• Title/Summary/Keyword: Population Dynamics

Search Result 544, Processing Time 0.026 seconds

Mathematical Modeling for the Transmission Dynamics of HIV infection and AIDS with Heterogeneity in Sexual Activity (성 활동 성분을 고려한 HIV 감염과 AIDS의 전염특성에 관한 수학적 모델화)

  • Chung, Hyeng-Hwan
    • The Transactions of the Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers D
    • /
    • v.50 no.12
    • /
    • pp.597-603
    • /
    • 2001
  • In the mathematical model for the transmission dynamics of HIV infection described in previous papers, the population under consideration is assumed to be homogeneous community of homosexual males for which the parameter x represents the constant rate at which individual members of the population acquire new sexual partners. This is a gross oversimplification since it is well known that individuals vary widely in their levels of sexual activity and in this papers the heterogeneous model is modified to allow for this variation. The pattern on the epidemic character of HIV, the causative agent of AIDS, was analysed by heterogeneous-mixing model. The computer simulation was performed using real date.

  • PDF

Mathematical Modelling for The Transmission Dynamics of HIV infection and AIDS (HIV감염과 AIDS의 전파특성에 관한 수학적 모델화)

  • Chung, Hyeng-Hwan;Joo, Seok-Min;Chung, Mun-Kyu;Lee, Kwang-Woo
    • Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
    • /
    • 1998.07b
    • /
    • pp.699-702
    • /
    • 1998
  • This study investigates the population model of the spread of HIV/AIDS which the infection is generated by an infectious in dividual in a population of susceptibles. A mathematical model is presented for the transmission dynamics of HIV infection within the communities of homosexual males. The pattern on the epidemic character of HIV, the causative agent of AIDS, was analysed by the mathematical model of AIDS system which is derived according to the ecological relationship between five epidemilogic states of individuals. The computer simulation was performed using real data.

  • PDF

The influence of individual factors on the number of reindeer (Cervidae) in the Baikal region

  • Vashukevich, Yury Evgenjevich;Zhovtyuk, Pavel Ivanovich;Shvetsova, Svetlana Viktorovna;Bogdanov, Alexandr Sergeevich
    • Journal of Species Research
    • /
    • v.3 no.1
    • /
    • pp.35-38
    • /
    • 2014
  • The article considers the influence of hunting (legitimate and uncontrolled) on the population of the Siberian roe deer, musk deer, elk, red and northern deer in Pribaikalje. The data on the forms and methods of hunting, the dynamics of the number of animals and the results of their production are given. For comparison, the acts of such a limiting factor as predators are specified. Reasons for the low number of wild ungulates are determined and main problems are formulated.

Effect of Bacteriophages on Viability and Growth of Co-cultivated Weissella and Leuconostoc in Kimchi Fermentation

  • Kong, Se-Jin;Park, Jong-Hyun
    • Journal of Microbiology and Biotechnology
    • /
    • v.29 no.4
    • /
    • pp.558-561
    • /
    • 2019
  • This study aimed to understand the survival and growth patterns of bacteriophage-sensitive Weissella and Leuconostoc strains involved in kimchi fermentation. Dongchimi kimchi was prepared, and Weissella and Leuconostoc were co-cultivated in the dongchimi broth. Weissella cibaria KCTC 3807 growth was accompanied by rapid lysis with an increase in the bacteriophage quantity. Leuconostoc citreum KCCM 12030 followed the same pattern. The bacteriophage-insensitive strains W. cibaria KCTC 3499 and Leuconostoc mesenteroides KCCM 11325 survived longer under low pH as their growth was not accompanied by bacteriophages. The bacteriophage lysate of W. cibaria KCTC 3807 accelerated and promoted the growth of Leuconostoc. Overall, our results show that bacteriophages might affect the viability and population dynamics of lactic acid bacteria during kimchi fermentation.

