• 제목/요약/키워드: Potential Demand

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몽골 유가공 체험관광 잠재수요 추정 (Estimation of Potential Demand for Dairy Processing Experience Tourism in Mongolia)

  • 소드놈락차 카그쟈바브;김세혁;김태균;최세현
    • 한국유기농업학회지
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    • 제31권4호
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    • pp.343-355
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    • 2023
  • Dairy processing experience tourism, that combines production, processing, and services, can be a good alternative to increase added value in Mongolian livestock industry. In addition, in order to successfully pursue this, it is necessary to first identify consumers' potential demand for the experience tourism and the factors affecting demand. Accordingly, this study estimated consumers' potential demand for dairy processing experience tourism using data from 758 people obtained through an online survey targeting Ulaanbaatar residents. As a result of the estimation, it was found that the variables that affect potential demand are the experience fees, average monthly household income, gender, age, arol consumption, and education level. The potential demand for dairy processing experience tourism was measured by multiplying the population of Ulaanbaatar by the estimated probability of accepting the experience tourism, and the total revenue was maximum at 32.303 million Tuk when the experience fee was 50,000 Tuk. The implications based on the analysis results are that, in order to promote participation in the experience tourism, it is necessary to promote it primarily to people with high average monthly household income, high level of education, younger age groups, and male. It can be said that preference is high and sufficient potential demand exists, but it is suggested that appropriate setting of experience fees is important.

농촌어메니티 및 도시수요를 고려한 그린투어리즘 잠재력 평가기법 개발 (Development of Green-Tourism Potential Evaluation Method Considering Rural Amenity and Demand of Citizen)

  • 배승종
    • 농촌계획
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    • 제14권4호
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    • pp.109-119
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    • 2008
  • The objectives of this study are to develop a green tourism potential evaluation method with rural amenity and demand of citizen. The new index which was named GPD(green tourism potential degree) is designed to propose the green tourism potential of rural areas using spatial analysis of geographic information system and spatial interaction of gravity model. And in order to evaluate the green tourism potential with supply side and demand side, two indices were defined; One is green tourism demand degree(GDD) which is developed to quantify a demand side potential by the analysis of urban population and urbanization index, and the other is green tourism attraction degree(GAD) which is developed to quantify a supply side potential by the analysis of rural amenity values using AHP algorithm, based on opinion of related experts. The developed method was applied to a part of Kyounggi province, Seoul and Incheon. All the study area's GAD, GDD and GPD were assessed and the proposed green tourism potential evaluation method could be used in developing rural development plans and green tourism policies considering spatial interaction with citizen and green tourism resources.

Study of Peak Load Demand Estimation Methodology by Pearson Correlation Analysis with Macro-economic Indices and Power Generation Considering Power Supply Interruption

  • Song, Jiyoung;Lee, Jaegul;Kim, Taekyun;Yoon, Yongbeum
    • Journal of Electrical Engineering and Technology
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    • 제12권4호
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    • pp.1427-1434
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    • 2017
  • Since the late 2000s, there has been growing preparation in South Korea for a sudden reunification of South and North Korea. Particularly in the power industry field, thorough preparations for the construction of a power infrastructure after reunification are necessary. The first step is to estimate the peak load demand. In this paper, we suggest a new peak demand estimation methodology by integrating existing correlation analysis methods between economic indicators and power generation quantities with a power supply interruption model in consideration of power consumption patterns. Through this, the potential peak demand and actual peak demand of the Nation, which experiences power supply interruption can be estimated. For case studies on North Korea after reunification, the potential peak demand in 2015 was estimated at 5,189 MW, while the actual peak demand within the same year was recorded as 2,461 MW. The estimated potential peak demand can be utilized as an important factor when planning the construction of power system facilities in preparation for reunification.

