• 제목/요약/키워드: Population estimation

검색결과 841건 처리시간 0.027초

Estimation of Protein Deposition Rate of Growing-Finishing Pigs Reared in Commercial Conditions in Korea

  • Kim, J.H.;Sohn, K.S.;Hynn, Y.;Han, In K.
    • Asian-Australasian Journal of Animal Sciences
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    • 제13권8호
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    • pp.1147-1153
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    • 2000
  • A total of 9,540 pigs were evaluated for their growth performance to provide information on the development of different feeding strategies to support maximum rate of protein deposition (PD). Large variations in growth performance and protein deposition rate were found in the population used in this study (ADG from 701 to 974 g/day; ADFI from 1,726 to 2,498 g/day; Feed/gain from 2.10 to 2.90; Backfat thickness from 12.4 to 20.5 mm and PD rate from 103 to 153 g/day). It was found that ADG was positively correlated to PD ($R^2=0.9362$, p<0.0001) while FCR was negatively correlated to PD ($R^2=0.4031$, p<0.0001). Backfat thickness was negatively correlated to PD ($R^2=0.7024$, p<0.0001) and to ADG ($R^2=0.5096$, p<0.0001). The estimated lysine requirement based on PD rate also showed large variation (12.37 to 18.38 g/day true ileal digestible lysine on average between 25 and 100 kg), thus strongly indicated the need of separate feeding strategies for each group of pigs. When pigs were divided into three categories according to estimated whole body PD rate, the group of pigs with the highest PD rate grew faster by 6.3 and 13.9% than pigs with intermediate and low PD rate, respectively. Feed utilization was also more efficient in pigs with a high PD rate. It appeared that pigs with high PD rate maintained higher PD rate especially in the later stage of their life. Pigs with high PD rate require an extra amount of 1.2 and 2.4 g/true digestible lysine per day and 0.4 and 0.8% more lysine in the diet than pigs with intermediate and low PD rate during the growing-finishing period respectively. Results of this study suggest that there is a need for separate feeding strategies for individual group of pigs with different PD rate. It should be noted that average value for each group presented in this report is not the adequate amount for an animals potential for maximum PD rate. With recent development in growth modeling and access to computer technologies to facilitate computation, pork producers can easily estimate pigs protein deposition rate and thus can make their own feeding strategies.

Estimation of Genetic Parameters and Trends for Length of Productive Life and Lifetime Production Traits in a Commercial Landrace and Yorkshire Swine Population in Northern Thailand

  • Noppibool, Udomsak;Elzo, Mauricio A.;Koonawootrittriron, Skorn;Suwanasopee, Thanathip
    • Asian-Australasian Journal of Animal Sciences
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    • 제29권9호
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    • pp.1222-1228
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    • 2016
  • The objective of this research was to estimate genetic parameters and trends for length of productive life (LPL), lifetime number of piglets born alive (LBA), lifetime number of piglets weaned (LPW), lifetime litter birth weight (LBW), and lifetime litter weaning weight (LWW) in a commercial swine farm in Northern Thailand. Data were gathered during a 24-year period from July 1989 to August 2013. A total of 3,109 phenotypic records from 2,271 Landrace (L) and 838 Yorkshire sows (Y) were analyzed. Variance and covariance components, heritabilities and correlations were estimated using an Average Information Restricted Maximum Likelihood (AIREML) procedure. The 5-trait animal model contained the fixed effects of first farrowing year-season, breed group, and age at first farrowing. Random effects were sow and residual. Estimates of heritabilities were medium for all five traits ($0.17{\pm}0.04$ for LPL and LBA to $0.20{\pm}0.04$ for LPW). Genetic correlations among these traits were high, positive, and favorable (p<0.05), ranging from $0.93{\pm}0.02$ (LPL-LWW) to $0.99{\pm}0.02$ (LPL-LPW). Sow genetic trends were non-significant for LPL and all lifetime production traits. Sire genetic trends were negative and significant for LPL ($-2.54{\pm}0.65d/yr$; p = 0.0007), LBA ($-0.12{\pm}0.04piglets/yr$; p = 0.0073), LPW ($-0.14{\pm}0.04piglets/yr$; p = 0.0037), LBW ($-0.13{\pm}0.06kg/yr$; p = 0.0487), and LWW ($-0.69{\pm}0.31kg/yr$; p = 0.0365). Dam genetic trends were positive, small and significant for all traits ($1.04{\pm}0.42d/yr$ for LPL, p = 0.0217; $0.16{\pm}0.03piglets/yr$ for LBA, p<0.0001; $0.12{\pm}0.03piglets/yr$ for LPW, p = 0.0002; $0.29{\pm}0.04kg/yr$ for LBW, p<0.0001 and $1.23{\pm}0.19kg/yr$ for LWW, p<0.0001). Thus, the selection program in this commercial herd managed to improve both LPL and lifetime productive traits in sires and dams. It was ineffective to improve LPL and lifetime productive traits in sows.

