• Title/Summary/Keyword: Predict of solar power generation

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Power Prediction of P-Type Si Bifacial PV Module Using View Factor for the Application to Microgrid Network (View Factor를 고려한 마이크로그리드 적용용 고효율 P-Type Si 양면형 태양광 모듈의 출력량 예측)

  • Choi, Jin Ho;Kim, David Kwangsoon;Cha, Hae Lim;Kim, Gyu Gwang;Bhang, Byeong Gwan;Park, So Young;Ahn, Hyung Keun
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Electrical and Electronic Material Engineers
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    • v.31 no.3
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    • pp.182-187
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    • 2018
  • In this study, 20.8% of a p-type Si bifacial solar cell was used to develop a photovoltaic (PV) module to obtain the maximum power under a limited installation area. The transparent back sheet material was replaced during fabrication with a white one, which is opaque in commercial products. This is very beneficial for the generation of more electricity, owing to the additional power generation via absorption of light from the rear side. A new model is suggested herein to predict the power of the bifacial PV module by considering the backside reflections from the roof and/or environment. This model considers not only the frontside reflection, but also the nonuniformity of the backside light sources. Theoretical predictions were compared to experimental data to prove the validity of this model, the error range for which ranged from 0.32% to 8.49%. Especially, under $700W/m^2$, the error rate was as low as 2.25%. This work could provide theoretical and experimental bases for application to a distributed and microgrid network.

A Study on Predicting Installation Scale of Photovoltaic Panels and Hydrogen Fuel Storage Facilities to Achieve Net Zero Carbon Emissions Exploiting Idle Sites of Military Bases (군부대 유휴부지를 활용한 탄소 순 배출량 제로 달성을 위한 태양광 패널 및 수소 연료 저장시설의 설치 규모 예측)

  • Donghak Moon;Jiyong Heo
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Military Science and Technology
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    • v.27 no.1
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    • pp.8-14
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    • 2024
  • In this study, the scale of renewable photovoltaic(PV) panels and hydrogen fuel storage facilities required to achieve "net zero carbon emissions" in military facilities were predicted based on actual electricity consumption. It was set up to expect the appropriate installation size of PV panel and hydrogen fuel storage facility for achieving carbon neutrality, limited to the electricity consumption in the public sector, including national defense and social security administration in Yeongcheon. The experimental results of this paper are largely composed of two parts. First, representative meteorological factors were considered to predict solar power generation in the Yeongcheon area, and solar power generation was estimated through a multiple regression model using deep learning techniques. Second, the size of solar power generation facilities and hydrogen storage facilities in military bases was estimated with the amount of solar power generation and electricity consumption. As a result of this analysis, it was calculated that a site of 155.76×104 m2 for PV panels was needed and a facility capable of storing 27,657 kg of hydrogen gas was required. Through these results, it is meaningful to demonstrated the prospect that military units can lead the achievement of "carbon net zero 2050" by using PV panels and hydrogen fuel storage facilities on idle sites of military bases.

Wake Losses and Repositioning of Wind Turbines at Wind Farm (풍력발전단지의 후류손실 및 터빈 재배치에 관한 연구)

  • Park, Kun-Sung;Ryu, Ki-Wahn;Kim, Hyun-Goo
    • Journal of the Korean Solar Energy Society
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    • v.35 no.3
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    • pp.17-25
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    • 2015
  • The main objective of this study is to predict the wind power generation at the wind farm using various wake models. Modeling of wind farm is a prerequisite for prediction of annual energy production at the wind farm. In this study, we modeled 20 MW class Seongsan wind farm which has 10 wind turbines located at the eastern part of Jeju Island. WindSim based on the computational fluid dynamics was adopted for the estimation of power generation. The power curve and thrust coefficient with meteorology file were prepared for wind farm modelling. The meteorology file was produced based on the measured data of the Korea Wind Atlas provided by Korea Institute of Energy Research. Three types of wake models such as Jensen, Larsen, and Ishihara et al. wake models were applied to investigate the wake effects. From the result, Jensen and Ishihara wake models show nearly the same value of power generation whereas the Larsen wake model shows the largest value. New positions of wind turbines are proposed to reduce the wake loss, and to increase the annual energy production of the wind farm.

