• Title/Summary/Keyword: Prediction model

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A Study on the Prediction of Turbidity near the Confluence of Banbyeoncheon by Using the KU-RLMS Model (KU-RLMS 모형을 이용한 반변천 합류부 탁도 예측에 관한 연구)

  • Lim, Ji-Hyun;Lee, Nam-Joo;Lyu, Si-Wan;Yeo, Hong-Koo
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2007.05a
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    • pp.1214-1218
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    • 2007
  • 댐 하류로 탁수를 선택적으로 배제하기 위해서는 방류 탁수가 하류에 미치는 영향을 정확히 예측할 수 있는 하천 탁도 예측 및 관리시스템 구축이 필요하다. 낙동강과 반변천의 합류부에서의 이차원적인 혼합에 관한 수치해석 결과는 완전혼합을 가정하는 일차원 수질모델링의 초기 입력자료에 사용됨으로써 낙동강 본류 전체구간의 탁도 모의결과의 정확성을 높이는 데 사용될 수 있다. 본 연구는 낙동강의 중상류에 위치한 반변천 합류부에 평면 이차원 비정상 수치모형인 KU-RLMS 모형을 적용하여 탁도 변화 특성을 규명할 목적으로 수행하였다. KU-RLMS 모형은 하천 및 저수지의 국부적인 수리, 수질, 유사이동 해석을 위해 개발된 평면 이차원 비정상 수치모형이다. 직사각형 격자를 사용하는 유한차분법의 단점을 보완하기 위해, 수심적분된 2차원 연속방정식, 운동량방정식, 이송확산방정식을 불규칙한 경계를 현실적으로 모사할 수 있는 직교곡선 좌표계로 변환한 방정식을 사용한다. 이 모형은 흐름, 농도, 지형변화를 조합하여 계산할 수 있는 모형으로서 점착성 및 비점착성 유사의 이동을 모의할 수 있다. 수치모형 적용을 위한 현황분석으로 안동 및 임하 조정지댐의 방류량, 안동 수위관측소의 수위, 법흥교 및 포진교 지점의 탁도 자료를 분석하였다. 이송확산모형의 보정을 위해, 안동대교 지점의 탁도 횡분포 측정 자료를 사용하여 확산계수에 대한 매개변수 추정 및 검증을 수행하였다. 또한, 안동조정지댐과 임하조정지댐의 방류량 및 방류탁도을 고려하여 수치모의조건을 결정하였으며, 각 조건에 대한 탁도 변화 특성을 분석하였다.된 주변국이 될 수밖에 없을 것이다. 21세기 문화산업에서 우리가 판단하게 될 디자인의 가치는 계몽의 원리에 대한 '역사성'과 '현재성'의 변증법에 달려있는 것이며, 새로운 철학, 새로운 문명, 새로운 세계를 열어가는 것이다.r$ (地理志)에는 추현리와 이미 외리를 언급하면서 상주의 자기제작의 위상을 짐작하는 기록이 언급되면서 전국의 상품의 절반을 담당하고 있었음을 알 수 있었다. $\ulcorner$경상도지리지$\lrcorner$(慶尙道地理志)에는 상주가 8곳으로 1/3의 자기 생산을 담당하고 있었다. $\ulcorner$경상도지리지$\lrcorner$(慶尙道地理志)에는 $\ulcorner$세종실록$\lrcorner$(世宗實錄) $\ulcorner$지리지$\lrcorner$(地理志)와 동년대에 동일한 목적으로 찬술되었음을 알 수 있다. $\ulcorner$경상도실록지리지$\lrcorner$(慶尙道實錄地理志)에는 $\ulcorner$세종실록$\lrcorner$(世宗實錄) $\ulcorner$지리지$\lrcorner$(地理志)와의 비교를 해보면 상 중 하품의 통합 9개소가 삭제되어 있고, $\ulcorner$동국여지승람$\lrcorner$(東國與地勝覽) 에서는 자기소와 도기

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Prediction of Salinity Changes for Seawater Inflow and Rainfall Runoff in Yongwon Channel (해수유입과 강우유출 영향에 따른 용원수로의 염분도 변화 예측)

