• 제목/요약/키워드: Policy Effect Analysis

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AHP를 이용한 농업생산기반정비사업 타당성평가 개선방안 (Revision of Feasibility Evaluation Guideline for Agricultural Infrastructure Improvement Project Using AHP Approach)

  • 윤성욱;이석주;이한성;정원호
    • 농촌계획
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    • 제25권2호
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    • pp.35-45
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    • 2019
  • This study revises current feasibility evaluation guideline for agricultural infrastructure improvement project considering recent changes in social and economic environment in rural area. We use an AHP(Analytic Hierarchy Process) approach to consider qualitative evaluation items in policy enforcement and balanced regional development as well as quantitative items in current economic analysis in the process of feasibility evaluation and decision making. The criteria system is composed of three level hierarchy. In the first level which consists of economic analysis, policy analysis, and regional development analysis, economic analysis was ranked top with relative weight of 0.45 and regional development analysis the lowest with 0.22. In the second level which consists of three evaluation items under policy analysis, consistency in policy enforcement, risk factors, and special evaluation factors, consistency in policy enforcement was ranked top. Finally, 13 detailed evaluation items in the third level were surveyed and ranked by using a comprehensive criticality vector. The result shows that the three most important evaluation items are 'degree of underdevelopment', 'spill-over effect of regional economy' and 'consistency with related planning and policy direction'.

수산부문 정부재정지원정책의 정성 평가 (Policy Evaluation of the Government Financial Transfers to Korean Fisheries : LISREL Approach)

  • 박성쾌;김정봉
    • 수산경영론집
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    • 제33권2호
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    • pp.1-29
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    • 2002
  • The main objective of this research aims at analyzing efficiency of government financial transfers(GFTs) to the Korean fisheries sector, using the Linear Structural Relations model(i.e., LISERL model) and the field survey data. Most policies of GFTs tend to be implemented to protect industries with weak competitive advantages such as infant and/or primary industries. Specific policy instruments include income transfers, government loans with lower interest rates, taxes and the like. Fishing activities are made at a highly changeable natural environment of the ocean with a great amount of risk and uncertainty. Fishing households make their livelihood under the small-scale fisheries. Such fisheries and fishing households have also a relatively weak market power. Because of these fisheries characteristics most coastal states have adopted a variety of government support programs. However, despite such a huge government support, during the past several decades the world fishing communities have seen a tendency of continuous fishereis resource overexploitation. For this resason there have been hot debates over the government support policies for fisheries through OECD, FAO, WTO, and UNEP. In general, policy evaluations tend to be made on the basis of benefit-cost(B/C) analysis. However, the B/C analysis may produce results quite different from real ones primarily due to many unmeasurable effects. Thus, the authors composed simple questionaires and let fishermen, government officials and academic people answer the questions. The survery was made in several ways such as post-mail and personal/group interviews. In recent years, for analysis of policy performances and effectiveness, the LISREL model has often been used, which consists of structural and measurement eqquations. This model has a good advantage of transforming unobservable variables to observable ones so that it helps construct endogenous cause and effect relationships among relevant variables. The evaluation was done from the two aspects: policy results and policy effectiveness. The policy result evaluation showed that there is a need for improvement for policy problem perception and decision-making process, while the policy effect evaluation suggested that the policy goals were successfully achieved and social justice was improved from the perspective of the entire society as well. However, the research results showed that the GFT policies rendered little contrubtion to narrowing down the gap between GFT beneficiaries and non-beneficiaries incomes.

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China's Brain Gain at the High End: An Assessment of Thousand Youth Talents Program

  • Sun, Yutao;Guo, Rongyu;Zhang, Shuai
    • Asian Journal of Innovation and Policy
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    • 제6권3호
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    • pp.274-294
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    • 2017
  • While studies have viewed the effect of Chinese talent-attracting programs launched by government since reform and open door policy, little of them has assessed these programs empirically and pertinently. This article intends to assess an important program - the Thousand Youth Talents Program (TYTP). Frist, this paper proposed a transnational migration matrix of the academics to clarify the dynamic mechanism of academic brain gain at the high end. Then, the Kaplan-Meier analysis and Cox regression model are used to empirically analyze the policy effect of TYTP. The results show that, academic ability have double edged impacts on brain gain at the high end, some scholars whose last employer's academic ranking is world's Top100 have stronger willing to return, and the negative effect of academic ranking decreases with time passing; while scholars with a tenure-track position, a tenure position or a permanent position tend to stay overseas, and the hazard rate of staying increases with age. The older scholars have more intentions to go back China, while gender was not a significant factor influencing academic return at the high end. That is, the talent-attracting programs has partly succeeded in bringing back the academics at the high end.

