• Title/Summary/Keyword: Portfolio Management

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Decision Supporting Methodology and System Based on Theory of Constraints for Optimal Product Portfolio Strategy in Shipbuilding Industry (제약이론을 기반으로 한 최적제품조합 의사결정 지원 방법론 및 시스템)

  • Kim, In-Il;Han, Seong-Hwan;Kwon, Min-Chull
    • Journal of the Society of Naval Architects of Korea
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    • v.46 no.3
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    • pp.362-371
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    • 2009
  • Shipbuilding is a typical 'build to order' industry. It has a business model that generates revenues from building various ships and offshore products in accordance with owner's requirements at each production stage. Under uncertainty in shipping market, it is very essential for the shipbuilder to prepare the fast and competitive decision for product portfolio strategy in order to maximize contribution margin by exploiting production facilities and constraints. In this study, we introduce the unique decision supporting methodology for the optimal product portfolio sets based on Theory of Constraints(TOC). This methodology is established by adopting the concept of Drum Buffer Rope(DBR) in constraints planning and Throughput Accounting (TA) in management accounting of TOC. In addition, Decision Supporting System(DSS) is implemented. This DSS system provides a throughput estimator with reflecting the cost structure of shipbuilding industry and a resource simulator built on heuristic algorithms to operate major constraint-resources in shipyard such as dock, quay and pre-erection area etc. Several examples are presented to show that the proposed methodology and system can effectively support the strategic decision-making process of a global shipbuilding company.

A Mechanism of IPP's(Coal Fired) Optimal Power Generation According to Introduction of RPS(Renewable Portfolio Standard) (RPS제도 도입에 따른 민간 석탄 발전소의 최적 발전량 결정 메커니즘 연구)

  • Ha, Sun-Woo;Lee, Sang-Joong
    • The Transactions of The Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers
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    • v.65 no.7
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    • pp.1135-1143
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    • 2016
  • A private company's 1,000 MW coal-fired power plant will be the first coal-fired power plant that was included in the 5th 'Basic Plan on Electricity Demand and Supply' (2010). Now it is facing the task to abide by the RPS(Renewable Portfolio Standard) policy after commercial operation. If they fail to supply the necessary REC (Renewable Energy Certificate) mandated by the RPS policy, they are subject to be fined by the government and forced to modify the cost function to reflect the burden. Eventually the company's coal-fired power plant will be forced to reduce generation to maximize profit because the amount of electricity generated by the power plant and the REC obligation is positively correlated. This paper analyzed the change of cost function of private coal-fired power plant according to the introduction of RPS policy from the viewpoint of private company, and finally proposed the optimal generation to maximize the profit of private coal-fired power plant under the current RPS policy.

Performance analysis of EVT-GARCH-Copula models for estimating portfolio Value at Risk (포트폴리오 VaR 측정을 위한 EVT-GARCH-코퓰러 모형의 성과분석)

  • Lee, Sang Hun;Yeo, Sung Chil
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.29 no.4
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    • pp.753-771
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    • 2016
  • Value at Risk (VaR) is widely used as an important tool for risk management of financial institutions. In this paper we discuss estimation and back testing for VaR of the portfolio composed of KOSPI, Dow Jones, Shanghai, Nikkei indexes. The copula functions are adopted to construct the multivariate distributions of portfolio components from marginal distributions that combine extreme value theory and GARCH models. Volatility models with t distribution of the error terms using Gaussian, t, Clayton and Frank copula functions are shown to be more appropriate than the other models, in particular the model using the Frank copula is shown to be the best.

Inter-Factor Determinants of Return Reversal Effect with Dynamic Bayesian Network Analysis: Empirical Evidence from Pakistan

  • HAQUE, Abdul;RAO, Marriam;QAMAR, Muhammad Ali Jibran
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • v.9 no.3
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    • pp.203-215
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    • 2022
  • Bayesian Networks are multivariate probabilistic factor graphs that are used to assess underlying factor relationships. From January 2005 to December 2018, the study examines how Dynamic Bayesian Networks can be utilized to estimate portfolio risk and return as well as determine inter-factor relationships among reversal profit-generating components in Pakistan's emerging market (PSX). The goal of this article is to uncover the factors that cause reversal profits in the Pakistani stock market. In visual form, Bayesian networks can generate causal and inferential probabilistic relationships. Investors might update their stock return values in the network simultaneously with fresh market information, resulting in a dynamic shift in portfolio risk distribution across the networks. The findings show that investments in low net profit margin, low investment, and high volatility-based designed portfolios yield the biggest dynamical reversal profits. The main triggering aspects related to generation reversal profits in the Pakistan market, in the long run, are net profit margin, market risk premium, investment, size, and volatility factor. Investors should invest in and build portfolios with small companies that have a low price-to-earnings ratio, small earnings per share, and minimal volatility, according to the most likely explanation.

