• 제목/요약/키워드: Precipitation runoff

검색결과 426건 처리시간 0.031초

관측자료로 추정한 강우유출모형을 기후변화 영향평가에 그대로 활용하여도 되는가? (Is it suitable to Use Rainfall Runoff Model with Observed Data for Climate Change Impact Assessment?)

  • 니로저 뽀우델;김영오;김초롱
    • 한국수자원학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국수자원학회 2011년도 학술발표회
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    • pp.252-252
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    • 2011
  • Rainfall-runoff models are calibrated and validated by using a same data set such as observations. The past climate change effects the present rainfall pattern and also will effect on the future. To predict rainfall-runoff more preciously we have to consider the climate change pattern in the past, present and the future time. Thus, in this study, the climate change represents changes in mean precipitation and standard deviation in different patterns. In some river basins, there is no enough length of data for the analysis. Therefore, we have to generate the synthetic data using proper distribution for calculation of precipitation based on the observed data. In this study, Kajiyama model is used to analyze the runoff in the dry and the wet period, separately. Mean and standard deviation are used for generating precipitation from the gamma distribution. Twenty hypothetical scenarios are considered to show the climate change conditions. The mean precipitation are changed by -20%, -10%, 0%, +10% and +20% for the data generation with keeping the standard deviation constant in the wet and the dry period respectively. Similarly, the standard deviations of precipitation are changed by -20%, -10%, 0%, +10% and +20% keeping the mean value of precipitation constant for the wet and the dry period sequentially. In the wet period, when the standard deviation value varies then the mean NSE ratio is more fluctuate rather than the dry period. On the other hand, the mean NSE ratio in some extent is more fluctuate in the wet period and sometimes in the dry period, if the mean value of precipitation varies while keeping the standard deviation constant.

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단지내 차도용 투수성 포장의 물순환 효과분석 (An Analysis on the Hydrologic Cycle Effect of Rodway Permeable Pavement in Rasidential Site)

  • 이정민;현경학;여옥경
    • 한국물환경학회지
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    • 제26권4호
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    • pp.691-699
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    • 2010
  • In recent years, increases in impervious areas with rapid urbanization and land use changes are causing numerous hydrologic cycle and environmental problems. Impermeable pavement have a various defect such as collection rainwater, decreasing of sliding resistance, and etc. In this study, the hydrologic cycle effect of permeable pavement were analyzed by the experiment and the numerical simulation. The numerical model used was a modified SWMM especially for considering the hydrologic cycle effect of permeable pavement. The parameters of modified SWMM were revised by the experimental results. Also, the effects of runoff quantity reduction are reviewed when permeable pavement is applied to Incheon Cheongna watershed. The hydrologic cycle analysis of Incheon Cheongna watershed, continuous simulations of urban runoff were performed. The analysis results of permeable pavement setup effect on runoff are follows: the surface runoff after permeable pavement setup decreases to 74.35% of the precipitation whereas the surface runoff before permeable pavement setup amounts to 81.38% of the precipitation; the infiltration after permeable pavement setup increases to 15.13% of the precipitation whereas the infiltration before permeable pavement setup amounts to 8.32% of the precipitation.

Spatiotemporal distribution of downscaled hourly precipitation for RCP scenarios over South Korea and its hydrological responses

