• Title/Summary/Keyword: Predicted Power Generation

Search Result 140, Processing Time 0.027 seconds

Design of short-term forecasting model of distributed generation power for wind power (풍력 발전을 위한 분산형 전원전력의 단기예측 모델 설계)

  • Song, Jae-Ju;Jeong, Yoon-Su;Lee, Sang-Ho
    • Journal of Digital Convergence
    • /
    • v.12 no.3
    • /
    • pp.211-218
    • /
    • 2014
  • Recently, wind energy is expanding to combination of computing to forecast of wind power generation as well as intelligent of wind powerturbine. Wind power is rise and fall depending on weather conditions and difficult to predict the output for efficient power production. Wind power is need to reliably linked technology in order to efficient power generation. In this paper, distributed power generation forecasts to enhance the predicted and actual power generation in order to minimize the difference between the power of distributed power short-term prediction model is designed. The proposed model for prediction of short-term combining the physical models and statistical models were produced in a physical model of the predicted value predicted by the lattice points within the branch prediction to extract the value of a physical model by applying the estimated value of a statistical model for estimating power generation final gas phase produces a predicted value. Also, the proposed model in real-time National Weather Service forecast for medium-term and real-time observations used as input data to perform the short-term prediction models.

Group key management protocol adopt to cloud computing environment (클라우드 컴퓨팅 환경에 적합한 그룹 키 관리 프로토콜)

  • Kim, Yong-Tae;Park, Gil-Cheol
    • Journal of Digital Convergence
    • /
    • v.12 no.3
    • /
    • pp.237-242
    • /
    • 2014
  • Recently, wind energy is expanding to combination of computing to forecast of wind power generation as well as intelligent of wind powerturbine. Wind power is rise and fall depending on weather conditions and difficult to predict the output for efficient power production. Wind power is need to reliably linked technology in order to efficient power generation. In this paper, distributed power generation forecasts to enhance the predicted and actual power generation in order to minimize the difference between the power of distributed power short-term prediction model is designed. The proposed model for prediction of short-term combining the physical models and statistical models were produced in a physical model of the predicted value predicted by the lattice points within the branch prediction to extract the value of a physical model by applying the estimated value of a statistical model for estimating power generation final gas phase produces a predicted value. Also, the proposed model in real-time National Weather Service forecast for medium-term and real-time observations used as input data to perform the short-term prediction models.

Comparative Study to Predict Power Generation using Meteorological Information for Expansion of Photovoltaic Power Generation System for Railway Infrastructure (철도인프라용 태양광발전시스템 확대를 위한 기상정보 활용 발전량 예측 비교 연구)

  • Yoo, Bok-Jong;Park, Chan-Bae;Lee, Ju
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Railway
    • /
    • v.20 no.4
    • /
    • pp.474-481
    • /
    • 2017
  • When designing photovoltaic power plants in Korea, the prediction of photovoltaic power generation at the design phase is carried out using PVSyst, PVWatts (Overseas power generation prediction software), and overseas weather data even if the test site is a domestic site. In this paper, for a comparative study to predict power generation using weather information, domestic photovoltaic power plants in two regions were selected as target sites. PVsyst, which is a commercial power generation forecasting program, was used to compare the accuracy between the predicted value of power generation (obtained using overseas weather information (Meteonorm 7.1, NASA-SSE)) and the predicted value of power generation obtained by the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA). In addition, we have studied ways to improve the prediction of power generation through comparative analysis of meteorological data. Finally, we proposed a revised solar power generation prediction model that considers climatic factors by considering the actual generation amount.