  • Choo, Min Ho;Kim, Young Do;Jeong, Weon Mu
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.47 no.3
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    • pp.297-306
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    • 2014
  • In this study, EFDC (Environmental Fluid Dynamics Code) model was used to simulate the salinity distribution for sea water inflow and rainfall runoff. The flowrate was given to the boundary conditions, which can be calculated by areal-specific flowrate method from the measured flowrate of the representative outfall. The boundary condition of the water elevation can be obtained from the hourly tidal elevation. The flowrate from the outfall can be calculated using the condition of the 245 mm raifall. The simulation results showed that at Sites 1~2 and the Mangsan island (Site 4) the salinity becomes 0 ppt after the rainfall. However, the salinity is 30 ppt when there is no rainfall. Time series of the salinity changes were compared with the measured data from January 1 to December 31, 2010 at the four sites (Site 2~5) of Yongwon channel. Lower salinities are shown at the inner sites of Yongwon channel (Site 1~4) and the sites of Songjeong river (Site 7~8). The intensive investigation near the Mangsan island showed that the changes of salinity were 21.9~28.8 ppt after the rainfall of 17 mm and those of the salinity were 2.33~8.05 ppt after the cumulative rainfall of 160.5 mm. This means that the sea water circulation is blocked in Yongwon channel, and the salinity becomes lower rapidly after the heavy rain.

Dynamic Characteristics Analysis of Spherical Shell with Initial Deflection(II) - Effects of Initial Deflection - (초기 처짐을 갖는 Spherical Shell의 동적 특성에 관한 연구(II) - 초기 처짐에 따른 동적 특성 -)

  • Cho, Jin-Goo
    • Magazine of the Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.40 no.5
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    • pp.91-99
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    • 1998
  • The widespread use of thin shell structures has created a need for a systematic method of analysis which can adequately account for arbitrary geometric form and boundary conditions as well as arbitrary general type of loading. Therefore, the stress and analysis of thin shell has been one of the more challenging areas of structural mechanics. A wide variety of numerical methods have been applied to the governing differential equations for spherical and cylindrical structures with a few results applicable to practice. The analysis of axisymmetric spherical shell is almost an every day occurrence in many industrial applications. A reliable and accurate finite element analysis procedure for such structures was needed. Dynamic loading of structures often causes excursions of stresses well into the inelastic range and the influence of geometry changes on the response is also significant in many cases. Therefore both material and geometric nonlinear effects should be considered. In general, the shell structures designed according to quasi-static analysis may fail under conditions of dynamic loading. For a more realistic prediction on the load carrying capacity of these shell, in addition to the dynamic effect, consideration should also include other factors such as nonlinearities in both material and geometry since these factors, in different manner, may also affect the magnitude of this capacity. The objective of this paper is to demonstrate the dynamic characteristics of spherical shell. For these purposes, the spherical shell subjected to uniformly distributed step load was analyzed for its large displacements elasto-viscoplastic static and dynamic response. Geometrically nonlinear behaviour is taken into account using a Total Lagrangian formulation and the material behaviour is assumed to elasto-viscoplastic model highly corresponding to the real behaviour of the material. The results for the dynamic characteristics of spherical shell in the cases under various conditions of base-radius/central height(a/H) and thickness/shell radius(t/R) were summarized as follows : The dynamic characteristics with a/H. 1) AS the a/H increases, the amplitude of displacement in creased. 2) The values of displacement dynamic magnification factor (DMF) were ranges from 2.9 to 6.3 in the crown of shell and the values of factor in the mid-point of shell were ranged from 1.8 to 2.6. 3) As the a/H increases, the values of DMF in the crown of shell is decreased rapidly but the values of DMF in mid-point shell is increased gradually. 4) The values of DMF of hoop-stresses were range from 3.6 to 6.8 in the crown of shell and the values of factor in the mid-point of shell were ranged from 2.3 to 2.6, and the values of DMF of stress were larger than that of displacement. The dynamic characteristics with t/R. 5) With the thickness of shell decreases, the amplitude of the displacement and the period increased. 6) The values of DMF of the displacement were ranged from 2.8 to 3.6 in the crown of shell and the values of factor in the mid-point of shell were ranged from 2.1 to 2.2.

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Evolution of Agrometeorology at the Global Level (농업기상학의 역사)

  • Sivakumar, M.V.K.
    • Korean Journal of Agricultural and Forest Meteorology
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    • v.6 no.2
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    • pp.127-139
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    • 2004
  • Agricultural meteorology has advanced during the last 100 years from a descriptive to a quantitative science using physical and biological principles. The agricultural community is becoming more aware that using climate and weather information will improve their profitability and this will no doubt increase the demand for agrometeorological services. Hence it is timely that the needs and perspectives for agrometeorology in the 21$^{21}$ Century are grouped under two major headings: agrometeorological services for agricultural production and agrometeorological support systems for such services. Emphasis must be placed on the components of such support systems comprising of data, research, policies and training/education/extension. As Monteith (2000) mentioned, food supplies ultimately depend upon the skill with which farmers ran exploit the potential of good weather and minimize the impact of bad weather. Recent developments in instrumentation, data management systems, climate prediction, crop modelling, dissemination of agrometeorological information etc., provide agrometeorologists the tools necessary help the farmers improve such skills. The future for operational applications of agricultural meteorology appears bright and such applications could contribute substantially to promote sustainable agriculture and alleviate poverty.

