• Smart Structures and Systems
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• v.29 no.2
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• pp.321-336
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• 2022

Model uncertainty is a key factor that could influence the accuracy and reliability of numerical model-based analysis. It is necessary to acquire an appropriate updating approach which could search and determine the realistic model parameter values from measurements. In this paper, the Bayesian model updating theory combined with the transitional Markov chain Monte Carlo (TMCMC) method and K-means cluster analysis is utilized in the updating of the structural model parameters. Kriging and polynomial chaos expansion (PCE) are employed to generate surrogate models to reduce the computational burden in TMCMC. The selected updating approaches are applied to three structural examples with different complexity, including a two-storey frame, a ten-storey frame, and the national stadium model. These models stand for the low-dimensional linear model, the high-dimensional linear model, and the nonlinear model, respectively. The performances of updating in these three models are assessed in terms of the prediction uncertainty, numerical efforts, and prior information. This study also investigates the updating scenarios using the analytical approach and surrogate models. The uncertainty quantification in the Bayesian approach is further discussed to verify the validity and accuracy of the surrogate models. Finally, the advantages and limitations of the surrogate model-based updating approaches are discussed for different structural complexity. The possibility of utilizing the boosting algorithm as an ensemble learning method for improving the surrogate models is also presented.

• Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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• v.55 no.4
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• pp.1382-1399
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• 2023

Pressure relief valve (PRV) is one of the important control valves used in nuclear power plants, and its sealing performance is crucial to ensure the safety and function of the entire pressure system. For the sealing performance improving purpose, an explicit function that accounts for all design parameters and can accurately describe the relationship between the multi-design parameters and the seal performance is essential, which is also the challenge of the valve seal design and/or optimization work. On this basis, a surrogate model-based design optimization is carried out in this paper. To obtain the basic data required by the surrogate model, both the Finite Element Model (FEM) and the Computational Fluid Dynamics (CFD) based numerical models were successively established, and thereby both the contact stresses of valve static sealing and dynamic impact (between valve disk and nozzle) could be predicted. With these basic data, the polynomial chaos expansion (PCE) surrogate model which can not only be used for inputs-outputs relationship construction, but also produce the sensitivity of different design parameters were developed. Based on the PCE surrogate model, a new design scheme was obtained after optimization, in which the valve sealing stress is increased by 24.42% while keeping the maximum impact stress lower than 90% of the material allowable stress. The result confirms the ability and feasibility of the method proposed in this paper, and should also be suitable for performance design optimizations of control valves with similar structures.

• Journal of Convergence for Information Technology
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• v.10 no.7
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• pp.138-146
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• 2020

The paper deals with comparative study of characteristics of surrogate models and sensitivity evaluation using design of experiments in order to enhance and analysis the structure design of an automatic salt collector under various design load conditions. Orthogonal array design based on numerical analysis was used for the design of experiments. The thickness sizing variables of main structure member were considered the design factors, and the output responses were selected from the strength performances as well as the weight. The quantitative effects on responses for each design factor were evaluated from the orthogonal array experiment. Optimum design case was also identified to improve the strength performances with weight minimization. Using the orthogonal array experiment. various surrogate models such as response surface model, Kriging model, and Chebyshev orthogonal polynomial were generated. The orthogonal array experiment results were validated by the surrogate modeling results. The most suitable surrogate model was the response surface model for the exploration of design space of the automatic salt collector.

• Proceedings of the KSME Conference
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• 2007.05b
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• pp.2552-2557
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• 2007

Shape optimization of an internal cooling passage with staggered dimples on single surface is performed and performances of surrogates are evaluated in this paper. Optimizations are performed so that turbulent heat transfer can be enhanced compromising with pressure loss due to friction. The three-dimensional governing differential equations have been solved to find the overall Nusselt number and friction factor which are related to the objective functions of this problem. Three design variables were selected among the dimensionless geometric variables. Basic surrogate models such as second order polynomial response surface approximation (RSA), Kriging meta-modeling technique, radial basis neural network (RBNN), and derived press based averaged (PBA) surrogate model are constructed. The optimal points are searched from the above constructed surrogates by sequential quadratic programming (SQP). It is shown that use of multiple surrogates can increase the robustness in prediction of better design with minimum computational cost.

