• 제목/요약/키워드: Prediction Ratio

검색결과 1,926건 처리시간 0.031초

Cementing Efficiency of Fly-ash in Mortar Matrix According to Binder-Water Ratio and Fly-ash Replacement Ratio

  • Cho, Hong-Bum;Jee, Nam-Yong
    • 한국건축시공학회지
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    • 제12권2호
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    • pp.194-202
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    • 2012
  • This paper predicts the cementing efficiency of fly-ash(FA) based on mortar test considering binder-water ratio and FA replacement ratio as experimental variables. The cementing efficiency prediction model proposed by statistical analysis enables us to estimate the value according to the binder-water ratio and FA replacement ratio of matrix. When FA replacement ratio is the same, the lower the binder-water ratio, the higher the estimated cementing efficiency. There are significant differences in the values according to binder-water ratio at FA replacement ratios of 15% or less, but there are almost no differences when FA replacement ratio is more than 15%. As the binder-water ratio increases, the variations in the values according to FA replacement ratio are great at FA replacement ratios of 15% or less. As the FA replacement ratios increase, the values increase for FA replacement ratios of 15% or less, but decrease for more than 15%. The values range from -0.71 to 1.24 at binder-water ratio of 1.67-2.86 and FA replacement ratio of 0-70%. The RMSE of the 28-day compressive strength predicted by modified water-cement ratio is 2.2 MPa. The values can be trusted, as there is good agreement between predicted strength and experimental strength.

적산온도 기법을 활용한 건설생산현장에서의 강도예측모델 개발에 관한 연구 (A Study on Development of Strength Prediction Model for Construction Field by Maturity Method)

  • 김무한;남재현;길배수;최세진;장종호;강용식
    • 한국건축시공학회지
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    • 제2권4호
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    • pp.177-182
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    • 2002
  • The purpose of this study is to develope the strength prediction model by Maturity Method. A maturity function is a mathematical expression to account for the combined effects of time and temperature on the strength development of a cementious mixture. The method of equivalent ages is to use Arrhenius equation which indicates the influence of curing temperature on the initial hydration ratio of cement. For the experimental factors of this study, we selected the concrete mixing of W/C ratio 45, 50, 55 and 60% and curing temperature 5, 10, 20 and $30^{\circ}C$. And we compare and evaluate with logistic model that is existing strength prediction model, because we have to verify adaption possibility of new strength prediction model which is proposed by maturity method. As the results, it is found that investigation of the activation energy that are used to calculate equivalent age is necessary, and new strength prediction model was proved to be more accurate in the strength prediction than logistic model in the early age. Moreover, the use of new model was more reasonable because it has low SSE and high decisive factor.

수치모델에서 레이더 자료동화가 강수 예측에 미치는 영향 (The Effect of Radar Data Assimilation in Numerical Models on Precipitation Forecasting)

  • 이지원;민기홍
    • 대기
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    • 제33권5호
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    • pp.457-475
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    • 2023
  • Accurately predicting localized heavy rainfall is challenging without high-resolution mesoscale cloud information in the numerical model's initial field, as precipitation intensity and amount vary significantly across regions. In the Korean Peninsula, the radar observation network covers the entire country, providing high-resolution data on hydrometeors which is suitable for data assimilation (DA). During the pre-processing stage, radar reflectivity is classified into hydrometeors (e.g., rain, snow, graupel) using the background temperature field. The mixing ratio of each hydrometeor is converted and inputted into a numerical model. Moreover, assimilating saturated water vapor mixing ratio and decomposing radar radial velocity into a three-dimensional wind vector improves the atmospheric dynamic field. This study presents radar DA experiments using a numerical prediction model to enhance the wind, water vapor, and hydrometeor mixing ratio information. The impact of radar DA on precipitation prediction is analyzed separately for each radar component. Assimilating radial velocity improves the dynamic field, while assimilating hydrometeor mixing ratio reduces the spin-up period in cloud microphysical processes, simulating initial precipitation growth. Assimilating water vapor mixing ratio further captures a moist atmospheric environment, maintaining continuous growth of hydrometeors, resulting in concentrated heavy rainfall. Overall, the radar DA experiment showed a 32.78% improvement in precipitation forecast accuracy compared to experiments without DA across four cases. Further research in related fields is necessary to improve predictions of mesoscale heavy rainfall in South Korea, mitigating its impact on human life and property.

콘크리트 중의 염소이온 확산 특성에 관한 실험적 연구 (A Experimental Study on the Chloride Diffusion Properties in Concrete)

  • 박승범;김도겸
    • 콘크리트학회논문집
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    • 제12권1호
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    • pp.33-44
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    • 2000
  • Since the mechanism of chloride diffusion and its ratio in concrete depend on structural conditions and concrete as a micro-structure, if these are analyzed quantitatively, the long-term ageing of structures can be predicted. Although, a quantitative analysis of concrete micro-structure, in which the results are affected by various parameters, is very difficult, this can be done indirectly by the durability test of concrete. In this study, the compressive strength, void ratio and air permeability of concrete. In this study, the compressive strength, void ratio and air permeability of concrete are chosen as the parameters in concrete durability test, and these effects on test results are analysed according to changes of mixing properties. The relationships between parameters and chloride diffusion velocity is used for prediction models of chloride diffusion. The developed prediction models for the chloride diffusion according to mixing and physical properties, can be used to estimate the service life and corrosion initiation of reinforcing bars in marine structures.