Development of Solar Power Output Prediction Method using Big Data Processing Technic (태양광 발전량 예측을 위한 빅데이터 처리 방법 개발)

  • Jung, Jae Cheon;Song, Chi Sung
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Systems Engineering
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    • v.16 no.1
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    • pp.58-67
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    • 2020
  • A big data processing method to predict solar power generation using systems engineering approach is developed in this work. For developing analytical method, linear model (LM), support vector machine (SVN), and artificial neural network (ANN) technique are chosen. As evaluation indices, the cross-correlation and the mean square root of prediction error (RMSEP) are used. From multi-variable comparison test, it was found that ANN methodology provides the highest correlation and the lowest RMSEP.

Modbus TCP based Solar Power Plant Monitoring System using Raspberry Pi (라즈베리파이를 이용한 Modbus TCP 기반 태양광 발전소 모니터링 시스템)

  • Park, Jin-Hwan;Kim, Chang-Bok
    • Journal of Advanced Navigation Technology
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    • v.24 no.6
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    • pp.620-626
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    • 2020
  • This research propose and simulate a solar power generation system monitoring system based on Modbus TCP communication using RaspberryPi, an IOT equipment, as a master and an inverter as a slave. In this model, various sensors are added to the RaspberryPi to add necessary information for monitoring solar power plants, and power generation prediction and monitoring information are transmitted to the smart phone through real-time power generation prediction. In addition, information that is continuously generated by the solar power plant is built on the server as big data, and a deep learning model for predicting power generation is trained and updated. As a result of the study, stable communication was possible based on Modbus TCP with the Raspberry Pi in the inverter, and real-time prediction was possible with the deep learning model learned in the Raspberry Pi. The server was able to train various deep learning models with big data, and it was confirmed that LSTM showed the best error with a learning error of 0.0069, a test error of 0.0075, and an RMSE of 0.0866. This model suggested that it is possible to implement a real-time monitoring system that is simpler, more convenient, and can predict the amount of power generation for inverters of various manufacturers.

Software Development on Power and Economic Analysis of Photovoltaic System for Building Application (건물용 태양광발전 시스템 성능 및 경제성 평가 프로그램 개발 연구)

  • Yoon, Jong-Ho;Shin, U-Cheul;Park, Jae-Wan
    • Journal of the Korean Solar Energy Society
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    • v.28 no.1
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    • pp.1-8
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    • 2008
  • The aim of this study is to develop the photovoltaic simulation program, called SimPV, which can Predict hourly based power generation of various PV modules and conduct an intensive economic analysis with Korean situation. To establish the reliability of the PV simulation results, we adopt the PV calculation algorithm of TRNSYS program of which verification has already well approved. Extensive database for hourly weather data of Korean 16 cities, engineering data for PV system and building load profiles are established. Case study on the 2.5kW roof integrated PV system and economic analysis are presented with the developed program.

A Three-dimensional Numerical Weather Model using Power Output Predict of Distributed Power Source (3차원 기상 수치 모델을 이용한 분산형 전원의 출력 예)

  • Jeong, Yoon-Su;Kim, Yong-Tae;Park, Gil-Cheol
    • Journal of Convergence Society for SMB
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    • v.6 no.4
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    • pp.93-98
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    • 2016
  • Recently, the project related to the smart grid are being actively studied around the developed world. In particular, the long-term stabilization measures distributed power supply problem has been highlighted. In this paper, we propose a three-dimensional numerical weather prediction models to compare the error rate information which combined with the physical models and statistical models to predict the output of distributed power. Proposed model can predict the system for a stable power grid-can improve the prediction information of the distributed power. In performance evaluation, proposed model was a generation forecasting accuracy improved by 4.6%, temperature compensated prediction accuracy was improved by 3.5%. Finally, the solar radiation correction accuracy is improved by 1.1%.