21c 일본 통화정책 효과에 대한 분석 (An Analysis on the Effect of Japanese Monetary Policy in 21C)

  • 윤형모
    • 국제지역연구
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    • 제20권1호
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    • pp.105-125
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    • 2016
  • 일본은 21세기에 들어와서 경기침체와 디플레이션을 극복하기 위하여 확산적 화폐금융정책을 실시하였으며, 최근 아베정부는 무제한적으로 화폐공급을 증가시키고 있다. 그러나 이와 같은 정책의 효과는 아직 뚜렷이 나타나지 않고 있다. 본 연구의 목적은 2001년 이후 일본금융정책의 효과를 검증하는데 있다. 이를 위하여, 일본에서는 1990년 이후 버블형성과 붕괴이후 민간경제주체의 기대형성 과정이 변하고 있다는 사실에 기인하여, 기대가설을 내포하고 있는 거시모형을 설정하였다. 본 연구에서 사용된 거시모형은 통화량이 환율에 미치는 영향을 포함하였으며, 이를 IVM와 VAR를 이용하여 통계적으로 분석하였다. 통계분석 결과는 다음과 같다. 화폐금융정책의 효과는 2001.01-2015.03 기간에서 1985.01-1994.04.기간보다 낮아졌으며 효과가 미치는 기간도 짧아지고 있다. 이는 버블형성과 붕괴를 경험한 일본 민간경제주체가 더 이상 화폐금융정책의 효과를 믿지 않고 있기 때문인 것으로 판단된다. 통화량의 증가에도 불구하고 총수요는 영향을 받지 않고 있으며, 기대하지 못한 환율의 변화는 순수출을 증가시키고 있지만 통화 증가가 환율의 기대오차에 영향을 주지 못하고 있는 것으로 판단된다. 본 연구의 결과가 금융정책에서 의미하는 바는 중요하다고 할 수 있다. 일본의 버블형성과 붕괴, 그 후의 금융정책의 실패 등은 민간경제주체의 정책에 대한 신뢰를 변화시켰고, 화폐금융정책의 효과는 점차 낮아지고 있으며 불확실성은 커지고 있다. 확산적 화폐금융정책은 효과가 미흡할 경우 그 정책에 내재해 있는 위험성은 높아지므로 정책실시에 보다 신중한 결정이 요구된다. 또한 정부부채를 이용하는 재정정책을 배합하는 방향도 고려할 필요가 있다. 문제는 일본 정부부채 비율이 250%에 달한 것인데, 그렇다고 해서 재정정책을 사용하지 못한다는 근거는 없으므로, 이에 대한 또 다른 연구가 요구되는 시점이다.

팔당호 수질관리 정책의 효과 분석 (Estimation of the Effect of Water Quality Management Policy in Paldang Lake)

  • 최정현;하주현;박석순
    • 대한환경공학회지
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    • 제30권12호
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    • pp.1225-1230
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    • 2008
  • 이 논문에서는 팔당호에 행해진 수질관리 정책의 효과를 분석하기 위하여 계절 맨-켄달 경향분석법(Seasonal Mann-Kendall Trend Analysis)을 사용한 새로운 접근법으로 팔당호로 유입되는 주요 지류중 하나인 경안천의 수질을 정책 전과 후로 나누어 비교 분석하였다. 1992년부터 2005년까지 월별로 측정된 BOD, COD, 총인 및 총질소의 자료들을 이용하여 1998년 한강특별대책 시행 전과 후의 켄달 기울기(Kendall slope)를 비교하였고, 그 결과 한강특별대책이 경안천 하류의 수질 개선에는 효과가 있었으나 상류의 수질 개선에는 큰 효과를 거두지 못하였음을 밝혀냈다. 이러한 결과는 이전에 행해진 경안천 수질 관련 연구들의 결과와 잘 일치하는 것으로 보아, 이 연구에서 사용된 수질의 장기 경향 분석을 통한 정책의 효과를 판단하는 접근법은 앞으로 유용하게 사용되어 질 수 있으리라 판단된다.

정보통신 기술지식의 파급효과에 대한 실증분석 (An Empirical Analysis on the Diffusion Impact of IT Technological Knowledge)

  • 조형곤;박광만;이영용;박용태;김문수
    • 기술혁신연구
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    • 제8권1호
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    • pp.73-94
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    • 2000
  • The main objective of this research is to examine the spillover effects of technological knowledge from IT industry to other industrial sectors and, based on empirical findings, to draw policy implications and suggest policy directions. To this end, we divide IT industry into IT equipment and IT service, assuming that these two sub-sectors are considerably different each other in terms of technology knowledge flow. Other industries are classified into 17 different sectors based on the KSIC of 1990. As the proxy measure of technological knowledge, the notion of R&D stock is employed. The Input/output(I/O) Table is used to define the inter-industrial flow pattern and to draw the knowledge flow matrix. As the research methodology, cost function model is employed to gauge the spillover effects of technological knowledge of IT industry. Based on the results of analysis, it is found that the economic impact of technology diffusion also exhibits a different pattern between IT equipment and IT service. The diffusion of IT equipment tends to show labor-substitution effect whereas IT service displays labor-creation effect. This fact should be considered in devising industry, education, and labor policy. The expectations from this research are as follows. First, the sectoral pattern, difference between IT equipment and service in particular, identified from this research may shed light on the sector-specific policy direction. It is emphasized that a sector-specific approach, rather than an aggregate approach, is relevant for formulating IT policy. Second, it is expected that the importance of technology diffusion programs and policy measures are recognized among policy makers in IT industry.

