• 제목/요약/키워드: Population dynamics model

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Prototype Model Building Reflecting Impact of National Territorial Policies towards the Interregional Migration (국토정책이 지역 간 인구이동에 미치는 영향에 대한 프로토타입 모형 개발)

  • Choi, Nam-Hee;Ahn, Yoo-Jeong;Lee, Jin-Hee;Kim, Kyeong-Mi;Song, Mi-Kyoung;Lee, Man-Hyung
    • Korean System Dynamics Review
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    • v.11 no.4
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    • pp.117-142
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    • 2010
  • National territorial policies require a series of dynamic simulations, which would facilitate effectiveness measuring and forecasting works geared towards territorial policies under consideration or implementation. This paper aims at designing an integrated prototype for the proposed territorial policies. After the simulation exercises for the Ochang Industrial Complex(OIC) in Chungbuk Province, this study firstly finds meaningful mismatch phenomena between housing and population increases as the in-migration time lag seems inevitable even after the housing construction is in a mature state. Secondly, the OIC development exerts more significant impact on the number of employees than that of business units. Thirdly, in- and out-migration orders are different during the first and second stages of OIC development. That is, Chungbuk Province records the largest in terms of in-migration volume, followed by the Capital and Non-Capital Regions. Even though Chungbuk Province ranks the top position in the out-migration volume, the rank of the Capital and Non-Capital Regions is reversed: the our-migration volume towards the Non-Capital Region outruns that of the Capital Region.

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Development of a Three-Dimensional Chemotaxis Model for a Single Bacterium (3 차원 모델을 통한 단일 박테리아의 주화성 연구)

  • Song, Ji-Hwan;Kim, Dong-Choul
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers A
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    • v.33 no.1
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    • pp.56-63
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    • 2009
  • Cell migration is one of the essential mechanisms responsible for complex biological processes. Intensive researches have begun to elucidate the mechanisms and search intriguing conditions for efficient control of cell migration. One general mechanism that is widely applicable for cells including Escherichia coli, amoebae and endothelial cell is chemotaxis. The single cell study for bacterial chemotaxis has an advantage over studies with the population of cells in providing a clearer observation of cell migration, which leads to more accurate assessments of chemotaxis. In this paper, we propose a three-dimensional model considering a single bacterium to study its chemotaxis. The semi-implicit Fourier spectral method is applied for high efficiency and numerical stability. The simulation results reveal rich dynamics of cell migration and provide quantitative assessments of bacterial chemotaxis with various chemoattractant gradient fields.

Forecasting Fish Communities in River Networks

  • Rashleigh, Brenda;White, Denis;Ebersole, Joe L.;Barber, Craig;Boxall, George;Brookes, Allen
    • Korean Journal of Ecology and Environment
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    • v.45 no.2
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    • pp.150-157
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    • 2012
  • Fish communities in river networks provide significant ecosystem services that will likely decline under future land use and climate change. We developed a model that simulates the consequences to multiple populations of one or more fish species-a meta-community-from multiple stressors across a river network. The model is spatially-explicit and age-structured, with three components: habitat suitability; population dynamics, including species interactions; and movement across a spatial network. Although this model is simple, it can form the basis of fisheries assessments and may be incorporated into an integrated modeling system for watershed management and prediction.

INTERVENTION STRATEGY FOR REDUCING ADOLESCENT SMOKING

  • BYUL NIM KIM;CHUNYOUNG OH
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Industrial and Applied Mathematics
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    • v.27 no.4
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    • pp.281-295
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    • 2023
  • This study aims to establish and analyze a mathematical model for the transmission dynamics of male adolescent smoking and to determine an optimal control strategy to reduce male adolescent smoking. We consider three groups in the population: smokers, non-smokers, and temporary nonsmokers. In our model to which optimal control theory was applied, the number of smokers decreased sharply and the number of non-smokers increased significantly. Our simulation results under various control scenarios reveal that integrated control measures(such as prevention, education, and treatment) may be necessary to reduce the growth rate of adolescent smoking. Moreover, we concluded that efforts to encourage current smokers and temporary quitters to quit should be sustained longer than efforts to reduce the rate at which nonsmokers become smokers through smoking prevention education.

N-point modified exponential model for household projections in Korea using multi-point register-based census data

  • Saebom Jeon;Tae Yeon Kwon
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.31 no.4
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    • pp.377-391
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    • 2024
  • Accurate household projections are essential for sectors such as housing supply and tax policy planning, given the rapid social changes like declining birthrates, an aging population, and a rise in single-person households that impact household size and type. Korea introduced its first register-based census in 2015, transitioning from five-year general survey-based approach to an annual administrative data-based census. This change in census allows for more frequent and effective capturing the rapid demographic shifts and trends. However, this change in census has caused challenges in future projection by the existing household projection model due to the rapid dynamics. This paper proposes a new household projection method, the N-point Modified Exponential Model (MEM), that accurately reflects register-based census data and mitigates the impact of rapid demographic changes, in three types: the Weighted N-point MEM, the Regression-based N-point MEM, and the Rolling Weighted N+point MEM. Using register-based census data from 2016 to 2020 to forecast household headship rates by age, household size, and household type to 2051, the N-point modified exponential model outperformed the existing model in both long- and short-term forecast accuracy, suggesting its suitability as a future household projection model for Korea.

