• Title/Summary/Keyword: Prediction Rate Curve

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Application of CFD Technique to Performance Prediction of Spray Characteristics of Fire Suppression Nozzles (소화 노즐의 분무 특성 예측을 위한 CFD 기법의 적용)

  • Chung, H.;Lee, C.;Jung, H.;Choi, B.;Han, Y.;Ohck, Y.
    • 유체기계공업학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2005.12a
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    • pp.233-239
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    • 2005
  • In the present study, numerical simulation has been performed to investigate the characteristics of the mist flow through the fire suppression nozzles. The commercial CFD software, FLUENT with the proper modeling was applied in both the internal and external flow region of the spray nozzles. Applications were done to the full cone nozzle for the operation range of the low pressure and high flow-rate. Numerical validation was proved by the comparison of the experimental data. Parametric study of the key design factors was tried to improve the performance.

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GIS 공간분석기술을 이용한 산불취약지역 분석

  • 한종규;연영광;지광훈
    • Proceedings of the Korean Association of Geographic Inforamtion Studies Conference
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    • 2002.03b
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    • pp.49-59
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    • 2002
  • 이 연구에서는 강원도 삼척시를 대상으로 산불취약지역 분석모델을 개발하고, 개발된 분석모델을 기반으로 산불취약지역을 표출하였으며, 이를 위한 전산프로그램을 개발하였다. 산불취약지역 공간분석자료로는 NGIS 사업을 통해 구축된 1/25천 축척의 수치지형도, 수치임상도 그리고 과거 산불발화위치자료를 사용하였다. 산불발화위치에 대한 공간적 분포특성(지형, 임상, 접근성)을 기반으로 모델을 설정하였으며, 공간분석은 간단하면서도 일반인들이 이해하기 쉬운 Conditional probability, Likelihood ratio 방법을 사용하였다. 그리고 각각의 모델에 대한 검증(cross validation)을 실시하였다. 모델 검증방법으로는 과거 산불발화위치자료를 발생시기에 따라 두 개의 그룹으로 나누어 하나는 예측을 위한 자료로 사용하고, 다른 하나는 검증을 위한 자료로 사용하였다. 모델별 예측성능은 prediction rate curve를 비교·분석하여 판단하였다. 삼척시를 대상으로 한 예측성능에서 Likelihood ratio 모델이 Conditional probability 모델보다 더 낳은 결과를 보였다. 산불취약지역 분석기술로 작성된 상세 산불취약지역지도와 현재 산림청에서 예보하고 있는 전국단위의 산불발생위험지수와 함께 상호보완적으로 사용한다면 산불취약지역에 대한 산불감시인력 및 감시시설의 효율적인 배치를 통하여 일선 시군 또는 읍면 산불예방업무의 효율성이 한층 더 증대될 것으로 기대된다.

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A Study on the Prediction Modeling of Phase Transformation in the CGHAZ of Structural Steel Weld (구조용강 용접부 CGHAZ의 상변태 예측 Modeling에 관한 연구)

  • 조일영;이경종;이창희
    • Journal of Welding and Joining
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    • v.16 no.3
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    • pp.74-84
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    • 1998
  • The microstructures of the HAZ (Heat Affected Zone) are generally different from the base metal due to rapid thermal cycle during welding process. Particuraly, CGHAZ (Coarsened Grain Heat Affected Zone) near the fusion line is the most concerned region in which many metallurgical and mechanical discontinuities have been normally generated. A computer program by the numerical formularization of phase transformation during cooling with different rates was developed to generate the CCT diagram, and to predict microstructural (phase) changes in the CGHAZ. In order to verify simulated results, isothermal and continuous cooling transformation experiments were conducted. The simulated and experimental results showed that the developed computer model could successfully predict the room temperature microstructural changes (changes in volume fraction of phases) under various welding conditions (heat input & cooling rate $(Δt_{8/5})$).

