• 제목/요약/키워드: Precipitation pattern

검색결과 352건 처리시간 0.027초

강수 및 비 강수 사례 판별을 위한 최적화된 패턴 분류기 설계 (Design of Optimized Pattern Classifier for Discrimination of Precipitation and Non-precipitation Event)

  • 송찬석;김현기;오성권
    • 전기학회논문지
    • /
    • 제64권9호
    • /
    • pp.1337-1346
    • /
    • 2015
  • In this paper, pattern classifier is designed to classify precipitation and non-precipitation events from weather radar data. The proposed classifier is based on Fuzzy Neural Network(FNN) and consists of three FNNs which operate in parallel. In the proposed network, the connection weights of the consequent part of fuzzy rules are expressed as two polynomial types such as constant or linear polynomial function, and their coefficients are learned by using Least Square Estimation(LSE). In addition, parametric as well as structural factors of the proposed classifier are optimized through Differential Evolution(DE) algorithm. After event classification between precipitation and non-precipitation echo, non-precipitation event is to get rid of all echo, while precipitation event including non-precipitation echo is to get rid of non-precipitation echo by classifier that is also based on Fuzzy Neural Network. Weather radar data obtained from meteorological office is to analysis and discuss performance of the proposed event and echo patter classifier, result of echo pattern classifier compare to QC(Quality Control) data obtained from meteorological office.

기상레이더를 이용한 뉴로-퍼지 알고리즘 기반 강수/비강수 패턴분류 시스템 설계 : 사례 분류기 및 에코 분류기 (Design of Precipitation/non-precipitation Pattern Classification System based on Neuro-fuzzy Algorithm using Meteorological Radar Data : Instance Classifier and Echo Classifier)

  • 고준현;김현기;오성권
    • 전기학회논문지
    • /
    • 제64권7호
    • /
    • pp.1114-1124
    • /
    • 2015
  • In this paper, precipitation / non-precipitation pattern classification of meteorological radar data is conducted by using neuro-fuzzy algorithm. Structure expression of meteorological radar data information is analyzed in order to effectively classify precipitation and non-precipitation. Also diverse input variables for designing pattern classifier could be considered by exploiting the quantitative as well as qualitative characteristic of meteorological radar data information and then each characteristic of input variables is analyzed. Preferred pattern classifier can be designed by essential input variables that give a decisive effect on output performance as well as model architecture. As the proposed model architecture, neuro-fuzzy algorithm is designed by using FCM-based radial basis function neural network(RBFNN). Two parts of classifiers such as instance classifier part and echo classifier part are designed and carried out serially in the entire system architecture. In the instance classifier part, the pattern classifier identifies between precipitation and non-precipitation data. In the echo classifier part, because precipitation data information identified by the instance classifier could partially involve non-precipitation data information, echo classifier is considered to classify between them. The performance of the proposed classifier is evaluated and analyzed when compared with existing QC method.

강수일과 그 연변화형에 의한 한국의 지역구분 (Regional Division of Korea by Precipitation Days and Annual Change Pattern)

  • 박현욱
    • 한국환경과학회지
    • /
    • 제4권5호
    • /
    • pp.1-1
    • /
    • 1995
  • An attempt was made to study the subdivision of Korea by the annual amount and the annual change pattern of monthly precipitation days(that is one of the important elements of the precipitation characteristics), using the mean values for the years 1961-1990 at the 68 stations. The amplitudes of annual change were normalized and using these values, the principal component analysis was applied to determine the annual change patterns. The results show that they are expressed by the combinations of the three change patterns in almost whole regions of Korea. As a result,the annual change pattern of precipitation days in Korea is classified into 8 types from A to e,in detail, 36 types from A0 to e$\circled2$.And regional division of precipitation days in Korea is divided into 13 regions from I a to IIIC,into detail, 41 regions from I no to IIICl.

