• 소성∙가공
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• 제28권2호
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• pp.83-88
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• 2019

This paper introduces a new concept - on-line FE model, as applied to metal rolling. The new technology allows for completion of process simulation within a tiny fraction of a second without loss of high-level prediction accuracy inherent to FEM. The three steps of an on-line FE model design namely, process metamorphosis, mesh design, and process variable design, are described in detail. The procedure is demonstrated step by step through designing actual on-line models for the prediction of the dog-bone profile in edge rolling. The validity and prediction accuracy of the on-line FE models are analyzed and discussed.

• 조명전기설비학회논문지
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• 제22권12호
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• pp.10-19
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• 2008

광센서 조광제어시스템은 유용한 주광의 실내유입을 통하여 인공조명의 에너지를 절감하는 시스템이나, 쉐이팅시스템에 의한 주광유입의 차단으로 인하여 그 적용성은 미비하다. 따라서 광센서 조광제어시스템의 적용성 및 에너지 절감량 향상을 위해서는 자동롤러쉐이딩 시스템과의 통합은 필수적이다. 본 연구는 두 시스템을 통합한 주광이용 조광제어시스템의 적용성 향상을 위하여 시스템 적용 시 에너지 절감량을 예측할 수 있는 프로세스를 개발하고 이를 사례에 적용하였다. 개발된 프로세스는 주광이용 조광제어시스템의 초기투자비용 환수 및 시스템 적용을 위한 타당성 분석의 자료로 이용될 것이다.

• 한국정보시스템학회지:정보시스템연구
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• 제27권4호
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• pp.115-128
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• 2018

Purpose The purpose of this study is to predict future behaviors of business process. Specifically, this study tried to predict the last activities of process instances. It contributes to overcoming the limitations of existing approaches that they do not accurately reflect the actual behavior of business process and it requires a lot of effort and time every time they are applied to specific processes. Design/methodology/approach This study proposed a novel approach based using deep learning in the form of dynamic recurrent neural networks. To improve the accuracy of our prediction model based on the approach, we tried to adopt the latest techniques including new initialization functions(Xavier and He initializations). The proposed approach has been verified using real-life data of a domestic small and medium-sized business. Findings According to the experiment result, our approach achieves better prediction accuracy than the latest approach based on the static recurrent neural networks. It is also proved that much less effort and time are required to predict the behavior of business processes.

• 지능정보연구
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• 제26권4호
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• pp.111-126
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• 2020

CRM의 하위 연구 분야로 진행되었던 고객이탈예측은 최근 비즈니스 머신러닝 기술의 발전으로 인해 빅데이터 기반의 퍼포먼스 마케팅 주제로 더욱 그 중요도가 높아지고 있다. 그러나, 기존의 관련 연구는 예측 모형 자체의 성능을 개선시키는 것이 주요 목적이었으며, 전체적인 고객이탈예측 프로세스를 개선하고자 하는 연구는 상대적으로 부족했다. 본 연구는 성공적인 고객이탈관리가 모형 자체의 성능보다는 전체 프로세스의 개선을 통해 더 잘 이루어질 수 있다는 가정하에, 이차원 고객충성도 세그먼트 기반의 고객이탈예측 프로세스 (CCP/2DL: Customer Churn Prediction based on Two-Dimensional Loyalty segmentation)를 제안한다. CCP/2DL은 양방향, 즉 양적 및 질적 로열티 기반의 고객세분화를 시행하고, 고객세그먼트들을 이탈패턴에 따라 2차 그룹핑을 실시한 뒤, 이탈패턴 그룹별 이질적인 이탈예측 모형을 독립적으로 적용하는 일련의 이탈예측 프로세스이다. 제안한 이탈예측 프로세스의 상대적 우수성을 평가하기 위해 기존의 범용이탈예측 프로세스와 클러스터링 기반 이탈예측 프로세스와의 성능 비교를 수행하였다. 글로벌 NGO 단체인 A사의 협력으로 후원자 데이터를 활용한 분석과 검증을 수행했으며, 제안한 CCP/2DL의 성능이 다른 이탈예측 방법론보다 우수한 성능을 보이는 것으로 나타났다. 이러한 이탈예측 프로세스는 이탈예측에도 효과적일 뿐만 아니라, 다양한 고객통찰력을 확보하고, 관련된 다른 퍼포먼스 마케팅 활동을 수행할 수 있는 전략적 기반이 될 수 있다는 점에서 연구의 의의를 찾을 수 있다.