Through load prediction and solar power generation prediction ESS operation plan(Guide-line) study (부하예측 및 태양광 발전예측을 통한 ESS 운영방안(Guide-line) 연구)

  • Lee, Gi-Hyun;Kwak, Gyung-il;Chae, U-ri;KO, Jin-Deuk;Lee, Joo-Yeoun
    • Journal of Digital Convergence
    • /
    • v.18 no.12
    • /
    • pp.267-278
    • /
    • 2020
  • ESS is an essential requirement for resolving power shortages and power demand management and promoting renewable energy at a time when the energy paradigm changes. In this paper, we propose a cost-effective ESS Peak-Shaving operation plan through load and solar power generation forecast. For the ESS operation plan, electric load and solar power generation were predicted through RMS, which is a statistical measure, and a target load reduction guideline for one hour was set through the predicted electric load and solar power generation amount. The load and solar power generation amount from May 6th to 10th, 2019 was predicted by simulation of load and photovoltaic power generation using real data of the target customer for one year, and an hourly guideline was set. The average error rate for predicting load was 7.12%, and the average error rate for predicting solar power generation amount was 10.57%. Through the ESS operation plan, it was confirmed that the hourly guide-line suggested in this paper contributed to the peak-shaving maximization of customers.Through the results of this paper, it is expected that future energy problems can be reduced by minimizing environmental problems caused by fossil energy in connection with solar power and utilizing new and renewable energy to the maximum.

Prediction of module temperature and photovoltaic electricity generation by the data of Korea Meteorological Administration (데이터를 활용한 태양광 발전 시스템 모듈온도 및 발전량 예측)

  • Kim, Yong-min;Moon, Seung-Jae
    • Plant Journal
    • /
    • v.17 no.4
    • /
    • pp.41-52
    • /
    • 2021
  • In this study, the PV output and module temperature values were predicted using the Meteorological Agency data and compared with actual data, weather, solar radiation, ambient temperature, and wind speed. The forecast accuracy by weather was the lowest in the data on a clear day, which had the most data of the day when it was snowing or the sun was hit at dawn. The predicted accuracy of the module temperature and the amount of power generation according to the amount of insolation decreased as the amount of insolation increased, and the predicted accuracy according to the ambient temperature decreased as the module temperature increased as the ambient temperature increased and the amount of power generated lowered the ambient temperature. As for wind speed, the predicted accuracy decreased as the wind speed increased for both module temperature and power generation, but it was difficult to define the correlation because wind speed was insignificant than the influence of other weather conditions.

Control strategies of energy storage limiting intermittent output of solar power generation: Planning and evaluation for participation in electricity market

  • Sewan Heo;Jinsoo Han;Wan-Ki Park
    • ETRI Journal
    • /
    • v.45 no.4
    • /
    • pp.636-649
    • /
    • 2023
  • Renewable energy generation cannot be consistently predicted or controlled. Therefore, it is currently not widely used in the electricity market, which requires dependable production. In this study, reliability- and variance-based controls of energy storage strategies are proposed to utilize renewable energy as a steady contributor to the electricity market. For reliability-based control, photovoltaic (PV) generation is assumed to be registered in the power generation plan. PV generation yields a reliable output using energy storage units to compensate for PV prediction errors. We also propose a runtime state-ofcharge management method for sustainable operations. With variance-based controls, changes in rapid power generation are limited through ramp rate control. This study introduces new reliability and variance indices as indicators for evaluating these strategies. The reliability index quantifies the degree to which the actual generation realizes the plan, and the variance index quantifies the degree of power change. The two strategies are verified based on simulations and experiments. The reliability index improved by 3.1 times on average over 21 days at a real power plant.

A Numerical Study on the Application of the Ocean Current Power Parks with a Tidal Power Plant (조력발전소와 연계한 해류발전단지의 활용에 대한 유동해석 연구)

