• Title/Summary/Keyword: Prediction equation

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Optimal Solution of Classification (Prediction) Problem

  • Mohammad S. Khrisat
    • International Journal of Computer Science & Network Security
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    • v.23 no.9
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    • pp.129-133
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    • 2023
  • Classification or prediction problem is how to solve it using a specific feature to obtain the predicted class. A wheat seeds specifications 4 3 classes of seeds will be used in a prediction process. A multi linear regression will be built, and a prediction error ratio will be calculated. To enhance the prediction ratio an ANN model will be built and trained. The obtained results will be examined to show how to make a prediction tool capable to compute a predicted class number very close to the target class number.

Evaluation of Chemical Composition in Reconstituted Tobacco Leaf using Near Infrared Spectroscopy (근적외선 분광분석법을 이용한 판상엽 화학성분 평가)

  • Han, Young-Rim;Han, Jungho;Lee, Ho-Geon;Jeh, Byong-Kwon;Kang, Kwang-Won;Lee, Ki-Yaul;Eo, Seong-Je
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Tobacco Science
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    • v.35 no.1
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    • pp.1-6
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    • 2013
  • Near InfraRed Spectroscopy(NIRS) is a quick and accurate analytical method to measure multiple components in tobacco manufacturing process. This study was carried out to develop calibration equation of near infrared spectroscopy for the prediction of the amount of chemical components and hot water solubles(HWS) of reconstituted tobacco leaf. Calibration samples of reconstituted tobacco leaf were collected from every lot produced during one year. The calibration equation was formulated as modified partial least square regression method (MPLS) by analyzing laboratory actual values and mathematically pre-treated spectra. The accuracy of the acquired equation was confirmed with the standard error of prediction(SEP) of chemical components in reconstituted tobacco leaf samples, indicated as coefficient of determination($R^2$) and prediction error of sample unacquainted, followed by the verification of model equation of laboratory actual values and these predicted results. As a result of monitoring, the standard error of prediction(SEP) were 0.25 % for total sugar, 0.03 % for nicotine, 0.03 % for chlorine, 0.16 % for nitrate, and 0.38 % for hot water solubles. The coefficient of determination($R^2$) were 0.98 for total sugar, 0.97 for nicotine, 0.96 for chlorine, 0.98 for nitrate and 0.92 for hot water solubles. Therefore, the NIRS calibration equation can be applicable and reliable for determination of chemical components of reconstituted tobacco leaf, and NIRS analytical method could be used as a rapid and accurate quality control method.

New fuzzy method in choosing Ground Motion Prediction Equation (GMPE) in probabilistic seismic hazard analysis

  • Mahmoudi, Mostafa;Shayanfar, MohsenAli;Barkhordari, Mohammad Ali;Jahani, Ehsan
    • Earthquakes and Structures
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    • v.10 no.2
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    • pp.389-408
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    • 2016
  • Recently, seismic hazard analysis has become a very significant issue. New systems and available data have been also developed that could help scientists to explain the earthquakes phenomena and its physics. Scientists have begun to accept the role of uncertainty in earthquake issues and seismic hazard analysis. However, handling the existing uncertainty is still an important problem and lack of data causes difficulties in precisely quantifying uncertainty. Ground Motion Prediction Equation (GMPE) values are usually obtained in a statistical method: regression analysis. Each of these GMPEs uses the preliminary data of the selected earthquake. In this paper, a new fuzzy method was proposed to select suitable GMPE at every intensity (earthquake magnitude) and distance (site distance to fault) according to preliminary data aggregation in their area using ${\alpha}$ cut. The results showed that the use of this method as a GMPE could make a significant difference in probabilistic seismic hazard analysis (PSHA) results instead of selecting one equation or using logic tree. Also, a practical example of this new method was described in Iran as one of the world's earthquake-prone areas.

A Study on Prediction of Power Consumption Rate for Heating and Cooling load of School Building in Changwon City (창원시 학교 건축물의 냉난방부하에 대한 전력 소비량 추정에 관한 연구)

  • Park, Hyo-Seok;Choi, Jeong-Min;Cho, Sung-Woo
    • The Journal of Sustainable Design and Educational Environment Research
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    • v.11 no.2
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    • pp.19-27
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    • 2012
  • This study was carried out in order to establish the estimation equation for school power consumption using regression analysis based on collected power consumption for two years of weather data and schools are located in Central Changwon and Masan district in Changwon city. (1) The power consumption estimation equation for Heating and cooling is calculated using power consumption per unit volume, the difference between actual power consumption and results of estimation equations is 4.1%. (2) The power consumption estimation equation for heating load is showed 2.6% difference compared to actual power consumption in Central Changwon and is expressed 2.9% difference compared to that in Masan district. Therefore, the power consumption prediction for each school using the power consumption estimation equation is possible. (3) The power consumption estimation equation for cooling load is showed 8.0% difference compared to actual power consumption in Central Changwon and is expressed 2.9% compared to that in Masan district. As the power consumption estimation equation for cooling load is expressed difference compared to heating load, it needs to investigate influence for cooling load.

