• Title/Summary/Keyword: Predicting Patterns

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Predicting strength of SCC using artificial neural network and multivariable regression analysis

  • Saha, Prasenjit;Prasad, M.L.V.;Kumar, P. Rathish
    • Computers and Concrete
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    • v.20 no.1
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    • pp.31-38
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    • 2017
  • In the present study an Artificial Neural Network (ANN) was used to predict the compressive strength of self-compacting concrete. The data developed experimentally for self-compacting concrete and the data sets of a total of 99 concrete samples were used in this work. ANN's are considered as nonlinear statistical data modeling tools where complex relationships between inputs and outputs are modeled or patterns are found. In the present ANN model, eight input parameters are used to predict the compressive strength of self-compacting of concrete. These include varying amounts of cement, coarse aggregate, fine aggregate, fly ash, fiber, water, super plasticizer (SP), viscosity modifying admixture (VMA) while the single output parameter is the compressive strength of concrete. The importance of different input parameters for predicting the strengths at various ages using neural network was discussed in the study. There is a perfect correlation between the experimental and prediction of the compressive strength of SCC based on ANN with very low root mean square errors. Also, the efficiency of ANN model is better compared to the multivariable regression analysis (MRA). Hence it can be concluded that the ANN model has more potential compared to MRA model in developing an optimum mix proportion for predicting the compressive strength of concrete without much loss of material and time.

Temporal Classification Method for Forecasting Power Load Patterns From AMR Data

  • Lee, Heon-Gyu;Shin, Jin-Ho;Park, Hong-Kyu;Kim, Young-Il;Lee, Bong-Jae;Ryu, Keun-Ho
    • Korean Journal of Remote Sensing
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    • v.23 no.5
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    • pp.393-400
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    • 2007
  • We present in this paper a novel power load prediction method using temporal pattern mining from AMR(Automatic Meter Reading) data. Since the power load patterns have time-varying characteristic and very different patterns according to the hour, time, day and week and so on, it gives rise to the uninformative results if only traditional data mining is used. Also, research on data mining for analyzing electric load patterns focused on cluster analysis and classification methods. However despite the usefulness of rules that include temporal dimension and the fact that the AMR data has temporal attribute, the above methods were limited in static pattern extraction and did not consider temporal attributes. Therefore, we propose a new classification method for predicting power load patterns. The main tasks include clustering method and temporal classification method. Cluster analysis is used to create load pattern classes and the representative load profiles for each class. Next, the classification method uses representative load profiles to build a classifier able to assign different load patterns to the existing classes. The proposed classification method is the Calendar-based temporal mining and it discovers electric load patterns in multiple time granularities. Lastly, we show that the proposed method used AMR data and discovered more interest patterns.

Forecasting Water Levels Of Bocheong River Using Neural Network Model

  • Kim, Ji-tae;Koh, Won-joon;Cho, Won-cheol
    • Water Engineering Research
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    • v.1 no.2
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    • pp.129-136
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    • 2000
  • Predicting water levels is a difficult task because a lot of uncertainties are included. Therefore the neural network which is appropriate to such a problem, is introduced. One day ahead forecasting of river stage in the Bocheong River is carried out by using the neural network model. Historical water levels at Snagye gauging point which is located at the downstream of the Bocheong River and average rainfall of the Bocheong River basin are selected as training data sets. With these data sets, the training process has been done by using back propagation algorithm. Then waters levels in 1997 and 1998 are predicted with the trained algorithm. To improve the accuracy, a filtering method is introduced as predicting scheme. It is shown that predicted results are in a good agreement with observed water levels and that a filtering method can overcome the lack of training patterns.