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The Study on the Extraction of the Distribution Potential Area of Debris Landform Using Fuzzy Set and Bayesian Predictive Discriminate Model (퍼지집합과 베이지안 확률 기법을 이용한 암설사면지형 분포지역 추출에 관한 연구)

  • Wi, Nun-Sol;JANG, Dong-Ho
    • Journal of The Geomorphological Association of Korea
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    • v.24 no.3
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    • pp.105-118
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    • 2017
  • The debris slope landforms which are existent in Korean mountains is generally on the steep slopes and mostly covered by vegetation, it is difficult to investigate the landform. Therefore a scientific method is required to come up with an effective field investigation plan. For this purpose, the use of Remote Sensing and GIS technologies for a spatial analysis is essential. This study has extracted the potential area of debrisslope landform formation using Fuzzy set and Bayesian Predictive Discriminate Model as mathematical data integration methods. The first step was to obtain information about debris locations and their related factors. This information was verified through field investigation and then used to build a database. In the second step, the map that zoning the study area based on the degree of debris formation possibility was generated using two modeling methods, and then cross validation technique was applied. In order to quantitatively analyze the accuracy of two modeling methods, the calculated potential rate of debrisformation within the study area was evaluated by plotting SRC(Success Rate Curve) and calculating AUC(Area Under the Curve). As a result, the prediction accuracy of Fuzzy set model wes 83.1% and Bayesian Predictive Discriminate Model wes 84.9%. It showed that two models are accurate and reliable and can contribute to efficient field investigation and debris landform management.

Extracting the Distribution Potential Area of Debris Landform Using a Fuzzy Set Model (퍼지집합 모델을 이용한 암설지형 분포 가능지 추출 연구)

  • Wi, Nun-Sol;JANG, Dong-Ho
    • Journal of The Geomorphological Association of Korea
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    • v.24 no.1
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    • pp.77-91
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    • 2017
  • Many debris landforms in the mountains of Korea have formed in the periglacial environment during the last glacial stage when the generation of sediments was active. Because these landforms are generally located on steep slopes and mostly covered by vegetation, however, it is difficult to observe and access them through field investigation. A scientific method is required to reduce the survey range before performing field investigation and to save time and cost. For this purpose, the use of remote sensing and GIS technologies is essential. This study has extracted the potential area of debris landform formation using a fuzzy set model as a mathematical data integration method. The first step was to obtain information about the location of debris landforms and their related factors. This information was verified through field observation and then used to build a database. In the second step, we conducted the fuzzy set modeling to generate a map, which classified the study area based on the possibility of debris formation. We then applied a cross-validation technique in order to evaluate the map. For a quantitative analysis, the calculated potential rate of debris formation was evaluated by plotting SRC(Success Rate Curve) and calculating AUC(Area Under the Curve). The prediction accuracy of the model was found to be 83.1%. We posit that the model is accurate and reliable enough to contribute to efficient field investigation and debris landform management.

A Study on the Heat Transfer of the High Temperature Metals in Quenching 1st Reprot; Subcooled Transient Boiling Heat Transfer and Colling Curves (고온 강재의 담금질 열전달에 관한 연구 제1보 : 과냉과도 비등열전달과 냉각곡선)

  • 윤석훈;홍영표;김경근;김용모
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers
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    • v.17 no.6
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    • pp.1529-1540
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    • 1993
  • The quenching of steels by water is one of the imprtant problems in the applications of heat treatment, but the fundamental researches by way of theoretical approaches have not been satisfactorily improbed yet. This study aimed at measuring the exact subcooled transient boiling curve for cylindrical specimens and at conducting the analytical researches into the prediction of cooling curves, including the latent heat of phase transformation of steel. Experiments of quenching were made with cylindrical specimens of carbon steel S45C of diameters from 12 to 30 mm and with Cu specimens of 12 mm diameter respectively. The internal temperature of specimens during the quenching process was measured by C-A sheathed thermocouple. The heat fluxes were numerically calculated by the numerical method of inverse heat conduction problem, using the measured inner temperature of specimen as a boundary condition. In case of ${\Delta}T_{sub}=80K$, $q_{s}$ is as follows $q_{s}=2.02{\times}10^{5}{\Delta}T_{set}^{0.05}:{\Delta}T_{set}\le500K.$ And the numerical analysis of unsteady heat conduction during the quenching process was made and the cooling curves were calculated by TDMA method.

