• 한국산림과학회지
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• 제90권3호
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• pp.324-330
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• 2001

본 연구는 비선형모델인 퍼지이론을 이용하여 화성암 지역의 임도성토사면을 대상으로 붕괴가능성 예측모델을 개발하였다. 그 결과는 다음과 같다. 임도 성토사면 붕괴요인의 중요도는 성토사면길이, 성토사면경사, 사면구성물질, 사면방위, 노선위치 등의 순으로 나타났으며, 붕괴위험도는 성토사면길이 8m 이상, 성토사면경사 $40^{\circ}$ 이상, 풍화암 사면, 북동사면 및 능선부 사면에서 크게 나타났다. 임도 성토사면의 붕괴예측 모델은 퍼지적분값 0.5를 기준으로 할 때, 최적화 계수(c)가 0.15, ${\lambda}$값이 3.1165인 경우에 최적 모델로 산출되었으며, 이때의 판별적중률은 86.8%로 모델의 적합성이 매우 높은 것으로 나타났다.

• 디지털융복합연구
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• 제12권3호
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• pp.243-248
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• 2014

최근 태양광에너지는 실시간 태양의 위치를 추적하여 모듈경사각과 이루는 갓을 산정하여 일사량을 보정하는 부분에서 컴퓨팅과의 결합이 확대되고 있다. 태양광 발전은 태양의 위치에 따라 출력변동이 심하고 출력 예측이 어려워 효율적인 전력 생산을 위해서 신재생에너지를 전력계통에 안정적으로 연계할 수 있는 기술이 필요하다. 본 논문에서는 실증단지 내 발전단지의 실시간 기상자료 예측값을 이용하여 최종적으로 태양광 발전량 예측값을 산정하는 태양광 발전을 위한 발전량 예측 모델을 분석한다. 태양광 발전량은 태양광 발전기별 모듈특성, 온도 등을 감안하여 보정계수를 입력하고 예측 지역의 위치 경사각을 분석하여 발전량 예측 계산 알고리즘을 통해 최종 발전량을 예측한다. 또한, 제안 모델에서는 실시간 기상청 관측자료와 실시간 중기 예측 자료를 입력 자료로 사용하여 단기 예측 모델을 수행한다.

• 한국항해항만학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국항해항만학회 2022년도 춘계학술대회
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• pp.313-314
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• 2022

지능형 해상교통정보서비스(바다내비)는 선박에 설치한 LTE-Maritime 송수신기 및 AIS 등의 선박 장비로부터 육상 센터에 주기적으로 수집한 선박들의 위치 정보 기반으로 선박의 충돌·좌초 등을 예방할 수 있도록 실시간 예방 정보를 선박에 제공한다. 그러나 위 서비스는 선박의 위치를 측정하는 GPS 위치 정보가 LTE-Maritime 또는 AIS 망을 통해 전송되는 과정 중에 끊기거나 위치 튐 및 지연 등의 현상이 발생할 수 있어 선박 위치 정보의 신뢰성을 떨어드릴 수 있다. 본 연구는 확률에 기반한 최적 추정 필터인 칼만필터를 이용하여 기존 수신 위치정보를 기반으로 선박 위치 예측을 통해 비정상 구간에서도 어느 정도 신뢰성 있는 위치 정보를 추정하는 것을 목표로 한다.

• 유통과학연구
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• 제17권11호
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• pp.73-79
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• 2019

Purpose: The purpose of this study was evaluated to compare the predictive power of distress prediction models by using discriminant analysis method and logit analysis method for food service franchise industry in Korea. Research design, data and methodology: Forty-six food service franchise industry with high sales volume in the 2017 were selected as the sample food service franchise industry for analysis. The fourteen financial ratios for analysis were calculated from the data in the 2017 statement of financial position and income statement of forty-six food service franchise industry in Korea. The fourteen financial ratios were used as sample data and analyzed by t-test. As a result seven statistically significant independent variables were chosen. The analysis method of the distress prediction model was performed by logit analysis and multiple discriminant analysis. Results: The difference between the average value of fourteen financial ratios of forty-six food service franchise industry was tested through t-test in order to extract variables that are classified as top-leveled and failure food service franchise industry among the financial ratios. As a result of the univariate test appears that the variables which differentiate the top-leveled food service franchise industry to failure food service industry are income to stockholders' equity, operating income to sales, current ratio, net income to assets, cash flows from operating activities, growth rate of operating income, and total assets turnover. The statistical significances of the seven financial ratio independent variables were also confirmed by logit analysis and discriminant analysis. Conclusions: The analysis results of the prediction accuracy of each distress prediction model in this study showed that the forecast accuracy of the prediction model by the discriminant analysis method was 84.8% and 89.1% by the logit analysis method, indicating that the logit analysis method has higher distress predictability than the discriminant analysis method. Comparing the previous distress prediction capability, which ranges from 75% to 85% by discriminant analysis and logit analysis, this study's prediction capacity, which is 84.8% in the discriminant analysis, and 89.1% in logit analysis, is found to belong to the range of previous study's prediction capacity range and is considered high number.

