• 제목/요약/키워드: Polar climate change

검색결과 159건 처리시간 0.029초

Errors in Estimated Temporal Tracer Trends Due to Changes in the Historical Observation Network: A Case Study of Oxygen Trends in the Southern Ocean

  • Min, Dong-Ha;Keller, Klaus
    • Ocean and Polar Research
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    • 제27권2호
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    • pp.189-195
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    • 2005
  • Several models predict large and potentially abrupt ocean circulation changes due to anthropogenic greenhouse-gas emissions. These circulation changes drive-in the models-considerable oceanic oxygen trend. A sound estimate of the observed oxygen trends can hence be a powerful tool to constrain predictions of future changes in oceanic deepwater formation, heat and carbon dioxide uptake. Estimating decadal scale oxygen trends is, however, a nontrivial task and previous studies have come to contradicting conclusions. One key potential problem is that changes in the historical observation network might introduce considerable errors. Here we estimate the likely magnitude of these errors for a subset of the available observations in the Southern Ocean. We test three common data analysis methods south of Australia and focus on the decadal-scale trends between the 1970's and the 1990's. Specifically, we estimate errors due to sparsely sampled observations using a known signal (the time invariant, temporally averaged, World Ocean Atlas 2001) as a negative control. The crossover analysis and the objective analysis methods are for less prone to spatial sampling location biases than the area averaging method. Subject to numerous caveats, we find that errors due to sparse sampling for the area averaging method are on the order of several micro-moles $kg^{-1}$. for the crossover and the objective analysis method, these errors are much smaller. For the analyzed example, the biases due to changes in the spatial design of the historical observation network are relatively small compared to the tends predicted by many model simulations. This raises the possibility to use historic oxygen trends to constrain model simulations, even in sparsely sampled ocean basins.

2008년 여름철 북부 동중국해에서 대규모 녹조(가시파래) 출현 (Occurrence of Green Macroalgae (Ulva prolifera) Blooms in the Northern East China Sea in Summer 2008)

  • 최동림;노재훈;유주형;이재학;장풍국;이태희;최동한
    • Ocean and Polar Research
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    • 제32권4호
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    • pp.351-359
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    • 2010
  • This study examined extensive patches of floating green macroalgal (Ulva prolifera) mats in the northern East China Sea (ECS) using satellite images from mid May through July 2008 and field observation made during early August 2008 cruise. It was previously reported that the massive macroalgal blooms occurred in the coastal areas of Qingdao in China. During our field survey, researchers noticed widely distributed floating patches of macroalgal mats ranging in size from tens of centimeters to a few hundred meters in diameter. Meteorological data in the northern ECS showed high irradiance, high air-temperature, and predominant southerly winds in summer. In the study area during the survey period, surface waters were characterized by the Changjiang Diluted Water (CDW) mass, which contained high concentrations of nitrate and phosphate. The internal transcribed spacer (ITS) sequence of U. prolifera found in the northern ECS was the same as those of U. prolifera sampled from Qingdao blooms, suggesting a possibility that U. prolifera found in two regions would be derived from the same origin. We suggest that U. prolifera in the nearshore Jiangsu Province drifted into the northern ECS and proliferated under favorable meteorological and oceanographic conditions during the summer of 2008.

Double Gyre 모형 해양에서 앙상블 칼만필터를 이용한 자료동화와 쌍둥이 실험들을 통한 민감도 시험 (Implementation of the Ensemble Kalman Filter to a Double Gyre Ocean and Sensitivity Test using Twin Experiments)

  • 김영호;유상진;최병주;조양기;김영규
    • Ocean and Polar Research
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    • 제30권2호
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    • pp.129-140
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    • 2008
  • As a preliminary effort to establish a data assimilative ocean forecasting system, we reviewed the theory of the Ensemble Kamlan Filter (EnKF) and developed practical techniques to apply the EnKF algorithm in a real ocean circulation modeling system. To verify the performance of the developed EnKF algorithm, a wind-driven double gyre was established in a rectangular ocean using the Regional Ocean Modeling System (ROMS) and the EnKF algorithm was implemented. In the ideal ocean, sea surface temperature and sea surface height were assimilated. The results showed that the multivariate background error covariance is useful in the EnKF system. We also tested the sensitivity of the EnKF algorithm to the localization and inflation of the background error covariance and the number of ensemble members. In the sensitivity tests, the ensemble spread as well as the root-mean square (RMS) error of the ensemble mean was assessed. The EnKF produces the optimal solution as the ensemble spread approaches the RMS error of the ensemble mean because the ensembles are well distributed so that they may include the true state. The localization and inflation of the background error covariance increased the ensemble spread while building up well-distributed ensembles. Without the localization of the background error covariance, the ensemble spread tended to decrease continuously over time. In addition, the ensemble spread is proportional to the number of ensemble members. However, it is difficult to increase the ensemble members because of the computational cost.

