• Title/Summary/Keyword: Plant Model Uncertainty

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An Application of Realistic Evaluation Model to the Large Break LOCA Analysis of Ulchin 3&4

  • C. H. Ban;B. D. Chung;Lee, K. M.;J. H. Jeong;S. T. Hwang
    • Proceedings of the Korean Nuclear Society Conference
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    • 1996.05b
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    • pp.429-434
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    • 1996
  • K-REM[1], which is under development as a realistic evaluation model of large break LOCA, is applied to the analysis of cold leg guillotine break of Ulchin 3&4. Fuel parameters on which statistical analysis of their effects on the peak cladding temperature (PCT) are made and system parameters on which the concept of limiting value approach (LVA) are applied, are determined from the single parameter sensitivity study. 3 parameters of fuel gap conductance, fuel thermal conductivity and power peaking factor are selected as fuel related ones and 4 parameters of axial power shape, reactor power, decay heat and the gas pressure of safety injection tank (SIT) are selected as plant system related ones. Response surface of PCT is generated from the plant calculation results and on which Monte Carlo sampling is made to get plant application uncertainty which is statistically combined with code uncertainty to produce the 95th percentile PCT. From the break spectrum analysis, blowdown PCT of 1350.23 K and reflood PCT of 1195.56 K are obtained for break discharge coefficients of 0.8 and 0.5, respectively.

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Uncertainty, Corporate Investment and the Role of Conservative Financial Reporting: Empirical Evidence from Pakistan

  • FATIMA, Huma;RANA, Sahar Latif;HAFEEZ, Abida
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • v.9 no.6
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    • pp.231-243
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    • 2022
  • The objective of this study is to analyze the impact of conservative financial reporting on investment during uncertainty. It was assumed that during uncertainty conservative financial reporting can play an important role to improve investment decision-making. For our analysis, data sets from 2005-2020 of nonfinancial companies are used. To measure the impact of conservative financial reporting in the non-financial sector of Pakistan, Khan and Watts' (2009) model is applied. "Prospector" and "Defender" Business strategy is applied for measuring firm-level uncertainty. Investment is measured by adding the change in fixed assets (property, plant, and equipment). To check the robustness of conservative financial reporting, Givoly and Hayn's (2000) Negative Accruals measure is applied. To measure the robustness of uncertainty, environmental scanning and alertness technique is applied. According to environmental scanning and alertness technique, companies are divided into two groups named 'inert' and 'alert'. 'Inert' are those firms that are not scanning their environment, and 'alert' are those firms who continuously analyze their environment. The empirical estimations support our hypothesis. The empirical findings provide the proof that in the wake of uncertainty conservative financial reporting may facilitate to take optimal investment decisions in the developing economy of Pakistan. Our results provide critical and practical implications for investors, researchers, and standard setters.

Robust Stability Analysis for a Fuzzy Feedback Linearization Method using a Takagi-Sugeno Fuzzy Model

  • Kang, Hyung-Jin;Cheol Kwon;Lee, Hee-Jin;Park, Mignon
    • Journal of Electrical Engineering and information Science
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    • v.2 no.4
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    • pp.28-36
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    • 1997
  • In this paper, robust stability analysis for the fuzzy feedback linearization regulator is presented. Well-known Takagi-Sugeno fuzzy model is used as the MISO nonlinear plant model. Uncertainty and disturbance are assumed to be included in the model structure with known bounds. For these structured uncertainty and disturbances, robust stability of the close system is analyzed in both input-output sense and Lyapunov sense. The robust stability conditions are proposed by using multivariable circle criterion and the relationship between input-output stability and Lyapunov stability. The proposed stability analysis is illustrated by a simple example.

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Using machine learning to forecast and assess the uncertainty in the response of a typical PWR undergoing a steam generator tube rupture accident

  • Tran Canh Hai Nguyen ;Aya Diab
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • v.55 no.9
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    • pp.3423-3440
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    • 2023
  • In this work, a multivariate time-series machine learning meta-model is developed to predict the transient response of a typical nuclear power plant (NPP) undergoing a steam generator tube rupture (SGTR). The model employs Recurrent Neural Networks (RNNs), including the Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM), Gated Recurrent Unit (GRU), and a hybrid CNN-LSTM model. To address the uncertainty inherent in such predictions, a Bayesian Neural Network (BNN) was implemented. The models were trained using a database generated by the Best Estimate Plus Uncertainty (BEPU) methodology; coupling the thermal hydraulics code, RELAP5/SCDAP/MOD3.4 to the statistical tool, DAKOTA, to predict the variation in system response under various operational and phenomenological uncertainties. The RNN models successfully captures the underlying characteristics of the data with reasonable accuracy, and the BNN-LSTM approach offers an additional layer of insight into the level of uncertainty associated with the predictions. The results demonstrate that LSTM outperforms GRU, while the hybrid CNN-LSTM model is computationally the most efficient. This study aims to gain a better understanding of the capabilities and limitations of machine learning models in the context of nuclear safety. By expanding the application of ML models to more severe accident scenarios, where operators are under extreme stress and prone to errors, ML models can provide valuable support and act as expert systems to assist in decision-making while minimizing the chances of human error.