  • Lee, Taesam;Park, Taewoong;Park, Jaenyoung
    • 한국수자원학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국수자원학회 2015년도 학술발표회
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    • pp.247-247
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    • 2015
  • Global Climate Model (GCM) is too coarse to apply at a basin scale. The spatial downcsaling is needed to used to permit the assessment of the hydrological changes of a basin. Furthermore, temporal downscaling is required to obtain hourly precipitation to analyze a small or medium basin because only few or several hours are used to determine the peak flows after it rains. In the current study, the spariotemporal distribution of downscaled hourly precipitation for RCP4.5 and RCP8.5 scenarios over South Korea is presented as well as its implications over hydrologica responses. Mean hourly precipitation significantly increases over the southern part of South Korea, especially during the morning time, and its increase becomes lower at later times of day in the RCP8.5 scenario. However, this increase cannot be propagated to the mainland due to the mountainous areas in the southern part of the country. Furthermore, the hydrological responses employing a distributed rainfall-runoff model show that there is a significant increase in the peak flow for the RCP8.5 scenario with a slight decrease for the RCP4.5 scenario. The current study concludes that the employed temporal downscaling method is suitable for obtaining the hourly precipitation data from daily GCM scenarios. In addition, the rainfall runoff simulation through the downscaled hourly precipitation is useful for investigating variations in the hydrological responses as related to future scenarios.

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하천의 유황에 관한 수문학적 연구 (A Hydrological Study on the Flow Characteristic of the Keum River)

  • 박성우
    • 한국농공학회지
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    • 제16권2호
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    • pp.3438-3453
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    • 1974
  • Unmeasured value of water for human lives is widely approved, but the water as one of natural resources cannot be evaluated with ease since it changes itself ceaselessly by flowing-out or transforming the phase. Major objectives of the study concerned consequently with investigating its potentiality and evaluating its time seriesly availabity in a volumatic unit. And the study was performed to give the accurate original data to the planners concerned. Some developed rational methods of predicting runoff related to hydrological factors as precipitation, were to be discusseed for their theorical background and to be introduced whether they needed some corrections or not, comparing their estimation with actual runoff from synthetic unit-hydrograph methods. To do so, the study was performed to select Kongju Station, located at the watershed of the Keum River, and to collect such hydrological data from 1962 to 1972 as runoff, water level, precipitation, and so on. On the other hand, the hydrological characteristics of runoff were concluded more reasonably in numerical values, with calculating the the ratio of daily runoff to annual discharge of the flow in percentage, as. the distribution ratio of runoff. The results of the study can be summarized as follows; (1) There needed some consideration to apply the Kajiyama's Formula for predicting monthly runoff of rivers in Korea.(2) The rational methods of predicting runoff might be recommended to become less theorical and reliable than the unique analyzation of data concerned in each given water basin. The results from the Keum River prepared above would be available to any programms concerned. (3) The most accurate estimation for runoff could be suggested to synthetic unithydrograph methods calculated from the relation between each storm and runoff. However it was not contained in the study. (4) The relations between rainfall and runoff at KongJu Station were as following table. The table showed some intersting implications about the characteristics of runoff at site, which indicated that the runoff during three months from July to September approached total of 60% of quantity while precipitation concentrated on the other three from June to August. And there were some months which had more amount of runoff than expected values calculated from the precipitation, such as Febrary, March, August, September, Octover, and December, shown in the table. Such implications should be suggested to meet any correction factors in the future formulation concerned with the subjects, if any rational methods would be required.

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SCS방법 및 회귀분석에 의한 유출 강우량 결정 (Determination of Effective Rainfall by US SCS Method and Regression Analysis)

  • 선우중호;윤용남
    • 물과 미래
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    • 제10권2호
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    • pp.101-111
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    • 1977
  • The analysis performed here is aimed to increase the familiarity of hydrologic process especially for the small basins which are densely gaged. Kyung An and Mu Shim river basins are selected as a represectative basin according to the criteria which UNESCO has establisheed back in 1964 and being operated under the auspice of Ministry of Construction. The data exerted from these basins is utilized for the determination of the characteristics of precipitation and runoff phenomena for the small basin, which is considerred as a typical Korean samll watershed. The methodology developed by Soil Conservation Service, USA for determination of runoff value from precipitation is applied to find the suitability of the method to Korean River Basin. The soil cover complex number or runoff curve number was determined by considering the type of soil, soil cover, land use and other factor such as antecent moisture content. The averag values of CN for Kyung An and Mushim river basins were found to be 63.9 and 63.1 under AMC II, however, the values obtained from soil cover complex was less than those from total precipitation and effective precicpitation by 10-30%. It may be worth to note that an attention has to be paid in the application of SCS method lo Korean river basin by adjusting 10-30% increase to the value obtained from soil cover complex. Finally, the design flood hydrograph was consturcted by employing unit hydrograph technique to the dimensionless mass curve. Also a stepwise multiple regression was performed to find the relationship between runoff and API, evapotranspiration rate, 5 days antecedent precipitation and daily temperature.