Estimating Environmental Carrying Capacity of Seoul Metropolitan Area Using System Dynamics and Box Model

  • Moon, Taehoon
    • Proceedings of the Korea Society for Simulation Conference
    • /
    • 2001.10a
    • /
    • pp.20-36
    • /
    • 2001
  • The purpose of this paper is estimating environmental carving capacity of Seoul Metropolitan Area for a sustainable city management using system dynamics model. A sustainable development requires a society to define sustainability constraints or environmental limits, environmental carving capacity. Environmental carving capacity can be defined as the level of human activity which a region can sustain at an acceptable quality of life level. This concept of environmental carving capacity has several important application to sustainable city planning and management. If the limitation of a human activity can be supported by a scientific data on carving capacity, the resulting decision and actions could more easily win public support for a sustainable development. However, one of the key issues is how to operationalize the carving capacity. In this paper, the environmental carving capacity was operationalized as a maximum number of industry structure, population, and housing that can sustain certain level of environmental quality of Seoul Metropolitan Area. The model developed in this paper consisted off sectors: population, housing, industry, land, and environmental sector. The model limits its main focus on the NO$_2$level of ambient air of Seoul. Carving capacity Seoul Metropolitan Area was estimated by figuring out the maximum number of population, industry structure, housing at an equilibrium point that sustain a desirable NO$_2$level. Based on the model estimation, several policy implications for a sustainable city management was discussed.

  • PDF

Effect of Moisture Content on Reductive Dechlorination of Polychlorinated Biphenyls and Population Dynamics of Dechlorinating Microorganisms

  • Kwon, O-Seob;Kim, Young-Eui;Park, Jong-Gyu
    • Journal of Microbiology
    • /
    • v.39 no.3
    • /
    • pp.195-201
    • /
    • 2001
  • The effect of moisture content an the reductive dechlorination of polychlorinated biphenyls and population dynamics of dechlorinating microorganisms was investigated in sediments spiked with Aroclor 1248. In sediment slurry with an overlying water layer, dechlorination ensued after a 4-week lag period and reduced the average number of chlorines per biphenyl from 3.91 to 3.15 after 48 weeks. In the sediments of reduced moisture content, however, dechlorination occurred after a lag period of 12 weeks and decreased the average number of chlorines per biphenyl to only 3.62, and the dechlorination rate was also slower. When the population size of dechlorinators, methanogens, and sulfate-reducing bacteria was determined by the most probable number techniques, however, no difference was found between the slurry and the low-moisture sediments, except for methanogens. The growth of dechlorinating populations coincided with the end of the lag period and they then increased by 3 orders of magnitude in two conditions. Specific growth rate of dechlorinators showed little difference between the slurry and the low-moisture sediments; however, growth yield was high in the sediments of reduced moisture content. The reduction of sediment moisture decreased the dechlorination rate and extent of PCBs but did not inhibit the growth of PCB dechlorinators.

  • PDF

Population Dynamics of Symplocarpus renifolius (2. Seed production) (앉은부채 (Symplocarpus Renifolius) 개체군의 동태 2.종자생산)

  • Kang, Hyun-Jung;Min, Byeong-Mee
    • The Korean Journal of Ecology
    • /
    • v.17 no.4
    • /
    • pp.463-469
    • /
    • 1994
  • For better understanding of population dynamics of Symplocarpus renifolius, some aspects of seed production were studied in natural populations for 3 years. The rate of reproducing plants (RP) was 8.06% among the whole studied. The RPs were 0.0% in leaf size class under 500cm2 per individual, and 3.6% in 500~1,000cm2, and 44.3% in over 3,000cm2. The resource allocated to sexual organ was 11.6% of total biomass at the end of growing season, and that to belowground was about 80% regradless of presence or absence of sexual organ. In the previous and the next years of seed production, the energy allocated to sexual organ didn't affect the changes of leaf size, year by year. After flowing season. Especially, a large number of sex organ were degraded in April, a period of pollination and fertilization. The number of seeds per individual was degraded in April, a period of pollination and fertilization. The number of seeds per individual was 13~22 and didn't relate to leaf size. But the weight per seed increased along leaf size per individual. Therefore, in S.renifolius population, large individual produced large seeds rather than many seeds.

