• Title/Summary/Keyword: Period Runoff

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Effect of Areal Mean Rainfall Estimation Technique and Rainfall-Runoff Models on Flood Simulation in Samcheok Osipcheon(Riv.) Basin (면적 강우량 산정 기법과 강우-유출 모형이 삼척오십천 유역의 홍수 모의에 미치는 영향)

  • Lee, Hyeonji;Shin, Youngsub;Kang, Dongho;Kim, Byungsik
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.43 no.6
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    • pp.775-784
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    • 2023
  • In terms of flood management, it is necessary to analyze quantitative rainfall and runoff from a spatial and temporal perspective and to analyze runoff for heavy rainfall events that are concentrated within a short period of time. The simulation and analysis results of rainfall-runoff models vary depending on the type and input data. In particular, rainfall data is an important factor, so calculating areal mean rainfall is very important. In this study, the areal mean rainfall of the Samcheok Osipcheon(Riv.) watersheds located in the mountainous terrain was calculated using the Arithmetic Mean Method, Thiessen's Weighting Method, and the Isohyetal Method, and the rainfall-runoff results were compared by applying the distributional model S-RAT and the lumped model HEC-HMS. The results of the temporal transferability study showed that the combination of the distributional model and the Isohyetal Method had the best statistical performance with MAE of 64.62 m3/s, RMSE of 82.47 m3/s, and R2 and NSE of 0.9383 and 0.8547, respectively. It is considered that this study was properly analyzed because the peak flood volume occurrence time of the observed and simulated flows is within 1 hour. Therefore, the results of this study can be used for frequency analysis in the future, which can be used to improve the accuracy of simulating peak flood volume and peak flood occurrence time in mountainous watersheds with steep slopes.

Analysis of Flooding Discharge in Seoul-Metropolitan Area based on Return Periods

  • Ang Peng;Seong Cheol Shin;Quan Feng;Junhyeong Lee;Soojun Kim;Hung Soo Kim
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2023.05a
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    • pp.349-349
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    • 2023
  • In recent years, urban floods have become more frequent, causing significant harm to society and resulting in substantial losses to the national economy and people's lives and property. To assess the impact of floods on people's safety and property in Seoul, annual precipitation data from 1980 to 2020 was analyzed for return periods of 5, 10, 20, 50, and 100 years. A rainfall runoff simulation model for Seoul was established using HEC-HMS and HEC-RAS models. The study revealed that at a 5-year return period, water began to accumulate in Seoul, but it was not severe. However, at a 10-year return period, the water accumulation was relatively serious, and inundation began to occur. At a 20-year return period, there was serious water accumulation and inundation in Seoul. During a 50-year return period, Seoul suffered from severe inundation in commercial areas, resulting in substantial losses to the local economy. The findings indicate that Seoul City faces high flood risks, and measures should be taken to mitigate the impact of floods on the city's residents and economy.

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Estimation of Storage Deficit by Run's Characteritics (Runs의 특성에 의한 지속기간별 저수부족량의 추정)

  • 강관원;안경수
    • Water for future
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    • v.19 no.4
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    • pp.329-338
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    • 1986
  • the purpose of this study is to estimate the storage deficit by Run's Characteristics of (-)Run-length and (-)Run-sum. Runoff data are obtained from the guaging stations of Y대-Ju in Hanriver Basin, Wae-Gwan in Nak Dong River Basin and Gyo Am in Geum River Basin. In order to estimate the storage deficit, runhydrographs are established with each return period of 10, 30, ......, 200 years and regression equation is derived from relationship between (-) run-length and storage deficit. From the comparison of estimated reservoir storage with observed values., it was proved that this suggested method can be used for the estimation of the storage deficit.