Association Between the FAS/FASL Polymorphisms and Gastric Cancer Risk: A Meta-Analysis

  • Tian, Jing;Pan, Feng;Li, Jing;Ma, Yan;Cen, Han;Pan, Hai-Feng;Pan, Yue-Yin;Ye, Dong-Qing
    • Asian Pacific Journal of Cancer Prevention
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    • 제13권3호
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    • pp.945-951
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    • 2012
  • Objective: FAS/FASL gene promoter polymorphisms have been repeatedly associated with gastric cancer risk, but findings are inconclusive across studies. To address a more precise estimation of the relationship, a meta-analysis was performed. Methods: Data were collected from the Pubmed, Medline and EMBASE databases, with the last report up to 1 December, 2011. Crude ORs with 95% CIs were used to assess the strength of the association by (1) the additive, (2) the codominant, (3) the dominant, and (4) the recessive models. Results: A total of seven studies, including six studies on FAS -1377G>A polymorphism, five studies on FAS -670A>G polymorphism, and six studies on FASL -844T>C polymorphism, were identified in the current meta-analysis. Overall, an association of FAS -1377G>A (AA versus GG: OR = 1.313, 95% CI = 1.045-1.650, Ph = 0.347, $I^2$ = 10.8) and FASL -844T>C (CC versus TT: OR = 1.352, 95% CI = 1.043-1.752, Ph = 0.461, $I^2$ = 0.0) polymorphisms with gastric cancer was found in the codominant model. However, we did not detect any association between gastric cancer and the FAS -670A>G polymorphism. In the subgroup analysis by ethnicity, similar elevated risks were also observed in Asian population for FAS -1377G>A (AA versus GG: OR = 1.309, 95% CI = 1.041-1.646, Ph = 0.240, $I^2$ = 27.3) and FASL -844T>C (CC versus TT: OR = 1.420, 95% CI = 1.081-1.865, Ph = 0.524, $I^2$ = 0.0) polymorphisms. Conclusions: This meta-analysis indicated that FAS -1377G>A and FASL -844T>C polymorphisms might be associated with gastric cancer risk.

P53 Arg72Pro Polymorphism and Bladder Cancer Risk - Meta-analysis Evidence for a Link in Asians but not Caucasians

  • Xu, Ting;Xu, Zi-Cheng;Zou, Qin;Yu, Bin;Huang, Xin-En
    • Asian Pacific Journal of Cancer Prevention
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    • 제13권5호
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    • pp.2349-2354
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    • 2012
  • Objective: Individual studies of the associations between P53 codon 72 polymorphism (rs1042522) and bladder cancer susceptibility have shown inconclusive results. To derive a more precise estimation of the relationship, we performed this systemic review and meta-analysis based on 15 publications. Methods: We used odds ratios (ORs) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs) to assess the strength of the association. Results: We found that there was no association between P53 codon 72 polymorphism and bladder cancer risk in the comparisons of Pro/Pro vs Arg/Arg; Pro/Arg vs. Arg/Arg; Pro/Pro plus Pro/Arg vs. Arg/Arg; Arg/Arg vs. Pro/Arg plus Arg/Arg (OR=1.06 95%CI 0.81-1.39; OR=1.06 95%CI 0.83-1.36; OR=0.98 95%CI 0.78-1.23; OR=1.06 95%CI 0.84-1.32). However, a significantly increased risk of bladder cancer was found among Asians in the homozygote comparison (Pro/Pro vs. Arg/Arg, OR=1.36 95%CI 1.05-1.75, P=0.790 for heterogeneity) and the dominant model (Arg/Pro plus Pro/Pro vs. Arg/Arg, OR=1.26 95%CI 1.05-1.52, P=0.564 for heterogeneity). In contrast, no evidence of an association between bladder cancer risk and P53 genotype was observed among Caucasian population in any genetic model. When stratifying for the stage of bladder, no statistical association were found (Pro/Pro vs. Arg/Arg, OR=0.45 95%CI 0.17-1.21; Pro/Arg vs. Arg/Arg, OR=0.60 95%CI 0.28-1.27; Dominant model, OR=0.56 95%CI 0.26-1.20; Recessive model, OR=0.62 95%CI0.35-1.08) between P53 codon 72 polymorphism and bladder cancer in all comparisons. Conclusions: Despite the limitations, the results of the present meta-analysis suggest that, in the P53 codon 72, Pro/Pro type and dominant mode might increase the susceptibility to bladder cancer in Asians; and there are no association between genotype distribution and the stage of bladder cancer.

