• 제목/요약/키워드: Prediction Process Prediction Process

검색결과 3,114건 처리시간 0.026초

Numerical Life Prediction Method for Fatigue Failure of Rubber-Like Material Under Repeated Loading Condition

  • Kim Ho;Kim Heon-Young
    • Journal of Mechanical Science and Technology
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    • 제20권4호
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    • pp.473-481
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    • 2006
  • Predicting fatigue life by numerical methods was almost impossible in the field of rubber materials. One of the reasons is that there is not obvious fracture criteria caused by nonstandardization of material and excessively various way of mixing process. But, tearing energy as fracture factor can be applied to a rubber-like material regardless of different types of fillers, relative to other fracture factors and the crack growth process of rubber could be considered as the whole fatigue failure process by the existence of potential defects in industrial rubber components. This characteristic of fatigue failure could make it possible to predict the fatigue life of rubber components in theoretical way. FESEM photographs of the surface of industrial rubber components were analyzed for verifying the existence and distribution of potential defects. For the prediction of fatigue life, theoretical way of evaluating tearing energy for the general shape of test-piece was proposed. Also, algebraic expression for the prediction of fatigue life was derived from the rough cut growth rate equation and verified by comparing with experimental fatigue lives of dumbbell fatigue specimen in various loading condition.

제조 온톨로지 기반 품질예측 프레임워크 및 시스템 개발 : 사출성형공정 사례 (Development of Manufacturing Ontology-based Quality Prediction Framework and System : Injection Molding Process)

  • 이경훈;강용신;이용한
    • 산업공학
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    • 제25권1호
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    • pp.40-51
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    • 2012
  • Today, many manufacturing companies realize that collaboration is crucial for their survival. Especially, in the perspective of quality, the importance of collaboration is emphasized because economic loss increases exponentially while defective parts go through the process in supply chain. However, the manufacturing companies are facing two main difficulties in implementing collaborative relationships with their suppliers. First, it is difficult for the suppliers to produce reliable products due to their obsolete facilities. The problem gets worse for second- or third-tire vendors. Second, the companies experience the lack of universally understandable set of terminology and effective methodologies for knowledge representation. Ontology is one of the best approaches to expressing and processing a domain knowledge. In this paper, we propose the manufacturing ontology-based quality prediction framework to represent and share the knowledge of industrial environment and to predict product quality in manufacturing processes. In addition, we develop the ontology-based quality prediction system based on the proposed framework. We carried out a series of experiments for an injection molding process at an automotive part supplier. The experimental results demonstrated that the proposed framework and system can be successfully applicable in manufacturing industry.

Dual-Phase Approach to Improve Prediction of Heart Disease in Mobile Environment

  • Lee, Yang Koo;Vu, Thi Hong Nhan;Le, Thanh Ha
    • ETRI Journal
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    • 제37권2호
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    • pp.222-232
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    • 2015
  • In this paper, we propose a dual-phase approach to improve the process of heart disease prediction in a mobile environment. Firstly, only the confident frequent rules are extracted from a patient's clinical information. These are then used to foretell the possibility of the presence of heart disease. However, in some cases, subjects cannot describe exactly what has happened to them or they may have a silent disease - in which case it won't be possible to detect any symptoms at this stage. To address these problems, data records collected over a long period of time of a patient's heart rate variability (HRV) are used to predict whether the patient is suffering from heart disease. By analyzing HRV patterns, doctors can determine whether a patient is suffering from heart disease. The task of collecting HRV patterns is done by an online artificial neural network, which as well as learning knew knowledge, is able to store and preserve all previously learned knowledge. An experiment is conducted to evaluate the performance of the proposed heart disease prediction process under different settings. The results show that the process's performance outperforms existing techniques such as that of the self-organizing map and gas neural growing in terms of classification and diagnostic accuracy, and network structure.

