• 제목/요약/키워드: Prediction modeling

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뉴로-퍼지 기법에 의한 오존농도 예측모델 (Neuro-Fuzzy Approaches to Ozone Prediction System)

  • 김태헌;김성신;김인택;이종범;김신도;김용국
    • 한국지능시스템학회논문지
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    • 제10권6호
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    • pp.616-628
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    • 2000
  • In this paper, we present the modeling of the ozone prediction system using Neuro-Fuzzy approaches. The mechanism of ozone concentration is highly complex, nonlinear, and nonstationary, the modeling of ozone prediction system has many problems and the results of prediction is not a good performance so far. The Dynamic Polynomial Neural Network(DPNN) which employs a typical algorithm of GMDH(Group Method of Data Handling) is a useful method for data analysis, identification of nonlinear complex system, and prediction of a dynamical system. The structure of the final model is compact and the computation speed to produce an output is faster than other modeling methods. In addition to DPNN, this paper also includes a Fuzzy Logic Method for modeling of ozone prediction system. The results of each modeling method and the performance of ozone prediction are presented. The proposed method shows that the prediction to the ozone concentration based upon Neuro-Fuzzy approaches gives us a good performance for ozone prediction in high and low ozone concentration with the ability of superior data approximation and self organization.

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Prediction of Transmembrane Protein Topology Using Position-specific Modeling of Context-dependent Structural Regions

  • Chi, Sang-Mun
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • 제16권3호
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    • pp.683-693
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    • 2005
  • This paper presents a new transmembrane Protein topology prediction method which is an attempt to model the topological rules governing the topogenesis of transmembrane proteins. Context-dependent structural regions of the transmembrane protein are used as basic modeling units in order to effectively represent their topogenic roles during transmembrane protein assembly. These modeling units are modeled by means of a tied-state hidden Markov model, which can express the position-specific effect of amino acids during ransmembrane protein assembly. The performance of prediction improves with these modeling approaches. In particular, marked improvement of orientation prediction shows the validity of the proposed modeling. The proposed method is available at http://bioroutine.com/TRAPTOP.

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기능 중심의 신뢰성 예측 모델링 방법론 (A methodology for creating a function-centered reliability prediction model)

  • 정용호;박지명;장중순;박상철
    • 한국시뮬레이션학회논문지
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    • 제25권4호
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    • pp.77-84
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    • 2016
  • 본 논문은 시스템에 대한 기능 중심의 신뢰도 예측을 수행하기 위한 모델링 방법론을 제안한다. 신뢰도 예측에 대한 다양한 기존 연구들이 있지만, 이 연구들의 공통점은 하드웨어 중심으로 신뢰도 예측을 수행하였다는 점이다. 신뢰성이 제품이 주어진 사용 조건 아래서 의도하는 기간 동안 정해진 기능을 성공적으로 수행하는 능력이라고 정의되는 점에서 보았을 때, 하드웨어 중심의 신뢰도는 논리적 모순을 가진다. 본 논문에서는 기능 중심의 신뢰도 예측을 위해 4-단계 모델링 절차(four-phase modeling procedure)를 제안하였다. 제안되는 모델링 방법론은 네 개의 모델로 구성된다; 1) 구조적 블록 모델(structure block model), 2) 기능 블록 모델 (function block model), 3) 장치 모델 (device model), 그리고 4) 신뢰성 예측 모델 (reliability prediction model). 본 논문에서는 제안하는 모델링 방법론을 이용하여 전자식 안정기에 대한 기능 중심의 신뢰도 예측을 수행하였으며, 하드웨어의 신뢰도를 결정하기 위해 신뢰도 예측 규격 중 하나인 MIL-HDBK-217F를 이용하였다.

기상 및 기후의 수치예측에 대한 슈퍼컴퓨터의 역할 (Role of Supercomputers in Numerical Prediction of Weather and Climate)

  • 박선기
    • 대기
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    • 제14권4호
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    • pp.19-23
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    • 2004
  • Progresses in numerical prediction of weather and climate have been in parallel with those of computing resources, especially the development of supercomputers. Advanced techniques in numerical modeling, computational schemes, and data assimilation cloud not have been practically achieved without the aid of supercomputers. With such techniques and computing powers, the accuracy of numerical forecasts has been tremendously improved. Supercomputers are also indispensible in constructing and executing the synthetic Earth system models. In this study, a brief overview on numerical weather / climate prediction, Earth system modeling, and the values of supercomputing is provided.

구면 모델링 모드를 통한 깊이 화면 예측 방법 (Prediction Method for Depth Picture through Spherical Modeling Mode)

  • 이동석;권순각
    • 한국멀티미디어학회논문지
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    • 제22권12호
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    • pp.1368-1375
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    • 2019
  • In this paper, an prediction method is proposed for coding of depth pictures using spherical modeling. An spherical surface which has the least error from original depth values is modeled in a block. Pixels in the block are predicted through the parameters of the modeled spherical surface. Simulation results show that average prediction errors and entropy powers are improved to 30% and 200% comparing to the intra prediction of H.264/AVC, selection ratios of the proposed spherical modeling mode is more than 25%.

