• Title/Summary/Keyword: Predict

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Fecal Calprotectin Assay at an Early Stage of Treatment Can Be Used as a Surrogate Marker to Predict Clinical Remission and Mucosal Healing in Pediatric Crohn's Disease

  • Lee, Yeoun Joo;Park, Jae Hong
    • Pediatric Gastroenterology, Hepatology & Nutrition
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    • v.25 no.5
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    • pp.396-405
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    • 2022
  • Purpose: This study evaluated the predictive role of fecal calprotectin (FC) measured at an early stage of treatment for monitoring clinical remission (CR) after six months and endoscopic remission (ER) after one year of treatment in pediatric Crohn's disease (CD). Methods: This retrospective study included 45 patients who simultaneously underwent ileocolonoscopy and FC testing during follow-up. FC levels were measured before and after six weeks of treatment. CR was assessed after six months of treatment using Pediatric Crohn' s Disease Activity Index and acute-phase reactants. ER was assessed after one year using the Simple Endoscopic Score for Crohn's Disease. Results: Twenty-nine (64.4%) patients used oral prednisolone for remission induction and 16 (35.6%) patients used anti-tumor necrosis factor-alpha. Thirty (66.7%) patients achieved CR, while 24 (53.3%) achieved ER. The FC level measured after six weeks of treatment could predict CR (χ2=9.15, p=0.0025) and ER (χ2=12.31, p=0.0004). The δFC could predict CR (χ2=7.91, p=0.0049), but not ER (χ2=1.85, p=0.1738). With a threshold of ≤950.4 ㎍/g, FC at week six could predict CR with 76.7% sensitivity and 73.3% specificity. The area under the curve (AUC) was 0.769 (standard error 0.0773, p=0.0005). The same threshold predicted ER with 87.5% sensitivity and 71.4% specificity. The AUC was 0.774 (standard error 0.074, p=0.0002). Conclusion: FC assay at an early stage of treatment can be used as a surrogate marker to predict CR and mucosal healing in pediatric CD.

Machine Learning-based landslide susceptibility mapping - Inje area, South Korea

  • Chanul Choi;Le Xuan Hien;Seongcheon Kwon;Giha Lee
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2023.05a
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    • pp.248-248
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    • 2023
  • In recent years, the number of landslides in Korea has been increasing due to extreme weather events such as localized heavy rainfall and typhoons. Landslides often occur with debris flows, land subsidence, and earthquakes. They cause significant damage to life and property. 64% of Korea's land area is made up of mountains, the government wanted to predict landslides to reduce damage. In response, the Korea Forest Service has established a 'Landslide Information System' to predict the likelihood of landslides. This system selects a total of 13 landslide factors based on past landslide events. Using the LR technique (Logistic Regression) to predict the possibility of a landslide occurrence and the accuracy is known to be 0.75. However, most of the data used for learning in the current system is on landslides that occurred from 2005 to 2011, and it does not reflect recent typhoons or heavy rain. Therefore, in this study, we will apply a total of six machine learning techniques (KNN, LR, SVM, XGB, RF, GNB) to predict the occurrence of landslides based on the data of Inje, Gangwon-do, which was recently produced by the National Institute of Forest. To predict the occurrence of landslides, it is necessary to process converting landslide events and factors data into a suitable form for machine learning techniques through ArcGIS and Python. In addition, there is a large difference in the number of data between areas where landslides occurred or not. Therefore, the prediction was performed after correcting the unbalanced data using Tomek Links and Near Miss techniques. Moreover, to control unbalanced data, a model that reflects soil properties will use to remove absolute safe areas.

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Development and application of Auto-Wind program for automated analysis of wind resource (풍력자원해석 자동화 프로그램 Auto-Wind 개발과 응용)

  • Yoon, Seong-Wook;Jeon, Wan-Ho;Kim, Hyun-Goo
    • 한국신재생에너지학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2010.11a
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    • pp.191-191
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    • 2010
  • As many researchers want to predict or assess more about wind condition and wind power generation, CFD(Computational Fluid Dynamics) analysis method is very good way to do predict or assess wind condition and power generation. But CFD analysis is needed much knowledge of aerodynamics and physical fluid theory. In this paper, Auto-Wind CFD analysis program will be introduced. User does not need specific knowledge of CFD or fluid theory. This program just needs topographical data and wind data for initial condition. Then all of process is running automatically without any order of user. And this program gives for user to select and set initial condition for advanced solving CFD. At the last procedure of solving, Auto-Wind program shows analysis of topography and wind condition of target area. Moreover, Auto-Wind can predict wind power generation with calculation in the program. This Auto-Wind analysis program will be good tool for many wind power researchers in real field.

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Prediction of Sludge-Water Interface Height Change in Batch Column (Batch Column에서의 슬러지계면층 높이변화 예측)

  • Park, Suk Gyun;Kang, Seon-Hong
    • Journal of Korean Society of Water and Wastewater
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    • v.20 no.1
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    • pp.156-163
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    • 2006
  • While sludge is settling in batch column, sludge concentration becomes high. Because the characteristic of sludge settling changes in function of time due to the sludge concentration change, the sludge settling velocity changes too. Also, because the sludge settling characteristic is influenced by a physical characteristic of sludge and a column height etc, it is difficult to exactly measure the sludge settling characteristic. Although the sludge volume indexes, SVI, SSVI and $SSVI_{3.5}$, are used to predict sludge settling characteristic, these indexes are not reliable values. Because the previously established models for sludge settling velocity predict the sludge settling velocity only, it is difficult to predict sluge-water interface height by using those models. The purpose of this experiment is to establish the empirical model which predicts the sludge interface height change with respect to the sludge physical characteristic and the settling condition.

