• 제목/요약/키워드: Policy Simulation

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Setup cost와 Backorder rate를 고려한 확률적 재고모형에 관한 연구 (The study of stochastic inventory model with setup cost and backorder rate)

  • 유승우;서창현;김경섭
    • 한국시뮬레이션학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국시뮬레이션학회 2003년도 춘계학술대회논문집
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    • pp.129-134
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    • 2003
  • In this paper, we determine optimal reduction in the lead time and setup cost for some stochastic inventory models. And we propose more general model that allow the backorder rate as a control variable. We first assume that the lead time demand follows a normal distribution. And we assume that the backorder rate is dependent on the length of lead time through the amount of shortages. The stochastic models analyzed in this paper are the classical continuous and periodic review policy models with a mixture of backorders and lost sales. For each of these models, we provide a sufficient conditions for the uniqueness of the optimal operating policy. We also develop algorithms for solving these models and provide illustrative numerical examples.

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환경신기술인증제도의 운영효과를 모의하기 위한 시스템다이내믹스 컴퓨터 모델의 개발 (Development of a system dynamics computer model to simulate the operational effects of the new environmental technology certification system)

  • 김태영;박수완
    • 상하수도학회지
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    • 제34권2호
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    • pp.105-114
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    • 2020
  • In this study, based on the System Dynamics (SD) methodology, the interrelationship between the factors inherent in the operation of the New Technology Certification System (NTCS) in Korea was identified by a causal map containing a feedback loop mechanism in connection with 'new technology development investment', 'commercialization of new technology', and 'sales by new technology'. This conceptualized causal map was applied to the simulation of the operations of the New Excellent Technology and Environmental Technology Verification System (NET&ETV) run by the Ministry of Environment among various NTCSs in Korea. A SD computer simulation model was developed to analyze and predict the operational performance of the NET&ETV in terms of key performance indices such as 'sales by new technology'. Using this model, we predicted the future operational status the NET&ETV and found a policy leverage that greatly influences the operation of the NET&ETV. Also the sensitivity of the key indicators to changes in the external variables in the model was analyzed to find policy leverage.

SD법을 이용한 해양사고 예방의 정책대안 분석 (A Study on the Alternative Plan for Prevention of Marine Accident using System Dynamic)

  • 금종수;장운재
    • 해양환경안전학회지
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    • 제10권2호
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    • pp.17-22
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    • 2004
  • 해양사고는 맡은 원인이 서로 복잡하게 상호작용을 하여 발생하고 있다. 이러한 해양사고의 분석은 선박의 안전 운항상의 측면에서 매우 중요하다고 할 수 있다. 따라서 본 연구의 목적은 시스템다이내믹스법을 이용하여 해양사고 원인과 개선책에 대한 모델을 구축하고, 요소의 개선에 대한 효과를 분석하고자 한다. 본 연구의 수행을 위해 해양사고 원인과 개선책의 요소를 브레인스토밍법에 의해 추출하고, 인과지도상의 정량적, 정성적, 피드백루프로 변환하였다. 그리고 표준모델과 4가지 정책모델에 대해 23년간(1997-2020) 시뮬레이션을 수행하였다.

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경영 시뮬레이션 게임에서 PPO 알고리즘을 적용한 강화학습의 유용성에 관한 연구 (A Study about the Usefulness of Reinforcement Learning in Business Simulation Games using PPO Algorithm)

  • 양의홍;강신진;조성현
    • 한국게임학회 논문지
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    • 제19권6호
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    • pp.61-70
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    • 2019
  • 본 논문에서는 경영 시뮬레이션 게임 분야에서 강화학습을 적용하여 게임 에이전트들이 자율적으로 주어진 목표를 달성하는지를 확인하고자 한다. 본 시스템에서는 Unity Machine Learning (ML) Agent 환경에서 PPO (Proximal Policy Optimization) 알고리즘을 적용하여 게임 에이전트가 목표를 달성하기 위해 자동으로 플레이 방법을 찾도록 설계하였다. 그 유용성을 확인하기 위하여 5가지의 게임 시나리오 시뮬레이션 실험을 수행하였다. 그 결과 게임 에이전트가 다양한 게임 내 환경 변수의 변화에도 학습을 통하여 목표를 달성한다는 것을 확인하였다.

선전과 이탈이 있는 복수 서비스 대기행렬모형에 대한 시뮬레이션 분석 (Simulation Analysis for Multiple-Server Queueing Model with Advertising and Balking)

  • 권치명;김성연;정문상;황성원
    • 한국시뮬레이션학회논문지
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    • 제13권1호
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    • pp.41-50
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    • 2004
  • The purpose of this paper is to analyse the manager's policy to maximize the profit in a multiple-server queueing facility with a limited queue capacity. We assume that the level of advertizing effects on the arrival rate of customers to the facility. The model without ‘word of mouth effect’ is assumed that the arrival rate is independent on the qualify of service level. We estimate the service quality by the balking rate of customers from system. We extend this to the model with ‘word of mouth effect’. To achieve the maximum profit, the most important factor is the considerably high utilization of facility for both models. Given service rate, we should maintain an effective arrival rate to some extent. To this end, among the available options, an increase of advertizing effort is more desirable than reducing the fee if the service value of customers remains unchanged. We also investigate whether the variability of service time has a significant impact on determining the optimal policy. The cost of service variability is not so expensive as that in a single server model due to the reduced variability of service times in a multiple-server model.

