• 제목/요약/키워드: Political risk

검색결과 184건 처리시간 0.032초

한국해운산업의 정치적 비용에 관한 실증연구 (An Empirical Study on the Political Cost in Korean Shipping Industry)

  • 조준걸;안기명;배후석
    • 한국항해항만학회지
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    • 제28권8호
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    • pp.687-697
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    • 2004
  • 본 논문의 목적은 외항선사들의 정치적 노출정도를 측정하는 정치적 비용과 이와 관련이 있는 재무적 요인들 간의 관련성 유무를 다변량 회귀분석방법에 의하여 실증 분석함으로써 우리나라 해운산업의 정치적 비용 결정요인을 검증하는 데 있다. 회귀모형의 독립변수는 기업규모(매출액, 총자산, 시장점유율) 외에 해운산업의 특성을 보여주는 부채비율, 자본집약도, 영업이익률 및 해운위험으로서 매출액변동이다. 분석 결과 해운기업의 정치적 비용과 모든 규모변수는 유의적으로 정의 관련성이 있는 것으로 나타나고 있다. 또한 부채비율과 영업이익률은 해운산업의 정치적 비용을 결정하는 주요 요인으로 밝혀졌다.

일반인과 전문가의 환경문제에 대한 위해도 인식 차이 (A Comparison of Environmental Risk Perceptions between General Public and Experts)

  • 장은아;박종연;임영욱;신동천
    • Environmental Analysis Health and Toxicology
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    • 제16권2호
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    • pp.75-84
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    • 2001
  • Differences in risk perception on major environmental issues between general public and environmental experts were investigated in this study. Questionnaire surveys were conducted to samples from general public and environmental experts during March and April, 2000. Total number of responses was 1,126 including 773 persons from general public and 353 experts. Risk perceptions on 26 environmental issues were related with the need to regulate each issue, controllability, experience, political views, interest in environmental problem, satisfaction of environment, severity of environmental pollution. There was statistically significant difference in risk perceptions between general public and experts. Overall, general public was likely to perceive risks associated with environmental problem, as well as social need to regulate these problems more than experts. The issues with high risk perception and need to regulate were 'automobile exhaust', 'industrial air pollution', ocean pollution by industrial waste and oil exhaust', 'air pollution by chemicals', 'surface water pollution by waste from household', 'industrial and hospital waste', 'surface water pollution by pesticide'and'sewage and food waste'. Consequently, it seems necessary to manage these issues, prior to others.

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Pesticide Risk and Benefit Assessment

  • Birtley, Robin D.N.
    • 한국잡초학회지
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    • 제13권4호
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    • pp.195-202
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    • 1993
  • The benefits of pesticides in improving the food quantity and quality requirements for an increasing world population are significant, and they can be described in agronomic, economic and social terms. The risks are assessed from the hazards which are likely to occur in practice ; the hazards are defined by the toxicity of the pesticide to non-target organisms at various exposure levels. There are ways of reducing the risks (mainly by reducing exposure in practice) and improving the benefits of pesticides ; these are known as risk management and benefit management respectively. The overall risk-benefit assessment is facilitated if each component can be expressed in financial terms, but it must be made nationally or locally on a sound technical basis against the prevailing agronomic, socio-economic and political circumstances. Paraquat is used to illustrate the risk-benefit assessment process in general terms, and the conclusion is that the benefits greatly outweigh the risks. It is important to keep the risks of pesticides in perspective with those associated with other naturally occurring chemicals in our diet and with other everyday aspects of life. In an overall context, the pesticide risk is small.

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LEARNING FROM THE SOUTH KOREAN RISK MANAGEMENT PLAN FOR THE SHIPBUILDING INDUSTRY DURING THE DIFFICULT 2004-2005 YEARS

  • Seng-Kiong Ting;Mengqiong Wang
    • 국제학술발표논문집
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    • The 3th International Conference on Construction Engineering and Project Management
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    • pp.990-994
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    • 2009
  • With the world in financial recession, the general trend of global trade is declining. As a result, the world leading shipbuilding industries are confronted with an even more difficult task of mitigating various risks associated with the industries. How well the three shipbuilding industries, Japan, Korea and China, can adapt and manage the risks will be crucial. As the youngest of the top three, the Chinese industry faces greater risks. As it happens to share many factors with that of South Korea in 2004-2005, it is necessary to review and evaluate the risk management plan used by South Korea. This paper presents an evaluation of the risk management plan for shipbuilding industry in South Korea during 2004-2005, considering the financial and political environments at that time. This will help us to structure a plan of risk management for the future.