A Comparative Assessment of the Efficacy of Frequency Ratio, Statistical Index, Weight of Evidence, Certainty Factor, and Index of Entropy in Landslide Susceptibility Mapping

  • Park, Soyoung;Kim, Jinsoo
    • Korean Journal of Remote Sensing
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    • v.36 no.1
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    • pp.67-81
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    • 2020
  • The rapid climatic changes being caused by global warming are resulting in abnormal weather conditions worldwide, which in some regions have increased the frequency of landslides. This study was aimed to analyze and compare the landslide susceptibility using the Frequency Ratio (FR), Statistical Index, Weight of Evidence, Certainty Factor, and Index of Entropy (IoE) at Woomyeon Mountain in South Korea. Through the construction of a landslide inventory map, 164 landslide locations in total were found, of which 50 (30%) were reserved to validate the model after 114 (70%) had been chosen at random for model training. The sixteen landslide conditioning factors related to topography, hydrology, pedology, and forestry factors were considered. The results were evaluated and compared using relative operating characteristic curve and the statistical indexes. From the analysis, it was shown that the FR and IoE models were better than the other models. The FR model, with a prediction rate of 0.805, performed slightly better than the IoE model with a prediction rate of 0.798. These models had the same sensitivity values of 0.940. The IoE model gave a specific value of 0.329 and an accuracy value of 0.710, which outperforms the FR model which gave 0.276 and 0.680, respectively, to predict the spatial landslide in the study area. The generated landslide susceptibility maps can be useful for disaster and land use planning.

5-SRICOS Method : Prediction of Scour Depth Around Bridge Piers in Cohesive Soils (S-SRICOS 방법 : 점성토지반의 교각세굴깊이 예측)

  • 곽기석
    • Journal of the Korean Geotechnical Society
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    • v.18 no.2
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    • pp.13-21
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    • 2002
  • A new method called S-SRICOS is proposed to predict the local scour depth around bridge piers. The S-SRICOS method is a simplified version of the SRICOS method which was developed to predict the scour depth versus time curve around bridge piers. The SRICOS method which considers the time effect based on the soil properties and the hydraulic parameters can handle a multi-flood hydrograph and multi-layer soil systems with the SRICOS program. An attempt was made to simplify the method to the point where only hand calculations would be required. The concept of the equivalent time was developed leer this purpose. The S-SROICOS method requires only 4 parameters such as pier width, design bridge life, design velocity corresponding to the design bridge life, and initial scour rate of the soil. The S-SRICOS method was verified against 55 cases of the scour depth results using the SRICOS method.

A Study on the High Temperature Deformation Behavior of a Solid Solution Aluminium Alloy (알루미늄 고용체 합금의 고온변형 거동에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Ho-Gyeong
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers A
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    • v.21 no.2
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    • pp.346-351
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    • 1997
  • The creep characteristics of an Al-5wt.% Ag alloy including the stress exponent, the activation energy for creep and the shape of the creep curve were investigated at a normalized shear stress extending from $ 10^{-5}{\;}to{\;}3{\times}10^{-4}$ and in the temperature range of 640-873 K, where silver is in solid solution. The experimental results shows that the stress exponent is 4.6, the activation energy is 141 kJ/mole, and the stacking fault energy is $180{\;}mJ/m^2$, suggesting that the creep behavior of Al-5 wt.% Ag is similiar to that reported for pure aluminum, and that under the current experimental conditions, the alloy behaves as a class II(metal class). The above creep characteristics obtained for Al-5 wt.% Ag are discussed in the light of prediction regarding deformation mechanisms in solid solution alloys.

Analysis of the Evaporation Behavior of Resin Droplets in UV-Nanoimprint Process (UV 나노임프린트 공정에서의 수지 액적 증발 거동 분석)

  • Choi, D.S.;Kim, K.D.
    • Transactions of Materials Processing
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    • v.18 no.3
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    • pp.268-273
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    • 2009
  • Ultraviolet nanoimprint lithography (UV-NIL), which is performed at a low pressure and at room temperature, is known as a low cost method for the fabrication of nano-scale patterns. In the patterning process, maintaining the uniformity of the residual layer is critical as the pattern transfer of features to the substrate must include the timed etch of the residual layer prior to the etching of the transfer layer. In pursuit of a thin and uniform residual layer thickness, the initial volume and the position of each droplet both need to be optimized. However, the monomer mixtures of resin had a tendency to evaporate. The evaporation rate depends on not only time, but also the initial volume of the monomer droplet. In order to decide the initial volume of each droplet, the accurate prediction of evaporation behavior is required. In this study, the theoretical model of the evaporation behavior of resin droplets was developed and compared with the available experimental data in the literature. It is confirmed that the evaporation rate of a droplet is not proportional to the area of its free surface, but to the length of its contact line. Finally, the parameter of the developed theoretical model was calculated by curve fitting to decide the initial volume of resin droplets.