3 차원 주화성 모델 개발을 통한 흡착형 세포의 동적특성 연구

  • Song, Ji-Hwan;Kim, Dong-Choul
    • Proceedings of the KSME Conference
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    • 2008.11a
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    • pp.1638-1642
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    • 2008
  • Cell migration is one of the essential mechanisms responsible for complex biological processes. Intensive researches have begun to elucidate the mechanisms and search intriguing conditions for efficient control of cell migration. One general mechanism which is widely applicable for cells including neutrophil, Escherichia coli and endothelial cell is chemotaxis. Especially, understanding the chemotactic mechanics of cell crawling has important implications for various medical and biological applications. The single cell study for chemotaxis has an advantage over studies with the population of cells in providing a clearer observation of cell migration, which leads to more accurate assessments of chemotaxis. In this paper, we propose a three-dimensional model considering a single crawling cell to study its chemotaxis. The semi-implicit Fourier spectral method is applied for high efficiency and numerical stability. The simulation results reveal rich dynamics of cell.

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Characterization of Binding Mode of the Heterobiaryl gp120 Inhibitor in HIV-1 Entry: A Molecular Docking and Dynamics Simulation Study

  • Gadhe, Changdev G.;Kothandan, Gugan;Cho, Seung Joo
    • Bulletin of the Korean Chemical Society
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    • v.34 no.8
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    • pp.2466-2472
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    • 2013
  • Human immunodeficiency virus type-1 (HIV-1) is a causative agent of Acquired immunodeficiency syndrome (AIDS), which has affected a large population of the world. Viral envelope glycoprotein (gp120) is an intrinsic protein for HIV-1 to enter into human host cells. Molecular docking guided molecular dynamics (MD) simulation was performed to explore the interaction mechanism of heterobiaryl derivative with gp120. MD simulation result of inhibitor-gp120 complex demonstrated stability. Our MD simulation results are consistent with most of the previous mutational and modeling studies. Inhibitor has an interaction with the CD4 binding region. Van der Waals interaction between inhibitor and Val255, Thr257, Asn425, Met426 and Trp427 were important. This preliminary MD model could be useful in exploiting heterobiaryl-gp120 interaction in greater detail, and will likely to shed lights for further utilization in the development of more potent inhibitors.

Developing a common socio-hydrological model based on the value-belief-norm theory

  • Akshita krithi Sobbhun;Hanseok Jeong
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2023.05a
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    • pp.431-431
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    • 2023
  • In recent decades, the socio-hydrology community has developed several socio-hydrological frameworks to understand the complexity of the coupled human-water system. Although there have been efforts to relate sociology and hydrology, there still have been some insights that remain debatable. As for this study, the Value-belief-norm theory was used to represent the human behavior in order to connect the human-water system. The theoretical framework of values, beliefs and norms was developed to understand the human culture towards the environment. In addition to the theory, norms are legislation of human behavior in the society while the values are the guiding principle to motivate beliefs and norms. The overview of this study implied on developing a socio-hydrological model consisting of the four systems defined as hydrology, socio-economy, technology and institutional. The interconnectors between the four systems are the key variables and parameters representing a module namely the causal loop diagram. Moreover, water quality, size of population, infrastructure capacity and norms are the key variables to connect the four systems. The developed model will be applied to Han River to represent the coevolutionary of the dynamics of human-water systems.

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Population Dynamics and Reproductive Biology of Leptochela sydniensis in the Southwestern Waters of Korea (우리나라 서해남부 해역에 출현하는 둥근돗대기새우 (Leptochela sydniensis)의 개체군 동태 및 생식생태)

  • OH Chul Woong;CHOI Jung Hwa
    • Korean Journal of Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences
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    • v.36 no.6
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    • pp.646-653
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    • 2003
  • Investigations were made on the population structure, sex ratio, growth, and recruitment patterns of Leptochela sydniensis in the southwestern coastal areas of Korea, between May 2000 and December 2001. Spawning period, fecundity, brood loss, reproductive output, and size at sexual maturity also were examined. The results of the sex ratio showed that females were more numerous than males during the overall study period. Parameters of growth were estimated using the modified von Bertalanffy growth function (VBGF) model incorporating seasonal variation into growth. Females grew somewhat faster and reached a larger size than males $(L\infty=12.80\;mm\;CL\;and\;K=0.70\;yr^{-1}\;or\;females,\and\;L\infty=12.08\;mm\;CL\;and\;K=0.69\;yr^{-1}$ for males). The structure of recruitment patterns obtained by the FiSAT program indicated one normally distributed group. Based on the occurrence of ovigerous females and the gonadosomatic index (GSI), the main spawning season was from June to August. Analysis of covariance indicated that brood loss was not observed during the incubation period. The size at which $50\%$ of females are mature is estimated as 5.48 mm CL.

A Genetic-Based Optimization Model for Clustered Node Allocation System in a Distributed Environment (분산 환경에서 클러스터 노드 할당 시스템을 위한 유전자 기반 최적화 모델)

  • Park, Kyeong-mo
    • The KIPS Transactions:PartA
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    • v.10A no.1
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    • pp.15-24
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    • 2003
  • In this paper, an optimization model for the clustered node allocation systems in the distributed computing environment is presented. In the presented model with a distributed file system framework, the dynamics of system behavior over times is carefully thought over the nodes and hence the functionality of the cluster monitor node to check the feasibility of the current set of clustered node allocation is given. The cluster monitor node of the node allocation system capable of distributing the parallel modules to clustered nodes provides a good allocation solution using Genetic Algorithms (GA). As a part of the experimental studies, the solution quality and computation time effects of varying GA experimental parameters, such as the encoding scheme, the genetic operators (crossover, mutations), the population size, and the number of node modules, and the comparative findings are presented.