CO2 해양격리시스템의 기술.경제적 가능성평가 (Economic Feasibility Study for CO2 Ocean Sequestration)

  • 박세헌;오위영;권문상
    • Ocean and Polar Research
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    • 제27권4호
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    • pp.451-461
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    • 2005
  • The $CO_2$ storage in geologic and oceanic reservoirs is considered to be one of the carbon management strategies for responding to global climate change. Ocean carbon sequestration is purposeful storage acceleration into the ocean of large amounts of carbon that would accumulate in the atmosphere and naturally enter the ocean over a longer timespan. Some technologies for $CO_2$ ocean sequestrations have been developed as a nation project. However, $CO_2$ ocean sequestrations are attractive because they have the advantage of vast capacity sequestration far away from industrial areas, and offer easier monitoring whereas less economic advantage has been indicated as one of the key barriers compared with $CO_2$ geosphere sequestration, which is produced as a byproduct. In this paper, a conceptual design for $CO_2$ ocean sequestration is introduced, and the preliminary examination is described. As a result, the $CO_2$ price, US$ 24/t shows far away from the economics. The causes come from the expensive $CO_2$ recovery cost and the low $CO_2$ price. The expensive $CO_2$ recovery cost is because too much electricity and water are consumed. In order to look for an economic balance point for $CO_2$ ocean sequestration, NPV=0, it is increases the $CO_2$ price. Finally 60.4$ per ton is found to be the balance price.

반폐쇄적인 천수만 해역의 플랑크톤 군집 변화 (Variations in Plankton Assemblage in a Semi-Closed Chunsu Bay, Korea)

  • 이재광;박철;이두별;이상우
    • 한국해양학회지:바다
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    • 제17권2호
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    • pp.95-111
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    • 2012
  • 반폐쇄적인 구조의 천수만에서 환경요인과 동 식물플랑크톤 군집과의 관계를 파악해 보았다. 식물플랑크톤 군집은 계절에 따라 변하는 일사량과 수온 그리고 담수 유입에 따른 영양염 공급에 의해 조성변화가 일어났으며, 한 달 이내의 짧은 기간에 서해 연안의 다른 해역에서보다 큰 폭으로 변화하였다. 담수 방류가 겨울철(2월)에는 규조류의 증식에, 여름철(7~8월)에는 표층에 한해서 와편모류의 증식에 많은 영향을 미치고 있었으며, 식물플랑크톤 중 규조류 군집은 크기별 천이현상이 관측되었다. 동물플랑크톤은 먹이농도와 수온, 염분에 의해 군집의 구조가 변하고 있었으며, 주성분 분석 결과 계절변화와 그에 따른 식물플랑크톤 현존량 변동에 약 32%, 담수방류에 의해 약 17%정도의 영향을 받고 있는 것으로 추측되었다. 과거 1985-1986년, 1991-1992년과의 비교에서 주요 우점종인 Acartia hongi, Paracalanus parvus sensu lato, Centropages abdominalis는 비슷한 계절별 변동과 조성률을 보였으나 출현양은 과거보다 약 3배 이상 증가하였고, 요각류 이외의 다른 분류군에서는 조성의 변화가 관측되었다.

북극해에서 다중위성 자료를 이용한 표층수온, 해빙농도 및 클로로필의 장기 변화 (Climatological Variability of Multisatellite-derived Sea Surface Temperature, Sea Ice Concentration, Chlorophyll-a in the Arctic Ocean)