A Study on Responsible Investment Strategies with ESG Rating Change (ESG 등급 변화를 이용한 책임투자전략 연구)

  • Young-Joon Lee;Yun-Sik Kang;Bohyun Yoon
    • Asia-Pacific Journal of Business
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    • v.13 no.4
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    • pp.79-89
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    • 2022
  • Purpose - The purpose of this study was to examine the impact of ESG rating changes of companies listed in Korean Stock Exchange on stock returns. Design/methodology/approach - This study collected prices and ESG ratings of all the companies listed on the Korea Composite Stock Price Index. Based on yearly change of ESG ratings we grouped companies as 2 portfolios(upgrade and downgrade) and calculated portfolios' return. Findings - First, the difference in returns between upgraded and downgraded portfolios is small and statistically insignificant. Second, however, in the COVID-19 period (2020 ~ 2021), the upgraded portfolio outperforms the downgraded portfolio by 0.7 percentage points per month. The difference in returns between upgraded and downgraded portfolios is statistically significant after controlling for the Carhart four factors. Lastly, there are much higher volatility when the ESG rating changes are made of companies with low levels of ESG ratings. Research implications or Originality - This study is the first to examine the impact of ESG rating changes on stock returns in Korea. Furthermore, the findings can serve as a reference for managers who want to control a firm's risk by ESG rating changes. Practically, asset managers can use the findings to construct portfolios that are less risky or more profitable than the market portfolio.

An Empirical Study of the Trading Rules on the basis of Market Anomalies and Technical Analysis (시장이상현상과 기술적 분석을 이용한 거래전략에 관한 연구)

  • Ohk, Ki-Yool;Lee, Min-Kyu
    • Management & Information Systems Review
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    • v.37 no.1
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    • pp.41-53
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    • 2018
  • This study validates the trading rules based market anomalies and technical analysis in the Korean stock market. For the analysis, we built decile portfolios on the basis of corporate characteristics factors that clearly demonstrate specific patterns of stock returns including the firm size, book-to-market equity, and accruals. This portfolio was used to develop a portfolio based on the moving average trading strategy which was used for popular technical analysis tools, and then that was evaluated using the Sharpe ratio. We also created a zero-cost portfolio to identify the profitability and success rate of the moving average trading strategy. We lastly sought to ensure a more robust evaluation by calculating the Sortino ratio of the portfolio based on the moving average trading strategy with various lags. Key findings from this validation are as follows. First, a smaller firm size, a higher book-to-market equity, and lower accruals led to larger average returns. Second, the risk-adjusted performance of the moving average trading strategy was the highest in terms of the firm size, followed by book-to-market equity and accruals. Third, the returns of the zero-cost portfolios all had a positive value, with its overall success rate hovering over 68.8%, demonstrating the successfulness of the moving average trading strategy. Fourth, various evaluations revealed the economic usefulness of our trading strategy that used market anomalies and technical analysis.

Analysis on the Patent Portfolio for Hidden Champion Companies: Focusing on the "Hidden Champion" companies introduced in Herman Simon's book (히든 챔피언 기업의 특허 포트폴리오 연구: 헤르만 지몬의 저서에 소개된 "히든 챔피언" 기업들을 중심으로)

  • Lee, Haeng-Byoung;Yang, Dong-Won
    • Journal of the Korea Convergence Society
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    • v.11 no.7
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    • pp.259-272
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    • 2020
  • In fostering dynamic, innovative SMEs, hidden champion companies can be an appropriate model for SMEs to learn the success factors. On the other hand, the need for intellectual property management is becoming important as the value of a company is changing from a financial asset to an intellectual property. Therefore, in this study, the patent portfolio analysis of the hidden champion companies mentioned in Herman Simmon's book "Hidden Champion" was performed. As a result of the analysis, it was confirmed that patents are not possessed or patent activities are actively carried out and a differentiated intellectual property management strategy is implemented to improve patent quality depending on the characteristics of the technology possessed. The results of these studies can be used as basic data to prepare an intellectual property management strategy for companies that want to create opportunities to acquire monopoly rights and reduce patent maintenance and management costs. In addition, in this study, the patent IPC analysis verified that Herman Simmon's claim that "Hidden champions have the ability to focus on core competencies and focus on one technology" is valid.

