• Title/Summary/Keyword: Prediction Process Prediction Process

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Numerical Life Prediction Method for Fatigue Failure of Rubber-Like Material Under Repeated Loading Condition

  • Kim Ho;Kim Heon-Young
    • Journal of Mechanical Science and Technology
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    • v.20 no.4
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    • pp.473-481
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    • 2006
  • Predicting fatigue life by numerical methods was almost impossible in the field of rubber materials. One of the reasons is that there is not obvious fracture criteria caused by nonstandardization of material and excessively various way of mixing process. But, tearing energy as fracture factor can be applied to a rubber-like material regardless of different types of fillers, relative to other fracture factors and the crack growth process of rubber could be considered as the whole fatigue failure process by the existence of potential defects in industrial rubber components. This characteristic of fatigue failure could make it possible to predict the fatigue life of rubber components in theoretical way. FESEM photographs of the surface of industrial rubber components were analyzed for verifying the existence and distribution of potential defects. For the prediction of fatigue life, theoretical way of evaluating tearing energy for the general shape of test-piece was proposed. Also, algebraic expression for the prediction of fatigue life was derived from the rough cut growth rate equation and verified by comparing with experimental fatigue lives of dumbbell fatigue specimen in various loading condition.

Development of Manufacturing Ontology-based Quality Prediction Framework and System : Injection Molding Process (제조 온톨로지 기반 품질예측 프레임워크 및 시스템 개발 : 사출성형공정 사례)

  • Lee, Kyoung-Hun;Kang, Yong-Shin;Lee, Yong-Han
    • IE interfaces
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    • v.25 no.1
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    • pp.40-51
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    • 2012
  • Today, many manufacturing companies realize that collaboration is crucial for their survival. Especially, in the perspective of quality, the importance of collaboration is emphasized because economic loss increases exponentially while defective parts go through the process in supply chain. However, the manufacturing companies are facing two main difficulties in implementing collaborative relationships with their suppliers. First, it is difficult for the suppliers to produce reliable products due to their obsolete facilities. The problem gets worse for second- or third-tire vendors. Second, the companies experience the lack of universally understandable set of terminology and effective methodologies for knowledge representation. Ontology is one of the best approaches to expressing and processing a domain knowledge. In this paper, we propose the manufacturing ontology-based quality prediction framework to represent and share the knowledge of industrial environment and to predict product quality in manufacturing processes. In addition, we develop the ontology-based quality prediction system based on the proposed framework. We carried out a series of experiments for an injection molding process at an automotive part supplier. The experimental results demonstrated that the proposed framework and system can be successfully applicable in manufacturing industry.

Dual-Phase Approach to Improve Prediction of Heart Disease in Mobile Environment

  • Lee, Yang Koo;Vu, Thi Hong Nhan;Le, Thanh Ha
    • ETRI Journal
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    • v.37 no.2
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    • pp.222-232
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    • 2015
  • In this paper, we propose a dual-phase approach to improve the process of heart disease prediction in a mobile environment. Firstly, only the confident frequent rules are extracted from a patient's clinical information. These are then used to foretell the possibility of the presence of heart disease. However, in some cases, subjects cannot describe exactly what has happened to them or they may have a silent disease - in which case it won't be possible to detect any symptoms at this stage. To address these problems, data records collected over a long period of time of a patient's heart rate variability (HRV) are used to predict whether the patient is suffering from heart disease. By analyzing HRV patterns, doctors can determine whether a patient is suffering from heart disease. The task of collecting HRV patterns is done by an online artificial neural network, which as well as learning knew knowledge, is able to store and preserve all previously learned knowledge. An experiment is conducted to evaluate the performance of the proposed heart disease prediction process under different settings. The results show that the process's performance outperforms existing techniques such as that of the self-organizing map and gas neural growing in terms of classification and diagnostic accuracy, and network structure.

Using an Adaptive Search Tree to Predict User Location

  • Oh, Se-Chang
    • Journal of Information Processing Systems
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    • v.8 no.3
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    • pp.437-444
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    • 2012
  • In this paper, we propose a method for predicting a user's location based on their past movement patterns. There is no restriction on the length of past movement patterns when using this method to predict the current location. For this purpose, a modified search tree has been devised. The search tree is constructed in an effective manner while it additionally learns the movement patterns of a user one by one. In fact, the time complexity of the learning process for a movement pattern is linear. In this process, the search tree expands to take into consideration more details about the movement patterns when a pattern that conflicts with an existing trained pattern is found. In this manner, the search tree is trained to make an exact matching, as needed, for location prediction. In the experiments, the results showed that this method is highly accurate in comparison with more complex and sophisticated methods. Also, the accuracy deviation of users of this method is significantly lower than for any other methods. This means that this method is highly stable for the variations of behavioral patterns as compared to any other method. Finally, 1.47 locations were considered on average for making a prediction with this method. This shows that the prediction process is very efficient.