국내 고속도로 교통소음 예측모델에 대한 비교 연구 (A Study on Comparison of Highway Traffic Noise Prediction Models using in Korea)

  • 김철환;장태순;이기정;강희만
    • 한국소음진동공학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국소음진동공학회 2007년도 추계학술대회논문집
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    • pp.101-104
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    • 2007
  • All of noise prediction model have it's own features in the case of modeling conditions, so it is very important to know the features of each model case by case for a proper modeling, especially using at the Environmental Impact Assessment. For prediction of highway traffic noise and abating the noise by barriers, two kinds of prediction model, HW-NOISE, KHTN(Korea Highway Traffic Noise) has been mainly used in Korea. In this study, the features of these models were described at the same conditions. The properties of sound power from a road, diffraction characteristics from a barrier, sound pressure level decaying in each model were investigated. Using the results, it will be anticipated that the proper using of prediction models in the works of highway noise abating.

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A Survey of Applications of Artificial Intelligence Algorithms in Eco-environmental Modelling

  • Kim, Kang-Suk;Park, Joon-Hong
    • Environmental Engineering Research
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    • 제14권2호
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    • pp.102-110
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    • 2009
  • Application of artificial intelligence (AI) approaches in eco-environmental modeling has gradually increased for the last decade. Comprehensive understanding and evaluation on the applicability of this approach to eco-environmental modeling are needed. In this study, we reviewed the previous studies that used AI-techniques in eco-environmental modeling. Decision Tree (DT) and Artificial Neural Network (ANN) were found to be major AI algorithms preferred by researchers in ecological and environmental modeling areas. When the effect of the size of training data on model prediction accuracy was explored using the data from the previous studies, the prediction accuracy and the size of training data showed nonlinear correlation, which was best-described by hyperbolic saturation function among the tested nonlinear functions including power and logarithmic functions. The hyperbolic saturation equations were proposed to be used as a guideline for optimizing the size of training data set, which is critically important in designing the field experiments required for training AI-based eco-environmental modeling.

공간모델링 기반의 풍력발전출력 예측 모델에 관한 연구 (Study on Wind Power Prediction model based on Spatial Modeling)

  • 정솔영;허진;최영도
    • KEPCO Journal on Electric Power and Energy
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    • 제1권1호
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    • pp.163-168
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    • 2015
  • In order to integrate high wind generation resources into power grid, it is an essential to predict power outputs of wind generating resources. As wind farm outputs depend on natural wind resources that vary over space and time, spatial modeling based on geographic information such as latitude and longitude is needed to estimate power outputs of wind generation resources. In this paper, we introduce the basic concept of spatial modeling and present the spatial prediction model based on Kriging techniques. The empirical data, wind farm power output in Texas, is considered to verify the proposed prediction model.

A comparative assessment of bagging ensemble models for modeling concrete slump flow

  • Aydogmus, Hacer Yumurtaci;Erdal, Halil Ibrahim;Karakurt, Onur;Namli, Ersin;Turkan, Yusuf S.;Erdal, Hamit
    • Computers and Concrete
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    • 제16권5호
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    • pp.741-757
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    • 2015
  • In the last decade, several modeling approaches have been proposed and applied to estimate the high-performance concrete (HPC) slump flow. While HPC is a highly complex material, modeling its behavior is a very difficult issue. Thus, the selection and application of proper modeling methods remain therefore a crucial task. Like many other applications, HPC slump flow prediction suffers from noise which negatively affects the prediction accuracy and increases the variance. In the recent years, ensemble learning methods have introduced to optimize the prediction accuracy and reduce the prediction error. This study investigates the potential usage of bagging (Bag), which is among the most popular ensemble learning methods, in building ensemble models. Four well-known artificial intelligence models (i.e., classification and regression trees CART, support vector machines SVM, multilayer perceptron MLP and radial basis function neural networks RBF) are deployed as base learner. As a result of this study, bagging ensemble models (i.e., Bag-SVM, Bag-RT, Bag-MLP and Bag-RBF) are found superior to their base learners (i.e., SVM, CART, MLP and RBF) and bagging could noticeable optimize prediction accuracy and reduce the prediction error of proposed predictive models.

대규모 클러스터 서버의 성능 모델링 및 예측 방법론 (A Methodology for Performance Modeling and Prediction of Large-Scale Cluster Servers)

  • 장혜천;진현욱;김학영
    • 한국정보과학회논문지:컴퓨팅의 실제 및 레터
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    • 제16권11호
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    • pp.1041-1045
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    • 2010
  • 클러스터는 병렬 컴퓨팅 및 데이터 센터에 적합한 구조를 제시하지만 설계 빛 확장을 할 때 성능에 대한 예측이 쉽지 않다 또한 기존의 클러스터 성능 분석은 이미 구성된 시스템만을 그 대상으로 한다는 문제점을 가지고 있으며 클러스터의 확장 및 대용량 클러스터에 대한 성능 예측을 지원하지 못한다. 그러므로 기존에 대규모 클러스터를 평가하던 방법들과는 다른, 시스템 구성 전 대규모 클러스터를 위한 모델링 및 예측 방법을 필요로 한다. 이러한 작업은 클러스터의 구조적 특성이 잘 반영되어야 하며 실제 시스템 적용 시 나타나는 문제에 관해서도 분석이 쉽게 되어야 한다. 본 논문에서는 대규모 클러스터의 성능 모델링을 위한 방법론을 제시하고 실제 시스템에서 수행한 측정 및 예측 결과로 방법론의 유용성을 보인다.