확률론적 통계분석을 이용한 대청댐 유입량 예측 (Probabilistic Daecheong Dam Streamflow Prediction using Weather Outlook Weighted Ensemble Streamflow Prediction)

  • 이상진;김정곤;김주철;우동현
    • 한국수자원학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국수자원학회 2011년도 학술발표회
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    • pp.303-303
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    • 2011
  • 효율적인 수자원 관리를 위해서는 미래 수문자료의 예측치에 대한 구간을 추정하여 미래에 관측될 자료에 대한 정보를 얻는 문제는 어렵지만 중요한 부분에 해당한다. 특히 중장기 유량예측은 입력변수의 불확실성이 크므로 확률론적 방법을 적용한 예측이 유리하다. 본 연구에서는 SSARR 모형을 이용하여 현재 유역의 상태에 과거에 재현되었던 강우를 결합한 앙상블 유출시나리오를 생성하였다. 그리고 대청댐 월 유입량에 대한 확률론적 예측방안을 제시하기위하여 과거 시나리오의 관측 ESP(Ensemble Streamflow Prediction)확률 및 Croley방법, PDF-Ratio방법을 한국의 기상예측정보 실정에 맞는 가중치 부여방안으로 적용하여 분석하였다. 2010년도 상반기를 기준으로 각 분석 기법별 정확성을 검증한 결과 Croley, PDF-Ratio 등 기상전망을 가중치로 부여한 확률론적 예측기법의 효용성을 확인하였다.

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신경망을 이용한 유연성 디스크 연삭가공공정 인자 예측에 관한 연구 (A Study on the Flexible Disk Grinding Process Parameter Prediction Using Neural Network)

  • 유송민
    • 한국공작기계학회논문집
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    • 제17권5호
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    • pp.123-130
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    • 2008
  • In order to clarify detailed mechanism of the flexible disk grinding system, workpiece length was introduced and its performance was evaluated. Flat zone ratio increased as the workpiece length increased. Increasing wheel speed and depth of cut also enhanced process performance by producing larger flat zone ratio. Neural network system was successfully applied to predict minimum depth of engagement and flat zone ratio. An additional input parameter as workpiece length to the neural network system enhanced the prediction performance by reducing error rate. By rearranging the Input combinations to the network, the workpiece length was precisely predicted with the prediction error rate lower than 2.8% depending on the network structure.

고로슬래그 미분말의 치환율을 고려한 압축강도예측모델에 관한 실험적 연구 (An Experimental Study on the Prediction Model for the Compressive Strength of Concrete according to Replacement Ratio of Ground Granulated blast-furnace slag)

  • 양현민;박원준;이한승
    • 한국건축시공학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국건축시공학회 2013년도 춘계 학술논문 발표대회
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    • pp.89-90
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    • 2013
  • This study is to predict the compressive strength for the concrete of ground granulated blast-furnace slag, and use Plowman's, Gompertz's model. The results are as follows; The prediction compressive strength were simiar using Rastrup's equivalent age model. but The prediction compressive strength using Freiesleben's equivalent age model weren't simiar in bfs replacement Ratio of 50%, because it is analyzed as the activation energy.

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새로운 겉보기 활성에너지 함수에 의한 플라이애시 콘크리트의 압축강도 예측 (Prediction of Compressive Strength of Fly Ash Concrete by a New Apparent Activation Energy Function)

  • 한상훈;김진근;박연동
    • 한국콘크리트학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국콘크리트학회 2001년도 봄 학술발표회 논문집
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    • pp.947-952
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    • 2001
  • The prediction model is proposed to estimate the variation of compressive strength of fly ash concrete with aging. After analyzing the experimental result with the model, the regression results are presented according to fly ash replacement content and water/cement ratio. Based on the regression results, the influence of fly ash replacement content and water/cement ratio on apparent activation energy was investigated. According to the analysis, the model provides a good estimate of compressive strength development of fly ash concrete with aging. As the fly ash replacement content increases, the limiting relative compressive strength and initial apparent activation energy become greater. The concrete with water/cement ratio smaller than 0.40 shows that the limiting relative compressive strength and apparent activation energy are nearly constant according to water/cement ratio. But, the concrete with water/cement ratio greater than 0.40 has the increasing limiting relative compressive strength and apparent activation energy with increasing water/cement ratio.

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2개의 대칭표면구열의 구열형상변화 예측 (Prediction of the crack aspect change in twin surface cracks)

  • 최용식;김재원
    • 오토저널
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    • 제14권2호
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    • pp.65-75
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    • 1992
  • An analytical scheme for predicting the crack aspect pattern of materials which contain twin surface cracks was developed. Fatigue tests were performed on twin surface cracked PMMA plate specimens to obtain the interaction factor accounting for the interference effect of adjacent cracks. Here, the interaction factor is defined as the ratio of the stress intensity factor for twin surface cracks to that for a single surface crack. From the analysis of the fatigue test result, the interaction factor was presented as the ninth-order polynomial expression having a function of dimensionless crack spacing ratio. Then the polynomial expression was incorporated into the prediction program of the crack aspect pattern for twin surface cracked materials. And, the interaction effect and the coalescence condition of adjacent cracks were simplified in the newly developed prediction scheme of the crack aspect pattern. The predicted crack growth pattern using the prediction scheme was compared with test data from PMMA specimen. The predicted pattern agreed well with the test data.

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Clustering-based identification for the prediction of splitting tensile strength of concrete

  • Tutmez, Bulent
    • Computers and Concrete
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    • 제6권2호
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    • pp.155-165
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    • 2009
  • Splitting tensile strength (STS) of high-performance concrete (HPC) is one of the important mechanical properties for structural design. This property is related to compressive strength (CS), water/binder (W/B) ratio and concrete age. This paper presents a clustering-based fuzzy model for the prediction of STS based on the CS and (W/B) at a fixed age (28 days). The data driven fuzzy model consists of three main steps: fuzzy clustering, inference system, and prediction. The system can be analyzed directly by the model from measured data. The performance evaluations showed that the fuzzy model is more accurate than the other prediction models concerned.