• Title/Summary/Keyword: Prediction formula

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Prediction of Effective Horsepower for G/T 4 ton Class Coast Fishing Boat Using Statistical Analysis (통계해석에 의한 G/T 4톤급 연안어선의 유효마력 추정)

  • Park, Chung-Hwan;Shim, Sang-Mog;Jo, Hyo-Jae
    • Journal of Ocean Engineering and Technology
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    • v.23 no.6
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    • pp.71-76
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    • 2009
  • This paper describes a statistical analysis method for predicting a coast fishing boat's effective horsepower. The EHP estimation method for small coast fishing boats was developed, based on a statistical regression analysis of model test results in a circulating water channel. The statistical regression formula of a fishing boat's effective horsepower is determined from the regression analysis of the resistance test results for 15 actual coast fishing boats. This method was applied to the effective horsepower prediction of a G/T 4 ton class coast fishing boat. From the estimation of the effective horsepower using this regression formula and the experimental model test of the G/T 4 ton class coast fishing boat, the estimation accuracy was verified under 10 percent of the design speed. However, the effective horsepower prediction method for coast fishing boats using the regression formula will be used at the initial design and hull-form development stage.

Assessment on Design Applicability of Analysis of the Undrained Shear Strength in Korea Coastal Marine Clay (국내 해성점토의 비배수 전단강도 분석을 통한 설계 적용성 평가)

  • Kim, Myeong Hwan;Song, Chang Seob
    • Journal of The Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.58 no.1
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    • pp.61-71
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    • 2016
  • This study performed the physical and mechanical experiment on the samples of costal marine clays individually collected in western and southern regions to identify the characteristics of western and southern costal marine clay. Based on the experiment result, the characteristics of costal marine clay is identified undrained shear strength. Based on the experiment result on the physical and mechanical characteristics of costal marine clays, the regression is presented that can analyze the mechanical characteristics of undrained shear strength in costal marine clay of Korea, region of Korea and western-southern region. The correlation of uniaxial compressive strength and undrained shear strength was suitable for use of western-southern region correlation equation. The test result of Jeonnam Yeosu area compares with prediction results of previous researchers formula and western-southern region formula. Prediction results appear highest reliability on the 0.827 of coefficient of determination in the prediction results of the western-southern region formula.

Application of smart mosquito monitoring traps for the mosquito forecast systems by Seoul Metropolitan city

  • Na, Sumi;Yi, Hoonbok
    • Journal of Ecology and Environment
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    • v.44 no.2
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    • pp.98-105
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    • 2020
  • Background: The purpose of this study, mosquito forecast system implemented by Seoul Metropolitan city, was to obtain the mosquito prediction formula by using the mosquito population data and the environmental data of the past. Results: For this study, the mosquito population data from April 1, 2015, to October 31, 2017, were collected. The mosquito population data were collected from the 50 smart mosquito traps (DMSs), two of which were installed in each district (Korean, gu) in Seoul Metropolitan city since 2015. Environmental factors were collected from the Automatic Weather System (AWS) by the Korea Meteorological Administration. The data of the nearest AWS devices from each DMS were used for the prediction formula analysis. We found out that the environmental factors affecting the mosquito population in Seoul Metropolitan city were the mean temperature and rainfall. We predicted the following equations by the generalized linear model analysis: ln(Mosquito population) = 2.519 + 0.08 × mean temperature + 0.001 × rainfall. Conclusions: We expect that the mosquito forecast system would be used for predicting the mosquito population and to prevent the spread of disease through mosquitoes.

Modification of Local Ice Load Prediction Formula Based on IBRV ARAON's Arctic Field Data (쇄빙연구선 ARAON호의 북극해 실측 데이터에 기초한 국부 빙하중 추정식의 수정)

  • Cho, Sungrok;Choi, Kyungsik
    • Journal of Ocean Engineering and Technology
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    • v.33 no.2
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    • pp.161-167
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    • 2019
  • This paper focuses on a newly designed ice load formula based on the ARAON's 2016 Arctic field data in order to improve a structural design against ice loads. The strain gage signals from ARAON's hull plating were converted to the local ice pressure upon the hull plating using the influence coefficient matrix and finite element analysis. First, a traditional pressure-area relationship is derived by applying probabilistic approaches to handle the strains measured onboard the ARAON. Then, the local ice load prediction formula is re-analyzed after reviewing the ARAON's additional field data to consider information about the ship speed and thickness of the sea ice. It is shown that the newly developed pressure-area relationship well reflects the influence of other design parameters such as the ship speed and ice thickness in the prediction of local ice loads on Arctic vessels.

Assessment and Improvement of Monthly Coefficients of Kajiyama Formular on Climate Change (기후변화에 따른 가지야마 공식 월별 보정계수 개선 및 평가)

  • Seo, Jiho;Lee, Dongjun;Lee, Gwanjae;Kim, Jonggun;Kim, Ki-sung;Lim, Kyoung Jae
    • Journal of The Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.60 no.5
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    • pp.81-93
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    • 2018
  • The Kajiyama formula, which is an empirical formula based on the maximum flood data at Korean watersheds, has been widely used for the design of hydraulic structures and management of watersheds. However, this formula was developed based on meteorological data and flow measured during early 1900s so that it could not consider the recently changed rainfall pattern due to climate changes. Moreover, the formula does not provide the monthly coefficients for 5 months including July and August (flood season), which causes the uncertainty to accurately interpret runoff characteristics at a watershed. Thus, the objective of this study is to enhance the monthly coefficients based on the recent meteorological data and flow data expanding the range of rainfall classification. The simulated runoff using the enhanced monthly coefficients showed better performance compared to that using the original coefficients. In addition, we evaluated the applicability of the enhanced monthly coefficient for future runoff prediction. Based on the results of this study, we found that the Kajiyame formula with the enhanced coefficients could be applied for the future prediction. Hence, the Kajiyama formula with enhanced monthly coefficient can be useful to support the policy and plan related to management of watersheds in Korea.