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Robustness of Learning Systems Subject to Noise:Case study in forecasting chaos

  • Kim, Steven H.;Lee, Churl-Min;Oh, Heung-Sik
    • Proceedings of the Korean Operations and Management Science Society Conference
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    • 1997.10a
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    • pp.181-184
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    • 1997
  • Practical applications of learning systems usually involve complex domains exhibiting nonlinear behavior and dilution by noise. Consequently, an intelligent system must be able to adapt to nonlinear processes as well as probabilistic phenomena. An important class of application for a knowledge based systems in prediction: forecasting the future trajectory of a process as well as the consequences of any decision made by e system. This paper examines the robustness of data mining tools under varying levels of noise while predicting nonlinear processes in the form of chaotic behavior. The evaluated models include the perceptron neural network using backpropagation (BPN), the recurrent neural network (RNN) and case based reasoning (CBR). The concepts are crystallized through a case study in predicting a Henon process in the presence of various patterns of noise.

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Predictive Modeling of Competitive Biosorption Equilibrium Data

  • Chu K.H.;Kim E.Y.
    • Biotechnology and Bioprocess Engineering:BBE
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    • v.11 no.1
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    • pp.67-71
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    • 2006
  • This paper compares regression and neural network modeling approaches to predict competitive biosorption equilibrium data. The regression approach is based on the fitting of modified Langmuir-type isotherm models to experimental data. Neural networks, on the other hand, are non-parametric statistical estimators capable of identifying patterns in data and correlations between input and output. Our results show that the neural network approach outperforms traditional regression-based modeling in correlating and predicting the simultaneous uptake of copper and cadmium by a microbial biosorbent. The neural network is capable of accurately predicting unseen data when provided with limited amounts of data for training. Because neural networks are purely data-driven models, they are more suitable for obtaining accurate predictions than for probing the physical nature of the biosorption process.

A Study on Sentiment Pattern Analysis of Video Viewers and Predicting Interest in Video using Facial Emotion Recognition (얼굴 감정을 이용한 시청자 감정 패턴 분석 및 흥미도 예측 연구)

  • Jo, In Gu;Kong, Younwoo;Jeon, Soyi;Cho, Seoyeong;Lee, DoHoon
    • Journal of Korea Multimedia Society
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    • v.25 no.2
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    • pp.215-220
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    • 2022
  • Emotion recognition is one of the most important and challenging areas of computer vision. Nowadays, many studies on emotion recognition were conducted and the performance of models is also improving. but, more research is needed on emotion recognition and sentiment analysis of video viewers. In this paper, we propose an emotion analysis system the includes a sentiment analysis model and an interest prediction model. We analyzed the emotional patterns of people watching popular and unpopular videos and predicted the level of interest using the emotion analysis system. Experimental results showed that certain emotions were strongly related to the popularity of videos and the interest prediction model had high accuracy in predicting the level of interest.

Study on the Anthropometric and Body Composition Indices for Prediction of Cold and Heat Pattern

  • Mun, Sujeong;Park, Kihyun;Lee, Siwoo
    • The Journal of Korean Medicine
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    • v.42 no.4
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    • pp.185-196
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    • 2021
  • Objectives: Many symptoms of cold and heat patterns are related to the thermoregulation of the body. Thus, we aimed to study the association of cold and heat patterns with anthropometry/body composition. Methods: The cold and heat patterns of 2000 individuals aged 30-55 years were evaluated using a self-administered questionnaire. Results: Among the anthropometric and body composition variables, body mass index (-0.37, 0.39) and fat mass index (-0.35, 0.38) had the highest correlation coefficients with the cold and heat pattern scores after adjustment for age and sex in the cold-heat group, while the correlation coefficients were relatively lower in the non-cold-heat group. In the cold-heat group, the most parsimonious model for the cold pattern with the variables selected by the best subset method and Lasso included sex, body mass index, waist-hip ratio, and extracellular water/total body water (adjusted R2 = 0.324), and the model for heat pattern additionally included age (adjusted R2 = 0.292). Conclusions: The variables related to obesity and water balance were the most useful for predicting cold and heat patterns. Further studies are required to improve the performance of prediction models.

