• Title/Summary/Keyword: Prediction Performance

Search Result 5,497, Processing Time 0.038 seconds

CLASSIFICATION FUNCTIONS FOR EVALUATING THE PREDICTION PERFORMANCE IN COLLABORATIVE FILTERING RECOMMENDER SYSTEM

  • Lee, Seok-Jun;Lee, Hee-Choon;Chung, Young-Jun
    • Journal of applied mathematics & informatics
    • /
    • v.28 no.1_2
    • /
    • pp.439-450
    • /
    • 2010
  • In this paper, we propose a new idea to evaluate the prediction accuracy of user's preference generated by memory-based collaborative filtering algorithm before prediction process in the recommender system. Our analysis results show the possibility of a pre-evaluation before the prediction process of users' preference of item's transaction on the web. Classification functions proposed in this study generate a user's rating pattern under certain conditions. In this research, we test whether classification functions select users who have lower prediction or higher prediction performance under collaborative filtering recommendation approach. The statistical test results will be based on the differences of the prediction accuracy of each user group which are classified by classification functions using the generative probability of specific rating. The characteristics of rating patterns of classified users will also be presented.

Bankruptcy Prediction using Support Vector Machines (Support Vector Machine을 이용한 기업부도예측)

  • Park, Jung-Min;Kim, Kyoung-Jae;Han, In-Goo
    • Asia pacific journal of information systems
    • /
    • v.15 no.2
    • /
    • pp.51-63
    • /
    • 2005
  • There has been substantial research into the bankruptcy prediction. Many researchers used the statistical method in the problem until the early 1980s. Since the late 1980s, Artificial Intelligence(AI) has been employed in bankruptcy prediction. And many studies have shown that artificial neural network(ANN) achieved better performance than traditional statistical methods. However, despite ANN's superior performance, it has some problems such as overfitting and poor explanatory power. To overcome these limitations, this paper suggests a relatively new machine learning technique, support vector machine(SVM), to bankruptcy prediction. SVM is simple enough to be analyzed mathematically, and leads to high performances in practical applications. The objective of this paper is to examine the feasibility of SVM in bankruptcy prediction by comparing it with ANN, logistic regression, and multivariate discriminant analysis. The experimental results show that SVM provides a promising alternative to bankruptcy prediction.

Bi-LSTM model with time distribution for bandwidth prediction in mobile networks

  • Hyeonji Lee;Yoohwa Kang;Minju Gwak;Donghyeok An
    • ETRI Journal
    • /
    • v.46 no.2
    • /
    • pp.205-217
    • /
    • 2024
  • We propose a bandwidth prediction approach based on deep learning. The approach is intended to accurately predict the bandwidth of various types of mobile networks. We first use a machine learning technique, namely, the gradient boosting algorithm, to recognize the connected mobile network. Second, we apply a handover detection algorithm based on network recognition to account for vertical handover that causes the bandwidth variance. Third, as the communication performance offered by 3G, 4G, and 5G networks varies, we suggest a bidirectional long short-term memory model with time distribution for bandwidth prediction per network. To increase the prediction accuracy, pretraining and fine-tuning are applied for each type of network. We use a dataset collected at University College Cork for network recognition, handover detection, and bandwidth prediction. The performance evaluation indicates that the handover detection algorithm achieves 88.5% accuracy, and the bandwidth prediction model achieves a high accuracy, with a root-mean-square error of only 2.12%.

A Study on the Performance of Similarity Indices and its Relationship with Link Prediction: a Two-State Random Network Case

  • Ahn, Min-Woo;Jung, Woo-Sung
    • Journal of the Korean Physical Society
    • /
    • v.73 no.10
    • /
    • pp.1589-1595
    • /
    • 2018
  • Similarity index measures the topological proximity of node pairs in a complex network. Numerous similarity indices have been defined and investigated, but the dependency of structure on the performance of similarity indices has not been sufficiently investigated. In this study, we investigated the relationship between the performance of similarity indices and structural properties of a network by employing a two-state random network. A node in a two-state network has binary types that are initially given, and a connection probability is determined from the state of the node pair. The performances of similarity indices are affected by the number of links and the ratio of intra-connections to inter-connections. Similarity indices have different characteristics depending on their type. Local indices perform well in small-size networks and do not depend on whether the structure is intra-dominant or inter-dominant. In contrast, global indices perform better in large-size networks, and some such indices do not perform well in an inter-dominant structure. We also found that link prediction performance and the performance of similarity are correlated in both model networks and empirical networks. This relationship implies that link prediction performance can be used as an approximation for the performance of the similarity index when information about node type is unavailable. This relationship may help to find the appropriate index for given networks.

A Study on Performance Prediction Methods for Multi-Band Underwater Communication (수중 통신에서 다중 밴드 성능 예측 기법 연구 )

  • Ji-Won Jung
    • The Journal of Korea Institute of Information, Electronics, and Communication Technology
    • /
    • v.16 no.2
    • /
    • pp.61-68
    • /
    • 2023
  • Multi-band method which allocate the same data to different frequency bands, improves performance by compensating Doppler spreading and selective fading in underwater communications. The drawback of multi-band configuration may have worse performance because performance degradation in a particular band affects the output from the entire bands. It is very important to find which band is superior or inferior band in order to improve performance. Therefore this paper analyzes performance prediction algorithms of each band. This paper proposes three kinds of prediction methods. Through the ocean tests, this paper confirms utilizing the preamble error rates is most efficient algorithm among of them.

