• Title/Summary/Keyword: Political and Commercial Risks

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글로벌 프로젝트 파이낸스 최근 동향 및 상업위험 분석 (Global Project Finance Trends and Commercial Risk Analysis)

  • 김상만
    • 무역상무연구
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    • 제61권
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    • pp.273-302
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    • 2014
  • Project finance ("PF") is a method of raising long-term debt financing based on lending against the cash flow generated by the project alone. Project finance is a nonrecourse or limited recourse financing structure against the sponsors(or the investors). The debt terms in a project finance are not based on the creditor's credit support or on the value of the assets of the project. Lenders rely on the future cash flow to be generated by the project for debt repayment and interest, rather than the value of the project or the credit ratings of the sponsors. The non-recourse or limited recourse financing usually prompt potential project finance lenders to assess carefully all possible risks that might arise in a project to ensure that those risks are mitigated and controlled. In this respect, project finance is a opposite financing method of corporate finance. Project finance has rapidly grown over the last 20 years due to the worldwide process of privatization of public sector and development of natural resources. Global project finance volume reached the record USD 406.5 billion in 2011. In 2012, however, Global project finance volume dropped 6% to USD 382.3 billion. Infrastructure overtook Energy to lead all sectors with USD 113.6 billion. It is generally recognized that there are more and higher risks in project finance compared with corporate finance. Project finance is exposed to commercial risks as well as political risks. The main commercial risks are completion risks, environmental risks, operating risks, input supply risks, revenue risks, etc, and the main political risks are currency convertibility and transfer risks, expropriation risks, war and civil disturbance risks, risks of breach of government concession agreement, etc. Completion risks include permits risks, risks relating to the EPC Contractor, construction cost overrun, delay in completion, inadequate performance on completion, etc.

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외국의 공적수출신용기관에 관한 연구 - 미국, 프랑스, 일본, 캐나다를 중심으로 - (A Study on the Foreign Export Credit Agency - Focused on the U.S.A., France, Japan, and Canada -)

  • 김창모
    • 통상정보연구
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    • 제10권4호
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    • pp.533-551
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    • 2008
  • Export Credit Agency(ECA) plays a role of importance in international trade and investment flows. The first ECA, the Export Credits Guarantee Department(ECGD) of the United kingdom, was established in 1919. Its original purpose was to encourage and support exports that would not otherwise have taken. Similar motivations led to the establishment, most of those in operation today. Their traditional role is to support and encourage exports and outward investment by insuring international trade and investment transactions, and in some cases by providing trade finance directly. ECA come in all shapes and sizes, and there in no such thing as a typical ECA model. Most of them insure both political and commercial risks on exports and until the last decade. They operated as government entities or on the account of their government, and many of them have changed and are still changing. This study focuses and analyzes the changes of those four major countries' ECAs, which are the U.S.A.(EXIM), France(COFACE), Japan(JBIC), and Canada(EDC).

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금융기관의 환경책임과 대응방안에 대한 법적 고찰 (A Legal Study on the Environmental Liability of Financial Institutions and its Responses)

  • 이재협
    • 환경정책연구
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    • 제3권1호
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    • pp.1-29
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    • 2004
  • The role of the financial institution to promote corporate sustainability may be reviewed in two angles, as a commercial lender and an investor. As a commercial lender, financial institutions should minimize the legal risks and the political risks. Financial institutions began to recognize environmental risks as legal risks that directly affect their lending practices since the legislation of the Comprehensive Environmental Response, Compensation, and Liability Act("Superfund") of the U.S.A. The so-called lender liability rule has a detailed guideline where the financial institutions may be exempted from the Superfund Liability. Similar attempts are noticed in the recent EU White Paper on Environmental Liability. In Korea, comprehensive environmental liability laws are yet to be developed. The Soil Environment Preservation Act now includes a far-reaching environmental liability provisions, where the owners and operators as well as receivers of the facility bear responsibility. However, whether the financial institutions may be captured as a potential responsible party is not very clear. Until the relevant legislation is developed and court decisions accumulate, Korean financial institutions are well advised to raise awareness on this issue, to develop environmental policies and to train personnels.