Assessment of electricity demand at domestic level in Balochistan, Pakistan

  • Urooj, Rabail;Ahmad, Sheikh Saeed
    • Advances in Energy Research
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    • v.5 no.1
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    • pp.57-64
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    • 2017
  • Electricity is basic need for country development. But at the present time proper planning and policy is require at high pace for power generation network extension due to the increasing population growth rate. Present study aimed to analyze the present and future demand for electricity at household level in Province of Balochistan of Pakistan via simulation modeling. Data of year 2004-2005 was used as baseline data for electricity consumption to predict future demand of electricity at both rural and urban domestic level up to subsequent 30 years, with help of LEAP software. Basically three scenarios were created to run software. One scenario was Business-As-Usual and other two were green scenarios i.e., solar and wind energy scenarios. Results predicted that by using alternative energy sources, demand for electricity will be fulfill and will also reduce burden on non-renewable energy sources due to the greater potential for solar and wind energy present in Balochistan.

The analysis of Photovoltaic Power using Terrain Data based on LiDAR Surveying and Weather Data Measurement System (LiDAR 측량 기반의 지형자료와 기상 데이터 관측시스템을 이용한 태양광 발전량 분석)

  • Lee, Geun-Sang;Lee, Jong-Jo
    • Journal of Cadastre & Land InformatiX
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    • v.49 no.1
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    • pp.17-27
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    • 2019
  • In this study, we conducted a study to predict the photovoltaic power by constructing the sensor based meteorological data observation system and the accurate terrain data obtained by using LiDAR surveying. The average sunshine hours in 2018 is 4.53 hours and the photovoltaic power is 2,305 MWh. In order to analyze the effect of photovoltaic power on the installation angle of solar modules, we installed module installation angle at $10^{\circ}$ intervals. As a result, the generation time was 4.24 hours at the module arrangement angle of $30^{\circ}$, and the daily power generation and the monthly power generation were the highest, 3.37 MWh and 102.47 MWh, respectively. Therefore, when the module arrangement angle is set to $30^{\circ}$, the generation efficiency is increased by about 4.8% compared with the module angle of $50^{\circ}$. As a result of analyzing the influence of the seasonal photovoltaic power by the installation angle of the solar module, it was found that the photovoltaic power was high in the range of $40^{\circ}{\sim}50^{\circ}$, where the module angle was large from November to February when the weather was cold. From March to October, it was found that the photovoltaic power amount is $10^{\circ}{\sim}30^{\circ}$ with small module angle.

Very Short- and Long-Term Prediction Method for Solar Power (초 장단기 통합 태양광 발전량 예측 기법)

  • Mun Seop Yun;Se Ryung Lim;Han Seung Jang
    • The Journal of the Korea institute of electronic communication sciences
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    • v.18 no.6
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    • pp.1143-1150
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    • 2023
  • The global climate crisis and the implementation of low-carbon policies have led to a growing interest in renewable energy and a growing number of related industries. Among them, solar power is attracting attention as a representative eco-friendly energy that does not deplete and does not emit pollutants or greenhouse gases. As a result, the supplement of solar power facility is increasing all over the world. However, solar power is easily affected by the environment such as geography and weather, so accurate solar power forecast is important for stable operation and efficient management. However, it is very hard to predict the exact amount of solar power using statistical methods. In addition, the conventional prediction methods have focused on only short- or long-term prediction, which causes to take long time to obtain various prediction models with different prediction horizons. Therefore, this study utilizes a many-to-many structure of a recurrent neural network (RNN) to integrate short-term and long-term predictions of solar power generation. We compare various RNN-based very short- and long-term prediction methods for solar power in terms of MSE and R2 values.