Context-Adaptive Intra Prediction Model Training and Its Coding Performance Analysis (문맥적응적 화면내 예측 모델 학습 및 부호화 성능분석)

  • Moon, Gihwa;Park, Dohyeon;Kim, Jae-Gon
    • Journal of Broadcast Engineering
    • /
    • v.27 no.3
    • /
    • pp.332-340
    • /
    • 2022
  • Recently, with the development of deep learning and artificial neural network technologies, research on the application of neural network has been actively conducted in the field of video coding. In particular, deep learning-based intra prediction is being studied as a way to overcome the performance limitations of the existing intra prediction techniques. This paper presents a method of context-adaptive neural network-based intra prediction model training and its coding performance analysis. In other words, in this paper, we implement and train a known intra prediction model based on convolutional neural network (CNN) that predicts a current block using contextual information from reference blocks. Then, we integrate the trained model into HM16.19 as an additional intra prediction mode and evaluate the coding performance of the trained model. Experimental results show that the trained model gives 0.28% BD-rate bit saving over HEVC in All Intra (AI) coding mode. In addition, the coding performance change of training considering block partition is also presented.

Fair Performance Evaluation Method for Stock Trend Prediction Models (주가 경향 예측 모델의 공정한 성능 평가 방법)

  • Lim, Chungsoo
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
    • /
    • v.20 no.10
    • /
    • pp.702-714
    • /
    • 2020
  • Stock investment is a personal investment technique that has gathered tremendous interest since the reduction in interest rates and tax exemption. However, it is risky especially for those who do not have expert knowledge on stock volatility. Therefore, it is well understood that accurate stock trend prediction can greatly help stock investment, giving birth to a volume of research work in the field. In order to compare different research works and to optimize hyper-parameters for prediction models, it is required to have an evaluation standard that can accurately assess performances of prediction models. However, little research has been done in the area, and conventionally used methods have been employed repeatedly without being rigorously validated. For this reason, we first analyze performance evaluation of stock trend prediction with respect to performance metrics and data composition, and propose a fair evaluation method based on prediction disparity ratio.

Cloud Removal Using Gaussian Process Regression for Optical Image Reconstruction

  • Park, Soyeon;Park, No-Wook
    • Korean Journal of Remote Sensing
    • /
    • v.38 no.4
    • /
    • pp.327-341
    • /
    • 2022
  • Cloud removal is often required to construct time-series sets of optical images for environmental monitoring. In regression-based cloud removal, the selection of an appropriate regression model and the impact analysis of the input images significantly affect the prediction performance. This study evaluates the potential of Gaussian process (GP) regression for cloud removal and also analyzes the effects of cloud-free optical images and spectral bands on prediction performance. Unlike other machine learning-based regression models, GP regression provides uncertainty information and automatically optimizes hyperparameters. An experiment using Sentinel-2 multi-spectral images was conducted for cloud removal in the two agricultural regions. The prediction performance of GP regression was compared with that of random forest (RF) regression. Various combinations of input images and multi-spectral bands were considered for quantitative evaluations. The experimental results showed that using multi-temporal images with multi-spectral bands as inputs achieved the best prediction accuracy. Highly correlated adjacent multi-spectral bands and temporally correlated multi-temporal images resulted in an improved prediction accuracy. The prediction performance of GP regression was significantly improved in predicting the near-infrared band compared to that of RF regression. Estimating the distribution function of input data in GP regression could reflect the variations in the considered spectral band with a broader range. In particular, GP regression was superior to RF regression for reproducing structural patterns at both sites in terms of structural similarity. In addition, uncertainty information provided by GP regression showed a reasonable similarity to prediction errors for some sub-areas, indicating that uncertainty estimates may be used to measure the prediction result quality. These findings suggest that GP regression could be beneficial for cloud removal and optical image reconstruction. In addition, the impact analysis results of the input images provide guidelines for selecting optimal images for regression-based cloud removal.

Effective Performance Prediction of Axial Flow Compressors Using a Modified Stage-Stacking Method (단축적법의 개선에 의한 축류압축기의 효과적인 성능예측)

  • Song, Tae-Won;Kim, Jae-Hwan;Kim, Tong-Seop;Ro, Sung-Tack
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers B
    • /
    • v.24 no.8
    • /
    • pp.1077-1084
    • /
    • 2000
  • In this work, a modified stage-stacking method for the performance prediction of multi-stage axial flow compressors is proposed. The method is based on a simultaneous calculation of all interstage variables (temperature, pressure, flow velocity) instead of the conventional sequential stage-by-stage scheme. The method is also very useful in simulating the effect of changing angles of the inlet guide vane and stator vanes on the compressor operating characteristics. Generalized stage performance curves are used in presenting the performance characteristics of each stage. General assumptions enable determination of flow path data and stage design performance. Performance of various real compressors is predicted and comparison between prediction and field data validates the usefulness of the present method.

A Sensitivity Analysis of Centrifugal Compressors Empirical Models

  • Baek, Je-Hyun;Sungho Yoon
    • Journal of Mechanical Science and Technology
    • /
    • v.15 no.9
    • /
    • pp.1292-1301
    • /
    • 2001
  • The mean-line method using empirical models is the most practical method of predicting off-design performance. To gain insight into the empirical models, the influence of empirical models on the performance prediction results is investigated. We found that, in the two-zone model, the secondary flow mass fraction has a considerable effect at high mass flow-rates on the performance prediction curves. In the TEIS model, the first element changes the slope of the performance curves as well as the stable operating range. The second element makes the performance curves move up and down as it increases or decreases. It is also discovered that the slip factor affects pressure ratio, but it has little effect on efficiency. Finally, this study reveals that the skin friction coefficient has significant effect on both the pressure ratio curve and the efficiency curve. These results show the limitations of the present empirical models, and more resonable empirical models are reeded.

  • PDF