Prevalence of Abnormal Cervical Cytology in HIV-Negative Women Participating in a Cervical Cancer Screening Program in Calmette Hospital, Cambodia

  • Hav, Monirath;Eav, Sokha;Heang, Nicole;Pich, Pintuna;Lim, Davy;Leang, Vitou;Korn, Aun;Lay, Sanine;Pluot, Michel;Kruy, Leangsim
    • Asian Pacific Journal of Cancer Prevention
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    • 제17권7호
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    • pp.3101-3103
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    • 2016
  • Background: According to the most recent estimation of GLOBOCAN, Cambodia has the highest incidence and mortality rate of cervical cancer in Southeast Asia. A screen-and-treat strategy using visual inspection with acetic acid (VIA test) and cryotherapy has been implemented in Cambodia's national cervical cancer screening program since 2013. However, where resources are available, cervical cytology with or without high-risk HPV DNA testing is the preferred screening method used in this country. Aim: This study aims to calculate the prevalence of abnormal cervical cytology and explain the possible factors contributing to a reduced quality of cervical cytology among women participating in a hospital-based cervical cancer screening program in Cambodia. Materials and Methods: A descriptive study was conducted using information from the cytology and pathology database in the Department of Pathology of Calmette Hospital between January 2012 and December 2015. Prevalence of abnormal cervical cytology, based on the Bethesda 2001 classification, was calculated. Data on the adequacy of cytological specimens were analyzed in order to explain the factors contributing to a reduced quality of cervical cytology interpretation. Results: Among 6,207 women who participated in the cervical cancer screening program at Calmette Hospital during 2012 and 2015, 388 (6.25%) had abnormal cytology, which could be classified into Atypical Squamous Cells of Undetermined Significance (92 cases; 1.48%), Atypical Squamous Cells - Cannot Exclude High-Grade Intraepithelial Lesion (13 cases; 0.21%), Atypical Glandular Cells (11 cases; 0.18%), Low-Grade Squamous Intraepithelial Lesion (221 cases; 3.56%), High-Grade Squamous Intraepithelial Lesion (26 cases; 0.42%), and Squamous Cell Carcinoma (25 cases; 0.40%). Unsatisfactory smears made up 12.2% of the total cases. The most frequently identified factor leading to unsatisfactory smears was the absence of cells from the transformation zone. Conclusions: The present study showed an overall prevalence of abnormal cervical cytology of 6.25%, which is comparable to that in many large population-based studies in the Asia Pacific region. Nevertheless, the remarkably high rate of unsatisfactory smears in this study justifies further improvement in specimen sampling among Cambodian gynecologists.

Whole-genome association and genome partitioning revealed variants and explained heritability for total number of teats in a Yorkshire pig population

