• Title/Summary/Keyword: Prediction equation

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A survival prediction model of hemorrhagic shock in rats using a logistic regression equation (출혈성 쇼크를 일으킨 흰쥐에서 로지스틱 회귀분석을 이용한 생존율 예측)

  • Lee, Tak-Hyung;Lee, Ju-Hyung;Chung, Sang-Won;Kim, Deok-Won
    • Proceedings of the IEEK Conference
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    • 2009.05a
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    • pp.132-134
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    • 2009
  • Hemorrhagic shock is a common cause of death in emergency rooms. Since the symptoms of hemorrhagic shock occur after shock has considerably progressed, it is difficult to diagnose shock early. The purpose of this study was to improve early diagnosis of hemorrhagic shock using a survival prediction model in rats. We measured ECG, blood pressure, respiration and temperature in 45 Sprague-Dawley rats, and then obtained a logistic regression equation predicting survival rates. Area under the ROC curves was 0.99. The Hosmer-Lemeshow goodness-of-fit chi-square was 0.86(degree of freedom=8, p=0.999). Applying the determined optimal boundary value of 0.25, the accuracy of survival prediction was 94.7%

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Development of a Vent Analysis Method for Multiple Compartments Connected Through Multiple Ports (다중 Port로 연결된 다중 격실 Vent 해석 기법 개발)

  • Ok, Ho-Nam;Kim, In-Sun
    • 유체기계공업학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2006.08a
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    • pp.547-550
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    • 2006
  • An analysis method is developed for the prediction of venting in multiple compartments which are connected in series or parallel through multiple ports. The existing method by the authors is modified to remove the limitation in number of ports and compartments, and the more general polytropic relation or solution of the additional energy equation replaces the previous isentropic relation allowing the prediction of pressure rise in addition to pressure drop. The accuracy of the method is verified by comparison with the results by NASA Flap code for the problem of pressure drop in a payload in the Space Shuttle cargo bay. It is expected that this method will be a useful tool in prediction of the pressure variation in a payload or payload capsule without mentioning the payload fairing itself.

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The estimation of water level fluctuation in the down stream water mark by water level fluctuation in the upper region water mark (상류지점 수위표 수위변동에 따른 하류지점 수위표 수위변동예측)

  • Choi, Han-Kuy;Lim, Yoon-Soo;Baek, Hyo-Seon
    • Journal of Industrial Technology
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    • v.30 no.B
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    • pp.83-89
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    • 2010
  • Generally, the accuracy of the prediction of flood elevation is difficult to identify due to the sedimentation on a river bed, earth and sand being moved by flow, and localized torrential downpours caused by climate change. It is also because of natural and artificial influences on rivers. To predict river floodings successfully, more precise and reliable flood elevation prediction system is needed, in which the concentration time of downstream is numerically interpreted through analyzing and utilizing the watermark of the upper region. Therefore, this research analyzed the prediction methods of the changes in water levels, which use the watermarks of the upper region. The watermarks which impacts the spot being predicted of flood was selected through floodgate analysis and correlation analysis. With the selected watermarks, a statistically reliable regression equation was yielded.

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The proposal of a noise prediction equation due to the subway operation (지하철 운행에 의한 소음의 예측식 제안)

  • Kim, Hee-Cheul;Huh, Young
    • Journal of KSNVE
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    • v.7 no.2
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    • pp.293-300
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    • 1997
  • Noise and vibration induced by subway operation is one of the major problem for the residents living nearby railway tracks. Many scientists and engineers have been working on proposing the more accurate prediction equation of noise and vibration to provide the better residential environment. Some predictiction equations were determined to compare the measurement value of a noise obtained from the inside of a residential area. It was observed that the condition of a soil type is one of the major parameter which should be considered to obtain the more accurate prediction value of a noise.

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A Study on the Prediction of Quality Chanties of Citrus unshiu during Short-term Storage and Marketing (조생온주 밀감의 단기 저장 및 유통 중 품질변화 예측을 위한 연구)

  • 정신교;이재호
    • Food Science and Preservation
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    • v.4 no.2
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    • pp.123-130
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    • 1997
  • To develop the prediction program for quality change of Citrus unshiu during marketing, we examined the quality characteristics of Citrus unshiu stored at experimental refrigerator set to 4, 8, 12 and 16$^{\circ}C$ for 2 months. According to the storage temperature the changes of quality characteristics were different respectively, but it was most severe during 16$^{\circ}C$ storage. Activation energy and Q10 value were 6683.16 cal/mol K and 1.53 respectively. The determination coefficient of regression equation of pH, acidity and vitamin C by surface response analysis were over 0.85. Using these regression equation, we developed the prediction program for the change of pH, acidity and vitamin C contents. The calculated values and experimental values of pH, acidity and vitamin C contents for short-term storage of Citrus unshiu were coincided well.