Using an Adaptive Search Tree to Predict User Location

  • Oh, Se-Chang
    • Journal of Information Processing Systems
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    • 제8권3호
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    • pp.437-444
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    • 2012
  • In this paper, we propose a method for predicting a user's location based on their past movement patterns. There is no restriction on the length of past movement patterns when using this method to predict the current location. For this purpose, a modified search tree has been devised. The search tree is constructed in an effective manner while it additionally learns the movement patterns of a user one by one. In fact, the time complexity of the learning process for a movement pattern is linear. In this process, the search tree expands to take into consideration more details about the movement patterns when a pattern that conflicts with an existing trained pattern is found. In this manner, the search tree is trained to make an exact matching, as needed, for location prediction. In the experiments, the results showed that this method is highly accurate in comparison with more complex and sophisticated methods. Also, the accuracy deviation of users of this method is significantly lower than for any other methods. This means that this method is highly stable for the variations of behavioral patterns as compared to any other method. Finally, 1.47 locations were considered on average for making a prediction with this method. This shows that the prediction process is very efficient.

NON-CAUSAL INTERPOLATIVE PREDICTION FOR B PICTURE ENCODING

  • Harabe, Tomoya;Kubota, Akira;Hatori, Yoshinoir
    • 한국방송∙미디어공학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국방송공학회 2009년도 IWAIT
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    • pp.723-726
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    • 2009
  • This paper describes a non-causal interpolative prediction method for B-picture encoding. Interpolative prediction uses correlations between neighboring pixels, including non-causal pixels, for high prediction performance, in contrast to the conventional prediction, using only the causal pixels. For the interpolative prediction, the optimal quantizing scheme has been investigated for preventing conding error power from expanding in the decoding process. In this paper, we extend the optimal quantization sceme to inter-frame prediction in video coding. Unlike H.264 scheme, our method uses non-causal frames adjacent to the prediction frame.

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액티비티별 특징 정규화를 적용한 LSTM 기반 비즈니스 프로세스 잔여시간 예측 모델 (LSTM-based Business Process Remaining Time Prediction Model Featured in Activity-centric Normalization Techniques)

  • 함성훈;안현;김광훈
    • 인터넷정보학회논문지
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    • 제21권3호
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    • pp.83-92
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    • 2020
  • 최근에 많은 기업 및 조직들이 비즈니스 프로세스 모델의 효율적 운용을 위해 예측적 프로세스 모니터링에 관심이 높아지고 있다. 기존의 프로세스 모니터링은 특정 프로세스 인스턴스의 경과된 실행상태에 초점을 두었다. 반면, 예측적 프로세스 모니터링은 특정 프로세스 인스턴스의 미래의 실행상태에 대한 예측에 초점을 둔다. 본 논문에서는 예측적 프로세스 모니터링 기능 중 하나인 비즈니스 프로세스 인스턴스 실행 잔여시간 예측기능을 구현한다. 잔여시간을 효과적으로 모델링하기 위해 액티비티별 속성에 따른 시간특징 값 분포 차이를 고려하여 액티비티별 특징 정규화를 제안하고 예측모델에 적용한다. 본 논문에서 제안된 모델의 예측성능 우수성을 입증하기 위해서 4TU.Centre for Research Data에서 제공하는 실제 기업의 이벤트 로그 데이터를 통해 선행연구들과 비교평가 한다.

Comparison of Stock Price Prediction Using Time Series and Non-Time Series Data

  • Min-Seob Song;Junghye Min
    • 한국컴퓨터정보학회논문지
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    • 제28권8호
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    • pp.67-75
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    • 2023
  • 주가 예측은 금융시장에서 중요하게 다뤄지고 있는 주제이지만 영향을 미칠 수 있는 다수의 요소들로 인해 어려운 주제로 고려되고 있다. 본 논문에서는 시계열 예측 모델 (LSTM, GRU)과 데이터의 시간적 의존성을 고려하지 않는 비 시계열 예측 모델 (RF, SVR, KNN, LGBM)을 주가 예측에 적용하여 성능을 비교하고 분석하였다. 또한 주가 데이터와 기술적 분석 보조지표, 재무제표 지표, 매수매도 지표, 공매도, 외국인 지표 등 다양한 데이터를 조합 및 활용하여 최적의 예측 요소를 찾아내고 업종별로 주가 예측에 영향을 미치는 주요 요소들을 분석했다. 하이퍼파라미터 최적화 과정을 통해 알고리즘별 예측 성능을 향상 시키는 과정도 진행하여 성능에 영향을 주는 요인을 분석하였다. 변수 선택과 하이퍼 파라미터 최적화 과정을 거친 결과, 시계열 예측 알고리즘인 GRU, 그리고 LSTM+GRU의 예측 정확도가 가장 높은 것으로 나타났다.