강수일과 그 연변화형에 의한 한국의 지역구분 (Regional Division of Korea by Precipitation Days and Annual Change Pattern)

  • 박현욱
    • 한국환경과학회지
    • /
    • 제4권5호
    • /
    • pp.387-402
    • /
    • 1995
  • An attempt was made to study the subdivision of Korea by the annual amount and the annual change pattern of monthly precipitation days(that is one of the important elements of the precipitation characteristics), using the mean values for the years 1961-1990 at the 68 stations. The amplitudes of annual change were normalized and using these values, the principal component analysis was applied to determine the annual change patterns. The results show that they are expressed by the combinations of the three change patterns in almost whole regions of Korea. As a result, the annual change pattern of precipitation days in Korea is classified into 8 types from A to e, in detail, 36 types from A0 to e$\circled2$.And regional division of precipitation days in Korea is divided into 13 regions from I a to IIIC, into detail, 41 regions from I no to IIICl.

  • PDF

중풍환자의 변증(辨證)과 기온 및 강수여부와의 상관성에 관한 연구 (The correlation between average temperature & precipitation and Pattern Identification of the patients with stroke)

  • 마미진;김보람;김미경;최동준;한창호;정승현;신길조;이원철
    • 대한중풍순환신경학회지
    • /
    • 제9권1호
    • /
    • pp.8-13
    • /
    • 2008
  • Objectives : This study was to investigated the correlation between average temperature & precipitation and pattern identification of the patients with stroke. Methods : 115 stroke patients within 30days of onset were registered during the study period. Pattern identification of stroke was classified into Fire and heat, Turbid phlegm and others. We took the mean of average temperature according to pattern identification and analyzed pattern identification into two groups according to climatological normal of average temperature in Seoul. We also analyzed pattern identification into two groups according to existence of precipitation. Results : Heat and fire, and other type of pattern identification had high frequency when average temperature was higher than 12.2℃. And there was no correlation between precipitation and pattern identification of stroke.

  • PDF

한국 강수량의 연 변동과 중국 및 일본 강수량과의 비교 연구 (Interannual Variations of the Precipitation in Korea and the Comparison with Those in China and Japan)

  • Jo, Wan-Kuen;Weisel, C.P.
    • 한국환경과학회지
    • /
    • 제4권4호
    • /
    • pp.345-356
    • /
    • 1995
  • Examining the precipitation data collected during the period from 1960 to 1993, we found that Taegu Station represents an optimum station for explaining the interannual variations of the precipitation in Korea. Using the variations derived from Taegu, the secular trends of the precipitation in Korea have been studied. It was 삽so found that the interannual variations of summer monsoon precipitation are consistent with those of the annual precipitation. To explore the interannual variations of the summer monsoon precipitation, comparisons of the summer precipitation in Korea with that in China and Japan were made. The results of the empirical orthogonal function analysis showed that Korea, the Yangtze River and Huaihe River valley, and the south Japan are all located in the same climate system during summer. The detailed analysis was carried out on the comparison of the summer precipitation in Korea with that in the eastern part of the the mainland China. We found that the correlation pattern is similar to the East Asia/pacific pattern. The probable effects of the sea surface temperature on the precipitation in Korea were also discussed. Key Words : Precipitation in Korea, rainy seasons in East Asia, monsoon precipitation, interannual variations.

  • PDF

월 PMP 개념의 적용에 관한 연구 (A Study of Adoption on the Concept of Monthly Probable Maximum Precipitation)

  • 최한규;김남원;최용묵;윤희섭
    • 산업기술연구
    • /
    • 제21권B호
    • /
    • pp.241-248
    • /
    • 2001
  • Normally at a flood season the operation of the dam depends on a short range weather forecast that makes many difficulties of the management at a dry season. It is needed to study the pattern of the long period rainfall. The concept of PMP(Probable Maximum Precipitation) was used for designing dam. From the concept, this study is applied the concept of monthly probable maximum precipitation for operating dam. It can be possible to let us know the appropriateness of a limiting water level at a rainy season. For the operation of dam at a dry season this study can predict roughly the flood season's pattern of precipitation by month or period, therfore the prediction of precipitation can rise efficient operation of a dam.

