• Title/Summary/Keyword: Posterior Probability

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Recursive Unscented Kalman Filtering based SLAM using a Large Number of Noisy Observations

  • Lee, Seong-Soo;Lee, Suk-Han;Kim, Dong-Sung
    • International Journal of Control, Automation, and Systems
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    • v.4 no.6
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    • pp.736-747
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    • 2006
  • Simultaneous Localization and Map Building(SLAM) is one of the fundamental problems in robot navigation. The Extended Kalman Filter(EKF), which is widely adopted in SLAM approaches, requires extensive computation. The conventional particle filter also needs intense computation to cover a high dimensional state space with particles. This paper proposes an efficient SLAM method based on the recursive unscented Kalman filtering in an environment including a large number of landmarks. The posterior probability distributions of the robot pose and the landmark locations are represented by their marginal Gaussian probability distributions. In particular, the posterior probability distribution of the robot pose is calculated recursively. Each landmark location is updated with the recursively updated robot pose. The proposed method reduces filtering dimensions and computational complexity significantly, and has produced very encouraging results for navigation experiments with noisy multiple simultaneous observations.

Utterance Verification Using Search Confusion Rate and Its N-Best Approach

  • Kim, Kyu-Hong;Kim, Hoi-Rin;Hahn, Min-Soo
    • ETRI Journal
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    • v.27 no.4
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    • pp.461-464
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    • 2005
  • Recently, a variety of confidence measures for utterance verification has been studied to improve speech recognition performance by rejecting out-of-vocabulary inputs. Most of the conventional confidence measures for utterance verification are based primarily on hypothesis testing or an approximated posterior probability, and their performances depend on the robustness of an alternative hypothesis or the prior probability. We introduce a novel confidence measure called a search confusion rate (SCR), which does not require an alternative hypothesis or the approximation of posterior probability. Our confusion-based approach shows better performance in additive noise-corrupted speech as well as in clean speech.

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SOME POPULAR WAVELET DISTRIBUTION

  • Nadarajah, Saralees
    • Bulletin of the Korean Mathematical Society
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    • v.44 no.2
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    • pp.265-270
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    • 2007
  • The modern approach for wavelets imposes a Bayesian prior model on the wavelet coefficients to capture the sparseness of the wavelet expansion. The idea is to build flexible probability models for the marginal posterior densities of the wavelet coefficients. In this note, we derive exact expressions for a popular model for the marginal posterior density.

Change-point and Change Pattern of Precipitation Characteristics using Bayesian Method over South Korea from 1954 to 2007 (베이지안 방법을 이용한 우리나라 강수특성(1954-2007)의 변화시점 및 변화유형 분석)

  • Kim, Chansoo;Suh, Myoung-Seok
    • Atmosphere
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    • v.19 no.2
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    • pp.199-211
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    • 2009
  • In this paper, we examine the multiple change-point and change pattern in the 54 years (1954-2007) time series of the annual and the heavy precipitation characteristics (amount, days and intensity) averaged over South Korea. A Bayesian approach is used for detecting of mean and/or variance changes in a sequence of independent univariate normal observations. Using non-informative priors for the parameters, the Bayesian model selection is performed by the posterior probability through the intrinsic Bayes factor of Berger and Pericchi (1996). To investigate the significance of the changes in the precipitation characteristics between before and after the change-point, the posterior probability and 90% highest posterior density credible intervals are examined. The results showed that no significant changes have occurred in the annual precipitation characteristics (amount, days and intensity) and the heavy precipitation intensity. On the other hand, a statistically significant single change has occurred around 1996 or 1997 in the heavy precipitation days and amount. The heavy precipitation amount and days have increased after the change-point but no changes in the variances.

Texture Segmentation Using Statistical Characteristics of SOM and Multiscale Bayesian Image Segmentation Technique (SOM의 통계적 특성과 다중 스케일 Bayesian 영상 분할 기법을 이용한 텍스쳐 분할)

  • Kim Tae-Hyung;Eom Il-Kyu;Kim Yoo-Shin
    • Journal of the Institute of Electronics Engineers of Korea SP
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    • v.42 no.6
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    • pp.43-54
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    • 2005
  • This paper proposes a novel texture segmentation method using Bayesian image segmentation method and SOM(Self Organization feature Map). Multi-scale wavelet coefficients are used as the input of SOM, and likelihood and a posterior probability for observations are obtained from trained SOMs. Texture segmentation is performed by a posterior probability from trained SOMs and MAP(Maximum A Posterior) classification. And the result of texture segmentation is improved by context information. This proposed segmentation method shows better performance than segmentation method by HMT(Hidden Markov Tree) model. The texture segmentation results by SOM and multi-sclae Bayesian image segmentation technique called HMTseg also show better performance than by HMT and HMTseg.

