• Title/Summary/Keyword: Predicting learning achievement

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Mathematical Preparedness Predicts College Grades in Physics Better than Physics Preparedness: the Predictive Validity of the Mathematical Diagnostic Test on the Freshmen's Physics Grades (물리보다 수학을 잘 해야 물리를 잘 한다: 입학 전 수학진단점수의 일반물리학 성취도 예측타당성 검증)

  • Shin, Yunkyoung;Park, Kyuyeol;Lee, Ah-reum;Jung, Jongwon
    • Journal of Engineering Education Research
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    • v.22 no.4
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    • pp.22-31
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    • 2019
  • This study aims to elucidate the relationship between physics and mathematics to predict achievement for the college level of engineering courses. For the last 4 years, more than 3,000 engineering college freshmen of this study took the diagnostic tests on three subjects, which were physics, mathematics, and chemistry before enrollment. We studied how strongly these diagnostic scores can predict each general college course grades. The correlation between the physics diagnostic scores and the course grades in physics was .264, which was significantly lower than the correlation between the mathematics scores and the physics grades, .311. This stronger prediction of the mathematical diagnostic scores for the general course grades was not found when predicting the grades in chemistry. We therefore conclude that mathematical preparation can unexpectedly predict future achievement in physics better than physics preparation due to the academic interrelationships between mathematics and physics.

Study for Prediction System of Learning Achievements of Cyber University Students using Deep Learning based on Autoencoder (오토인코더에 기반한 딥러닝을 이용한 사이버대학교 학생의 학업 성취도 예측 분석 시스템 연구)

  • Lee, Hyun-Jin
    • Journal of Digital Contents Society
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    • v.19 no.6
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    • pp.1115-1121
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    • 2018
  • In this paper, we have studied a data analysis method by deep learning to predict learning achievements based on accumulated data in cyber university learning management system. By predicting learner's academic achievement, it can be used as a tool to enhance learner's learning and improve the quality of education. In order to improve the accuracy of prediction of learning achievements, the autoencoder based attendance prediction method is developed to improve the prediction performance and deep learning algorithm with ongoing evaluation metrics and predicted attendance are used to predict the final score. In order to verify the prediction results of the proposed method, the final grade was predicted by using the evaluation factor attendance data of the learning process. The experimental result showed that we can predict the learning achievements in the middle of semester.

An Inquiry into Prediction of Learner's Academic Performance through Learner Characteristics and Recommended Items with AI Tutors in Adaptive Learning (적응형 온라인 학습환경에서 학습자 특성 및 AI튜터 추천문항 학습활동의 학업성취도 예측력 탐색)

  • Choi, Minseon;Chung, Jaesam
    • Journal of Information Technology Services
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    • v.20 no.4
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    • pp.129-140
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    • 2021
  • Recently, interest in AI tutors is rising as a way to bridge the educational gap in school settings. However, research confirming the effectiveness of AI tutors is lacking. The purpose of this study is to explore how effective learner characteristics and recommended item learning activities are in predicting learner's academic performance in an adaptive online learning environment. This study proposed the hypothesis that learner characteristics (prior knowledge, midterm evaluation) and recommended item learning activities (learning time, correct answer check, incorrect answer correction, satisfaction, correct answer rate) predict academic achievement. In order to verify the hypothesis, the data of 362 learners were analyzed by collecting data from the learning management system (LMS) from the perspective of learning analytics. For data analysis, regression analysis was performed using the regsubset function provided by the leaps package of the R program. The results of analyses showed that prior knowledge, midterm evaluation, correct answer confirmation, incorrect answer correction, and satisfaction had a positive effect on academic performance, but learning time had a negative effect on academic performance. On the other hand, the percentage of correct answers did not have a significant effect on academic performance. The results of this study suggest that recommended item learning activities, which mean behavioral indicators of interaction with AI tutors, are important in the learning process stage to increase academic performance in an adaptive online learning environment.

Students' Performance Prediction in Higher Education Using Multi-Agent Framework Based Distributed Data Mining Approach: A Review

  • M.Nazir;A.Noraziah;M.Rahmah
    • International Journal of Computer Science & Network Security
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    • v.23 no.10
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    • pp.135-146
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    • 2023
  • An effective educational program warrants the inclusion of an innovative construction which enhances the higher education efficacy in such a way that accelerates the achievement of desired results and reduces the risk of failures. Educational Decision Support System (EDSS) has currently been a hot topic in educational systems, facilitating the pupil result monitoring and evaluation to be performed during their development. Insufficient information systems encounter trouble and hurdles in making the sufficient advantage from EDSS owing to the deficit of accuracy, incorrect analysis study of the characteristic, and inadequate database. DMTs (Data Mining Techniques) provide helpful tools in finding the models or forms of data and are extremely useful in the decision-making process. Several researchers have participated in the research involving distributed data mining with multi-agent technology. The rapid growth of network technology and IT use has led to the widespread use of distributed databases. This article explains the available data mining technology and the distributed data mining system framework. Distributed Data Mining approach is utilized for this work so that a classifier capable of predicting the success of students in the economic domain can be constructed. This research also discusses the Intelligent Knowledge Base Distributed Data Mining framework to assess the performance of the students through a mid-term exam and final-term exam employing Multi-agent system-based educational mining techniques. Using single and ensemble-based classifiers, this study intends to investigate the factors that influence student performance in higher education and construct a classification model that can predict academic achievement. We also discussed the importance of multi-agent systems and comparative machine learning approaches in EDSS development.