북한 황해남도지역 농업용수 수요량의 추정(관개배수 \circled2) (Estimation of Agricultural Water Demand in Hwanghae South Province, North Korea)

  • 장민원;정하우
    • 한국농공학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국농공학회 2000년도 학술발표회 발표논문집
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    • pp.175-180
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    • 2000
  • The purposes of this study were to determine an algorithm for estimating agricultural water demand of remote sites using remote sensing data and to apply it to Hwanghae South Province and estimate the present and potential water demand for agriculture use. 3 Landsat-5 TM images and DEM(100${\times}$100mm) were used for classification of the existing land cover and land suitability analysis for paddy fields. Also, 20 years meteorological data of North Korea were used for calculating the potential evapotranspiration by Blaney-Criddle eq. and net water demand. The results showed that the present and potential agricultural water demand and the developable area for paddy fields is about 89,300㏊.

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산업체 전력다소비 설비의 수요관리 기여도 및 효율향상 보급에 대한 경제성 평가분석 (Contributions of Large-Industrial Enterprise to Demand-Side Management and Economic Analysis on Diffusion of Energy Efficiency Measures)

  • 김성철;박종진
    • 조명전기설비학회논문지
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    • 제26권2호
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    • pp.18-26
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    • 2012
  • Though electricity consumption amount in industry has been increased gradually, corresponding power supply show symptoms of marginal point. Importance of demand-side management from large-industries has also been raised. This paper deals with induction motor, which is one of representative examples of heavy electricity consumption utilities, to analyze potential technical capability, economic feasibility from consumers' viewpoint and demand-side management feasibility from nation-wide perspective. Nation-wide economic feasibility analysis was done through California test, which has been used as demand-side management evaluation model. This paper also describes limitation of existing high efficiency induction motor in terms of contribution to demand-side management and utilizes premium motor to calculate demand-side management contribution level and economic feasibility evaluation. Likewise, this paper emphasizes the efficiency improvement of induction motor and analyzes how much premium motor related technologies can contribute to demand-side management.

도시민의 농촌이주 수요모형 분석: 정착자금 지원효과를 중심으로 (Modeling Demand for Rural Settlement of Urban Residents)

  • 이희찬
    • 농촌계획
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    • 제15권2호
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    • pp.97-110
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    • 2009
  • The objective of this research was to develop a rural settlement demand model to analyze the determinants of settlement demand of urban residents. The point aimed at from model development was deriving stated preference of potential consumers towards rural settlement through setting a hypothetical market, and using settlement subsidy as a surrogate variable for price in the demand model. The adequate demand model deducted from hypothetical market data was derived from the basis of Hanemann's utility difference theory. In the rural settlement demand model, willingness to accept was expressed by a function of settlement subsidy. Data utilized in the analysis was collected from surveys of households nationwide. According to inferred results of the demand model, settlement subsidy had a significant influence on increasing demand for rural settlement. A significant common element was found among variables affecting demand increase through demand curve shift. The majority group of those with high rural settlement demand sought agricultural activity as their main motive, due to harsh urban environments aggravated by unstable job market conditions. Subsequently, restriction of income opportunities in rural areas does not produce an entrance barrier for potential rural settlers. Moreover, this argument could be supported by the common trend of those with high rural settlement demand generally tending to have low incomes. Due to such characteristics of concerned groups of rural settlement demand, they tended to react susceptibly to the subsidy provided by the government and local autonomous entities.

Potential Impact of Graphic Health Warnings on Cigarette Packages in Reducing Cigarette Demand and Smoking-Related Deaths in Vietnam