Changing patterns of Serum CEA and CA199 for Evaluating the Response to First-line Chemotherapy in Patients with Advanced Gastric Adenocarcinoma

  • He, Bo;Zhang, Hui-Qing;Xiong, Shu-Ping;Lu, Shan;Wan, Yi-Ye;Song, Rong-Feng
    • Asian Pacific Journal of Cancer Prevention
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    • v.16 no.8
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    • pp.3111-3116
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    • 2015
  • Background: This study was designed to investigate the value of CEA and CA199 in predicting the treatment response to palliative chemotherapy for advanced gastric cancer. Materials and Methods: We studied 189 patients with advanced gastric cancer who received first-line chemotherapy, measured the serum CEA and CA199 levels, used RECIST1.1 as the gold standard and analyzed the value of CEA and CA199 levels changes in predicting the treatment efficacy of chemotherapy. Results: Among the 189 patients, 80 and 94 cases had increases of baseline CEA (${\geq}5ng/ml$) and CA199 levels (${\geq}27U/ml$), respectively. After two cycles of chemotherapy, 42.9% patients showed partial remission, 33.3% stable disease, and 23.8% progressive disease. The area under the ROC curve (AUC) for CEA and CA199 reduction in predicting effective chemotherapy were 0.828 (95%CI 0.740-0.916) and 0.897 (95%CI 0.832-0.961). The AUCs for CEA and CA199 increase in predicting progression after chemotherapy were 0.923 (95%CI 0.865-0.980) and 0.896 (95%CI 0.834-0.959), respectively. Patients who exhibited a CEA decline ${\geq}24%$ and a CA199 decline ${\geq}29%$ had significantly longer PFS (log rank p=0.001, p<0.001). With the exception of patients who presented with abnormal levels after chemotherapy, changes of CEA and CA199 levels had limited value for evaluating the chemotherapy efficacy in patients with normal baseline tumor markers. Conclusions: Changes in serum CEA and CA199 levels can accurately predict the efficacy of first-line chemotherapy in advanced gastric cancer. Patients with levels decreasing beyond the optimal critical values after chemotherapy have longer PFS.

A study on the comparison of the predicting performance of quality of injection molded product according to the structure of artificial neural network (인공신경망 구조에 따른 사출 성형폼 품질의 예측성능 차이에 대한 비교 연구)

  • Yang, Dong-Cheol;Lee, Jun-Han;Kim, Jong-Sun
    • Design & Manufacturing
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    • v.15 no.1
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    • pp.48-56
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    • 2021
  • The quality of products produced by injection molding process is greatly influenced by the process variables set on the injection molding machine during manufacturing. It is very difficult to predict the quality of injection molded product considering the stochastic nature of manufacturing process, because the process variables complexly affect the quality of the injection molded product. In the present study we predicted the quality of injection molded product using Artificial Neural Network (ANN) method specifically from Multiple Input Single Output (MISO) and Multiple Input Multiple Output (MIMO) perspectives. In order to train the ANN model a systematic plan was prepared based on a combination of orthogonal sampling and random sampling methods to represent various and robust patterns with small number of experiments. According to the plan the injection molding experiments were conducted to generate data that was separated into training, validation and test data groups to optimize the parameters of the ANN model and evaluate predicting performance of 4 structures (MISO1-2, MIMO1-2). Based on the predicting performance test, it was confirmed that as the number of output variables were decreased, the predicting performance was improved. The results indicated that it is effective to use single output model when we need to predict the quality of injection molded product with high accuracy.

Predicting tissue-specific expressions based on sequence characteristics

  • Paik, Hyo-Jung;Ryu, Tae-Woo;Heo, Hyoung-Sam;Seo, Seung-Won;Lee, Do-Heon;Hur, Cheol-Goo
    • BMB Reports
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    • v.44 no.4
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    • pp.250-255
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    • 2011
  • In multicellular organisms, including humans, understanding expression specificity at the tissue level is essential for interpreting protein function, such as tissue differentiation. We developed a prediction approach via generated sequence features from overrepresented patterns in housekeeping (HK) and tissue-specific (TS) genes to classify TS expression in humans. Using TS domains and transcriptional factor binding sites (TFBSs), sequence characteristics were used as indices of expressed tissues in a Random Forest algorithm by scoring exclusive patterns considering the biological intuition; TFBSs regulate gene expression, and the domains reflect the functional specificity of a TS gene. Our proposed approach displayed better performance than previous attempts and was validated using computational and experimental methods.