NON-CAUSAL INTERPOLATIVE PREDICTION FOR B PICTURE ENCODING

  • Harabe, Tomoya;Kubota, Akira;Hatori, Yoshinoir
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society of Broadcast Engineers Conference
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    • 2009.01a
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    • pp.723-726
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    • 2009
  • This paper describes a non-causal interpolative prediction method for B-picture encoding. Interpolative prediction uses correlations between neighboring pixels, including non-causal pixels, for high prediction performance, in contrast to the conventional prediction, using only the causal pixels. For the interpolative prediction, the optimal quantizing scheme has been investigated for preventing conding error power from expanding in the decoding process. In this paper, we extend the optimal quantization sceme to inter-frame prediction in video coding. Unlike H.264 scheme, our method uses non-causal frames adjacent to the prediction frame.

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LSTM-based Business Process Remaining Time Prediction Model Featured in Activity-centric Normalization Techniques (액티비티별 특징 정규화를 적용한 LSTM 기반 비즈니스 프로세스 잔여시간 예측 모델)

  • Ham, Seong-Hun;Ahn, Hyun;Kim, Kwanghoon Pio
    • Journal of Internet Computing and Services
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    • v.21 no.3
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    • pp.83-92
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    • 2020
  • Recently, many companies and organizations are interested in predictive process monitoring for the efficient operation of business process models. Traditional process monitoring focused on the elapsed execution state of a particular process instance. On the other hand, predictive process monitoring focuses on predicting the future execution status of a particular process instance. In this paper, we implement the function of the business process remaining time prediction, which is one of the predictive process monitoring functions. In order to effectively model the remaining time, normalization by activity is proposed and applied to the predictive model by taking into account the difference in the distribution of time feature values according to the properties of each activity. In order to demonstrate the superiority of the predictive performance of the proposed model in this paper, it is compared with previous studies through event log data of actual companies provided by 4TU.Centre for Research Data.

Comparison of Stock Price Prediction Using Time Series and Non-Time Series Data

  • Min-Seob Song;Junghye Min
    • Journal of the Korea Society of Computer and Information
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    • v.28 no.8
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    • pp.67-75
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    • 2023
  • Stock price prediction is an important topic extensively discussed in the financial market, but it is considered a challenging subject due to numerous factors that can influence it. In this research, performance was compared and analyzed by applying time series prediction models (LSTM, GRU) and non-time series prediction models (RF, SVR, KNN, LGBM) that do not take into account the temporal dependence of data into stock price prediction. In addition, various data such as stock price data, technical indicators, financial statements indicators, buy sell indicators, short selling, and foreign indicators were combined to find optimal predictors and analyze major factors affecting stock price prediction by industry. Through the hyperparameter optimization process, the process of improving the prediction performance for each algorithm was also conducted to analyze the factors affecting the performance. As a result of feature selection and hyperparameter optimization, it was found that the forecast accuracy of the time series prediction algorithm GRU and LSTM+GRU was the highest.

Data Segmentation for a Better Prediction of Quality in a Multi-stage Process

  • Kim, Eung-Gu;Lee, Hye-Seon;Jun, Chi-Hyuek
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.19 no.2
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    • pp.609-620
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    • 2008
  • There may be several parallel equipments having the same function in a multi-stage manufacturing process, which affect the product quality differently and have significant differences in defect rate. The product quality may depend on what equipments it has been processed as well as what process variable values it has. Applying one model ignoring the presence of different equipments may distort the prediction of defect rate and the identification of important quality variables affecting the defect rate. We propose a procedure for data segmentation when constructing models for predicting the defect rate or for identifying major process variables influencing product quality. The proposed procedure is based on the principal component analysis and the analysis of variance, which demonstrates a better performance in predicting defect rate through a case study with a PDP manufacturing process.