Prediction on the Quality of Forage Crop by Near Infrared Reflectance Spectroscopy (근적외선 분광법에 의한 사초의 성분추정)

  • Lee, Hyo-Won;Kim, Jong-Duk;Kim, Won-Ho;Lee, Joung-Kyong
    • Journal of The Korean Society of Grassland and Forage Science
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    • v.29 no.1
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    • pp.31-36
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    • 2009
  • This study was conducted to find out an alternative way of rapid and accurate analysis of forage quality. Near reflectance infrared spectroscopy (NIRS) was used to evaluate the possibility of forage analysis and collect 258 samples such as barley for whole crop silage, forage corn and sudangrass from 2002 to 2007. The samples were analyzed for CP (crude protein), CF (crude fiber), ADF (acid detergent fiber), NDF (neutral detergent fiber) and IVTD (in vitro true digestibility), and also scanned using NIRSystem with wavelength from $400{\sim}2,400nm$. Multiple linear regression was used with wet analysis data for developing the calibration model and validate unknown samples. The important index In this experiment was SEC and SEP $r^2$ for CF, CP, NDF, ADF and IVTD in calibration set were 0.70, 0.86, 0.94, 0.94 and 0.89, also 0.47, 0.39, 0.89, 0.90 and 0.61 in validation sample, respectively. The results of this experiment indicates that NIRS was reliable analytical method to assess forage quality, specially in CF, ADF and IVTD, sample should be included for respective forage samples to get accurate result. More robust calibrations can be made to cover every forage samples if added representative sample set.

A Study on Rotation Behavior of High Strength Steel Endplate Connections under Fire (화재시 고강도강 엔드플레이트 접합부의 회전 거동에 관한 연구)

  • Shin, Su-Min;Lee, Chy-Hyoung;Yoon, Sung-Kee
    • Journal of the Korea institute for structural maintenance and inspection
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    • v.20 no.5
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    • pp.35-43
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    • 2016
  • In order to understand rotation behavior of high strength steel endplate connections under fire, this study is compared with existing studies conducted using FEA program. Eurocode 3 presents the three failure modes according to the prediction of bending resistance moment. The parameters of analysis model are temperature, thickness and steel materials of endplate. The rotation stiffness, and bending resistance moment are analyzed according to the parameters. The change of rotation stiffness and bending resistance moment are analyzed about the parameters, regression equations are suggested the change of high strength steel endplate connections. Consequently, the regression equations were proposed as the linear and quadratic equation. The moment ratio of high strength steel under fire was more reduced than the carbon steel, and was small effect about the thickness. When the high strength steel under fire was compared with at ambient temperature, the slope of initial rotation stiffness reduced, the increment ratio of moment was slow, and the change of plastic rotation stiffness wasn't effect by the thickness increase.

Respiratory Health Effects of Fine Particles(PM2.5) in Seoul (서울시 미세입자(PM2.5)의 호흡기질환 사망과의 연관성 연구)

  • Kang, Choong-Min;Park, Sung-Kyun;SunWoo, Young;Kang, Byung-Wook;Lee, Hak-Sung
    • Journal of Korean Society for Atmospheric Environment
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    • v.22 no.5
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    • pp.554-563
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    • 2006
  • Numerous epidemiological studies have shown stronger associations between $PM_{2.5}$ and both mortality and morbidity than $PM_{10}$. The association of $PM_{2.5}$ with respiratory mortality was examined in Seoul, during the period of $1996{\sim}2002$. Because $PM_{2.5}$ data were available for only 10% of this time period, a prediction regression model was developed to estimate $PM_{2.5}$ concentration. Death count due to respiratory-related diseases(total respiratory mortality; ICD-10, J00-J98) and death counts(cause-specific mortality) due to pneumonia(ICD-10, J12-J18), COPD(ICD-10, J40-J44) and asthma(ICD-10, J45-J46) were considered in this study. Averaged daily mortality was 5.6 for total respiratory mortality and 1.1 to 1.6 for cause-specific mortality. Generalized additive Poisson models controlling for confounders were used to evaluate the acute effects of particle exposures on total respiratory mortality and cause-specific mortality. An IQR increase in 5-day moving average of $PM_{2.5}(22.6{\mu}g/m^3)$ was associated with an 8.2%(95% CI: 4.5 to 12.1%) increase in total respiratory mortality The association of $PM_{2.5}$ was stronger for the elderly ($\geq$65 years old, 10.1%, 95% CI: 5.8 to 14.5%) and for males(8.9%, 95% CI: 2.1 to 11.3%). A $10{\mu}g/m^3$ increase in 5-day moving average of $PM_{2.5}$ was strongly associated with total respiratory mortality in winter(9.5%, 95% CI: 6.6 to 12.4%), followed by spring(3.1%, 95% CI: -1.2 to 7.5%), which was a different pattern with the finding in North American cities. However, our results are generally consistent with those observed in recent epidemiological studies, and suggest that $PM_{2.5}$ has a stronger effect on respiratory mortality in Seoul.