• Transactions of the Korean Society for Noise and Vibration Engineering
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• v.12 no.6
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• pp.461-468
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• 2002

Computer simulation is essential to design the suspension elements of railway vehicle. By computer simulation, engineers can assess the feasibility of the given design factors and change them to get a better design. But if one wishes to perform complex analysis on the simulation, such as railway vehicle dynamic, the computational time can become overwhelming. Therefore, many researchers have used a surrogate model that has a regression model performed on a data sampling of the simulation. In general, metamodels(surrogate model) take the form y($\chi$)＝f($\chi$)＋$\varepsilon$, where y($\chi$) is the true output, f($\chi$) is the metamodel output, and is the error. In this paper, a second order polynomial equation is used as the RSM(response surface model) for high speed train that have twenty-nine design variables and forty-six responses. After the RSM is constructed, multi-objective optimal solutions are achieved by using a nonlinear programming method called VMM(variable matric method) This paper shows that the RSM is a very efficient model to solve the complex optimization problem.

• Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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• v.53 no.3
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• pp.715-731
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• 2021

Uncertainties are calculated for pressurized water reactor (PWR) spent nuclear fuel (SNF) characteristics. The deterministic code STREAM is currently being used as an SNF analysis tool to obtain isotopic inventory, radioactivity, decay heat, neutron and gamma source strengths. The SNF analysis capability of STREAM was recently validated. However, the uncertainty analysis is yet to be conducted. To estimate the uncertainty due to nuclear data, STREAM is used to perturb nuclear cross section (XS) and resonance integral (RI) libraries produced by NJOY99. The perturbation of XS and RI involves the stochastic sampling of ENDF/B-VII.1 covariance data. To estimate the uncertainty due to modeling parameters (fuel design and irradiation history), surrogate models are built based on polynomial chaos expansion (PCE) and variance-based sensitivity indices (i.e., Sobol' indices) are employed to perform global sensitivity analysis (GSA). The calculation results indicate that uncertainty of SNF due to modeling parameters are also very important and as a result can contribute significantly to the difference of uncertainties due to nuclear data and modeling parameters. In addition, the surrogate model offers a computationally efficient approach with significantly reduced computation time, to accurately evaluate uncertainties of SNF integral characteristics.

• Proceedings of the KSME Conference
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• 2001.06b
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• pp.501-506
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• 2001

Computer modeling is essential to evaluate possible design of suspension for a railway vehicles. By creating a simulation, the engineers are able to assess the feasibility of a given design and change the design factors to get a better design. But if one wishes to perform complex analysis on the simulation, such as railway vehicle dynamic, the computational time can become overwhelming. Therefore, many researchers have turned to surrogate modeling. A surrogate model is essentially a regression performed on a data sampling of the simulation. In the most general sense, metamodels(surrogate model) take the form $y(x)=f(x)+{\varepsilon}$, where y(x) is the true simulation output, f(x) is the metamodel output, and $\varepsilon$ is the error between the two. In this paper, a second order polynomial equation is partially used as a metamodel to represent the forty-six dynamic performances for high speed train. The number of factors as design variables of the metamodel is twenty-nine, which are composed the dynamic characteristics of suspension. This metamodel is used to search the optimum values of suspension characteristics which minimize the dynamic responses for high speed train. This optimization is a multi-objective problem which have many design variables. This paper shows that the response surface model which is made through the design of analysis of computer experiments method is very efficient to solve this complex optimization problem.