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Future Korean Water Resources Projection Considering Uncertainty of GCMs and Hydrological Models (GCM과 수문모형의 불확실성을 고려한 기후변화에 따른 한반도 미래 수자원 전망)

  • Bae, Deg-Hyo;Jung, Il-Won;Lee, Byung-Ju;Lee, Moon-Hwan
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.44 no.5
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    • pp.389-406
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    • 2011
  • The objective of this study is to examine the climate change impact assessment on Korean water resources considering the uncertainties of Global Climate Models (GCMs) and hydrological models. The 3 different emission scenarios (A2, A1B, B1) and 13 GCMs' results are used to consider the uncertainties of the emission scenario and GCM, while PRMS, SWAT, and SLURP models are employed to consider the effects of hydrological model structures and potential evapotranspiration (PET) computation methods. The 312 ensemble results are provided to 109 mid-size sub-basins over South Korean and Gaussian kernel density functions obtained from their ensemble results are suggested with the ensemble mean and their variabilities of the results. It shows that the summer and winter runoffs are expected to be increased and spring runoff to be decreased for the future 3 periods relative to past 30-year reference period. It also provides that annual average runoff increased over all sub-basins, but the increases in the northern basins including Han River basin are greater than those in the southern basins. Due to the reason that the increase in annual average runoff is mainly caused by the increase in summer runoff and consequently the seasonal runoff variations according to climate change would be severe, the climate change impact on Korean water resources could intensify the difficulties to water resources conservation and management. On the other hand, as regards to the uncertainties, the highest and lowest ones are in winter and summer seasons, respectively.

Determination of flood-inducing rainfall and runoff for highly urbanized area based on high-resolution radar-gauge composite rainfall data and flooded area GIS Data

  • Anh, Dao Duc;Kim, Dongkyun;Kim, Soohyun;Park, Jeongha
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2019.05a
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    • pp.157-157
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    • 2019
  • This study derived the Flood-Inducing-Rainfall (FIR) and the Flood-Inducing-Runoff (FIRO) from the radar-gage composite data to be used as the basis of the flood warning initiation for the urban area of Seoul. For this, we derived the rainfall depth-duration relationship for the 261 flood events at 239 watersheds during the years 2010 and 2011 based on the 10-minute 1km-1km radar-gauge composite rainfall field. The relationship was further refined by the discrete ranges of the proportion of the flooded area in the watershed (FP) and the coefficient variation of the rainfall time series (CV). Then, the slope of the straight line that contains all data points in the depth-duration relationship plot was determined as the FIR for the specified range of the FP and the CV. Similar methodology was applied to derive the FIRO, which used the runoff depths that were estimated using the NRCS Curve Number method. We found that FIR and FIRO vary at the range of 37mm/hr-63mm/hr and the range of 10mm/hr-42mm/hr, respectively. The large variability was well explained by the FP and the CV: As the FP increases, FIR and FIRO increased too, suggesting that the greater rainfall causes larger flooded area; as the rainfall CV increases, FIR and FIRO decreased, which suggests that the temporally concentrated rainfall requires less total of rainfall to cause the flood in the area. We verified our result against the 21 flood events that occurred for the period of 2012 through 2015 for the same study area. When the 5 percent of the flooded area was tolerated, the ratio of hit-and-miss of the warning system based on the rainfall was 44.2 percent and 9.5 percent, respectively. The ratio of hit-and-miss of the warning system based on the runoff was 67 percent and 4.7 percent, respectively. Lastly, we showed the importance of considering the radar-gauge composite rainfall data as well as rainfall and runoff temporal variability in flood warning system by comparing our results to the ones based on the gauge-only or radar-only rainfall data and to the one that does not account for the temporal variability.

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Climate change impact analysis on water supply reliability and flood risk using combined rainfall-runoff and reservoir operation modeling: Hapcheon-Dam catchment case (강우-유출 및 저수지 운영 연계 모의를 통한 기후변화의 이수안전도 및 홍수위험도 영향 분석: 합천댐 유역 사례)