Data Segmentation for a Better Prediction of Quality in a Multi-stage Process

  • Kim, Eung-Gu;Lee, Hye-Seon;Jun, Chi-Hyuek
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • 제19권2호
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    • pp.609-620
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    • 2008
  • There may be several parallel equipments having the same function in a multi-stage manufacturing process, which affect the product quality differently and have significant differences in defect rate. The product quality may depend on what equipments it has been processed as well as what process variable values it has. Applying one model ignoring the presence of different equipments may distort the prediction of defect rate and the identification of important quality variables affecting the defect rate. We propose a procedure for data segmentation when constructing models for predicting the defect rate or for identifying major process variables influencing product quality. The proposed procedure is based on the principal component analysis and the analysis of variance, which demonstrates a better performance in predicting defect rate through a case study with a PDP manufacturing process.

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배전 선로 부하예측 모델의 신뢰성 평가를 위한 비교 검증 시스템 (Development of Comparative Verification System for Reliability Evaluation of Distribution Line Load Prediction Model)

  • Lee, Haesung;Lee, Byung-Sung;Moon, Sang-Keun;Kim, Junhyuk;Lee, Hyeseon
    • KEPCO Journal on Electric Power and Energy
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    • 제7권1호
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    • pp.115-123
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    • 2021
  • Through machine learning-based load prediction, it is possible to prevent excessive power generation or unnecessary economic investment by estimating the appropriate amount of facility investment in consideration of the load that will increase in the future or providing basic data for policy establishment to distribute the maximum load. However, in order to secure the reliability of the developed load prediction model in the field, the performance comparison verification between the distribution line load prediction models must be preceded, but a comparative performance verification system between the distribution line load prediction models has not yet been established. As a result, it is not possible to accurately determine the performance excellence of the load prediction model because it is not possible to easily determine the likelihood between the load prediction models. In this paper, we developed a reliability verification system for load prediction models including a method of comparing and verifying the performance reliability between machine learning-based load prediction models that were not previously considered, verification process, and verification result visualization methods. Through the developed load prediction model reliability verification system, the objectivity of the load prediction model performance verification can be improved, and the field application utilization of an excellent load prediction model can be increased.

신경망을 이용한 동적 수율 개선 모형 (Dynamic Yield Improvement Model Using Neural Networks)

  • 정현철;강창욱;강해운
    • 산업경영시스템학회지
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    • 제32권2호
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    • pp.132-139
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    • 2009
  • Yield is a very important measure that can expresses simply for productivity and performance of company. So, yield is used widely in many industries nowadays. With the development of the information technology and online based real-time process monitoring technology, many industries operate the production lines that are developed into automation system. In these production lines, the product structures are very complexity and variety. So, there are many multi-variate processes that need to be monitored with many quality characteristics and associated process variables at the same time. These situations have made it possible to obtain super-large manufacturing process data sets. However, there are many difficulties with finding the cause of process variation or useful information in the high capacity database. In order to solve this problem, neural networks technique is a favorite technique that predicts the yield of process for process control. This paper uses a neural networks technique for improvement and maintenance of yield in manufacturing process. The purpose of this paper is to model the prediction of a sub process that has much effect to improve yields in total manufacturing process and the prediction of adjustment values of this sub process. These informations feedback into the process and the process is adjusted. Also, we show that the proposed model is useful to the manufacturing process through the case study.