• Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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• 제90권2호
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• pp.189-208
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• 2024

Artificial intelligence is one of the efficient methods that can be developed to simulate nonlinear behavior and predict the response of building structures. In this regard, an adaptive method based on optimization algorithms is used to train the TSK model of the fuzzy inference system to estimate the seismic behavior of building structures based on analytical data. The optimization algorithm is implemented to determine the parameters of the TSK model based on the minimization of prediction error for the training data set. The adaptive training is designed on the feedback of the results of previous time steps, in which three training cases of 2, 5, and 10 previous time steps were used. The training data is collected from the results of nonlinear time history analysis under 100 ground motion records with different seismic properties. Also, 10 records were used to test the inference system. The performance of the proposed inference system is evaluated on two 3 and 20-story models of nonlinear steel moment frame. The results show that the inference system of the TSK model by combining the optimization method is an efficient computational method for predicting the response of nonlinear structures. Meanwhile, the multi-vers optimization (MVO) algorithm is more accurate in determining the optimal parameters of the TSK model. Also, the accuracy of the results increases significantly with increasing the number of previous steps.

• Steel and Composite Structures
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• 제51권4호
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• pp.417-440
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• 2024

Artificial neural networks (ANN) have been the focus of several studies when it comes to evaluating the pile's bearing capacity. Nonetheless, the principal drawbacks of employing this method are the sluggish rate of convergence and the constraints of ANN in locating global minima. The current work aimed to build four ANN-based prediction models enhanced with methods from the black hole algorithm (BHA), league championship algorithm (LCA), shuffled complex evolution (SCE), and symbiotic organisms search (SOS) to estimate the carrying capacity of piles in cold climates. To provide the crucial dataset required to build the model, fifty-eight concrete pile experiments were conducted. The pile geometrical properties, internal friction angle 𝛗 shaft, internal friction angle 𝛗 tip, pile length, pile area, and vertical effective stress were established as the network inputs, and the BHA, LCA, SCE, and SOS-based ANN models were set up to provide the pile bearing capacity as the output. Following a sensitivity analysis to determine the optimal BHA, LCA, SCE, and SOS parameters and a train and test procedure to determine the optimal network architecture or the number of hidden nodes, the best prediction approach was selected. The outcomes show a good agreement between the measured bearing capabilities and the pile bearing capacities forecasted by SCE-MLP. The testing dataset's respective mean square error and coefficient of determination, which are 0.91846 and 391.1539, indicate that using the SCE-MLP approach as a practical, efficient, and highly reliable technique to forecast the pile's bearing capacity is advantageous.

• Asian-Australasian Journal of Animal Sciences
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• 제30권4호
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• pp.546-553
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• 2017

Objective: An experiment was conducted to determine digestible energy (DE) and metabolizable energy (ME) of different byproduct feed ingredients fed to growing pigs, and to generate prediction equations for the DE and ME in feed ingredients. Methods: Twelve barrows with an initial mean body weight of 31.8 kg were individually housed in metabolism crates that were equipped with a feeder and a nipple drinker. A $12{\times}10$ incomplete Latin square design was employed with 12 dietary treatments, 10 periods, and 12 animals. A basal diet was prepared to mainly contain the corn and soybean meal (SBM). Eleven additional diets were formulated to contain 30% of each test ingredient. All diets contained the same proportion of corn:SBM ratio at 4.14:1. The difference procedure was used to calculate the DE and ME in experimental ingredients. The in vitro dry matter disappearance for each test ingredient was determined. Results: The DE and ME values in the SBM sources were greater (p<0.05) than those in other ingredients except high-protein distillers dried grains. However, DE and ME values in tapioca distillers dried grains (TDDG) were the lowest (p<0.05). The most suitable regression equations for the DE and ME concentrations (kcal/kg on the dry matter [DM] basis) in the test ingredients were: $DE=5,528-(156{\times}ash)-(32.4{\times}neutral\;detergent\;fiber\;[NDF])$ with root mean square error = 232, $R^2=0.958$, and p<0.001; $ME=5,243-(153 ash)-(30.7{\times}NDF)$ with root mean square error = 277, $R^2=0.936$, and p<0.001. All independent variables are in % on the DM basis. Conclusion: The energy concentrations were greater in the SBM sources and were the least in the TDDG. The ash and NDF concentrations can be used to estimate the energy concentrations in the byproducts from oil-extraction and distillation processes.