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가상 유역의 강수 규모 변화에 따른 단위유량도 첨두치의 거동 규명 (Identification of unit hydrograph peak behavior according to changes in precipitation scale in a virtual watershed)

  • 유주환;김주철
    • 한국수자원학회논문집
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    • 제56권10호
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    • pp.655-665
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    • 2023
  • 본 연구에서는 일정한 경사와 조도를 갖는 가상 유역에서 10가지 규모의 강수가 순간적으로 발생할 때 단위유량도를 산출하였다. 그런 다음 강수 규모에 대하여 단위유량도 첨두유량의 관계와 첨두발생시간의 관계를 각각 산출하였다. 이때 강수 규모만이 유역의 단위유량도 첨두치에 주는 영향을 파악하기 위해서 자연 유역을 대신하여 마름모 형태, 일정 경사, 일정 조도의 유로 환경 상태 등으로 단순화한 가상 유역을 적용하였다. 그리고 유역에 내린 강수는 유효우량이고 유출은 직접유출이고 낙하지점에서 출구 방향으로 직선적인 등류로 유출된다고 가정하였다. 강수 규모를 10가지로 유효강수 10 mm, 40 mm, 90 mm, 160 mm, 250 mm, 360 mm, 640 mm, 1,000 mm, 1,210 mm, 1,690 mm의 경우로 하여 단위유량도의 첨두유량과 첨두발생시간을 각각의 관계를 산출하였다. 본 연구에서 주목할 만한 성과는 유역의 저류 효과가 없어도 강수 규모가 커질수록 유출 깊이가 커져서 유역의 유속이 빨라지고 단위 시간당 유하 거리도 커지므로 첨두유량은 커지고 첨두발생시간은 빨라진다는 것이었다. 이는 유역 유출의 비선형적 특성이다.

유출특성을 고려한 산지지역의 물수지 평가 - 제주도 표선유역을 중심으로 - (Assessment of Water Balance Considering Runoff Characteristics in the Mountainous Area of Pyosun Catchment in Jeju Island)

  • 송성호;안중기;이규상
    • 한국환경과학회지
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    • 제24권4호
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    • pp.505-514
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    • 2015
  • The grid-based water balance of watershed scale was assessed in the mountainous area of Pyosun catchment in Jeju Island after analyzing precipitation, evapotranspiration, and runoff from January 2008 to December 2013. The existing results of direct runoff, evapotranspirtion, and groundwater recharge comparing to precipitation were presented 22.0%, 25.6%, and 52.4%, respectively, in Pyosun catchment. However, this study indicated each component shows 14.5%, 24.2%, and 61.0%, respectively, in the mountainous area of Pyosun catchment. Therefore, groundwater recharge rate in the mountainous area appears higher than 10% comparing to the overall catchment. It would be analyzed that the amount of direct runoff is relatively small. Moreover, this difference could be generated because of the spatial discontinuities in the process of estimating the total amount of precipitation in the mountainous area. Therefore, the grid-based spatial analysis to maximize the spatial continuity would be useful for providing a more reasonable result when the total amount of water resources are evaluated in mountainous areas in the future.