  • Hoang, Van Minh;Le, Hong Chung;Kim, Bao Giang;Duong, Minh Duc;Nguyen, Duc Hinh;Vu, Quynh Mai;Nguyen, Manh Cuong;Pham, Duc Manh;Ha, Anh Duc;Yang, Jui-Chen
    • Asian Pacific Journal of Cancer Prevention
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    • 제17권sup1호
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    • pp.85-90
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    • 2016
  • Two years after implementation of the graphic health warning intervention in Vietnam, it is very important to evaluate the intervention's potential impact. The objective of this paper was to predict effects of graphic health warnings on cigarette packages, particularly in reducing cigarette demand and smoking-associated deaths in Vietnam. In this study, a discrete choice experiment (DCE) method was used to evaluate the potential impact of graphic tobacco health warnings on smoking demand. To predict the impact of GHWs on reducing premature deaths associated with smoking, we constructed different static models. We adapted the method developed by University of Toronto, Canada and found that GHWs had statistically significant impact on reducing cigarette demand (up to 10.1% through images of lung damage), resulting in an overall decrease of smoking prevalence in Vietnam. We also found that between 428,417- 646,098 premature deaths would be prevented as a result of the GHW intervention. The potential impact of the GHW labels on reducing premature smoking-associated deaths in Vietnam were shown to be stronger among lower socio-economic groups.

DSM 잠재량 평가절차 및 알고리즘 개발 (Development of DSM Potential Evaluation Procedures and Algorithm)

  • 이창호;박종진
    • 대한전기학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 대한전기학회 1997년도 하계학술대회 논문집 D
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    • pp.917-919
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    • 1997
  • Recently, electric industry confront a strategical change and high competiveness environment in the course of deregulation. Especially, rapid growth in electricity demand, financial need for new power plant construction, and environmental problems have led to search for more efficient energy production and energy conservation technologies in Korea. Due to the potential energy and cost savings, DSM(Demand-Side Management) plays and important role in the electric resource planning. In this paper, we suggest DSM potential evaluation procedures and algorithm. Also, we present screening analysis methods for DSM potential evaluation.

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업무용 부문의 DSM 잠재량 평가절차 및 절전잠재량 추정 (DSM Potential Evaluation and Procedures on Commercial Sector)

  • 이창호;박종진;조인승
    • 대한전기학회논문지:전력기술부문A
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    • 제48권5호
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    • pp.531-537
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    • 1999
  • This paper presents the evaluaton procedures and the estimation model for DSM potential on commercial sector in Korea. In general, the evaluation process of the potential savings for DSM measures or programs consists of baseline electricity consumption forecast and potential evaluation such as technical potential(TP), economic potnetial(EP), and achievable potential(AP). A library of energy conservation measures applicable to each end-use or apparatus is developed, and energy savings and other factors are applied to the baseline demand estimates of consumption to produce potential savings estimates. The purpose of this paper is to establish the evaluation process of those DSM potential for commercial sector. In case study, we applied it to commercial sector for horizon years by end-use.

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GIS를 기반으로 한 산림바이오에너지의 공급 및 수요 잠재지도 작성 (A GIS-based Supply and Demand Potential Mapping of Forestry-biomass Energy)

  • 이정수;이후철;서환석
    • 한국산림과학회지
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    • 제98권3호
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    • pp.311-318
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    • 2009
  • 본 연구는 GIS를 이용하여 산림 바이오 에너지에 대한 공급 및 수요의 잠재량을 파악하고, 잠재지도 제작을 목적으로 하였다. 산림이 많고, 지리적으로 같은 위치에 해당하는 강원도 영동 지방 4개 시군(고성군, 양양군, 강릉시, 삼척시)을 연구 지역으로 선정하였으며, 수치 임상도의 임상과 영급정보, 통계연보의 가구수 정보를 GIS 자료 형태로 전환한 후 산림 바이오에너지의 잠재된 공급량과 수요량을 파악하였다. 숲가꾸기사업 계획을 기초로 가구수를 고려한 수요대비 잠재적 공급가능량은 약 3,144 Tcal로써, 시군단위에 상관없이 초과공급이 가능한 것으로 나타났으나, 강원도의 평균 수집률인 10%를 고려하면, 시의 경우 6%, 군은 15% 공급 가능한 것으로 나타났다. 한편, 수집률 변화에 따른 공급가능성을 비교한 결과, 60% 이상인 경우, 초과공급이 가능한 지역이 발생하였다.