  • Uzzaman, Md. Rasel;Park, Jong-Eun;Lee, Kyung-Tai;Cho, Eun-Seok;Choi, Bong-Hwan;Kim, Tae-Hun
    • Asian-Australasian Journal of Animal Sciences
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    • 제31권4호
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    • pp.473-479
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    • 2018
  • Objective: The study was designed to perform a genome-wide association (GWA) and partitioning of genome using Illumina's PorcineSNP60 Beadchip in order to identify variants and determine the explained heritability for the total number of teats in Yorkshire pig. Methods: After screening with the following criteria: minor allele frequency, $MAF{\leq}0.01$; Hardy-Weinberg equilibrium, $HWE{\leq}0.000001$, a pair-wise genomic relationship matrix was produced using 42,953 single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs). A genome-wide mixed linear model-based association analysis (MLMA) was conducted. And for estimating the explained heritability with genome- or chromosome-wide SNPs the genetic relatedness estimation through maximum likelihood approach was used in our study. Results: The MLMA analysis and false discovery rate p-values identified three significant SNPs on two different chromosomes (rs81476910 and rs81405825 on SSC8; rs81332615 on SSC13) for total number of teats. Besides, we estimated that 30% of variance could be explained by all of the common SNPs on the autosomal chromosomes for the trait. The maximum amount of heritability obtained by partitioning the genome were $0.22{\pm}0.05$, $0.16{\pm}0.05$, $0.10{\pm}0.03$ and $0.08{\pm}0.03$ on SSC7, SSC13, SSC1, and SSC8, respectively. Of them, SSC7 explained the amount of estimated heritability along with a SNP (rs80805264) identified by genome-wide association studies at the empirical p value significance level of 2.35E-05 in our study. Interestingly, rs80805264 was found in a nearby quantitative trait loci (QTL) on SSC7 for the teat number trait as identified in a recent study. Moreover, all other significant SNPs were found within and/or close to some QTLs related to ovary weight, total number of born alive and age at puberty in pigs. Conclusion: The SNPs we identified unquestionably represent some of the important QTL regions as well as genes of interest in the genome for various physiological functions responsible for reproduction in pigs.

Estimation of heritability and genetic correlation of body weight gain and growth curve parameters in Korean native chicken

  • Manjula, Prabuddha;Park, Hee-Bok;Seo, Dongwon;Choi, Nuri;Jin, Shil;Ahn, Sung Jin;Heo, Kang Nyeong;Kang, Bo Seok;Lee, Jun-Heon
    • Asian-Australasian Journal of Animal Sciences
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    • 제31권1호
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    • pp.26-31
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    • 2018
  • Objective: This study estimated the genetic parameters for body weight gain and growth curve parameter traits in Korean native chicken (KNC). Methods: A total of 585 $F_1$ chickens were used along with 88 of their $F_0$ birds. Body weights were measured every 2 weeks from hatching to 20 weeks of age to measure weight gain at 2-week intervals. For each individual, a logistic growth curve model was fitted to the longitudinal growth dataset to obtain three growth curve parameters (${\alpha}$, asymptotic final body weight; ${\beta}$, inflection point; and ${\gamma}$, constant scale that was proportional to the overall growth rate). Genetic parameters were estimated based on the linear-mixed model using a restricted maximum likelihood method. Results: Heritability estimates of body weight gain traits were low to high (0.057 to 0.458). Heritability estimates for ${\alpha}$, ${\beta}$, and ${\gamma}$ were $0.211{\pm}0.08$, $0.249{\pm}0.09$, and $0.095{\pm}0.06$, respectively. Both genetic and phenotypic correlations between weight gain traits ranged from -0.527 to 0.993. Genetic and phenotypic correlation between the growth curve parameters and weight gain traits ranged from -0.968 to 0.987. Conclusion: Based on the results of this study population, we suggest that the KNC could be used for selective breeding between 6 and 8 weeks of age to enhance the overall genetic improvement of growth traits. After validation of these results in independent studies, these findings will be useful for further optimization of breeding programs for KNC.

한국 성인에 있어서 식이를 통한 비소 노출 평가 (Dietary Exposure Assessment of Arsenic in Korean Adults)

  • 임룻;염현철;김동원;배혜선;안수주;류덕영;최병선;박정덕
    • Environmental Analysis Health and Toxicology
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    • 제25권4호
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    • pp.307-314
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    • 2010
  • Objectives : Arsenic (As) is ubiquitously distributed in the environment and has been known as a human carcinogen. The main source of arsenic exposure in general population is an oral route through As-contaminated water and foods. This study was performed to estimate the daily intake of As from diet and associated factors in Korean adults. Methods : We investigated 590 adults, 249 males and 341 females, with age of 20 years and older, who had not been exposed to the As occupationally. Study subjects were interviewed for demographic characteristics, lifestyles and diets during the last 24 hours. The estimation of As intake daily was based on amount of food consumption and As concentration in each food by using database of As concentrations in 117 food species. Results : Daily As intake was estimated as $56.46\;{\mu}g$/day, $56.60\;{\mu}g$/day in male and $56.36\;{\mu}g$/day in female. As intake was not significant from sex, age group, smoking and alcoholic habits, while was by occupation with the most intake of As in fishery. The daily As intakes was positively correlated with the total food consumption, specifically related with fishes and shellfishes, seaweeds, oils, grains and flavors. About 75% of As intake from diet was contributed by seafoods, such as $32.07\;{\mu}g$/day from fishes & shellfishes and $10.05\;{\mu}g$/day from seaweeds. However, it is necessary to evaluate if the dietary As intake affects on the levels of As in the body. Conclusions : The amount of As intake daily in Korean adults was estimated as $56.46\;{\mu}g$/day, and is determined mainly by diet behavior. The seafoods, such as fishes & shellfishes and seaweeds, is major source of As exposure from diet in Korean.