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취약성 정보를 활용한 정책 기반 보안 시스템 모델링 (Policy-based Security System Modeling using Vulnerable Information)

  • 서희석;김동수;김희완
    • 한국IT서비스학회지
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    • 제2권2호
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    • pp.97-109
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    • 2003
  • As the importance and the need for network security is increased, many organization uses the various security systems. They enable to construct the consistent integrated security environment by sharing the vulnerable information among firewall, intrusion detection system, and vulnerable scanner. And Policy-based network provides a means by which the management process can be simplified and largely automated. In this article we build a foundation of policy-based network modeling environment. The procedure and structure for policy rule induction from vulnerabilities stored in SVDB (Simulation based Vulnerability Data Based) is conducted. It also transforms the policy rules into PCIM (Policy Core Information Model).

재고정책에 따른 군 공급체인 성과에 관한 연구 - 시스템 다이나믹스를 중심으로 - (A Study on the Effect of the Inventory Policy on Military Supply Chain Performance - Focused on System Dynamics -)

  • 안병기;김태현;문성임
    • 한국국방경영분석학회지
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    • 제28권2호
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    • pp.1-19
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    • 2002
  • This study shows the effect of inventory policy change from supplier-based to customer-based. We focus on the service level, cost, and information distortion of the Military Supply Chain(MSC) with System Dynamics. We design MSC model according to field practician interviews by using Vensim. The simulation makes a comparison between supply-based inventory policy performances and order-based inventory policy performances. In order to evaluate the MSC performances, we measure the accumulation of backlog(service level), supply chain cost, and order percentage overshoot(information distortion). The results show that 1) changing inventory policy from supplier-based to end customer order-based gets a good customer service, reduces MSC cost, and prevents information distortion, 2) changing inventory policy from supplier-based to immediate customer order-based reduces a small amount of MSC cost and deteriorates customer service, and 3) supply level is main factor for MSC performances improvement. This study implicates the policy change makes a improvement of MSC performance without introducing information system.

에이전트 기반 모델링 및 시뮬레이션을 위한 컴퓨팅 인프라 기술 동향 (Technical Trends of Computing Infrastructure for Agent Based Modeling & Simulation)

  • 정영우;손석호;오병택;이규철;배승조;김병섭;강동재;정영준
    • 전자통신동향분석
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    • 제33권5호
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    • pp.111-120
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    • 2018
  • Agent-based modeling and simulation (ABMS) is a computational method for analyzing research targets through observations of agent-to-agent interactions, and can be applied to multidimensional policy experiments in various fields of social sciences to support policy and decision making. Recently, according to increasing complexity of society and the rapid growth of collected data, the need for high-speed processing is considered to be more important in this field. For this reason, in the ABMS research field, a scalable and large-scale computing infrastructure is becoming an essential element, and cloud computing has been considered a promising infrastructure of ABMS. This paper surveys the technology trends of ABMS tools, cloud computing-based modeling, and simulation studies, and forecasts the use of cloud-computing infrastructure for future modeling and simulation tools. Although fundamental studies are underway to apply and operate cloud computing in the areas of modeling and simulation, new and additional studies are required to devise an optimal cloud computing infrastructure to satisfy the needs of large-scale ABMS.

Prediction of ultimate moment anchorage capacity of concrete filled steel box footing

  • Bashir, Muhammad Aun;Furuuchi, Hitoshi;Ueda, Tamon;Bashir, M. Nauman
    • Steel and Composite Structures
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    • 제15권6호
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    • pp.645-658
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    • 2013
  • The objective of the study is to predict the moment anchorage capacity of the concrete filled steel box (CFSB) as footing by using the 3D finite element program CAMUI developed by authors' laboratory. The steel box is filled with concrete and concrete filled steel tube (CFT) column is inserted in the box. Numerical simulation of the experimental specimens was carried out after introducing the new constitutive model for post peak behavior of concrete in compression under confinement. The experimental program was conducted to verify the reliability of the simulation results by the FE program. The simulated peak loads agree reasonably with the experimental ones and was controlled by concrete crushing near the column. After confirming the reliability of the FEM simulation, effects of different parameters on the moment anchorage capacity of concrete filled steel box footing were clarified by conducting numerically parametric study.

자동생산시스템에서 납기를 고려한 동적주문투입정책 (Dynamic Order Release Policy Considering The Due Date of Order for Automated Manufacturing Systems)

  • 노인규;박찬웅
    • 한국국방경영분석학회지
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    • 제22권2호
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    • pp.153-165
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    • 1996
  • This paper presents an order releasing algorithm for an AMS. Order release policy determine order releasing time to shop floor so as to improve order management and shop performance. The proposed order releasing algorithm can cope with the dynamic environment of orders(e.g. change or cancel of order) flexibly and fastly, by processing individual order and exchanging the information(e.g. compeletion time or lateness of order, etc) with customer. And the objective of the order releasing algorithm is the observance of the due-date, therefore, it can provide customer with a reliability of order. Computer simulation is used to obtain the makespan of order which is the input data of the order releasing algorithm. The eight candidate part dispatching rules are simulated to selected an effective part dispatching rule for the computer simulation. By using the best effective part dispatching rule, the computer simulation is conducted to determine order releasing time.

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