The construction of a robust model following system for an unkown plant

  • Morikawa, Youichi;Hyogo, Hidekazu;Kikuta, Akira;Kamiya, Yuji
    • 제어로봇시스템학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 1994.10a
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    • pp.359-363
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    • 1994
  • In this paper the system called the inverse model compensation system is proposed as a system whose input-output transfer function can be regarded as that of a model with uncertainty in spite of including an unknown plant. And their to construct the robust model following system, which is of low sensitivity and robust stability, in order to control the inverse model compensation system is proposed. The simulation experiments show that the robust model following system including the inverse model compensation system is practical and useful as a system which controls unknown plants.

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Robustness Analysis of MRAC System in the Presence of Unmodelled Dynamics (비모형화 특성을 갖는 기준모델 적응제어 시스템의 견고성 해석)

  • 김성덕;양해원
    • The Transactions of the Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers
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    • v.36 no.10
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    • pp.748-754
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    • 1987
  • A robustness analysis for model reference adaptive control(MRAC) system with plant uncertainty is discussed in this paper. The adaptive control system is designed under assumptions that the controlled plant is represented by a lst order nominal model and that the system is drived by a constant reference signal. When using general gradient method(GGM), it is shown that unmodelled dynamics in plant model can cause the instability of the overall control loop during the adaptation process. However, as the algorithm of least square method(LSM) is introduced, the global stability of the system can be hold. And it is also given that the boundedness of adjustable parameters may be verified using the concept of an equilibrium point analysis.

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Force Synchronizing Control for AC Servomotor-Ball Screw Driven Injection Unit (AC서보모터-볼스크루 구동 사출장치의 힘 동기제어)

  • Cho, S.H.
    • Journal of Drive and Control
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    • v.12 no.2
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    • pp.14-20
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    • 2015
  • This paper focuses on the issue of force synchronizing control for the injection servomechanism of injection molding machines. Prior to the controller design, a virtual design model was developed for the injection mechanism with an AC servomotor-ball screw. A synchronizing controller is designed and combined with the PID control to accommodate the mismatches between the real plant and the linear model plant used. Due to the plant uncertainty, the stiffness and the damping of the mechanism were considered. From the tracking control simulations based on the virtual design model, it is shown that a significant reduction in force synchronizing error is achieved through the use of a proposed control scheme.

A Combined Procedure of RSM and LHS for Uncertainty Analyses of CsI Release Fraction Under a Hypothetical Severe Accident Sequence of Station Blackout at Younggwang Nuclear Power Plant Using MAAP3.0B Code

  • Han, Seok-Jung;Tak, Nam-Il;Chun, Moon-Hyun
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • v.28 no.6
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    • pp.507-521
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    • 1996
  • Quantification of uncertainties in the source term estimations by a large computer code, such as MELCOR and MAAP, is an essential process of the current Probabilistic safety assessment. The main objective of the present study is to investigate the applicability of a combined procedure of the response surface method (RSM) based on input determined from a statistical design and the Latin hypercube sampling (LHS) technique for the uncertainty analysis of CsI release fractions under a Hypothetical severe accident sequence of a station blackout at Younggwang nuclear power plant using MAAP3. OB code as a benchmark problem. On the basis of the results obtained in the present work, the RSM is recommended to be used as a principal tool for an overall uncertainty analysis in source term quantifications, while using the LHS in the calculations of standardized regression coefficients (SRC) and standardized rank regression coefficient (SRRC) to determine the subset of the most important input parameters in the final screening step and to check the cumulative distribution functions obtained by RSM. Verification of the response surface model for its sufficient accuracy is a prerequisite for the reliability of the final results that can be obtained by the combined procedure proposed in the present work.

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System Modeling and Robust Control of an AMB Spindle : Part I Modeling and Validation for Robust Control

  • Ahn, Hyeong-Joon;Han, Dong-Chul
    • Journal of Mechanical Science and Technology
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    • v.17 no.12
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    • pp.1844-1854
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    • 2003
  • This paper discusses details of modeling and robust control of an AMB (active magnetic bearing) spindle, and part I presents a modeling and validation process of the AMB spindle. There are many components in AMB spindle : electromagnetic actuator, sensor, rotor, power amplifier and digital controller. If each component is carefully modeled and evaluated, the components have tight structured uncertainty bounds and achievable performance of the system increases. However, since some unknown dynamics may exist and the augmented plant could show some discrepancy with the real plant, the validation of the augmented plant is needed through measuring overall frequency responses of the actual plant. In addition, it is necessary to combine several components and identify them with a reduced order model. First, all components of the AMB spindle are carefully modeled and identified based on experimental data, which also render valuable information in quantifying structured uncertainties. Since sensors, power amplifiers and discretization dynamics can be considered as time delay components, such dynamics are combined and identified with a reduced order. Then, frequency responses of the open-loop plant are measured through closed-loop experiments to validate the augmented plant. The whole modeling process gives an accurate nominal model of a low order for the robust control design.

Robust Stability and Transient Behavior of a Two-Degree-of-Freedom Servosystem (2자 유도 서보계의 강인한 안전성 및 과도특성)

  • 김영복
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Fisheries and Ocean Technology
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    • v.32 no.1
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    • pp.59-66
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    • 1996
  • This paper considers robust stability and transient behavior of the Two - Degree - of - Freedom(2DOF) servosystem. A class of uncertainties allowed in the plant model is obtained, to which the servosystem is robustly stable for any gain of the integral compensator. This result implies that if the plant uncertainty is the allowable set defined by the condition, a high - gain compensation can be carried out preserving stability to achieve a high - speed tracking response. The transient behavior attainable by the limit of the high - gain compensation is calculated using the singular perturbation approach.

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