• 한국농공학회지
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• 제40권1호
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• pp.68-77
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• 1998

The purpose of this paper is to establish a method estimating the daily urban water demand using statistical analysis that is used for developing the efficient management and operation of the water supply facilities, and accurary of the model is verified by error rate and F-value. The data used in this study were the daily urban water use, the weather conditions such as temperature, precipitation, relative humidity, etc, and the day of The week. The case study was taken placed for the city of Namwon in Korea. The raw data used in this study were rearranged either by month or by season for analysis purpose, and the statistical analysis was applied to the data to obtain the regression model As a result of this study, the linear regression model was developed to estimate the daily urban water use with weather condition. The regression constant and coefficients of the model were determined for each month of a year. The accuracy of the model was within 3% of average error and within 11% of maximum error. The resulting model was found to he useful to the practical operation and management of the water supply facilities.

• 물과 미래
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• 제28권5호
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• pp.219-233
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• 1995

강우의 평균과 분산이 시 공간적으로 변하는 비정상 다변량 모형을 강우모형으로 선정하였다. 그리고 강우모형의 상태 및 매개변수의 추정을 위해 비정상 대변량 모형의 잔차항에 Kalman Filter 순환추정 알고리즘을 적용하여 강우예측모형 시스템을 구성하였다. 그후 반응시간이 짧은 도시지역에 설치된 T/M 강우관측소에 입력되는 매 시간(10분간격) 강우자료를 사용하여 호우개수방법에 의한 비정상(Non-stationary) 평균과 분산의 추정 그리고 호우속도 추정을 통한 정규잔차 공분산을 추정하여 다수의 지점들 및 선행시간들의 실시간 다변량 단기 강우예측 (On-line, Real-time, Multivariate Short-term, Rainfall Prediction)을 하였다. 강우예측시스템 모형에 의한 결과와 비정상 변량 모형에 의한 강우모의 결과가 잘 일치하였다. 그리고 예측정도를 측정하는 방법인 제곱 평균 제곱근 오차(RMSE)와 모형 효율성 계수(ME)를 분석한 결과, 강우 예측시간 즉 선행시간이 갈수록 제곱 평균 제곱근 오차가 커지고 모형 효율성 계수가 1로부터 점차 작아지는 것으로 보아 강우예측 정도가 떨어지는 것을 알 수 있었다. 또한 호우개수방법으로 구한 평균이 호우구조의 많은 부분을 차지하고 있음을 알 수 있었다.

• 산업경영시스템학회지
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• 제38권3호
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• pp.56-63
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• 2015

Several fields of science have demanded large-scale workflow support, which requires thousands of CPU cores or more. In order to support such large-scale scientific workflows, high capacity parallel systems such as supercomputers are widely used. In order to increase the utilization of these systems, most schedulers use backfilling policy: Small jobs are moved ahead to fill in holes in the schedule when large jobs do not delay. Since an estimate of the runtime is necessary for backfilling, most parallel systems use user's estimated runtime. However, it is found to be extremely inaccurate because users overestimate their jobs. Therefore, in this paper, we propose a novel system for the runtime prediction based on workload-aware clustering with the goal of improving prediction performance. The proposed method for runtime prediction of parallel applications consists of three main phases. First, a feature selection based on factor analysis is performed to identify important input features. Then, it performs a clustering analysis of history data based on self-organizing map which is followed by hierarchical clustering for finding the clustering boundaries from the weight vectors. Finally, prediction models are constructed using support vector regression with the clustered workload data. Multiple prediction models for each clustered data pattern can reduce the error rate compared with a single model for the whole data pattern. In the experiments, we use workload logs on parallel systems (i.e., iPSC, LANL-CM5, SDSC-Par95, SDSC-Par96, and CTC-SP2) to evaluate the effectiveness of our approach. Comparing with other techniques, experimental results show that the proposed method improves the accuracy up to 69.08%.