왜도 예측을 이용한 Lee-Carter모형의 사망률 예측 (A modified Lee-Carter model based on the projection of the skewness of the mortality)

  • 이항석;백창룡;김지현
    • 응용통계연구
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    • 제29권1호
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    • pp.41-59
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    • 2016
  • 지속적인 사망률 개선으로 인한 평균 수명연장은 인구 고령화의 주요인이며 연금 공급자의 재정건전성에 심각한 영향을 미치는 원인으로 지목되기에 정확한 미래 사망률의 예측은 현 시점에서 선행되어야할 중요한 과제다. 본 연구는 미래 사망률을 예측하는 대표적인 확률적 사망률 모형인 Lee-Carter 모형을 사용하여 과거 생명표로 산출한 왜도를 기반으로 미래 사망률 지수를 간접적으로 예측하는 왜도예측방식을 제시한다. 기존의 Lee-Carter 모형을 이용한 사망률 예측방식은 사망률 지수를 추정하고 미래값을 직접 예측함으로써 미래 사망률이 지나치게 개선되는 현상을 보이며, 이를 바탕으로 산출된 연금액과 지급기간 추정 등 연금 공급자의 리스크 관리에 영향을 미친다. 본 연구는 기존 예측 방식의 사망률 예측 결과와 제시한 왜도 예측 방식의 사망률 예측 결과를 비교함으로써 기존 사망률 예측 방식의 문제점을 지적한다. 분석결과 왜도 예측을 통한 Lee-Carter 모형의 사망률 예측은 기존 방식보다 사망률 개선효과를 더 적게 반영하며 장수리스크를 덜 왜곡한다는 데 의의가 있다고 할 수 있다. 하지만 기존 방식 간 차이를 감안하여 적정한 미래 사망률 수준을 찾기 위해 임의로 부여한 가중치에 대해 향후 검토가 필요할 것으로 보인다.

충북지역 주요 밭작물 재배지 발생 잡초 분포 현황 (Occurrence and Distribution of Weeds on Upland Crop Fields in Chungbuk Province of Korea)

  • 이채영;박재성;김은정;이희두;홍의연;우선희
    • Weed & Turfgrass Science
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    • 제4권3호
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    • pp.209-218
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    • 2015
  • 본 연구는 2014년 4월부터 10월까지 충북지역 11개 시 군의 795지점에서 주요 밭작물 재배지의 잡초 발생 현황을 조사하기 위하여 수행되었다. 충북지역의 밭잡초 조사결과, 42과 188종이 발생하였고, 생활사별로는 각각 일년생이 96종, 월년생이 40종, 다년생이 52종이 발생하였고 대부분 일년생 잡초였다. 과별로는 국화과가 36종, 벼과 19종, 마디풀과 13종, 십자화과 12종, 사초과, 콩과 각각 11종 순이었다. 동계작물 재배지의 우점잡초는 냉이(12.36%), 뚝새풀(11.05%), 벼룩나물(8.42%), 광대나물(4.82%), 쇠별꽃(4.60%)의 순이었고, 하계작물 재배지의 우점잡초는 쇠비름(8.58%), 바랭이(7.18%), 속속이풀(6.28%), 흰명아주(6.22%), 중대가리풀(4.95%)의 순으로 발생되었다. 충북지역의 우점잡초는 쇠비름(8.14%), 바랭이(6.72%), 피(6.55%), 속속이풀(6.00%), 흰명아주(5.89%), 중대가리풀(4.64%), 깨풀(4.10%), 개비름(3.84%), 한련초(2.52%), 냉이(2.15%)의 순이었다. 쇠비름, 바랭이, 피 등 상위 10종의 우점도는 전체 잡초종의 50% 이상을 차지하였다. 10년 단위로 작물 재배지의 잡초분포를 조사하여 잡초군락의 변화를 파악함으로써 기초자료를 활용하여 체계적인 밭잡초 관리방안을 마련할 수 있을 것으로 판단되었다.