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시대성이 반영된 원자력발전에 대한 일반인들의 인식 분석 (Analysis of Public Perception of Nuclear Power Generation Reflected in the Times)

  • 박철구;황철환;김동현
    • 한국방사선학회논문지
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    • 제11권6호
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    • pp.483-491
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    • 2017
  • 본 연구는 일반인을 대상으로 시대성이 반영된 각종 잠재적 위험요소와 원자력(방사선)발전의 위험성 대한 인식을 분석하였다. 설문 대상은 다양한 계층으로 하고 그 중에 총 293부를 분석하였다. 그 결과, 잠재적 위험요소 중에서 화재에 대한 위험도 인식이 높게 나타났으며, 다음으로 방사선 테러와 핵(원자력)에너지의 위험도를 다른 위험요소들에 비해 비교적 높게 인식하였다. 연령별, 학력별, 정치 이념 성향에 따른 분석에서 원자력발전의 필요성과 위험성, 안전성에 대해서 상반된 결과를 나타내었다. 정치이념의 성향에 따른 잠재적 위험요소와 원자력발전에 대한 인식은 보수적 이념집단에서 긍정적인 인식을, 진보적 집단에서는 부정적인 인식을 하고 있는 것으로 나타났다. 즉, 정치 이념의 성향에 따라 원자력발전 인식 분석에서 통계적 차이를 보였다. 따라서 원자력(방사선)발전 정책 방향 설정과 방사선 이용 관련 산업에 있어서 전문가 의견과 일반인의 다양한 의견을 반영해서 결정되어져야 할 것으로 판단되고, 일반인도 사실을 바탕으로 객관적이고 과학적인 근거에 입각해 각종 잠재적 위험과 원자력(방사선)에 대해 막연한 불안감을 가지지 말고 유연한 대처를 할 필요가 있다고 판단된다.

Political Islam and the War in Syria

  • MANFREDI FIRMIAN, Federico
    • Acta Via Serica
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    • 제7권1호
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    • pp.105-130
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    • 2022
  • This paper argues that the war in Syria is partly the result of a global Islamist wave that contributed to fuelling conflict across large regions of Asia and Africa. Of course, the war that has consumed Syria since 2011 most certainly has multiple interrelated causes and driving forces, and any attempt to isolate one or even two or three runs the risk of advancing an overly simplistic interpretation of history. This essay, therefore, does not aim to offer an appraisal of the multiple variables that contributed to the war in Syria. Instead, it zeroes in on how political Islam came to impact Syria and its people. In doing so, it demonstrates how competing varieties of political Islam represented leading causes of conflict. Indeed, different Islamist movements contributed to the outbreak of the war in 2011, fuelled the conflict for years on end, and to this day represent major obstacles to the achievement of sustainable peace. Four broad Islamist currents are especially relevant to the case of Syria: the Muslim Brotherhood; the Shia revivalist movement at the nexus of the alliance between Iran, Hezbollah, and Syria; Salafi jihadism and its volatile and fractious underworld of competing armed groups, from Al-Qaeda to the Islamic State; and Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's market-friendly Islamism, which induced Turkey to intervene in Syria's civil war.

MODELLING OF THE RISKS FACED BY INDIAN CONSTRUCTION COMPANIES ASSESSING INTERNATIONAL OPPORTUNITIES

  • M.N. Devaya;N.K. Jha
    • 국제학술발표논문집
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    • The 2th International Conference on Construction Engineering and Project Management
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    • pp.140-149
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    • 2007
  • Indian construction companies have only 0.05% market share in the 3-4 trillion dollar global construction business and only two Indian construction companies figure in the ENR "Top 225 Global Contractors 2006" list. Hence, while enormous scope for growth exists, international construction experience is limited. This study explores the risks as perceived by Indian companies venturing abroad since risks in international construction differ from home market risks. Literature survey identified a number of risk factors that were evaluated by the experts, highlighting fourteen important risk factors. Interpretive Structural Modelling (ISM) was used to develop a hierarchical model showing the relationships between the different risk factors, thus helping to focus on the key risks for effective risk management. The study shows that poor project management is a key risk forming the hub of the system, while political instability has maximum influence. The results of the study can be used by managers to visualise the risks in perspective and prioritise the mitigation effort.