  • Lee, Seung-Ho;Lee, Sang-Hyuk;Jang, Kyung-Soo;Lee, Jung-Eun;Hur, Nahm-Keon
    • The KSFM Journal of Fluid Machinery
    • /
    • v.12 no.3
    • /
    • pp.38-43
    • /
    • 2009
  • The Shiwhaho is an artificial lake located in Yellow sea of Korea where the ocean tidal current is significantly strong, and the tidal power plant is currently being under construction to generate electric power from the ocean tidal current. In addition to the tidal power plant under construction, an ocean current power park was proposed to maximize the power generation by utilizing the ocean current generated by the tidal power plant. To evaluate the feasibility of such combined power plant, the flow characteristics in the ocean current power parks connected with the tidal power plants were investigated numerically in the present study. When two different type of generations are operating together as a system, their interference may occur, which affects their efficiency. Therefore, the minimum distances between the tidal power plants and the ocean current power generators are studied in the present study to minimize such interference. The feasible region to generate power around the Shiwha tide embankment is also predicted by considering predicted ocean current speed distribution. Various arrangements of the ocean current generators are examined and an optimal arrangement is also discussed.

Dynamic model and simulation of microturbine generation system for islanding mode operation (마이크로터빈발전시스템 독립운전을 위한 동적 모델링 및 시뮬레이션)

  • Hong, Won-Pyo;Cho, Jea-Hoon
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of IIIuminating and Electrical Installation Engineers Conference
    • /
    • 2009.05a
    • /
    • pp.453-457
    • /
    • 2009
  • Distributed Generation (DG) is predicted to play a important role in electric power system in the near future. insertion of DG system into existing distribution network has great impact on real-time system operation and planning. It is widely accepted that micro turbine generation (MTG) systems are currently attracting lot of attention to meet customers need in the distributed power generation market. In order to investigate the performance of MT generation systems, their efficient modeling is required. This paper presents the modeling and simulation of a MT generation system suitable for isolated operation. The system comprises of a Permanent magnet synchronous generator driven by a MT. A brief description of the overall system is given, and mathematical models for the MT and permanent magnet synchronous generator are presented. Also, the use of power electronics in conditioning the power output of the generating system is demonstrated. Simulation studies with MATLAB/Simulink have been carried out in islanding operation mode of a DG system.

  • PDF

Prediction of Solar Photovoltaic Power Generation by Weather Using LSTM

  • Lee, Saem-Mi;Cho, Kyu-Cheol
    • Journal of the Korea Society of Computer and Information
    • /
    • v.27 no.8
    • /
    • pp.23-30
    • /
    • 2022
  • Deep learning analyzes data to discover a series of rules and anticipates the future, helping us in various ways in our lives. For example, prediction of stock prices and agricultural prices. In this research, the results of solar photovoltaic power generation accompanied by weather are analyzed through deep learning in situations where the importance of solar energy use increases, and the amount of power generation is predicted. In this research, we propose a model using LSTM(Long Short Term Memory network) that stand out in time series data prediction. And we compare LSTM's performance with CNN(Convolutional Neural Network), which is used to analyze various dimensions of data, including images, and CNN-LSTM, which combines the two models. The performance of the three models was compared by calculating the MSE, RMSE, R-Squared with the actual value of the solar photovoltaic power generation performance and the predicted value. As a result, it was found that the performance of the LSTM model was the best. Therefor, this research proposes predicting solar photovoltaic power generation using LSTM.

역청탄과 아역청탄의 석탄가스환 및 IGCC 성능검토

  • 안달홍;나중희;송규소;김남호;김종진;지평삼
    • Proceedings of the Korea Society for Energy Engineering kosee Conference
    • /
    • 1994.11a
    • /
    • pp.68-77
    • /
    • 1994
  • The Integrated Gasification Combined Cycle(IGCC) power plant is one of Clean Coal Technology to meet the demand for clean and efficient electric power for the 21st century. This study is to investigate the impacts of changes in coal quality to the performances of gasification processes and IGCC plants. The selection of the most economic coal is an important attribute for the IGCC power generation technology. The performances of gasification processes was predicted, and compared with the results of Shell coal gasification demonstrantions. The IGCC performances with bituminous and sub-bituminous coal were predicted as well. It is obtained that the bituminous coal is superior to the sub-bituminous coal for IGCC power generation.

  • PDF