosion are caused by sea level rise or tsunami.

DISCRETE EVENT SYSTEM SIMULATION APPROACH FOR AN OPERATION ANALYSIS OF A HEADEND PROCESS FACILITY

  • Lee, Hyo-Jik;Kim, Sung-Hyun;Park, Byung-Suk
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • v.41 no.5
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    • pp.739-746
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    • 2009
  • This paper introduces facility operation modeling and simulation based primarily on a discrete event system modeling scheme. Many modern industrial facilities are so complex that their operational status cannot be estimated by simple calculations. In general, a facility can consist of many processes and transfers of material between processes that may be modeled as a discrete event system. This paper introduces the current status of studies on operation modeling and simulation for typical nuclear facilities, along with some examples. In addition, this paper provides insights about how a discrete event system can be applied to a model for a nuclear facility. A headend facility is chosen for operation modeling and the simulation, and detailed procedure is thoroughly described from modeling to an analysis of discrete event results. These kinds of modeling and simulation are very important because they can contribute to facility design and operation in terms of prediction of system behavior, quantification of facility capacity, bottleneck identification and efficient operation scheduling.

Reliability evaluation plan of Rocket motor system (고체 추진기관 시스템의 신뢰성 평가 방안)

  • Kwon, Tag-Man;Jung, Ji-Sun;Shim, Hang-Geun;Jang, Ju-Su
    • Journal of Applied Reliability
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    • v.11 no.4
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    • pp.399-407
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    • 2011
  • Reliability evaluation of One-Shot system which flies at speed of Mach must be evaluated as the result of many firing tests. But many firing tests are impossible because of budget deficit. Consequently the reliability prediction which substitutes firing tests is used. The accuracy of reliability prediction is decided according to a quantity of accumulated test data. If the test data is insufficient, the direction of prediction can not be set. So we propose the reliability prediction method which applies MIL-HDBK-217 Plus. MIL-HDBK-217 Plus is described about reliability prediction method without sufficient test data. So we apply MIL-HDBK-217 Plus to the rocket motor system, and we accomplish a modeling and a reliability prediction about the system.

A Lossless and Lossy Audio Compression using Prediction Model and Wavelet Transform

  • Park, Se-Yil;Park, Se-Hyoung;Lim, Dae-Sik;Jaeho Shin
    • Proceedings of the IEEK Conference
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    • 2002.07c
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    • pp.2063-2066
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    • 2002
  • In this paper, we propose a structure far lossless audio coding method. Prediction model is used in the wavelet transform domain. After DWT, wavelet coefficients is quantized and decorrelated by prediction modeling. The DWT can be constructed to critical bands. We can get a lower data rate representation of audio signal which has a good quality like the result of perceptual coding. Then the prediction errors are efficiently coded by the Golomb-coding method. The prediction coefficients are fixed for reducing the computational burden when we find prediction coefficients.

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