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A Grey Correlation Analysis Method for Relationship of the Overseas M&A and Business Growth of Commercial Banks

  • LIU, Xiaohong
    • 한국인공지능학회지
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    • 제7권1호
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    • pp.13-16
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    • 2019
  • While the Chinese banks have started the impact of foreign banks. At the same time, rising pressure on foreign exchange reserves and appreciation of the renminbi has prompted Chinese banks to go abroad and diversify their risks. The financial crisis of 2008 has caused the continued turbulence of the major financial markets around the world, and the valuation of foreign financial institutions has been drastically shrinking, providing opportunities for Chinese banks to carry out overseas M&A. Based on the overseas M&A status of Chinese commercial banks, this paper sums up the characteristics of the overseas M&A. Then taking a series of overseas M&A conducted by ICBC from 2006 to 2011 as an example, it analyzes the relationship between M&A and performance growth using grey incidence model. The test shows: there is a positive correlation between both overseas M&A and interest rate differential with performance growth of ICBC, and overseas M&A transactions role in promoting the performance growth is significantly higher than the interest rate differential.

중국의 해양강국 및 일대일로 구상과 미래 한·중 협력 전망 (Implications of China's Maritime Power and BRI : Future China- ROK Strategic Cooperative Partnership Relations)

  • 윤석준
    • Strategy21
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    • 통권37호
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    • pp.104-143
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    • 2015
  • China's new grand strategy, the "One Belt, One Road Initiative" (also Belt Road Initiative, or BRI) has two primary components: Chinese President Xi Jinping announced the "Silk Road Economic Belt" in September 2013 during a visit to Kazakhstan, and the "21st Century Maritime Silk Route Economic Belt" in a speech to the Indonesian parliament the following month. The BRI is intended to supply China with energy and new markets, and also to integrate the countries of Central Asia, the Association of Southeast Asia Nations (ASEAN), and the Indian Ocean Region - though not Northeast Asia - into the "Chinese Dream". The project will be supported by the Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank (AIIB), due to open in 2016 with 57 founding members from all around the world, and China has already promised US$ 50 billion in seed funding. China's vision includes networks of energy pipelines, railways, sea port facilities and logistics hubs; these will have obvious commercial benefits, but also huge geopolitical significance. China seems to have two distinct aims: externally, to restore its historical sphere of influence; and internally, to cope with income inequalities by creating middle-class jobs through enhanced trade and the broader development of its economy. In South Korea, opinion on the BRI is sharply polarized. Economic and industrial interests, including Korea Railroad Corporation (KORAIL), support South Korean involvement in the BRI and closer economic interactions with China. They see how the BRI fits nicely with President Park Geun-hye's Eurasia Initiative, and anticipate significant commercial benefits for South Korea from better connections to energy-rich Russia and the consumer markets of Europe and Central Asia. They welcome the prospect of reduced trade barriers between China and South Korea, and of improved transport infrastructure, and perceive the political risks as manageable. But some ardently pro-US pundits worry that the political risks of the BRI are too high. They cast doubt on the feasibility of implementing the BRI, and warn that although it has been portrayed primarily in economic terms, it actually reveals a crucial Chinese geopolitical strategy. They are fearful of China's growing regional dominance, and worried that the BRI is ultimately a means to supplant the prevailing US-led regional security structure and restore the Middle Kingdom order, with China as the only power that matters in the region. According to this view, once China has complete control of the regional logistics hubs and sea ports, this will severely limit the autonomy of China's neighbors, including South Korea, who will have to toe the Chinese line, both economically and politically, or risk their own peace and prosperity.