• Transactions of Materials Processing
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• v.26 no.1
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• pp.18-27
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• 2017

A comparative study was performed on strain-compensated Arrhenius-type constitutive models established with two regression methods: polynomial regression and regression Kriging. For measurements at high temperatures, experimental data of 70Cr3Mo steel were adopted from previous research. An Arrhenius-type constitutive model necessitates strain compensation for material constants to account for strain effect. To associate the material constants with strain, we first evaluated them at a set of discrete strains, then capitalized on surrogate modeling to represent the material constants as a function of strain. As a result, disparate flow stress models were formed via the two different regression methods. The constructed constitutive models were examined systematically against measured flow stresses by validation methods. The predicted material constants were found to be quite accurate compared to the actual material constants. However, notable mismatches between measured and predicted flow stresses were revealed by the proposed validation techniques, which carry out validation with not the entire, but a single tensile test case.

• Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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• 2021.06a
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• pp.291-291
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• 2021

모형이 갖는 불확실성의 정량화나 매개변수의 최적화는 계산시간의 기하급수적인 증가를 가져온다. 계산시간의 효율성을 극대화할 수 있는 기법으로 최근 대체모형이 개발되었으며, 다양한 분야에서 적용되고 있다. 그러나 대체모형은 훈련된 데이터 공간에서 크게 벗어난 극한 사상를 정확하게 모의하기는 어려운 단점이 있다. 본 연구는 이와 같은 대체모형의 단점을 개선할 수 있는 새로운 PCK(polynomial chaos-krigging) 기법을 제시한다. PCK는 PCE(polynomial chaos expansion) 기법과 OK(ordinary krigging) 기법을 결합한 것이며, PCK의 효과는 기존의 PCE 및 OK 모형의 결과와 비교하여 입증하였다. 본 연구의 분석 결과는 다음과 같다. (1) PCK는 더 적은 수의 훈련 샘플만으로도 원래 모형을 더 정확하게 대체할 수 있다. (2) 원래 훈련 샘플보다 약 3배 더 큰 극한사상을 모의했을 때, PCE와 OK는 예측이 실패하였지만, PCK의 예측은 정확하였다. (3) 민감도 분석 결과 PCK의 매개변수 특성과 거동이 PCE 및 OK보다 원래 모형의 특성과 거동에 더 일치한다. 본 연구에서는 3개의 대체모형의 결과를 원래모형의 결과와 비교하였으며 그 적용성을 극한강우에 대해 검토하였다. 일반적으로 훈련 샘플의 범위와 비슷한 강우사상에 대해서는 모든 대체모형의 결과가 우수하였으나, 훈련 샘플의 범위에서 벗어난 극한 사상의 모의는 PCK만 적용이 가능하였다. 제안된 대체모형은 극한사상의 예측에 있어 기존 대체모형보다 매우 향상된 정확도를 제공함을 확인할 수 있었다.

• Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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• v.82 no.3
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• pp.271-282
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• 2022

The active learning surrogate model based on adaptive sampling strategy is increasingly popular in reliability analysis. However, most of the existing sampling strategies adopt the trial and error method to determine the size of the Monte Carlo (MC) candidate sample pool which satisfies the requirement of variation coefficient of failure probability. It will lead to a reduction in the calculation efficiency of reliability analysis. To avoid this defect, a new method for determining the optimal size of the MC candidate sample pool is proposed, and a new structural reliability analysis method combining polynomial chaos-based Kriging model (PC-Kriging) with adaptive sampling region is also proposed (PCK-ASR). Firstly, based on the lower limit of the confidence interval, a new method for estimating the optimal size of the MC candidate sample pool is proposed. Secondly, based on the upper limit of the confidence interval, an adaptive sampling region strategy similar to the radial centralized sampling method is developed. Then, the k-means++ clustering technique and the learning function LIF are used to complete the adaptive design of experiments (DoE). Finally, the effectiveness and accuracy of the PCK-ASR method are verified by three numerical examples and one practical engineering example.