• Journal of Advanced Marine Engineering and Technology
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• 제41권1호
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• pp.56-61
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• 2017

본 논문은 시간지연이 있는 데이터의 예측기법과 햅틱기반의 원격조작시스템에서의 응용방법을 다룬다. 일반적으로 네트워크 환경은 데이터 전송에 따른 시간지연이 필수적으로 동반되며, 햅틱기반의 원격조작시스템이 이러한 네트워크 환경에 구현되는 경우 시간지연으로 인해 전체 시스템의 성능저하를 피할 수 없다. 이러한 상황을 고려하여, 본 논문은 ARMA모델을 기반으로 모델파라미터의 학습방법과 실시간 예측을 위한 재귀적 알고리즘을 제안한다. 제안된 방법은 가상공간에 놓인 물체에 대하여 양방향 햅틱 상호작용의 상황에서 5ms의 샘플링 주기로 획득한 햅틱데이터에 적용되며, 그 결과로서 100ms 이후의 값을 예측함에 있어 위치수준 오차 1mm이내의 예측성능을 보였다.

• Journal of Welding and Joining
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• 제31권5호
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• pp.7-14
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• 2013

The legitimacy of dominating factor in the high accuracy prediction of welding distortion was investigated for butt welding and fillet welding. When out-of-plane distortion was measured by the experiment objecting to butt welding, if tack welding was easily performed, the position of a neutral axis was variously changed by the irregularity. Then, there have been a case that out-of-plane distortion was generated in the unexpected direction. This case should be especially noted. New model for the experiment was proposed so as to solve this problem. As it was elucidated by the case of fillet welding, it was verified that the analysis should be carried out with satisfying the yield condition (especially at high temperature above 700 degree Celsius) and with closely simulating the penetration shape (heat input in weld metal) in order to solve the proposition that is the high accuracy prediction of welding distortion. It was confirmed that residual stress is highly predicted because welding distortion is highly predicted, too.

• 음성과학
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• 제10권4호
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• pp.7-21
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• 2003

Sums-of-Products models were built for segment duration prediction of spoken Korean. An experiment for the modelling was carried out to apply the results to Korean text-to-speech synthesis systems. 670 read sentences were analyzed. trained and tested for the construction of the duration models. Traditional sequential rule systems were extended to simple additive, multiplicative and additive-multiplicative models based on Sums-of-Products modelling. The parameters used in the modelling include the properties of the target segment and its neighbors and the target segment's position in the prosodic structure. Two optimisation strategies were used: the downhill simplex method and the simulated annealing method. The performance of the models was measured by the correlation coefficient and the root mean squared prediction error (RMSE) between actual and predicted duration in the test data. The best performance was obtained when the data was trained and tested by ' additive-multiplicative models. ' The correlation for the vowel duration prediction was 0.69 and the RMSE. 31.80 ms. while the correlation for the consonant duration prediction was 0.54 and the RMSE. 29.02 ms. The results were not good enough to be applied to the real-time text-to-speech systems. Further investigation of feature interactions is required for the better performance of the Sums-of-Products models.

• 대한전기학회:학술대회논문집
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• 대한전기학회 1999년도 추계학술대회 논문집 학회본부 B
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• pp.769-771
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• 1999

In general, the most of GIS is only deal with the material and geometric data which are position, radius, length etc except a corrosion data. In present, the owner of metallic structures having an interest in that my structures do corrode or not and how many life time is there? So, we need the development of GIS interconnected corrosion prediction system on the view point of the efficiency of operation and the protection for big accident. The results of development of its system are described in this paper. It can do life prediction and interference analysis and also newest corrosion data should be updated regularly.

• 한국음향학회지
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• 제18권8호
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• pp.100-107
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• 1999

셀룰라 방식의 마이크로셀 및 피코셀 이동통신에서 가입자 서비스가 시가지의 중심 도로를 따라 이루어지는 경우, 도심의 이동통신 전파환경을 보다 신속하고 정확히 해석할 수 있는 전파예측 모델을 제안한다. 그리고 PCS 이동통신 도심 전파환경의 가정하에 제안 전파예측 모델을 시뮬레이션하여 셀 내 지역별 수신 전계강도 분포를 분석하고 그 결과로서 마이크로셀 및 피코셀 이동통신 기지국의 최적 출력과 위치 조건을 제시한다.

• 통합자연과학논문집
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• 제12권1호
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• pp.14-19
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• 2019

In this paper, we propose a system for controlling the brightness of street lights by predicting pedestrian paths, identifying the position of pedestrians with motion sensing sensors and obtaining motion vectors based on past walking directions, then predicting pedestrian paths through the route prediction smart street lighting system. In addition, by using motion vector data, the pre-treatment process using linear interpolation method and the fuzzy system and neural network system were designed in parallel structure to increase efficiency and the rough set was used to correct errors. It is expected that the system proposed in this paper will be effective in securing the safety of pedestrians and reducing light pollution and energy by predicting the path of pedestrians in the detection of movement of pedestrians and in conjunction with smart street lightings.