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Simple Prediction of Odor Affection by Odor Emission Rate from a Chemical Plant (화학공장의 악취배출량으로부터 간이 악취 영향도 예측 사례)

  • 유미선;양성봉;이오근
    • Journal of Environmental Science International
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    • v.11 no.4
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    • pp.383-389
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    • 2002
  • Odor sources of a chemical plant in Ulsan were surveyed and temperatures, humidities and flow rates of each exhaust gas were measured. The air samples collected from each source were transferred to the laboratory for sensory test and their odor concentrations were investigated. The odor emission rate of each source was estimated from the recorded results and assigned the sources expected to be needed for the odor prevention policy using the simple prediction equation of the affection by malodor to the nearest residential area. From the total odor emission rate of the examined plant and the relation table for expectable affection area it was concluded that total odor emission of this plant might be decreased for the prevention of residential complaint.

Suggestion of Prediction Equation for Environmental Noise of KTX which Runs on Conventional Line (기존선 통과 KTX 열차의 환경소음 예측식 제안)

  • Cho Jun-Ho;Koh Hyo-In;Choi Kang-Yun;Han Hwan-Su
    • Proceedings of the KSR Conference
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    • 2005.11a
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    • pp.158-163
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    • 2005
  • After the opening of Kyong-Bu High Speed Railway, tremendous change was occurred in the various realm in Korean Society. But in the Daegu-Busan section, KTX was still running on the conventional line where the railroad was improved to more straightly. For the noise prediction of KTX train which runs on the conventional line, components of noise source were analyzed using SEL(Sound Exposure Level) of meassured data. For the validation of suggested prediction equation, the predicted result was compared to the measured.

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Optimal Pipe Replacement Analysis with a New Pipe Break Prediction Model (새로운 파괴예측 모델을 이용한 상수도 관의 최적 교체)

  • Park, Suwan;Loganathan, G.V.
    • Journal of Korean Society of Water and Wastewater
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    • v.16 no.6
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    • pp.710-716
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    • 2002
  • A General Pipe Break Prediction Model that incorporates linear and exponential models in its form is developed. The model is capable of fitting pipe break trends that have linear, exponential or in between of linear and exponential trend by using a weighting factor. The weighting factor is adjusted to obtain a best model that minimizes the sum of squared errors of the model. The model essentially plots a best curve (or a line) passing through "cumulative number of pipe breaks" versus "break times since installation of a pipe" data points. Therefore, it prevents over-predicting future number of pipe breaks compared to the conventional exponential model. The optimal replacement time equation is derived by using the Threshold Break Rate equation by Loganathan et al. (2002).

Cavitation Noise Prediction: Direct numerical simulation and Modeling (직접 수치 모사를 통한 캐비테이션 소음 예측 및 모델링)

  • Seo, Jung-Hee;Moon, Young-J.
    • Proceedings of the KSME Conference
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    • 2007.05b
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    • pp.2929-2934
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    • 2007
  • Prediction methods for cavitation noise are presented. At first, direct numerical simulation of cavitating flow noise has been performed, and acoustic analogy equation based on the cavitation noise modeling is derived. For the direct numerical simulation, a density based homogenous equilibrium model is employed to simulate cavitating two-phase flow and the governing equations are solved with high-order numerical schemes to resolve cavitation noise. The compressible Navier-Stokes equations for mixture fluids are discretized with a sixth-order central compact scheme, and the steep gradient of flow variables and supersonic regions are treated with the selective spatial filtering technique. The direct simulation of cavitating flow noise is performed for a 2D circular cylinder at cavitation number 0.7 and 1. The far-field noise is also predicted with the derived analogy equation. Noise spectrum predicted with the equation is well compared with the result of direct numerical simulation and also agree well with the theory.

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Prediction of Longshore Current with Set-up/down Effect on a Plane Beach (일정경사 수심단면에서 평균수위의 상승/저하 효과를 고려한 해빈류의 예측)

  • Lee, Cheol-Eung;Kim, Young-Jung;Choi, Han-Kyu
    • Journal of Industrial Technology
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    • v.17
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    • pp.277-289
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    • 1997
  • The numerical model for prediction of longshore current with set-up/down effect on a plane beach is developed using the longshore component of the depth-integrated momentum balance equation. To predict the longshore current, the wave height model should first be formulated because the longshore current depends on the wave height directly. Two wave model, regular wave model and random wave model, are developed based on the energy flux balance equation. Also, the numerical model estimating the set-up inside the shoreline is developed using both the on-offshore momentum equation and the moving boundary technique. The numerical models are verified by the analytical solution, and compared with laboratory data. It is found from the comparison that developed models may be predicted accurately the longshore current with set-up/down effect on a plane beach.

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