어음을 이용한 포페이팅의 법적 원리 (Some Rules of Law for Forfaiting Using Bills of Exchange or Promissory Notes)

  • 허해관
    • 무역상무연구
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    • 제43권
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    • pp.169-198
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    • 2009
  • This paper sees some legal phases of the forfaiting transactions performed by using bills of exchange (drafts) or promissory notes. It focuses on the issues of the endorsement without recourse and the aval under the Korean statute for such negotiable instruments which is enacted by succeeding to the Convention Providing a Uniform Law For Bills of Exchange and Promissory Notes (Geneva, 1930) of the League of Nations. This paper purposes to give basic legal guides for forfaiting participants in order for them to be able to prevent and solve some problems caused by lack of understanding for relevant rules of law. Forfaiting is a useful technic as it provides financing for international export businesses by enabling forfaiters to discount future payment obligations on non-recourse basis. It gives benefits to exporters by removing political, transfer and commercial risks of importers or their country. Also it protects exporters from the risks of the increase of interest rates and the fluctuation of exchange rate as well. In traditionally normal forfaiting transactions, exporter of goods generally takes promissory notes or accepted drafts from importers in payment for the price of goods. Further, when the exporter is not comfortable with the importer's credit or is not confident whether the importer will pay the accepted drafts or the promissory notes as they come due, the exporter nomally requires the importer to make the importer's bank (avalizer or guarantor) add an aval, which is made by the written expression of intention, the words of "per aval", and the guarantor's signature on the drafts or promissory notes. The exporter endorses without recourse to transfer the drafts or the promissory notes to the forfaiter, typically a bank, who purchases the drafts or the promissory notes without recourse.

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중소기업의 개성공단 및 베트남 직접투자 결정요인 연구 (A Study on Determinants of Korean SMEs' Foreign Direct Investment in Gaeseong Industrial Complex & Vietnam)

  • 조헌수
    • 벤처창업연구
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    • 제16권4호
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    • pp.167-178
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    • 2021
  • 본 연구는 중소기업의 개성공단 및 베트남에 대한 직접투자 결정요인을 분석하고, 향후 북한 비핵화에 따른 남북경협 활성화시 대북투자 경험이 없는 베트남 투자업체 중 대북투자 의향이 있는지, 있다면 그 이유가 무엇인지, 대북투자 경험이 있는 개성공단 입주업체와 비교 분석하여 해외기업의 개성공단 및 북한 경제특구 유치로 U턴시켜 국내 일자리 창출 및 남북경제 활성화에 기여하는데 그 목적이 있다. 분석결과 개성공단 및 베트남 투자기업의 대부분은 값싼 노동력 활용, 저렴한 공장입지, 현지시장 판매·개척, 제3국 우회수출 생산기지 등의 목적으로 진출하는 것으로 나타났다. 이는 해외직접투자이론상 현지시장 판매 및 확대를 위한 시장추구형 투자(Market seekers)와 인건비 등 생산요소가격 차이를 활용한 생산효율추구형 투자로(Production-efficiency seekers) 나눌수 있는데 이는 최근 나이키, Apple, Amazon 등 글로벌 기업들의 해외직접투자 패턴과도 일치하는 것으로 보인다. 그러나 북미 비핵화 협상으로 대북 경제 제제조치가 완화, 해제되더라도 베트남 투자기업의 대북 투자의향은 12.3%로 매우 저조하게 나타났는바, 이는 북핵 Issue로 개성공단 폐쇄와 같이 정치적 Risk로 인한 북한 경제특구 폐쇄가능성을 가장 부담스러워 했으며, 또한 경제특구 폐쇄시 국가의 손실배상 조치가 매우 부족하다고 느끼는데 있다. 따라서 향후 남북경협 활성화를 위해서는 앞서 얘기한 애로점을 해소하고 가칭 "남북경협진흥공사"와 같은 기관을 설립하여 대북지원기관의 중복업무를 방지하고 Onestop fullservice로 신속하게 지원할 필요성이 있으며, 섬유,봉제,신발과 같은 영세 중소기업의 대북 진출을 위한 진출 초기에는 적극적인 정책금융 지원이 절실히 필요하며 이를 위해 정부와 민간금융기관 공동으로 5,000억원 규모의 펀드를 조성하여 운영할 필요가 있다.