  • 김현아;박진구;김현철;손영백
    • 대한원격탐사학회지
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    • 제33권6_1호
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    • pp.901-915
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    • 2017
  • 최근 전지구적인 기후변화가 직/간접적으로 북극환경에 큰 변화를 야기하고 있다. 해양-대기의 상호적인 피드백 작용은 최근 막대한 양의 해빙면적 감소를 초래했으며, 북극 온난화 현상을 가속시켜 왔다. 이러한 현상들은 직/간접적으로 북극의 생-물리학적 상호관계에 영향을 주어 해양생태계에 많은 변화를 초래할 것으로 보고되었다. 본 연구는 북극환경변화에 대해 물리-생물학적인 현상의 변화 및 인자간의 관계성을 포괄적으로 이해하기 위해 수행되었다. 북극의 환경변화를 조사하기 위해 SeaWiFS 및 MODIS-Aqua에서 제공하는 클로로필 농도와 OISST의 표층수온, ECMWF ERA-Interim의 해빙농도 자료를 이용하였다. 연구기간은 1998년-2016년 여름이며 조사해역은 북위 $60^{\circ}$ 이상의 해역으로 제한하였다. 전체적으로 클로로필의 증가($0.15mg\;m^{-3}\;decade^{-1}$), 표층수온의 상승($0.43^{\circ}C\;decade^{-1}$), 해빙농도의 감소($-5.37%\;decade^{-1}$)를 보였으나 해역별로 차이를 나타냈다. 이들 인자간 상관성 분석에서 표층수온과 해빙농도간의 상관성은 전 해역에 걸쳐 강한 음의 상관관계(r=-0.76)를 보인 반면, 클로로필과 해빙농도의 관계는 자료의 한계성으로 인해 전체적으로 낮은 상관성($r={\pm}0.1$)을 나타내었다. 또한 표층수온과 클로로필의 상관성은 해역에 따라 편차를 보이나 약 ${\pm}0.6$의 상관성을 보였다.

플라이스토세 전기(2.4-1.25 Ma) 동안 베링해 중부 대륙사면 지역의 규조 골격내 유기물 질소동위원소 값에 의한 질산염 이용률의 변화 복원 (Reconstruction of Nitrate Utilization Rate Change Based on Diatom-bound Nitrogen Isotope Values in the Central Slope Area of the Bering Sea during the Early Pleistocene (2.4-1.25 Ma))

  • 김성한;김부근
    • Ocean and Polar Research
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    • 제38권3호
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    • pp.195-207
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    • 2016
  • Because the high latitude region in the North Pacific is characterized by high primary production in the surface water enriched with nutrients, it is important to understand the variation of surface water productivity and associated nutrient variability in terms of global carbon cycle. Surface water productivity change or its related nutrient utilization rate during the Northern Hemisphere Glaciation (NHG; ca. 2.73 Ma) has been reported, but little is known about such circumstances under gradual climate cooling since the NHG. Bulk nitrogen isotope (${\delta}^{15}N_{bulk}$) of sedimentary organic matter has been used for the reconstruction of nutrient utilization rate in the surface water. However, sedimentary organic matter experiences diagenesis incessantly during sinking through the water column and after burial within the sediments. Thus, in this study we examine the degree of nitrate utilization rate during the early Pleistocene (2.4-1.25 Ma) since the NHG, using the diatom-bound nitrogen isotope (${\delta}^{15}N_{db}$), which is known to be little influenced by diagenesis, from Site U1343 in the Bering slope area. ${\delta}^{15}N_{db}$ values range from ~0.5 to 5.5‰, which is lower than ${\delta}^{15}N_{bulk}$ values, but they vary with larger amplitude. Variation patterns between ${\delta}^{15}N_{db}$ values and biogenic opal concentration are generally consistent, which indicates that the nitrate utilization rate is closely related to opal productivity change in the surface water. A positive correlation between opal productivity and nitrate utilization rate was observed, which is different from the other high latitude regions in the North Pacific. The main reason for this contrasting relationship is that the primary production in the surface water at Site U1343 is influenced mostly by the degree of sea ice formation. Still, although concerns about diagenetic alteration have been avoided by using ${\delta}^{15}N_{db}$, the effects of the preservation state of biogenic opal and the species-dependent isotopic fractionation on ${\delta}^{15}N_{db}$ should be assessed in the future studies.

동태평양 KODOS 탐사해역에서의 물리해양환경 및 저층해류 특성 (The Characteristics of Physical Oceanographic Environments and Bottom Currents in the KODOS Study Area of the Northeastern Tropical Pacific)

  • 심홍렬;황상철;전동철;김기현;곽종흠;소선섭
    • Ocean and Polar Research
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    • 제26권2호
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    • pp.341-349
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    • 2004
  • Hyrdography and deep currents were measured from 1997 to 1999 to investigate deep-sea environments in the KODOS (Korea Deep Ocean Study) area of the northeastern tropical Pacific. KODOS area is located meridionally from the North Equatorial Current to the boundary between the North Equatorial Current and the Equatorial Counter Current. Strong thermocline exists between 10 m and 120 m depths at the study area. Since that strong thermocline does hardly allow vertical mixing between surface and lower layer waters, vertical distributions of temperature, salinity, dissolved oxygen and nutrients drastically change near the thermocline. Salinity-minimum layer, which indicate the North Pacific Intermediate Water (NPIW) and the Antartic Intermediate Water (AAIW), vertically occupies vertically at the depths from 500 m down to 1400 m. The NPIW and the AAIW horizontally occur to the north and to the south of $7^{\circ}N$, respectively. The near-bottom water shows the physical characteristics of $1.05^{\circ}C$ and 34.70 psu at the depths of 10 m to 110 m above the bottom (approximately 4000-5000 m), which was originated from the Antarctic Circumpolar Water. It flows northeastwards for 2 to 4 months at the study area, and its mean velocity was 3.1-3.7 cm/s. Meanwhile, reverse (southwestward) currents appear for about 15 days with the average of 1.0-6.1 cm/s every 1 to 6 months. Dominant direction of the bottom currents obtained from the data for more than 6 months is northeastward with the average speeds of 1.7-2.1 cm/s. Therefore, it seems that deep waters from the Antarctica flow northwards passing through the KODOS area in the northeastern tropical Pacific.