• 청정기술
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• 제8권1호
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• pp.27-37
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• 2002

본 연구에서는 오존 예측 시스템의 개발에 있어서 쌍일차 모델의 성능 및 효용성을 확인하기 위하여 쌍일차 모델 및 선형 모델을 이용한 오존 형성의 모델인식 모사실험을 하였으며 또한 쌍일차 모델을 이용한 오존 형성의 예측결과를 서울시의 측정자료 및 선형모델의 예측결과와 비교하였다. 모델인식에 있어서는 ARMA 모델을 사용하였으며 모델의 파라미터를 평가하기 위하여 방정식 오차법에 근거한 연속 파라미터 평가 알고리즘을 적용하였다. 모델인식 실험결과로부터 쌍일차 모델을 이용한 오존 형성량과 모사기로부터 얻은 오존 형성량이 거의 일치함을 알 수 있었으며 또한 예측결과와 서울시 측정자료와의 비교로부터 오존예보시스템을 위한 실시간 및 단시간 오존 형성량의 예측방법 개발에 있어서 본 연구에서 제안한 방법의 타당성을 확인할 수 있었다.

• 한국태양에너지학회 논문집
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• 제34권1호
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• pp.1-7
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• 2014

A study on the available power of a wind turbine to be used for wind farm control was performed in this study, To accurately estimate the available power it is important to obtain a suitable wind which represents the three dimensional wind that the wind turbine rotor faces and also used to calculate the power. For this, two different models, the equivalent wind and the wind speed estimator were constructed and used for dynamic simulation using matlab simulink. From the comparison of the simulation result with that from a commercial code based on multi-body dynamics, it was found that using the hub height wind to estimate available power from a turbine results in high frequency components in the power prediction which is, in reality, filtered out by the rotor inertia. It was also found that the wind speed estimator yielded less error than the equivalent wind when compared with the result from the commercial code.

• 한국건축시공학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국건축시공학회 2012년도 추계 학술논문 발표대회
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• pp.153-154
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• 2012

The accuracy of cost estimation at an early stage in school building project is one of the critical factors for successful completion. So many method and techniques have developed that can estimate construction cost using limited information available in the early stage. Among the techniques, Support Vector Machine(SVM) has received attention in various field due to its excellent capacity for self-learning and generalization performance. Therefore, the purpose of this study is to verify the applicability of cost prediction model based on SVM in school building project at the early stage. Data used in this study are 139 school building cost constructed from 2004 to 2007 in Gyeonggi-Do. And prediction error rate of 7.48% in support vector machine is obtained. So the results showed applicability of using SVM model for predicting construction cost of school building projects.

• 터널과지하공간
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• 제11권1호
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• pp.14-19
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• 2001

발파진동을 계측하여 예측방법의 타당성을 검토하였고, 환경규제 기준으로의 변환방식을 규명하였다. 진동레벨과 진동속도의 환산거리 설계 적용성은 진동속도가 더 좋았다. 따라서 설계나 시공은 진동속도로 관리하고 이를 법적 기준인 진동레벨로 변환할 필요성이 있었다. 기존의 변환식 중에서 충격진동 데이터로만 구성하여 변환식을 구하였고, 동시에 측정된 진동속도와 진동레벨의 상관식에 의한 변환식을 구하였으며, 퓨리에 변환을 하여 각 주파수 별로 감각보정하여 진동레벨을 구하였다. 세 가지 방법을 이용하여 변환한 결과 모두 오차가 있으므로 변환에 의한 피해 보상의 판정에는 무리가 있었으나, 그 중에서 발파시 동시에 측정된 수직방향 성분 PPV와 진동레벨의 변환식이 가장 실용적으로 판단되었다.