Predicting the rock fragmentation in surface mines using optimized radial basis function and cascaded forward neural network models

  • Xiaohua Ding;Moein Bahadori;Mahdi Hasanipanah;Rini Asnida Abdullah
    • Geomechanics and Engineering
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    • v.33 no.6
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    • pp.567-581
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    • 2023
  • The prediction and achievement of a proper rock fragmentation size is the main challenge of blasting operations in surface mines. This is because an optimum size distribution can optimize the overall mine/plant economics. To this end, this study attempts to develop four improved artificial intelligence models to predict rock fragmentation through cascaded forward neural network (CFNN) and radial basis function neural network (RBFNN) models. In this regards, the CFNN was trained by the Levenberg-Marquardt algorithm (LMA) and Conjugate gradient backpropagation (CGP). Further, the RBFNN was optimized by the Dragonfly Algorithm (DA) and teaching-learning-based optimization (TLBO). For developing the models, the database required was collected from the Midouk copper mine, Iran. After modeling, the statistical functions were computed to check the accuracy of the models, and the root mean square errors (RMSEs) of CFNN-LMA, CFNN-CGP, RBFNN-DA, and RBFNN-TLBO were obtained as 1.0656, 1.9698, 2.2235, and 1.6216, respectively. Accordingly, CFNN-LMA, with the lowest RMSE, was determined as the model with the best prediction results among the four examined in this study.

A Study on Predicting Installation Scale of Photovoltaic Panels and Hydrogen Fuel Storage Facilities to Achieve Net Zero Carbon Emissions Exploiting Idle Sites of Military Bases (군부대 유휴부지를 활용한 탄소 순 배출량 제로 달성을 위한 태양광 패널 및 수소 연료 저장시설의 설치 규모 예측)

  • Donghak Moon;Jiyong Heo
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Military Science and Technology
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    • v.27 no.1
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    • pp.8-14
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    • 2024
  • In this study, the scale of renewable photovoltaic(PV) panels and hydrogen fuel storage facilities required to achieve "net zero carbon emissions" in military facilities were predicted based on actual electricity consumption. It was set up to expect the appropriate installation size of PV panel and hydrogen fuel storage facility for achieving carbon neutrality, limited to the electricity consumption in the public sector, including national defense and social security administration in Yeongcheon. The experimental results of this paper are largely composed of two parts. First, representative meteorological factors were considered to predict solar power generation in the Yeongcheon area, and solar power generation was estimated through a multiple regression model using deep learning techniques. Second, the size of solar power generation facilities and hydrogen storage facilities in military bases was estimated with the amount of solar power generation and electricity consumption. As a result of this analysis, it was calculated that a site of 155.76×104 m2 for PV panels was needed and a facility capable of storing 27,657 kg of hydrogen gas was required. Through these results, it is meaningful to demonstrated the prospect that military units can lead the achievement of "carbon net zero 2050" by using PV panels and hydrogen fuel storage facilities on idle sites of military bases.

A Study on Relation between Attribution Style of Elementary Gifted and Talented in Information and Their Attitude to Information Science (초등 정보과학영재의 귀인성향과 정보과학에 대한 태도와의 관계에 대한 조사연구)

  • Lee, Jaeho;Jung, Nu Ri
    • Journal of Gifted/Talented Education
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    • v.25 no.4
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    • pp.547-563
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    • 2015
  • This paper aims at figuring out specific characteristics of affective attitude of gifted and talented in information, predicting follow-up activities and desirable direction of learning. Based on the analysis of this paper as educational directions and suggestions for elementary gifted and talented students in information are as follows: First, in gender ratio of gifted and talented in information, including the fact that ratio of boys is high, there remain the previous prejudice of higher information capability and it seems that girls who depend on external factors, parents and teachers should make more efforts to help girls trust their own capability in information science and lead them to give more value to attribution of efforts for achievement in information science. Second, as grade is higher, motivation to learn information science and attitude for success in information science among sub-elements of attitude to information science, motivation to seed positive recognition to higher graders is required. Third, in screening and selecting gifted and talented students in information, attitude to information science should be considered as main cause and the existing gifted and talented students in information should be prompted to improve their attitude to information science with value on effort for information science.