• International Journal of Computer Science & Network Security
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• 제23권9호
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• pp.129-133
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• 2023

Classification or prediction problem is how to solve it using a specific feature to obtain the predicted class. A wheat seeds specifications 4 3 classes of seeds will be used in a prediction process. A multi linear regression will be built, and a prediction error ratio will be calculated. To enhance the prediction ratio an ANN model will be built and trained. The obtained results will be examined to show how to make a prediction tool capable to compute a predicted class number very close to the target class number.

• 한국정밀공학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국정밀공학회 2006년도 추계학술대회 논문집
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• pp.637-638
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• 2006

• Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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• 제18권2호
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• pp.489-506
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• 2007

Gene structure prediction, which is to predict protein coding regions in a given nucleotide sequence, is the most important process in annotating genes and greatly affects gene analysis and genome annotation. As eukaryotic genes have more complicated structures in DNA sequences than those of prokaryotic genes, analysis programs for eukaryotic gene structure prediction have more diverse and more complicated computational models. There are Ab Initio method, Similarity-based method, and Ensemble method for gene prediction method for eukaryotic genes. Each Method use various algorithms. This paper introduce how to predict genes using HMM(Hidden Markov Model) algorithm and present the process of gene prediction with well-known gene prediction programs.

• Ocean and Polar Research
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• 제23권2호
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• pp.189-194
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• 2001

A practical algorithm for prediction of the sea surface temperatures (SST)from the satellite remote sensing data is presented in this paper. The fluctuations of SST consist of deterministic normals and stochastic anomalies. Due to large thermal inertia of sea water, the SST anomalies can be modelled by autoregressive or Markov process, and its near future values can be predicted provided the recent values of SST are available. The actual SST is predicted by superposing the pre-known SST normals and the predicted SST anomalies. We applied this prediction algorithm to the NOAA AVHRR weekly SST data for 18 years (1981-1998) in the seas adjacent to Korea (115-$145^{\circ}E$, 20-$55^{\circ}N$). The algorithm is applicable not only for prediction of SST in near future but also for nowcast of SST in the cloud covered regions.

• 제어로봇시스템학회논문지
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• 제15권9호
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• pp.906-908
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• 2009

AVI (Automatic Vision Inspection) systems automatically detect defect features and measure their sizes via camera vision. It is important to predict the performance of an AVI to meet customer's specification in advance. Also the prediction can indicate the level of current performance of an AVI system. In this paper, we propose a statistical method for prediction of false alarm rate regarding inconsistency of defect size measurement process. For this purpose, only simple experiments are needed to measure the defect sizes for certain number of times. The statistical features from the experiment are utilized in the prediction process. Therefore, the proposed method is swift and easy to implement and use. The experiment shows a close prediction compared to manual inspection results.

• International Journal of Control, Automation, and Systems
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• 제3권4호
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• pp.509-523
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• 2005

We are developing a novel framework, PRIDE (PRediction In Dynamic Environments), to perform moving object prediction (MOP) for autonomous ground vehicles. The underlying concept is based upon a multi-resolutional, hierarchical approach which incorporates multiple prediction algorithms into a single, unifying framework. The lower levels of the framework utilize estimation-theoretic short-term predictions while the upper levels utilize a probabilistic prediction approach based on situation recognition with an underlying cost model. The estimation-theoretic short-term prediction is via an extended Kalman filter-based algorithm using sensor data to predict the future location of moving objects with an associated confidence measure. The proposed estimation-theoretic approach does not incorporate a priori knowledge such as road networks and traffic signage and assumes uninfluenced constant trajectory and is thus suited for short-term prediction in both on-road and off-road driving. In this article, we analyze the complementary role played by vehicle kinematic models in such short-term prediction of moving objects. In particular, the importance of vehicle process models and their effect on predicting the positions and orientations of moving objects for autonomous ground vehicle navigation are examined. We present results using field data obtained from different autonomous ground vehicles operating in outdoor environments.