An empirical model for amplitude prediction on VIV-galloping instability of rectangular cylinders

  • Niu, Huawei;Zhou, Shuai;Chen, Zhengqing;Hua, Xugang
    • Wind and Structures
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    • v.21 no.1
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    • pp.85-103
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    • 2015
  • Aerodynamic forces of vortex-induced vibration and galloping are going to be coupled when their onset velocities are close to each other, which will induce the cross-wind amplitudes of the structures increased continuously with ever-increasing wind velocities. The main purpose of the present work is going to propose an empirical formula to predict the response amplitude of VIV-galloping interaction. Firstly, two typical mathematical models for the coupled oscillations, i.e., Tamura & Shimada model and Parkinson & Corless model are comparatively summarized. Then, the key parameter affecting response amplitude is determined through comparative numerical simulations with Tamura & Shimada model. For rectangular cylinders with the side ratio from 0.5 to 2.5, which are actually prone to develop the VIV and galloping induced interaction responses, an empirical amplitude prediction formula is proposed after regression analysis on comprehensively collected experimental data with the predetermined key parameter.

An Experimental study on the Broadband Noise Generation in Axial Flow Fan (축류팬에서의 광대역소음 발생에 대한 실험적 연구)

  • Rhee, Wook;Choi, Jong-Soo
    • 유체기계공업학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 1998.12a
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    • pp.91-96
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    • 1998
  • The broadband noise generated aerodynamically from a two-bladed axial flow fan has been measured and compared to the result of a self-noise prediction method. The prediction scheme is based on the experimental data set acquired from a series of aerodynamic and acoustic tests of two and three-dimensional airfoil blade sections. For low blade loading case the comparison showed a reasonably good agreement, but as the loading becomes larger the empirical formula overpredict the sound pressure level at high frequency range. This is probably due to the use of stationary wing data for the prediction of rotating blade case, which will be quite different in their vortex strength at the blade tip.

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A Tendency of Prediction Technique for the Assessment of Railway Noise (철도소음 영향평가를 위한 예측기술 동향)

  • Cho, Jun-Ho;Park, Young-Min;Sun, Hyo-Sung;Hong, Woong-Gi
    • Journal of Environmental Impact Assessment
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    • v.16 no.1
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    • pp.99-105
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    • 2007
  • Since 1990s, the railway noise has been researched and developed in our nation. First of all, what's causing the noise and how to eliminate the cause of the noise must be found out. Secondly, cutting off the propagation path of the noise from the noise source to the receiving points. In this study the characteristics of prediction formula for the assessment of railway noise used in some nations including Korea were investigated. In order to develop the prediction formula of the railway noise, the noise radiated from railway vehicle, rails and sleepers, characteristics of noise barrier, velocity of train, ground effects, roughness should be analyzed and predicted. Especially, on the basis of acoustics, the characteristics of source are applied to acoustic power and directivity information.

Development of Hybrid Methods for the Prediction of Internal Flow-Induced Noise and Its Application to Throttle Valve Noise in an Automotive Engine (내부공력소음해석기법의 개발과 자동차용 엔진 흡기 시스템의 기류음 예측을 위한 적용)

  • 정철웅;김성태;김재헌;이수갑
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society for Noise and Vibration Engineering Conference
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    • 2003.11a
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    • pp.78-83
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    • 2003
  • General algorithm is developed for the prediction of internal flow-induced noise. This algorithm is based on the integral formula derived by using the General Green Function, Lighthills acoustic analogy and Curls extension of Lighthills. Novel approach of this algorithm is that the integral formula is so arranged as to predict frequency-domain acoustic signal at any location in a duct by using unsteady flow data in space and time, which can be provided by the Computational Fluid Dynamics Techniques. This semi-analytic model is applied to the prediction of internal aerodynamic noise from a throttle valve in an automotive engine. The predicted noise levels from the throttle valve are compared with actual measurements. This illustrative computation shows that the current method permits generalized predictions of flow noise generated by bluff bodies and turbulence in flow ducts.

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A Study on the Limit Heat Release Rate for the Prediction on Fire Characteristics in the Compartment Space (구획공간의 화재성상 예측을 위한 한계 열방출률에 관한 문헌고찰)

  • Huh, Ye-Rim;Lee, Byeong-Heun;Kwon, Young-Jin
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Building Construction Conference
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    • 2020.11a
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    • pp.111-112
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    • 2020
  • In the case of, the ignition of flammable external materials by the radiant flame and the accompanying fire in the upper layer are occurring every year, and in the case of the Flashover prediction formula, the limit is reached through the surface area of the space and the factor. Predicts heat release rate. In this study, the critical heat release rate of each prediction formula was calculated based on the ISO 9705 model.

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