• Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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• 제4권3호
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• pp.795-805
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• 1997

In this paper, we consider a Bayesian forecasting method for the analysis of repeated surveys. It is assumed that the parameters of the superpopulation model at each time follow a stochastic model. We propose Bayesian prediction procedures for the finite population total under dynamic generalized linear models. Some numerical studies are provided to illustrate the behavior of the proposed predictors.

• Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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• 제26권6호
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• pp.1547-1555
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• 2015

We study the problem of nonignorable nonresponse in a two-way contingency table and there may be one or two missing categories. We describe a nonignorable nonresponse model for the analysis of two-way categorical table. One approach to analyze these data is to construct several tables (one complete and the others incomplete). There are nonidentifiable parameters in incomplete tables. We describe a hierarchical Bayesian model to analyze two-way categorical data. We use a nonignorable nonresponse model with Bayesian uncertainty analysis by placing priors in nonidentifiable parameters instead of a sensitivity analysis for nonidentifiable parameters. To reduce the effects of nonidentifiable parameters, we project the parameters to a lower dimensional space and we allow the reduced set of parameters to share a common distribution. We use the griddy Gibbs sampler to fit our models and compute DIC and BPP for model diagnostics. We illustrate our method using data from NHANES III data to obtain the finite population proportions.

• 약학회지
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• 제43권2호
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• pp.278-284
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• 1999

This study deals with the biological changes in mice after ${\gamma}-irradiated$. Four weeks old BALA/c mice were irradiated with 6.5Gy of ${\gamma}-ray$ on the fifth day after oral administration of radioprotectants such as ascorbic acid, tocopherol and cysteine. Control group was irradiated with 6.5Gy without pre-administration of radioprotectors. Blood cells and sperm cells were counted and body, testis and spleen were weighed 3 days after irradiation. And also liver antioxidant activity and range of spleen immune cells were measured. Differences in most biological parameters were not clearly distinguished between experimental groups. However, the relative spleen weight, the relative testis weight and the population size of spleen immune cells such as T helper cells, B cells and macrophages measured by means of FACS showed significant difference between irradiated and radioprotectant administered group. It is concluded that the relative spleen weight, the relative testis weight and the population size of spleen immune cells are easy and useful parameters for assessing the effect of radioprotective substances and for quantifying biological damage of radiation, as well.

• Environmental Analysis Health and Toxicology
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• 제14권4호
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• pp.203-216
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• 1999

This paper describes a set of multi-pathway models for estimating health risk to lead. The models link concentrations of an environmental contaminant (lead) in air, water and food to human exposure through inhalation, ingestion, and dietary routes. Exposure is used as the foundation for predicting risk of health detriment within the population. The process of estimating exposure using often limited data and extrapolating to a large diverse population requires many assumption, inferences, and simplification. This paper is divided into four section. The first section provides lead contaminant levels on obtaining environmental concentration of air, tap water, and foods. The second section provides a discussion of exposure parameters and uncertainty associated predicting human health risk of contaminants. The third and fourth section illustrate lifetime average daily exposure (LADE) and excess cancer risk (ECR) based on exposure parameters. The relationship between concentration of lead in an environmental medium and human exposure is determined with pathway exposure factors (PEFs). The calculation of LADE and ECR is carried out using Monte-Carlo simulation with probability density function of exposure parameters. Examination of the result reveals that, for lead exposure, ingestion (food) is the dominant route of exposure rather than inhalation (air), and ingestion (tap eater).

• 한국수산과학회지
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• 제39권4호
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• pp.344-348
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• 2006

The ecological characteristics and stock biomass of the Shiba shrimp, Metapenaeus joyneri, in Korean waters were determined, using fishery data from the Ministry of Maritime Affairs and Fisheries (MOMAF) and available length frequency data. The instantaneous coefficient of total mortality (Z) of M. joyneri was estimated to be 4.191year, and the annual survival rate (S) was 0.015. The estimated instantaneous coefficient of fishing mortality (F) for recent years was calculated to be 1.94/year. The age at first capture of M. joyneri was 0.71 years. Based on these parameters, the annual biomass of the M. joyneri stock was estimated using a biomass-based cohort analysis and data on the annual catch in weight at age for 1993-2004 in Korean waters. During the study period, the biomass of the shrimp peaked in 1994 at about 9,082 metric tons. Subsequently, it decreased to 500 metric tons in 1998.

• 한국임상약학회지
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• 제5권2호
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• pp.1-12
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• 1995

The purpose of this investigation was to determine pharmacokinetic parameters of gentamicin using linear least square regression(LLSR) and Bayesian analysis in Korean normal volunteers and appendicitis patients. Nonparametric expected maximum(NPEM) algorithm for population pharmacokinetic parameters was used. Gentamicin was administered every 8 hours for 3 days by infusion over 30 minutes. The volume of distribution(V) and elimination rate constant(K) of gentamicin were $0.215\pm0.0562,\;0.226\pm0.0325L/kg\;and\;0.339\pm0.0443,\;0.357\pm0.0243hr^{-1}$ for normal volunteers and appendicitis patients using LLSR analysis. Population pharmacokinetic parameters, VS and KS were $0.228\pm0.0614L/kg\;and\;0.00356\pm0.00041(hr{\cdot}mL/min/1.73m^2)^{-1}$ for appendicitis patients using NPEM algorithm. The V and K were $0.232\pm0.0568L/kg\;and\;0.337\pm0.0385hr^{-1}$ for appendicitis patients using Bayesian analysis. There were no differences in gentamicin pharmacokinetics between LLSR and Bayesian analysis.