심해 저층환경충격 시험지역의 퇴적물 지화학적 특성 (Geochemical Properties of Deep Sea Sediment in the Benthic Environmental Impact Experiment Site (BIS) of Korea)

  • 공기수;형기성;최헌수;지상범
    • Ocean and Polar Research
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    • 제36권4호
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    • pp.407-421
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    • 2014
  • The benthic environmental impact experiment addresses environmental impacts at a specific site related to deep-sea mineral resource development. We have acquired several tens of multi- or box core samples at 31 sites within the Benthic environmental Impact Site (BIS) since 2010, aiming to examine the basic properties of surficial deep-sea sediment as a potential source for deep-water plumes. In this study, we present the geochemical properties such as major elements, rare earth elements (REEs), and heavy metal contents at the BIS. Such proxies vary distinctly according to the Facies association. The lithology of all core sediments in the BIS corresponds to both Association Ib and Association IIIb. The vertical profiles of some major elements ($SiO_2$, $Fe_2O_3$, CaO, $P_2O_5$, MgO, MnO) show noticeable differences between Association Ib and IIIb, while others ($Al_2O_3$, $TiO_2$, $Na_2O$, and $K_2O$) do not vary between Association Ib and IIIb. REEs are also distinctly different for Associations Ib and IIIb; in Association Ib, REY and HREE/LREE are uniform through the sediment section, while they increase downward in Association IIIb like the major elements; below a depth of 8 cm, REY is over 500 ppm. The metal enrichment factor (EF) evaluates the anthropogenic influences of some metals (Cu, Ni, Pb, Zn, and Cd) in marine sediments. In both Associations, the EF for Cu is over 1.5, the EF for Ni and Pb ranges from 0.5 to 1.5, and the EF for Zn and Cd are less than 0.5, indicating Cu is enriched but Zn and Cd are relatively depleted in the BIS. The vertical variations of geochemical properties between Association Ib and IIIb are shown to be clearly different, which seems to be related to the global climate changes such as the shift of Intertropical convergence zone (ITCZ).

북극해 지역의 위성 기반 복사 에너지 산출물의 비교 분석 (Comparative Analysis of Radiative Flux Based on Satellite over Arctic)

  • 서민지;이은경;이경상;최성원;진동현;성노훈;한현경;김현철;한경수
    • 대한원격탐사학회지
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    • 제34권6_2호
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    • pp.1193-1202
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    • 2018
  • 북극의 장기간 기후 변화 관측을 위해서는 에너지 수지를 정량적으로 파악하는 것이 중요하다. 에너지 수지를 정량적으로 파악하기 위해서 고품질의 장기간 복사 에너지 변수들이 필요하지만 대부분 위성 기반 복사 에너지 변수 자료들은 제공되는 기간이 짧아 자료들을 연계하여 사용해야한다. 자료를 연계해서 사용하기 위해서는 사용되는 자료의 차이를 정확하게 파악하고 일치시키는 것이 중요하다. 따라서 본 연구에서는 위성 기반 복사 에너지 자료인 Global Energy and Water Exchanges Project(GEWEX) 와 Clouds and the Earth's Radiant Energy System(CERES)를 비교 분석하여 자료 연계를 위한 기초자료를 제공하고자 한다. 두 자료를 비교 분석한 결과 CERES자료를 기준으로 했을 때, GEWEX 자료가 과소 추정되었다. 또한 두 자료는 약 $3{\sim}25W/m^2$의 차이가 발생하였으며, 고위도 지역이거나 해빙지역일수록 두 자료의 차이가 더 증가하였다. 또한 두 자료의 월별 평균을 비교하였을 때는 하향 장파 복사 에너지를 제외한 나머지 변수들은 봄과 여름철에 $9.26{\sim}26.71W/m^2$의 높은 차이를 보였다. 본 연구 결과는 북극지역에서 CERES와 GEWEX 자료를 합성하거나 선택할 때 좋은 기준 자료로 사용 가능하다.