  • PDF

Component Analysis of Laryngeal Cancer Incidence Dynamics in Kazakhstan from 1999 to 2014

  • Zatonskikh, Vera;Igissinov, Nurbek;Igissinov, Saginbek;Igissinova, Gulnur;Bilyalova, Zarina;Kulmirzayeva, Dariyana;Venglovskiy, Anatoliy
    • Asian Pacific Journal of Cancer Prevention
    • /
    • v.17 no.9
    • /
    • pp.4451-4456
    • /
    • 2016
  • Background: In this study, we examined epidemiological aspects of dynamic changes in incidences of laryngeal cancer in male and female populations in Kazakhstan. Materials and Methods: Primary data were for registered patients with malignant laryngeal tumors in the whole country during the period of 1999-2014. Evaluation of changes in laryngeal cancer incidence in the population of Kazakhstan was performed using component analysis. Results: It was determined that the number of patients with laryngeal cancer in the whole country is decreasing although with conflicting impacts of different factors. Despite population growth (all - ${\Delta}_P=+66.1%$, men - ${\Delta}_P=+70.9%$ and women - ${\Delta}_P=+46.4%$), and aging (all - ${\Delta}_A=+45.1%$, men - ${\Delta}_A=+54.3$ and women - ${\Delta}_A=+22.2$), the reduction in risk of developing the disease (all - ${\Delta}_R=-165.6%$, men - ${\Delta}_R=-170.9%$ and women - ${\Delta}_R=-141.0%$) was overwhelming. Conclusions: This investigation was the first epidemiological study of dynamics of laryngeal cancer by component analysis in population of Kazakhstan. Implementation of the results of the study is recommended in management of anti-cancer activities for laryngeal cancer.

Reproductive Biology and Population Dynamics of Latreutes planirostris in the South-Western Waters of Korea (한국 서해남부 해역에 분포하는 넓적뿔꼬마새우(Latreutes planirostris)의 생식생태 및 개체군 동태)

  • OH Chul-Woong;NA Jong-Hun;MA Chae-Woo
    • Korean Journal of Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences
    • /
    • v.36 no.2
    • /
    • pp.144-150
    • /
    • 2003
  • Reproductive biology and population dynamics of Latreutes planirostris were investigated on the south western waters of Korea from June 2001 to May 2002. This paper describes sex ratio, population growth, and reproductive aspects of Latreutes planirostris. Brood size was an isometric function of female carapace length. Based on dry weight, reproduction effort (mass of eggs/mass of female) averaged 0.23. Ovarian examination showed that there was significantly higher gonadosomatic index from May to September, with a peak in June. Statistical analysis revealed that the ovarian dry weight of females with eyed eggs was significantly higher than that of those with non-eyed eggs. This suggests that females were potentially consecutive breeders. Sex ratio showed that female is more numerous than male. Growth parameters mortality and recruitment were estimated by monthly length-frequency data. Growth parameters were estimated, using the seasonalized von Bertalanffy growth function model $(L\infty\;=\;12.70\;mm\;CL,\;K\;=\;0.87yr^{-1},\;C\;=\;0.96,\;WP\;=\;0.59)$. The recruitment pattern was twice a year.

Prediction of greenhouse gas emission from municipal solid waste for South Korea

  • Popli, Kanchan;Lim, Jeejae;Kim, Hyeon Kyeong;Kim, Young Min;Tuu, Nguyen Thanh;Kim, Seungdo
    • Environmental Engineering Research
    • /
    • v.25 no.4
    • /
    • pp.462-469
    • /
    • 2020
  • This study is proposing a System Dynamics Model for estimating Greenhouse Gas (GHG) emission from treating Municipal Solid Waste (MSW) in South Korea for years 2000 to 2030. The government of country decided to decrease the total GHG emission from waste sector in 2030 as per Business-as-usual level. In context, four scenarios are generated to predict GHG emission from treating the MSW with three processes i.e., landfill, incineration and recycling. For prior step, MSW generation rate is projected for present and future case using population and waste generation per capita data. It is found that population and total MSW are directly correlated. The total population will increase to 56.27 million and total MSW will be 21.59 million tons in 2030. The methods for estimating GHG emission from landfill, incineration and recycling are adopted from IPCC, 2006 guidelines. The study indicates that Scenario 2 is best to adopt for decreasing the total GHG emission in future where recycling waste is increased to 75% and landfill waste is decreased to 7.6%. Lastly, it is concluded that choosing proper method for treating the MSW in country can result into savings of GHG emission.