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탈(脫)추격형 혁신체제에서의 기술 위험 관리 (Technology Risk Management in the Post-catchup Innovation System)

  • 성지은;정병걸
    • 과학기술학연구
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    • 제7권1호
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    • pp.33-66
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    • 2007
  • 탈(脫)추격 단계에서는 높은 불확실성을 가진 기술혁신 활동이 증가함에 따라 기술 위험의 발생 가능성도 높아지게 된다. 따라서 정책적 차원에서 위험을 수용하고 관리하는 것이 더욱 중요한 이슈로 등장하고 있다. 본 연구는 기술위험을 정치사회적 시각에서 재정리하고 새로운 기술과 정책이 겪는 시행착오와 실패가능성이 더욱 높아지는 탈(脫)추격 단계의 기술위험의 특성을 파악한다. 특히 우리나라는 추격단계에서 형성되어온 과거의 유산이 여전히 지배하고 있다는 점에서 기술 위험에 대한 새로운 접근과 정책적 대응이 필요한 시점이다. 이에 따라 위험관리체계의 재정립과 위험커뮤니케이션의 강화, 기술 유형별 위험 관리, 예방적 접근과 한정된 범위의 시행착오 전략의 활용, 지식축적과 학습의 강화가 필요하다.

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전과정평가에 있어 확률론적 건강영향분석기법 적용 -Part I : 전과정평가에 있어 확률론적 위해도 분석기법 적용방안에 관한 연구 (Application of Probabilistic Health Risk Analysis in Life Cycle Assessment -Part I : A General Framework for Uncertainty and Variability Analysis of Health Risk in Life Cycle Assessment)

  • 최광수;박재성
    • 환경영향평가
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    • 제9권3호
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    • pp.185-202
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    • 2000
  • Uncertainty and variability in Life Cycle Assessment(LCA) have been significant key issues in LCA methodology with techniques in other research area such as social and political science. Variability is understood as stemming from inherent variations in the real world, while uncertainty comes from inaccurate measurements, lack of data, model assumptions, etc. Related articles in this issues were reviewed for classification, distinguish and elaboration of probabilistic/stochastic health risk analysis application in LCA. Concept of focal zone, streamlining technique, scenario modelling and Monte Carlo/Latin Hypercube risk analysis were applied to the uncertainty/variability analysis of health risk in LCA. These results show that this general framework of multi-disciplinary methodology between probabilistic health risk assessment and LCA was of benefit to decision making process by suppling information about input/output data sensitivity, health effect priority and health risk distribution. There should be further research needs for case study using this methodology.

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Small Business Innovation Research Program in the United States: A Political Review and Implications for East Asian Countries

  • Ryu, Youngbok
    • STI Policy Review
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    • 제6권2호
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    • pp.54-86
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    • 2015
  • The study examines the U.S. Small Business Innovation Research (SBIR) program, with a focus on the recent Reauthorization, and compares, in the political context, the U.S. and East Asian countries-Japan, Korea and Taiwan-that adopted the U.S. SBIR program. For the systematic analysis and cross-country comparison, the study employs Kingdon (2003)'s framework-his political theory and Garbage Can Model-to identify political participants and processes underlying the SBIR Reauthorization and to analyze the differences in problem, policy, and politics streams between the U.S. and East Asian countries. For the cross-country comparison, specifically, the study uses various data sources such as OECD, Global Entrepreneurship Monitor, Hofstede's Cultural Dimensions, and World Value Survey. Based on the analysis outcomes, implications of U.S. practices on East Asian countries are extracted as follows. East Asian countries tend to: Have higher entrepreneurial aspiration while lower entrepreneurial activity and attitude than the U.S.; bear higher long term orientation and uncertainty avoidance while lower individualism than the U.S.; and have greater expectations of technology development and higher confidence in political parties while participating less in political action than the U.S. Drawing on the differences, the following policy recommendations are suggested. East Asian countries should: Improve entrepreneurs' access to resources (in particular, financial resource) in order to link their high entrepreneurial aspiration to actual entrepreneurial activities; cultivate failure-tolerating culture and risk-taking entrepreneurs, for instance, by providing a second chance to SBIR-participating businesses that failed to materialize their innovative ideas; and leverage their high expectations of new technology in order to take bold actions regarding their SBIR programs, and update the programs by drawing out constructive dialogues between SBIR stakeholders.