  • Noh, Seong Jin;Lee, Garim;Kim, Bomi;Jo, Jihyeon;Woo, Dong Kook
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.56 no.11
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    • pp.765-774
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    • 2023
  • Due to climatechange, precipitation variability has increased, leading to more frequentoccurrences of droughts and floods. To establish measures for managing waterresources in response to the increasing uncertainties of climate conditions, itis necessary to understand the variability of natural river discharge and theimpact of reservoir operation modeling considering dam inflow and artificialwater supply. In this study, an integrated rainfall-runoff and reservoiroperation modeling was applied to analyze the water supply reliability andflood risk for a multipurpose dam catchment under climate change conditions. Therainfall-runoff model employed was the modèle du Génie Rural à 4 paramètresJournalier (GR4J) model, and the reservoir operation model used was an R-basedmodel with the structure of HEC-Ressim. Applying the climate change scenariosuntil 2100 to the established integrated model, the changes in water supplyreliability and flood risk of the Happcheon Dam were quantitatively analyzed.The results of the water supply reliability analysis showed that under SSP2-4.5conditions, the water supply reliability was higher than that under SSP5-8.5conditions. Particularly, in the far-future period, the range of flood risk widened,and both SSP2-4.5 and SSP5-8.5 scenarios showed the highest median flood riskvalues. While precipitation and runoff were expected to increase by less than10%, dam-released flood discharge was projected to surge by over 120% comparedto the baseline

Effects of Vegetative Buffers on Reducing Soil Erosion and Nutrient Loss of Highland Field in Korea (고랭지밭의 토양침식 저감을 위한 완충식생대의 효과)

  • Jin, Yong-Ik;Lee, Jeong-Tae;Lee, Gye-Jun;Hwang, Seon-Woong;Zhang, Yong-Seon;Park, Chang-Young;Seo, Myung-Chul;Ryu, Jong-Soo;Jeong, Jin-Cheol;Chung, Ill-Min
    • Korean Journal of Soil Science and Fertilizer
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    • v.42 no.4
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    • pp.231-238
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    • 2009
  • This study was carried out to investigate the effect of vegetative buffer to reduce runoff and soil and nutrient loss at highland agricultural area. The soil of experimental field was classified as Ungyo series (Fine, Humic Hapludults). An area of each field with lysimeter was $50m^2(width\;2.5m{\times}length\;20m)$ and was a gradient of 17%. Chinese cabbage (Brassica campestris L.) was cultivated by general management in each field. For establishing vegetative buffer, rye (Secalecereale L.), tall fescue (Festucaarundinacea Schreb) and orchard grass (Dactylis glomerata L.) were planted at the edge of field. Rye buffers were 1m, 2m and 4m wide. Both orchard grass and tall fescue buffers were 2m wide. Vegetative buffers were set up in September 2005 and chinese cabbage was planted in June 2006. Soil loss, runoff and nutrient loss were measured from June to August in 2006. Since the precipitation amount was heavy in July, amounts of runoff, soil erosion and nutrient loss were the highest in July during this study period. In comparison with control, vegetative buffers of rye 2m, orchard grass 2m and tall fescue 2m reduced runoff by 3%, 1% and 2%, respectively. In comparison among width of rye buffer, rye 1m, rye 2m, and rye 4m reduced by 1%, 4% and 13%, respectively. Vegetative buffers of rye 2m, orchard grass 2m and tall fescue 2m showed the reducing of soil loss by 59%, 46% and 28%, respectively. In comparison among width of rye buffer, the highest reducing effect of 88% was observed in 4m treatment. Additionally, vegetative buffer reduced N, P and K losses in runoff and eroded soil which were 10 to 54%, 7 to 24% and 11 to 21%, respectively. In different widths, wider vegetative buffer showed lower loss of N, P and K in runoff and eroded soil. As a result of this study, the vegetative buffer of rye was most effective for reducing runoff and soil loss in comparisons with other plants. In addition, wider range of buffers recommended for reducing runoff and soil loss, if possible.

Continuous Runoff Analysis for the Han River Basin using Multiple GCMs and HSPF Model (다중 GCMs과 HSPF 모형을 이용한 한강유역 장기유출량 분석)