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Development of Comparative Verification System for Reliability Evaluation of Distribution Line Load Prediction Model (배전 선로 부하예측 모델의 신뢰성 평가를 위한 비교 검증 시스템)

  • Lee, Haesung;Lee, Byung-Sung;Moon, Sang-Keun;Kim, Junhyuk;Lee, Hyeseon
    • KEPCO Journal on Electric Power and Energy
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    • v.7 no.1
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    • pp.115-123
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    • 2021
  • Through machine learning-based load prediction, it is possible to prevent excessive power generation or unnecessary economic investment by estimating the appropriate amount of facility investment in consideration of the load that will increase in the future or providing basic data for policy establishment to distribute the maximum load. However, in order to secure the reliability of the developed load prediction model in the field, the performance comparison verification between the distribution line load prediction models must be preceded, but a comparative performance verification system between the distribution line load prediction models has not yet been established. As a result, it is not possible to accurately determine the performance excellence of the load prediction model because it is not possible to easily determine the likelihood between the load prediction models. In this paper, we developed a reliability verification system for load prediction models including a method of comparing and verifying the performance reliability between machine learning-based load prediction models that were not previously considered, verification process, and verification result visualization methods. Through the developed load prediction model reliability verification system, the objectivity of the load prediction model performance verification can be improved, and the field application utilization of an excellent load prediction model can be increased.

Pre-Evaluation for Prediction Accuracy by Using the Customer's Ratings in Collaborative Filtering (협업필터링에서 고객의 평가치를 이용한 선호도 예측의 사전평가에 관한 연구)

  • Lee, Seok-Jun;Kim, Sun-Ok
    • Asia pacific journal of information systems
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    • v.17 no.4
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    • pp.187-206
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    • 2007
  • The development of computer and information technology has been combined with the information superhighway internet infrastructure, so information widely spreads not only in special fields but also in the daily lives of people. Information ubiquity influences the traditional way of transaction, and leads a new E-commerce which distinguishes from the existing E-commerce. Not only goods as physical but also service as non-physical come into E-commerce. As the scale of E-Commerce is being enlarged as well. It keeps people from finding information they want. Recommender systems are now becoming the main tools for E-Commerce to mitigate the information overload. Recommender systems can be defined as systems for suggesting some Items(goods or service) considering customers' interests or tastes. They are being used by E-commerce web sites to suggest products to their customers who want to find something for them and to provide them with information to help them decide which to purchase. There are several approaches of recommending goods to customer in recommender system but in this study, the main subject is focused on collaborative filtering technique. This study presents a possibility of pre-evaluation for the prediction performance of customer's preference in collaborative filtering before the process of customer's preference prediction. Pre-evaluation for the prediction performance of each customer having low performance is classified by using the statistical features of ratings rated by each customer is conducted before the prediction process. In this study, MovieLens 100K dataset is used to analyze the accuracy of classification. The classification criteria are set by using the training sets divided 80% from the 100K dataset. In the process of classification, the customers are divided into two groups, classified group and non classified group. To compare the prediction performance of classified group and non classified group, the prediction process runs the 20% test set through the Neighborhood Based Collaborative Filtering Algorithm and Correspondence Mean Algorithm. The prediction errors from those prediction algorithm are allocated to each customer and compared with each user's error. Research hypothesis : Two research hypotheses are formulated in this study to test the accuracy of the classification criterion as follows. Hypothesis 1: The estimation accuracy of groups classified according to the standard deviation of each user's ratings has significant difference. To test the Hypothesis 1, the standard deviation is calculated for each user in training set which is divided 80% from MovieLens 100K dataset. Four groups are classified according to the quartile of the each user's standard deviations. It is compared to test the estimation errors of each group which results from test set are significantly different. Hypothesis 2: The estimation accuracy of groups that are classified according to the distribution of each user's ratings have significant differences. To test the Hypothesis 2, the distributions of each user's ratings are compared with the distribution of ratings of all customers in training set which is divided 80% from MovieLens 100K dataset. It assumes that the customers whose ratings' distribution are different from that of all customers would have low performance, so six types of different distributions are set to be compared. The test groups are classified into fit group or non-fit group according to the each type of different distribution assumed. The degrees in accordance with each type of distribution and each customer's distributions are tested by the test of ${\chi}^2$ goodness-of-fit and classified two groups for testing the difference of the mean of errors. Also, the degree of goodness-of-fit with the distribution of each user's ratings and the average distribution of the ratings in the training set are closely related to the prediction errors from those prediction algorithms. Through this study, the customers who have lower performance of prediction than the rest in the system are classified by those two criteria, which are set by statistical features of customers ratings in the training set, before the prediction process.