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Quantifying the Price Effect of Deregulation as a Pro-competition Policy

  • Choi, Dong Ook;Kim, Yunhee
    • STI Policy Review
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    • 제6권1호
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    • pp.24-35
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    • 2015
  • This research constructs a data set regarding competition policy through a comprehensive review of previous studies, and performs a meta-analysis to quantitatively assess the price effects of deregulation. A structural econometric model is used to eliminate possible biases from heterogeneity of the studies,such as in publication types and measurement methods. Four types of regulations that deter competition are characterized and three groups of industries are made for drawing practical implications. We fnd that deregulation to promote competition reduces prices by 0.23% and that these estimated price effects are more stable when we control for the publication types and measurement ways. Easing regulations that restrict consumers' choice is shown to be most effcient in promoting competition, lowering prices by 0.7%. This is followed by eliminating the limitation in the number of frms in the industry, with 0.2% price reduction. Overall, the network and service industries are shown to be more responsive to deregulation than the R&D industry. These results could shed light on policy implementation when a pro-competition policy is called for due to restrictive regulations in the corresponding industries.

종별 의료기관 외래 경증질환 약제비 본인부담 차등정책 효과분석 (An Analysis of Effects of Differential Coinsurance Policy and Utilization of Outpatients Care by Types of Medical Institutions)

  • 박윤성;김진숙
    • 보건행정학회지
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    • 제27권2호
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    • pp.128-138
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    • 2017
  • Background: The purpose of this study is to analyze the effects of differential coinsurance policy on prescription drug coverage of outpatients by types of medical institutions. Methods: In this study, we used a sample cohort database of the National Health Insurance Service and frequency analysis and marginal logistic regression model using generalized estimating equation were used for statistical analysis. Results: The summary on the major research is followed. First, about 16% of patients who used only tertiary or general hospital due to 52 ambulatory care sensitive conditions before policy implementation moved to hospitals and clinics. However, about 57% of them still use tertiary or general hospital. Second, the factors influencing the utilization of hospitals and clinics after the implementation of the policy were gender, age, and income level. As a result, the policy is effective to reduce the medical use of outpatient mental patients in tertiary or general hospital, but the effect is not significant. Conclusion: Therefore, in order to achieve the purpose of the policy for establishing the health care delivery system, it is necessary to adjust the co-payment so as to feel the burden on the co-payment when the outpatient for 52 ambulatory care sensitive conditions is used at the tertiary or general hospital.

국내 보건학 분야 학술활동의 군집화와 '두 문화' 현상 - 보건행정학회지(1991~2006) 게재논문의 공저자 네트워크 분석 - (Co-author.Keyword Network and its Two Culture Appearance in Health Policy Fields in Korea: Analysis of articles in the Korean Journal of Health Policy and Administration, 1991~2006)

  • 정민수;정동준
    • 보건행정학회지
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    • 제18권2호
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    • pp.86-106
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    • 2008
  • This research analyzed. knowledge structure and its effect factor by analysis of co-author and keyword network in Korea's health policy and administration sector. The data was extracted from 339 articles listed in the Korean Journal of Health Policy and Administration, and was transformed into a co-author and keyword matrix. In this matrix the existence of a link was defined by impact factors which were calculated by the weight value of what the role was and the rate of how many authors contributed. We demonstrated that the research achievement was dependent on the author's status and network index. Analysis methods were neighborhood degree, correspondence analysis, multiple regression and the difference of weight distribution by research fields. Co-author networks were developed as closeness centrality as well as degree centrality by a few high productivity researchers. In particular, power law distribution was discovered in impact factor and research productivity. The effect of the author's role was significant in both the impact factor calculated by the participatory rate and the number of listed articles. Especially, this journal shared its major researchers who had a licensed physician with the Journal of Preventive Medicine and Public Health. Therefore, social scientists were likely to be small co-author network differently from natural scientists. It was so called 'two cultures' phenomenon. This study showed how can we verified academic research structure existed in the unit of journal like as citation networks. The co-author networks in the field of health policy and administration had more differentiated and clustered than preventive medicine and epidemiology fields.