Interaction of Impeller and Volute in a Small-size Turbo-Compressor (소형터보압축기 회전차와 볼류트의 상호작용)

  • Kim, D.W.;Ahn, B.J.;Kim, Youn-J.
    • Proceedings of the KSME Conference
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    • 2001.06e
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    • pp.807-812
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    • 2001
  • The effects of casing shapes on the interaction of the impeller and volute in a small-size turbo-compressor are investigated. Numerical analysis is conducted for the compressor with circular and single volute casings from inlet to discharge nozzle. In order to predict the flow pattern inside the entire impeller, vaneless diffuser, and casing, calculations with a multiple frame of reference method between the rotating and stationery parts of the domain are carried out. For incompressible turbulent flow fields, the continuity and three-dimensional time-averaged Navier-Stokes equations are employed. To predict the performance of two types of casings, the static pressure and loss coefficients are obtained with various flow rates. Also, static pressure distributions around casings are studied for different casing shapes, which are very important to predict the distribution of radial load.

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Failure Predict of Standard Sand Model Slope using Compact Rainfall Simulation (소형 인공강우 장치에 의한 표준사 모형사면의 붕괴 예측)

  • Moon, Hyo Jong;Kim, Dae Hong;Jeong, Ji Su;Lee, Seung Ho
    • Journal of Korean Society of Disaster and Security
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    • v.8 no.2
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    • pp.21-26
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    • 2015
  • This study analyzes the failure predict of model slope due to changes in ground condition followed by heavy rainfall with a simulated rainfall system. the movement of a slope from the rainfall penetrating the unsaturated soil is investigated with respect to various conditions of pore-water pressure, earth pressure and moisture content, considering rainfall duration and permeability.

Development of Prediction Model for Moisture and Protein Content of Single Kernel Rice using Spectroscopy (분광분석법을 이용한 단립 쌀의 함수율 및 단백질 함량 예측모델 개발)

  • 김재민;최창현;민봉기;김종훈
    • Journal of Biosystems Engineering
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    • v.23 no.1
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    • pp.49-56
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    • 1998
  • The objectives of this study were to develop models to predict the contents of moisture and protein of single kernel of brown rice based on visible/NIR (near-infrared) spectroscopic technique. The reflectance spectra of rice were obtained in the range of the wavelength 400 to 2,500 nm with 2 nm intervals. Multiple linear regression(MLR) and partial least squares (PLS) were used to develop the models. The MLR model using the first derivative spectra(10 nm of gap) with Standard Normal Variate and Detrending (SNV and Drt.) preprocessing showed the best results to predict moisture content of the sin린e kernel brown rice. To predict the protein content of a single kernel of brown ricer the PLS model used the raw spectra with multiplicative scatter correction(MSC) preprocessing over the wavelength of 1,100~1,500 nm.

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Prediction of RNA structures containing pseudoknots

  • Lee, Dong-Kyu;Han, Kyung-Sook
    • Bioinformatics and Biosystems
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    • v.1 no.1
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    • pp.73-81
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    • 2006
  • This paper describes a genetic algorithm for predicting RNA structures that contain various types of pseudoknots. Pseudoknotted RNA structures are much more difficult to predict by computational methods than RNA secondary structures, as they are more complex and the analysis is time-consuming. We developed an efficient genetic algorithm to predict RNA folding structures containing any type of pseudoknot, as well as a novel initial population method to decrease computational complexity and increase the accuracy of the results. We also used an interaction filter to decrease the size of the possible stem lists for long RNA sequences. We predicted RNA structures using a number of different termination conditions and compared the validity of the results and the times required for the analyses. The algorithm proved able to predict efficiently RNA structures containing various types of pseudoknots.

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Analysis of Wind Shear Patterns and Application of Measure-Correlate-Predict at Pohang Region (포항지역 풍속전단 형태분석과 측정-보정-예측법의 응용)

  • Kim, Hyun-Goo
    • 한국신재생에너지학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2005.06a
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    • pp.17-20
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    • 2005
  • This paper presents an overview analysis on the observed wind shear at Pohang Steel Works, focusing on diurnal patterns and the frequency of high nighttime shear at the site in case of land breeze. In addition, this paper discusses the importance of accurate shear estimates for reliable evaluation of wind energy density. In order for a long-term correlation of the site, three Measure-Correlate-Predict methods were tested with Pohang wind data and it was shown that the linear MCP gives poor estimation due to the geographic characteristics of complex terrain where the severe transformation of wind direction was accompanied.

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Prediction of operational strains using displacement-strain transformation matrix and its application (변위-변형율 변환행렬을 이용한 운전중 변형율 예측 및 응용)

  • 서순우;김광준
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society for Noise and Vibration Engineering Conference
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    • 1996.04a
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    • pp.355-360
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    • 1996
  • When the operational strains of a structure can not be directly measured in order to predict the life of the structure due to the problem of the attachment, those must be obtained indirectly. Since the displacement and the strain are interrelated, the strain can be predicted from the measured displacement and displacement-strain transformation matrix. The transformation matrix is dependent on the boundary condition, unfortunately, and it is also difficult to know exactly that of the operational system. In this study, for the structure with arbitrary boundary condition under the operation, the approximate method is proposed in order to predict the operational strains using the transformation matrix obtained by using free boundary conditions. And the method is applied to predict the strains of leads of surface mount component under the vibration of the printed circuit board.

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