A Startegy to Improve Customer Satisfaction in Mutuality Bank: Focus on Suhyup (상호금융 고객만족 제고를 위한 전략방향:수협을 중심으로)

  • Cho, Yong-Jun;Park, Chun-Gun
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.23 no.5
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    • pp.799-812
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    • 2010
  • The public banking market (the main eld of the second banking sector) faces increased competition du to the expansion of the rst banking sector. In this situation, Customer Satisfaction Management(CSM is emerging as a core business factor to create continuous growth without competitive exclusion because it is possible to churn management and draw an advocate customer. In this pa- per, with Suhyup mutuality bank as a sample for research, I have looked for necessary Customer Satisfaction(CS) factors and deduced a Customer Satisfaction Index(CSI), Customer Loyalty and Net Promoter Score(NPS) of detail factors in CS through a survey. Based on these result, the strategic factors required to improve CS were found and strategic directions for CS were proposed through a CS portfolio analysis.

Optimal Portfolio Selection in a Downside Risk Framework (하방위험을 이용한 위험자산의 최적배분)

  • Hyung, Nam-Won;Han, Kyu-Sook
    • The Korean Journal of Financial Management
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    • v.24 no.3
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    • pp.133-152
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    • 2007
  • In this paper, we examine a portfolio selection model in which a safety-first investor maximizes expected return subject to a downside risk constraint. We use the Value-at-Risk as the downside risk measure. We exploit the fact that returns are fat-tailed, and use a semi-parametric method suggested by Jansen, Koedijk and de Vries(2000). We find a more realistic asset allocation than the one suggested by the literature based on the traditional mean-variance framework. For the robustness check, we provide empirical analyses using empirical quantiles. The results highlight that for optimal portfolio selection involving downside risks that are far in the tails of the distribution, our mean-VaR model with a fat-tailed distribution is superior.

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Development and Evaluation of an Investment Algorithm Based on Markowitz's Portfolio Selection Model : Case Studies of the U.S. and the Hong Kong Stock Markets (마코위츠 포트폴리오 선정 모형을 기반으로 한 투자 알고리즘 개발 및 성과평가 : 미국 및 홍콩 주식시장을 중심으로)

  • Choi, Jaeho;Jung, Jongbin;Kim, Seongmoon
    • Korean Management Science Review
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    • v.30 no.1
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    • pp.73-89
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    • 2013
  • This paper develops an investment algorithm based on Markowitz's Portfolio Selection Theory, using historical stock return data, and empirically evaluates the performance of the proposed algorithm in the U.S. and the Hong Kong stock markets. The proposed investment algorithm is empirically tested with the 30 constituents of Dow Jones Industrial Average in the U.S. stock market, and the 30 constituents of Hang Seng Index in the Hong Kong stock market. During the 6-year investment period, starting on the first trading day of 2006 and ending on the last trading day of 2011, growth rates of 12.63% and 23.25% were observed for Dow Jones Industrial Average and Hang Seng Index, respectively, while the proposed investment algorithm achieved substantially higher cumulative returns of 35.7% in the U.S. stock market, and 150.62% in the Hong Kong stock market. When compared in terms of Sharpe ratio, Dow Jones Industrial Average and Hang Seng Index achieved 0.075 and 0.155 each, while the proposed investment algorithm showed superior performance, achieving 0.363 and 1.074 in the U.S. and Hong Kong stock markets, respectively. Further, performance in the U.S. stock market is shown to be less sensitive to an investor's risk preference, while aggressive performance goals are shown to achieve relatively higher performance in the Hong Kong stock market. In conclusion, this paper empirically demonstrates that an investment based on a mathematical model using objective historical stock return data for constructing optimal portfolios achieves outstanding performance, in terms of both cumulative returns and Sharpe ratios.