  • PDF

베이지안 방법을 이용한 우리나라 강수특성(1954-2007)의 변화시점 및 변화유형 분석 (Change-point and Change Pattern of Precipitation Characteristics using Bayesian Method over South Korea from 1954 to 2007)

  • 김찬수;서명석
    • 대기
    • /
    • 제19권2호
    • /
    • pp.199-211
    • /
    • 2009
  • In this paper, we examine the multiple change-point and change pattern in the 54 years (1954-2007) time series of the annual and the heavy precipitation characteristics (amount, days and intensity) averaged over South Korea. A Bayesian approach is used for detecting of mean and/or variance changes in a sequence of independent univariate normal observations. Using non-informative priors for the parameters, the Bayesian model selection is performed by the posterior probability through the intrinsic Bayes factor of Berger and Pericchi (1996). To investigate the significance of the changes in the precipitation characteristics between before and after the change-point, the posterior probability and 90% highest posterior density credible intervals are examined. The results showed that no significant changes have occurred in the annual precipitation characteristics (amount, days and intensity) and the heavy precipitation intensity. On the other hand, a statistically significant single change has occurred around 1996 or 1997 in the heavy precipitation days and amount. The heavy precipitation amount and days have increased after the change-point but no changes in the variances.

김해지역의 산성강우와 기압유형 (Weather Patterns and Acid Rain at Kimhae Area)

  • 박종길;황용식
    • 한국환경과학회지
    • /
    • 제8권3호
    • /
    • pp.271-280
    • /
    • 1999
  • This study was carried out to investigate the characteristics of acidity in the precipitation and weather patterns that were influenced it at Kimhae area from March, 1992 to June, 1994. The range of pH value in the precipitation at Kimhae is 3.45 to 6.80 and the average is pH 4.62, and the major anion components associated with acidity in the precipitation are $Cl^-, SO_4^{-2}, NO_3^-$. These distributions are to be expected the influence of industrialization such as, urbanization and construction of industrial complex at Kimhae area and the long range trasporting of air pollutants from China. The weather patterns governing the acid rain at Kimhae were classified broadly into four types(Cyclone(type I-a, type I-b), Migratory Anticyclone(type II), Tropical Cyclone(type III), Siberia High(type IV) and weather pattern which had the most occurrence frequency of acid rain was type I-a and the average pH value of precipitation in this pattern was 4.45, and we are found that the source area of air mass which was accompanied with high acidic precipitation in Kimhae was the central China include with Peking through the analysis of surface weather maps, 850 hPa wind fields, and the streamline analyses.

  • PDF

기후변화에 따른 강수량의 시공간적 발생 패턴의 변화 분석 (Changes in the Spatiotemporal Patterns of Precipitation Due to Climate Change)

  • 김대준;강대균;박주현;김진희;김용석
    • 한국농림기상학회지
    • /
    • 제23권4호
    • /
    • pp.424-433
    • /
    • 2021
  • 최근의 기후변화는 지구촌 곳곳에 이상기상 현상을 발생시키며, 사회 여러 분야에서 많은 피해를 발생시키고 있다. 특히 최근에는 호우 또는 가뭄 등 강수량의 많고 적음으로 인한 피해가 많이 보고되고 있는데, 본 연구에서는 실제로 우리나라에서 발생하고 있는 강수량의 발생 패턴을 조사하여 과거에서 현재까지 어떤 변화를 보이는지 분석해보고자 하였다. 이를 위해 선행연구에서 기후변화에 따른 강수량의 시간적 특성 비교를 위해 제시한 강수지표 중 일부를 선정하였다. 지점별 시간에 따른 변화를 분석하기 위하여 국내 기상청 ASOS 관측소 10개 지점을 지역분포를 고려하여 선정하였으며, 지점별로 1951년부터 2020년까지의 일적산강수량을 수집하였다. 또한 산악강수모형을 이용하여 1981년부터 2020년까지의 전국 고해상도의 일별 강수분포도를 제작하여 분석에 활용하였다. 시간에 따른 분석결과 연적산강수량의 경우 과거에서 현재로 이동하면서 증가 양상을 보였다. 강수일수의 경우 대부분의 관측지점에서 감소하는 추세를 보였으며, 호우일수의 경우는 반대로 증가하는 경향을 보였다. 공간적인 변화의 경우 강수일수와 호우일수 모두 과거에 비해 감소되는 지역이 많았으며, 그 특징은 중부지방에서 두드러지게 나타났다. 결과적으로 우리나라의 강수량의 패턴은 짧아진 강수일수, 늘어난 일별 강수량으로의 변화로 정리할 수 있다.