  • Park, Jihoon;Jung, Imgook;Lee, Eun-Jeong;Cho, Jaepil
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2018.05a
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    • pp.35-35
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    • 2018
  • 본 연구의 목적은 한강유역을 대상으로 다중 GCMs (General Circulation Models)을 이용하여 장기유출량을 분석하는 데 있다. 기후변화 전망을 분석하기 위해 총 13개의 GCMs을 선정하여 사용하였다. SDQDM (Spatial Disaggregation-Quantile Delta Mapping) 방법을 이용하여 GCMs을 60개 종관기상관측장비 (Automated Synoptic Observing System, ASOS)에 대해 상세화하였다. GCMs은 총 6개의 변수(강수, 최고 기온, 최저기온, 풍속, 상대습도, 일사량)를 제공하였다. 장기유출량 분석은 투수지역과 불투수지역을 모두 고려할 수 있는 HSPF 모형을 선정하여 수행하였다. 장기유출량의 공간적인 범위는 한강유역의 16개 중권역을 기준으로 선정하였고, 시간적인 범위는 과거 기준 기간 (Reference period: 1976-2005), 미래 3개 기간 (Near future period: 2011-2040, Mid-century period: 2041-2070, Distance future period: 2071-2099)으로 30년 단위로 구분하여 선정하였다. 본 연구는 13개의 GCM을 사용하여 추정된 장기유출량의 연간 및 계절적 평균과 변동성을 분석하였다. 본 연구에서 HSPF 모형을 활용하여 분석한 결과는 복잡한 한강유역의 특성을 적절히 반영하여, 기후변화에 따른 수자원 계획 및 통합 유역 관리를 수립하기 위한 기초 자료로 활용될 수 있을 것이라 사료된다.

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Development of the Estimation Model on Daily Pollutant Loads for the Watersheds in the Nakdong River Basin I. Correction and Verification for the Model (낙동강 유역에 대한 일별 유달부하량 산정모델개발 I. 모델식의 보정 및 검증)

  • Yoon, Young-Sam;Kim, Moon-Soo;Yu, Jae-Jung;Lee, Hae-Jin;Lee, Jun-Bae;Yang, Sang-Yong
    • Journal of Environmental Science International
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    • v.16 no.2
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    • pp.203-210
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    • 2007
  • The delivery load data obtained from Nakdong river basin are used for developing the model estimating the daily delivery load on the main side streams of Nakdong River. The developed model assesses the daily contamination loads of the main thirteen side streams that contribute to the main stream of Nakdong river. It is developed that the model using the simplified equation that can estimate the daily delivery loads on the side main streams of Nakdong river for a period of having no data of the water quality and flow. The developed model for estimating the daily delivery loads from the main side streams in Nakdong river basin on each item such as BOD, TN, and TP is expressed as Daily delivery load ($\frac{kg}{day}$) = Production load $(\frac{kg}{day}){\times}(1-{\alpha}){\times}(\frac{daily\;runoff}{average\;runoff\;per\;year}){\gamma}$. The estimated values obtained by using the model are almost fit to the calculated values (real data) that have been acquired from the thirteen main side streams in Nakdong river basin. The correlation coefficient values, R, that indicate the correlation between the estimated and the calculated show over 0.7 that mean the estimated values from the used model are adapted to the real data except TN values of Nam-river, Hwang-river, Gam-river, We-river. Especially, the correlation of TP values between the estimated and the calculated implies quite a creditable data to use.

Evaluation of the Effective Storage of Existing Agricultural Reservoir (기존 농업용 저수지에서의 유효저수량의 평가)

  • Ahn, Tae-Jin;Cho, Dong-Ho;Lee, Sang-Ho;Choi, Gye-Woon;Yoon, Yong-Nam
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.37 no.5
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    • pp.353-361
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    • 2004
  • Effective storage in agricultural reservoir has been determined through the reservoir simulation operation based on the water budget analysis. Since each watershed has the native property for runoff, considering the runoff yielding from the basin is feasible to the determination of reservoir effective storage. In this study the stochastic linear programming model considering mainly runoff from watershed has been also formulated to analyze the effective storage of the exiting reservoir. The linear decision rule coupled with chance-constrained model in the linear programming model contributes to reduce the size of linear program model without considering the period of analysis. The Geum-Gang reservoir located in Ansung have been adopted to evaluate the effective storage. It has been shown that the effective storage based on the linear programming model is greater than that based on the water budget analysis. It has been also desired that once the effective storage is obtained through the linear programming model, operation of the reservoir should be performed to check the designed capacity.