Empirical Bayes Posterior Odds Ratio for Heteroscedastic Classification

  • Kim, Hea-Jung
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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    • v.16 no.2
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    • pp.92-101
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    • 1987
  • Our interest is to access in some way teh relative odds or probability that a multivariate observation Z belongs to one of k multivariate normal populations with unequal covariance matrices. We derived the empirical Bayes posterior odds ratio for the classification rule when population parameters are unknown. It is a generalization of the posterior odds ratio suggested by Gelsser (1964). The classification rule does not have complicated distribution theory which a large variety of techniques from the sampling viewpoint have. The proposed posterior odds ratio is compared to the Gelsser's posterior odds ratio through a Monte Carlo study. The results show that the empiricla Bayes posterior odds ratio, in general, performs better than the Gelsser's. Especially, for large dimension of Z and small training sample, the performance is prominent.

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Noninformative Priors for the Intraclass Coefficient of a Symmetric Normal Distribution

  • Chang, In-Hong;Kim, Byung-Hwee
    • Proceedings of the Korean Statistical Society Conference
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    • 2003.10a
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    • pp.15-19
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    • 2003
  • In this paper, we develop the Jeffreys' prior, reference priors and the probability matching priors for the intraclass correlation coefficient of a symmetric normal distribution. We next verify propriety of posterior distributions under those noninformative priors. We examine whether reference priors satisfy the probability matching criterion.

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The Weighted Polya Posterior Confidence Interval For the Difference Between Two Independent Proportions (독립표본에서 두 모비율의 차이에 대한 가중 POLYA 사후분포 신뢰구간)

  • Lee Seung-Chun
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.19 no.1
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    • pp.171-181
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    • 2006
  • The Wald confidence interval has been considered as a standard method for the difference of proportions. However, the erratic behavior of the coverage probability of the Wald confidence interval is recognized in various literatures. Various alternatives have been proposed. Among them, Agresti-Caffo confidence interval has gained the reputation because of its simplicity and fairly good performance in terms of coverage probability. It is known however, that the Agresti-Caffo confidence interval is conservative. In this note, a confidence interval is developed using the weighted Polya posterior which was employed to obtain a confidence interval for the binomial proportion in Lee(2005). The resulting confidence interval is simple and effective in various respects such as the closeness of the average coverage probability to the nominal confidence level, the average expected length and the mean absolute error of the coverage probability. Practically it can be used for the interval estimation of the difference of proportions for any sample sizes and parameter values.

A BAYESIAN METHOD FOR FINDING MINIMUM GENERALIZED VARIANCE AMONG K MULTIVARIATE NORMAL POPULATIONS

  • Kim, Hea-Jung
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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    • v.32 no.4
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    • pp.411-423
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    • 2003
  • In this paper we develop a method for calculating a probability that a particular generalized variance is the smallest of all the K multivariate normal generalized variances. The method gives a way of comparing K multivariate populations in terms of their dispersion or spread, because the generalized variance is a scalar measure of the overall multivariate scatter. Fully parametric frequentist approach for the probability is intractable and thus a Bayesian method is pursued using a variant of weighted Monte Carlo (WMC) sampling based approach. Necessary theory involved in the method and computation is provided.

Interval Estimation for a Binomial Proportion Based on Weighted Polya Posterior (이항 비율의 가중 POLYA POSTERIOR 구간추정)

  • Lee Seung-Chun
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.18 no.3
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    • pp.607-615
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    • 2005
  • Recently the interval estimation of a binomial proportion is revisited in various literatures. This is mainly due to the erratic behavior of the coverage probability of the will-known Wald confidence interval. Various alternatives have been proposed. Among them, Agresti-Coull confidence interval has been recommended by Brown et al. (2001) with other confidence intervals for large sample, say n $\ge$ 40. On the other hand, a noninformative Bayesian approach called Polya posterior often produces statistics with good frequentist's properties. In this note, an interval estimator is developed using weighted Polya posterior. The resulting interval estimator is essentially the Agresti-Coull confidence interval with some improved features. It is shown that the weighted Polys posterior produce an effective interval estimator for small sample size and a severely skewed binomial distribution.