Fatigue analysis of pressure vessel in view of wind and seismic loads (풍력과 지진하중을 고려한 압력용기의 피로해석)

  • 박진용;황운봉;박상철;박동환
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers
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    • v.15 no.2
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    • pp.596-603
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    • 1991
  • Fatigue life prediction of pressure vessel is studied analytically using cumulative damage models and linear elastic fracture mechanics method. The stresses are analyzed by finite element method. During operation, the maximum stress occurs at the outside of neck region while fatigue analysis indicates that the bottom of nozzle part has the shortest fatigue life. Previously proposed fatigue life prediction equation and cumulative damage model are modified successfully by introducing reference fatigue modulus. It is found that the modified life prediction equation and damage model are useful for lower stress level application.

A study on Low-Noise and High-Efficiency Sirocco Fan Development (저소음 고효율 시로코 홴 개발에 관한 연구)

  • Park, Kwang-Jin;Lee, Sang-Hwan;Son, Byung-Jin
    • The KSFM Journal of Fluid Machinery
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    • v.2 no.2 s.3
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    • pp.46-56
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    • 1999
  • This study is on the performance prediction and design of a sirocco fan. Slip coefficient is very important factor for the performance analysis of a centrifugal-type fan. Because generally used slip coefficient equations of backward curved centrifugal fan are not appropriate for forward curved sirocco fan, in this study a proper slip coefficient equation for a sirocco fan is suggested. Using this equation performance prediction program for sirocco fan is composed of and also included the total noise prediction that include the turbulent noise at the fan inlet and boundary layer noise. A comparison between the values obtained from performance prediction program and experimental values shows that the program predicts the sirocco fan performance in a practical rate.

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Fatigue Life Prediction of Fiber-Reinforced Composite Materials having Nonlinear Stress/Strain Behavior (비선형 변형 거동을 갖는 섬유강화 복합재료의 피로수명 예측)

  • 이창수;황운봉
    • Composites Research
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    • v.12 no.4
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    • pp.1-7
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    • 1999
  • Fatigue life prediction of matrix dominated composite laminates, which have a nonlinear stress/strain response, was studied analytically and experimentally. A stress function describing the relation of initial fatigue modulus and elastic modulus was used in order to consider the material nonlinearty. New modified fatigue life prediction equation was suggested based on the fatigue modulus and reference modulus concept as a function of applied stress. The prediction was verified by torsional fatigue test using crossply carbon/epoxy laminate tubes. It was shown that the proposed equation has wide applicability and good agreement with experimental data.

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A Study on the Reliability of Software for Railway Signalling Systems (철도신호제어용 소프트웨어 신뢰도 모델링에 관한 연구)

  • Lee, Jae-Ho;Park, Young-Soo
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Railway
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    • v.9 no.5 s.36
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    • pp.601-605
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    • 2006
  • Reliability of the Railway signaling system which is safety critical is determined by reliability of hardware and software. Reliability of hardware is easily predicted and demonstrated through lots of different studies and environmental tests, while that of software is estimated by the iterative test outcomes so estimates of reliability will depend on the inputs. Combinations of inputs to and outputs from the software may be mostly combinatoric and therefore all the combinations could not be tested. As a result, it has been more important to calculate reliability by means of a simpler method. This paper identifies the reliability prediction equation applicable to reliability prediction for railway signaling system software, and performs the simulation of onboard equipment of automatic train control for high speed train to review reliability prediction and validity.

Friction Welding of Dissimilar Hot Die Punch Materials and Its Creep Life Prediction and Quality Evaluation by AE ( II )-Creep Life Prediction by ISM (열간 금형펀치 제작을 위한 이종재 마찰용접과 고온 크리프 실시간 예측 및 AE에 의한 품질평가 (II)-크리프 수명예측)

  • 박일동;오세규;공유식;전태언
    • Proceedings of the Korea Committee for Ocean Resources and Engineering Conference
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    • 2000.10a
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    • pp.26-32
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    • 2000
  • It was confirmed that the life predictive equation by LMP-ISM are effective only up to 10$^2$hours and can not be used for long times of 10$^3$~10$^{5}$ hours, but that by ISM can be used for long times creep life prediction with more reliability. The predictive creep life equation of ISM has better reliability than those by LMP and LMP-ISM, and its realizably is getting better for long time creep prediction(10$^3$~10$^{5}$ H).

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A study on low-noise and high-efficiency sirocco fan development (저소음 고효율 시로코 팬 개발에 관한 연구)

  • Park, K.J.;Lee, S.H.;Son, B.J.
    • 유체기계공업학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 1998.02a
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    • pp.63-72
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    • 1998
  • This study Is on the performance prediction and design of sirocco fan. Slip coefficient is very important factor for the performance analysis of centrifugal-type fan. Because generally used slip coefficient equations of backward curved centrifugal fan are not appropriate for forward curved sirocco fan, in this study a proper slip coefficient equation for sirocco fan is suggested. Using this equation performance prediction program for sirocco fan is composed and also included the total noise prediction that include turbulent noise at the fan Inlet and boundary layer noise. A comparison between the values obtained from performance prediction program and experimental values shows that the program predicts the sirocco fan performance in a practical rate.

  • PDF