• Journal of KIISE:Information Networking
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• v.34 no.3
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• pp.156-167
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• 2007

In this paper, we develop the model based prediction algorithm for Variable-Bit-Rate(VBR) video traffic with regular Group of Picture(GOP) pattern. We use multiplicative ARIMA process called GOP ARIMA (ARIMA for Group Of Pictures) as a base stochastic model. Kalman Filter based prediction algorithm consists of two process: GOP ARIMA modeling and prediction. In performance study, we produce three video traces (news, drama, sports) and we compare the accuracy of three different prediction schemes: Kalman Filter based prediction, linear prediction, and double exponential smoothing. The proposed prediction algorithm yields superior prediction accuracy than the other two. We also show that confidence interval analysis can effectively detect scene changes of the sample video sequence. The Kalman filter based prediction algorithm proposed in this work makes significant contributions to various aspects of network traffic engineering and resource allocation.

• Journal of Practical Engineering Education
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• v.14 no.2
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• pp.305-312
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• 2022

In this paper, we focused on training to create and optimize a basic data prediction model. And we proposed a gradient descent training method of machine learning that is widely used to optimize data prediction models. It visually shows the entire operation process of gradient descent used in the process of optimizing parameter values required for data prediction models by applying the differential method and teaches the effective use of mathematical differentiation in machine learning. In order to visually explain the entire operation process of gradient descent, we implement gradient descent SW in a spreadsheet. In this paper, first, a two-variable gradient descent training method is presented, and the accuracy of the two-variable data prediction model is verified by comparison with the error least squares method. Second, a three-variable gradient descent training method is presented and the accuracy of a three-variable data prediction model is verified. Afterwards, the direction of the optimization practice for gradient descent was presented, and the educational effect of the proposed gradient descent method was analyzed through the results of satisfaction with education for non-majors.

• Journal of the Korean Society of Manufacturing Process Engineers
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• v.21 no.2
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• pp.46-53
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• 2022

This paper presents the design and manufacture of a Solid State Relay (SSR) life prediction device that can predict the lifetime of an SSR, which is a key component of a glass forming machine. The lifetime of an SSR is over when the current supplied to the relay is overcurrent (20 A or higher), and the operating time is 100,000 h or longer. Therefore, the life prediction device for the SSR was designed using DSP to accurately read the current and temperature values from the current and temperature sensors, respectively. The characteristic test of the manufactured non-contact relay life prediction device confirmed that the current and temperature were safely measured. Thus, the SSR lifetime prediction device developed in this study can be used to predict the lifetime of an SSR attached to a glass forming machine.

• Proceedings of the Korean Society for Technology of Plasticity Conference
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• 2008.10a
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• pp.42-45
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• 2008

Recently, aluminum is widely used to reduce the vehicle weight. Aluminum curved extruded products are used for the design of automotive frame parts. This study focuses on the determination of process condition fur automotive bumper beam with various curvatures. In this study, a curvature prediction model has been proposed considering the geometric relationship and the characteristic of the curvature extrusion equipment. Using the proposed model and FE analysis, the appropriated process condition was determined to produce the bumper beam. Finally, curvature extrusion experiment was carried out to verify the effectiveness of the proposed curvature prediction model and the process condition.

• Proceedings of the Korean Society for Technology of Plasticity Conference
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• 2003.05a
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• pp.180-183
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• 2003

In this research, on-line model for prediction of effective strain distribution hi strip on finishing mill process is prescribed. It has been developed using several selected non-dimensional parameters and previously made average effective strain model via series of finite element process simulations, $\Delta$$\varepsilon$ was introduced to describe the effective strain distribution in strip. To confirm adequate non-dimensional variables uniqueness test was done. And to decide the order of polynomial in on-line model equation tendency test for each variables was done. The prediction accuracy of the proposed model is examined through comparison with finite element calculation results.

• Journal of the Korean Operations Research and Management Science Society
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• v.26 no.1
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• pp.109-116
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• 2001

The detection of corporate failures is a subject that has been particularly amenable to cross-sectional financial ratio analysis. In most of firms, however, the financial data are available over past years. Because of this, a model utilizing these longitudinal data could provide useful information on the prediction of bankruptcy. To correctly reflect the longitudinal and firm-specific data, the generalized linear model with assuming the first order AR(autoregressive) process is proposed. The method is motivated by the clinical research that several characteristics are measured repeatedly from individual over the time. The model is compared with several other predictive models to evaluate the performance. By using the financial data from manufacturing corporations in the Korea Stock Exchange (KSE) list, we will discuss some experiences learned from the procedure of sampling scheme, variable transformation, imputation, variable selection, and model evaluation. Finally, implications of the model with repeated measurement and future direction of research will be discussed.

• Proceedings of the KWS Conference
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• 2000.04a
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• pp.251-255
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• 2000

Recently, the improvement of computer capacities and artificial intelligence ware caused to employ for prediction of residual stresses and strength evaluation. There are a lot of researches regarding the measurement and prediction of residual stresses for weldment using a neural network in the advanced countries, but in our country, a neural network as a technical part, has only been used on the possibilities of employment for welding area. Furthermore, the relationship between residual stress and process parameters using a neural network was wholly lacking. Therefore development of a new technical method for the optimized process parameters on the reduction of residual stress and applyment of real-time production line should be developed. The objectives of this paper is to measure the residual stress of butt welded specimen using strain gage sectioning method and to apply them to a neural network for prediction of residual stresses on a given process parameter. Also, the assessment of the developed system using a neural network was carried out

• ETRI Journal
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• v.26 no.4
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• pp.297-306
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• 2004

A plasma is a collection of charged particles and on average is electrically neutral. In fabricating integrated circuits, plasma etching is a key means to transfer a photoresist pattern into an underlayer material. To construct a predictive model of plasma-etching processes, a polynomial neural network (PNN) is applied. This process was characterized by a full factorial experiment, and two attributes modeled are its etch rate and DC bias. According to the number of input variables and type of polynomials to each node, the prediction performance of the PNN was optimized. The various performances of the PNN in diverse environments were compared to three types of statistical regression models and the adaptive network fuzzy inference system (ANFIS). As the demonstrated high-prediction ability in the simulation results shows, the PNN is efficient and much more accurate from the point of view of approximation and prediction abilities.

• Journal of the Korea Institute of Military Science and Technology
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• v.12 no.3
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• pp.354-359
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• 2009

In this paper, the Autocoast algorithm is proposed for EOTS to overcome the target occlusion status. Coast mode, one of tracking modes, is to maintain the servo slew rate with the tracking rate right before the loss of track. The Autocoast algorithm makes decision of entering coast mode by the prediction of target occlusion and tries to refind target after the coast time. This algorithm composes of 3 steps, the first step is the prediction process of the occlusion by target-like background, the second one is the check process of the occlusion happened after background intensity variation, and the last one is the process of refinding target. The result of computer simulation, test under laboratory, and real test with EOTS shows the applicability for the automatic video tracking system.

• Journal of the Korean Society for Precision Engineering
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• v.32 no.5
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• pp.441-446
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• 2015

Chattering during the milling process causes severe problems on both the workpiece and cutting tools. However, chatter vibration is the inevitable phenomenon that operators require the prediction before the process or monitoring system to avoid the chatter in real-time. To predict the chatter vibration with the stability lobe diagram, the dynamic parameters of machine tool are extracted by considering cutting conditions and adapting the material properties. In this study, experimental verifications were taken for various aluminum types with different feed rates to observe the effect of the key parameters. The comparison between experimental results and the predictions was also performed.