Construction of High-Resolution Topographical Map of Macro-tidal Malipo beach through Integration of Terrestrial LiDAR Measurement and MBES Survey at inter-tidal zone (대조차 만리포 해안의 지상 LiDAR와 MBES를 이용한 정밀 지형/수심 측량 및 조간대 접합을 통한 정밀 지형도 작성)

  • Shim, Jae-Seol;Kim, Jin-Ah;Kim, Seon-Jeong;Kim, Sang-Ik
    • Journal of Korean Society of Coastal and Ocean Engineers
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    • v.22 no.1
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    • pp.58-66
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    • 2010
  • In this paper, we have constructed high-resolution topographical map of macro-tidal Malipo beach through integration of terrestrial LiDAR measurement and MBES survey data at inter-tidal zone. To acquire the enough information of inter-tidal zone, we have done terrestrial LiDAR measurement mounted on the roof of vehicle with DGPS through go-stop-scan method at the ebb tide and MBES depth surveying with tide gauge and eye staff measurement for tide correction and MSL calculation at the high tide all together. To integrate two kinds of data, we have unified the vertical coordination standard to Incheon MSL. The mean error of overlapped inter-tidal zone is about 2~6 cm. To verify the accuracy of terrestrial LiDAR, RTK-DGPS measurement have done simultaneously and the difference of Z value RMSE is about 4~7 cm. The resolution of Malipo topographical map is 50 cm and it has constructed to DEM (Digital Elevation Model) based on GIS. Now it has used as an input topography information for the storm-surge inundation prediction models. Also it will be possible to use monitoring of beach process through the long-term periodic measurement and GIS-based 3D spatial analysis calculating the erosion and deposition considering with the artificial beach transition and coastal environmental parameters.

Aerodynamic Characteristics Analysis of Small Two-Stage Turbo Blower Using CFD (CFD를 이용한 소형 2단 터보블로워의 공력해석)

  • Seo, Seungjae;Ryu, Minhyoung;Cho, Leesang;Cho, Jinsoo
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Aeronautical & Space Sciences
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    • v.42 no.4
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    • pp.326-335
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    • 2014
  • Aerodynamic characteristics of the small two-stage turbo blower were investigated using commercial CFD tool(ANSYS CFX Ver. 14.5) in this paper. Turbo blower, which is a centrifugal type of turbomachinery, is used in various industries. It is used for application that required high static pressure rising at relatively small volumetric flow rate. In order to understand the mechanism of static pressure rising, the aerodynamic characteristics of the small two-stage turbo blower are analyzed at high rotating speed in this study. The k-${\omega}$ SST turbulence model, which is good at prediction of adverse pressure gradient flows, was applied. The CFD results of the turbo blower are validated by performance test. The static pressure rising of the turbo blower is nonlinearly increased over the first stage and the second stage. The secondary flow occurred at guide vanes, between the casing and the first impeller shroud, and the bottom of the impeller disk. As a result, It is required that whole fluid area is analyzed to predict aerodynamic characteristics of small two-stage turbo blower. and the result should be selected with considering for error from experiment and CFD.

Cross-Cultural Comparison of Touch Sensation for Korean Traditional Silk fabrics (한국 전통 견직물에 대한 한$\cdot$미 주관적 촉감의 비교)

  • Yi Eun-Jou;Cho Gil-Soo
    • Science of Emotion and Sensibility
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    • v.8 no.4
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    • pp.393-402
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    • 2005
  • Subjective touch sensation for Korean traditional silk fabrics was evaluated, in order to compare tactile sensory aspects of Korean and American subjects and to determine mechanical properties of the fabrics affecting the sensation psychophysically. Eight aspects of touch sensation including hardness, smoothness, coarseness, coolness, pliability, crispness, heaviness, and thickness were rated by semantic deferential scale. The mechanical properties of fabrics were measured by Kawabata Evaluation System (KES). Both of Koreans and Americans showed fairly similarities to each other in subjective smoothness, coarseness, and crispness. On the contrary, as for coolness and pliability, Koreans were found as feeling the silk fabrics more sensitively than Americans were in that they rated some of modified leno fabrics as very cool and stiff in touch. Coolness and pliability by Koreans were affected mainly by surface and bending properties while those by Americans were determined mostly by compressional and tensile characteristics as well as sulfate properties

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