• 한국농공학회논문집
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• 제52권6호
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• pp.19-26
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• 2010

Batch experiments were conducted to investigate growth and nutrient removal performance of microalgae Chlorella vulgaris by using piggery wastewater in different concentration of pollutants and the common growth models (logistic, Gompertz and Richards) were applied to compare microalgal growth parameters. Removal of nitrogen (N) and phosphorus (P) by Chlorella vulgaris showed correlation with biomass increase, implying nutrient uptake coupled with microalgae growth. The higher the levels of suspended solids (SS), COD and ammonia nitrogen were in the wastewater, the worse growth of Chlorella vulgaris was observed, showing the occurrence of growth inhibition in higher concentration of those pollutants. The growth parameters were estimated by non-linear regression of three growth curves for comparative analyses. Determination of growth parameters were more accurate with population as a variable than the logarithm of population in terms of R square. Richards model represented better fit comparing with logistic and Gompertz model. However, Richards model showed some complexity and sensitivity in calculation. In the cases tested, both logistic and Gompertz equation were proper to describe the growth of microalgae on piggery wastewater as well as easy to application.

• Journal of Ecology and Environment
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• 제38권2호
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• pp.195-211
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• 2015

The objectives of this research were to determine mean and maximum tolerance ranges of Carassius auratus ($C_a$) and Cyprinus carpio ($C_c$) populations on various physico-chemical parameters and ecological indicator metrics. Little is known about chemical tolerance ranges of the two species, even though these species are widely distributed species in aquatic ecosystems. Maximum tolerance ranges of $C_a$-population to total nitrogen (TN) and total phosphorus (TP) were $20.3mgL^{-1}$ and $2.0mgL^{-1}$, respectively. Optimal ranges of TN and TP in the $C_a$-population were $1.7-5.0mgL^{-1}$ and $0.06-0.30mgL^{-1}$, respectively. Such nutrient regimes of the $C_a$-population were evaluated as hypereutrophy, indicating high tolerance limits. The $C_c$-population had similar ecological characteristics to $C_a$-population, but the mean tolerance ranges of TN, TP, BOD, and COD were significantly (p < 0.05) greater than the $C_a$-population. Ecological patterns of trophic composition and tolerance guilds in the $C_a$-population were similar to those of the $C_c$-population. The model value of Index of Biological Integrity (IBI) of the habitat where C. auratus and C. carpio co-occurred averaged $15.0{\pm}4.3$ and $12.9{\pm}3.6$, respectively. Based on the modified criteria of the United States Environmental Protection Agency (Klemm et al. 1993), it indicated poor ecological health of both species. These results suggest that both species are highly tolerant to chemical and physical habitat conditions of waterbodies, and that the chemical tolerance range of $C_c$-population was higher than $C_a$-population.

• Asian-Australasian Journal of Animal Sciences
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• 제30권2호
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• pp.167-170
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• 2017

Objective: The feed intake (FI) and feed efficiency are economically important traits in ducks. To obtain insight into this economically important trait, we designed an experiment based on the residual feed intake (RFI) and feed conversion ratio (FCR) of a random population Pekin duck. Methods: Two thousand and twenty pedigreed random population Pekin ducks were established from 90 males mated to 450 females in two hatches. Traits analyzed in the study were body weight at the 42th day (BW42), 15 to 42 days average daily gain (ADG), 15 to 42 days FI, 15 to 42 days FCR, and 15 to 42 days RFI to assess their genetic interrelationships. The genetic parameters for feed efficiency traits were estimated using restricted maximum likelihood (REML) methodology applied to a sire-dam model for all traits using the ASREML software. Results: Estimates heritability of BW42, ADG, FI, FCR, and RFI were 0.39, 0.38, 0.33, 0.38, and 0.41, respectively. The genetic correlation was high between RFI and FI (0.77) and moderate between RFI and FCR (0.54). The genetic correlation was high and moderate between FCR and ADG (-0.80), and between FCR and BW42 (-0.64), and between FCR and FI (0.49), respectively. Conclusion: Thus, selection on RFI was expected to improve feed efficiency, and reduce FI. Selection on RFI thus improves the feed efficiency of animals without impairing their FI and increase growth rate.

• 응용통계연구
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• 제20권2호
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• pp.281-290
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• 2007

유한 모집단에서 총계 추정에는 표본의 각 관측값으로 만들어지는 선형 추정량이 사용되는데 이때 사용되는 가중치는 표본 추출 확률의 역수를 사용한 기본 가중치를 모집단 전체에서 얻어지는 보조 정보를 이용하여 보정한 형태로 종종 사용된다. 이렇게 보정된 가중치를 사용한 추정량은 그렇지 않은 추정량보다 효율이 더 좋아질 수 있는 장점이 있으나 이러한 경우 분산 추정은 더 어려워지게 된다. 본 연구에서는 보정된 가중치를 사용한 추정량의 분산 추정을 다룬다. 가중치 보정의 일반적인 형태를 밝히고 이 경우 가중치 보정항은 유한개의 장애 모수(nuisance parameter)의 함수로 나타낼 수 있으므로 이 장애 모수에 대한 테일러 전개를 사용한 분산 추정식을 구한다. 이렇게 구현된 분산 추정식은 기존의 가중치 보정 추정량뿐만 아니라 보다 일반적인 경우에서도 적용될 수 있다는 장점이 있다. 몇가지 응용 사례와 모의 실험 결과를 소개한다.