수정 IAS 지수를 이용한 강우침식인자 추정 (Estimation of Rainfall-runoff Erosivity Using Modified Institute of Agricultural Sciences Index)

  • 이준학;오경두;허준행
    • 한국수자원학회논문집
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    • 제44권8호
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    • pp.619-628
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    • 2011
  • 본 연구의 목적은 월강우량을 이용하여 강우침식인자를 추정하는 기존의 방법인, Fournier 지수, modified Fournier 지수, IAS (Institute of Agricultural Sciences) 지수 등의 적용성을 확인하고 더 합리적인 월강우량 기반의 강우침식인자 추정모델을 제시하기 위한 것이다. 본 연구에서는 월강우량 기반의 수정 IAS 지수를 새롭게 제안하였다. 이것은 연중가장 비가 많이 내린 두 달의 강우량의 합으로써 강우침식인자를 추정하는 기존의 IAS 지수의 개념을 확장한 것이다. 본 연구에서는 25년 이상의 21개 지점에 대한 월강우량 및 연 강우침식인자를 토대로 각 추정방법에 대한 상관분석 및 회귀분석을 실시하였다. 그 결과 수정IAS 지수가 기존의 연강수량 및 월강우량을 이용한 추정방법 보다 우리나라 중서부 및 남서부 지역의 강우침식인자의 변동을 잘 나타내는 합리적인 지표임을 알 수 있었다.

물 환경 건전화를 위한 도시하천의 물 순환 모의 (I) - 안양천 유역 - (Hydrologic Cycle Simulation of Urban river for Rehabilitation of Water Environment (I) - Anyangcheon Basin -)

  • 이정민;이상호;이길성
    • 한국물환경학회지
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    • 제22권2호
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    • pp.349-357
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    • 2006
  • Nowadays, the discharges of urban streams during dry season are depleted because the hydrologic cycle in the watershed has been destroyed due to the expansion of the impermeable area, the excessive groundwater pumping, climate change, and so forth. The streamflow depletion may bring out severe water quality problems. This research are to investigate the hydrologic characteristics and to develop a technology to restore sound hydrologic cycle of Anyangcheon watershed. For the hydrological cycle analysis of the Anyangcheon watershed, continuous simulations of urban runoff were performed for the upstream basin of Gocheok bridge whose basin area covered 4/5 of the whole catchment area. The increase of impervious area by urbanization was analysed and its effect on urban runoff was evaluated. The SWMM 5 (Storm Water Management Model 5) was used for the continuous simulation of urban runoff. The analysis results of urbanization effect on runoff are as follows: the surface runoff in 2000 increases to 65% of the whole precipitation whereas the surface runoff in 1975 amounts to 50% of the precipitation; the groundwater runoff in 2000 amounts to 7% and shows 6% decrease during the period from 1975 to 2000.

물 환경 건전화를 위한 도시하천의 물 순환 모의 (II) - 도림천 유역 - (Hydrologic Cycle Simulation of Urban River for Rehabilitation of Water Environment (II) - Dorimcheon Basin -)

  • 이상호;이정민
    • 한국물환경학회지
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    • 제22권5호
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    • pp.815-823
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    • 2006
  • The hydrologic cycle in urban catchment has been changed due to the expansion of impervious area by rapid urban development. In this study, the SWMM 5 (Storm Water Management Model 5) model was used to simulate the hydrologic cycle of the Dorimcheon catchment which suffers from the distorted hydrologic cycle as a typical urban catchment. This study compare continuous simulation of urban runoff combining the channel and sewer system with that of channel only in the Dorimcheon catchment. Continuous simulations of urban runoff were performed for the upstream basin of Dorim bridge. The urban impervious regions were processed by the land use analysis from LANDSAT_TM images. It was performed from 1975 to 2000 for every five years. Surface, groundwater and wastewater runoffs were additionally included in the simulations one at a time. Such simulations made it possible to evaluate those components quantitatively. The result of continuous simulation of urban runoff combining the channel and sewer system is that peak flow and recession are well simulated. The analysis results of urbanization effect on runoff are as follows: the surface runoff in 2000 increases to 64% of the whole precipitation whereas the surface runoff in 1975 amounts to 46% of the precipitation; the groundwater runoff in 2000 amounts to 6% and shows 8% decrease during the period from 1975 to 2000.