• Title/Summary/Keyword: Performance prediction and comparison

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Comparative study of meteorological data for river level prediction model (하천 수위 예측 모델을 위한 기상 데이터 비교 연구)

  • Cho, Minwoo;Yoon, Jinwook;Kim, Changsu;Jung, Heokyung
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Information and Commucation Sciences Conference
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    • 2022.05a
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    • pp.491-493
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    • 2022
  • Flood damage due to torrential rains and typhoons is occurring in many parts of the world. In this paper, we propose a water level prediction model using water level, precipitation, and humidity data, which are key parameters for flood prediction, as input data. Based on the LSTM and GRU models, which have already proven time-series data prediction performance in many research fields, different input datasets were constructed using the ASOS(Automated Synoptic Observing System) data and AWS(Automatic Weather System) data provided by the Korea Meteorological Administration, and performance comparison experiments were conducted. As a result, the best results were obtained when using ASOS data. Through this paper, a performance comparison experiment was conducted according to the input data, and as a future study, it is thought that it can be used as an initial study to develop a system that can make an evacuation decision in advance in connection with the flood risk determination model.

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Comparison of Stock Price Prediction Using Time Series and Non-Time Series Data

  • Min-Seob Song;Junghye Min
    • Journal of the Korea Society of Computer and Information
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    • v.28 no.8
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    • pp.67-75
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    • 2023
  • Stock price prediction is an important topic extensively discussed in the financial market, but it is considered a challenging subject due to numerous factors that can influence it. In this research, performance was compared and analyzed by applying time series prediction models (LSTM, GRU) and non-time series prediction models (RF, SVR, KNN, LGBM) that do not take into account the temporal dependence of data into stock price prediction. In addition, various data such as stock price data, technical indicators, financial statements indicators, buy sell indicators, short selling, and foreign indicators were combined to find optimal predictors and analyze major factors affecting stock price prediction by industry. Through the hyperparameter optimization process, the process of improving the prediction performance for each algorithm was also conducted to analyze the factors affecting the performance. As a result of feature selection and hyperparameter optimization, it was found that the forecast accuracy of the time series prediction algorithm GRU and LSTM+GRU was the highest.

Link Prediction Algorithm for Signed Social Networks Based on Local and Global Tightness

  • Liu, Miao-Miao;Hu, Qing-Cui;Guo, Jing-Feng;Chen, Jing
    • Journal of Information Processing Systems
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    • v.17 no.2
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    • pp.213-226
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    • 2021
  • Given that most of the link prediction algorithms for signed social networks can only complete sign prediction, a novel algorithm is proposed aiming to achieve both link prediction and sign prediction in signed networks. Based on the structural balance theory, the local link tightness and global link tightness are defined respectively by using the structural information of paths with the step size of 2 and 3 between the two nodes. Then the total similarity of the node pair can be obtained by combining them. Its absolute value measures the possibility of the two nodes to establish a link, and its sign is the sign prediction result of the predicted link. The effectiveness and correctness of the proposed algorithm are verified on six typical datasets. Comparison and analysis are also carried out with the classical prediction algorithms in signed networks such as CN-Predict, ICN-Predict, and PSNBS (prediction in signed networks based on balance and similarity) using the evaluation indexes like area under the curve (AUC), Precision, improved AUC', improved Accuracy', and so on. Results show that the proposed algorithm achieves good performance in both link prediction and sign prediction, and its accuracy is higher than other algorithms. Moreover, it can achieve a good balance between prediction accuracy and computational complexity.

Development of Performance Analysis Program for an Axial Compressor with Meanline Analysis (평균반경해석법을 이용한 축류압축기 성능해석 프로그램 개발)

  • Park, Jun-Young;Park, Moo-Ryong;Choi, Bum-Suk;Song, Je-Wook
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers B
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    • v.33 no.2
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    • pp.141-148
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    • 2009
  • Axial-flow compressor is one of the most important parts of gas turbine units with axial turbine and combustor. Therefore, precise prediction of performance is very important for development of new compressor or modification of existing one. Meanline analysis is a simple, fast and powerful method for performance prediction of axial-flow compressors with different geometries. So, Meanline analysis is frequently used in preliminary design stage and performance analysis for given geometry data. Much correlations for meanline analysis have been developed theoretically and experimentally for estimating various types of losses and flow deviation angle for long time. In present study, meanline analysis program was developed to estimate compressor losses, incidence angles, deviation angles, stall and surge conditions with many correlations. Performance prediction of one stage axial compressors is conducted with this meanline analysis program. The comparison between experimental and numerical results show a good agreement. This meanline analysis program can be used for various types of single stage axial-flow compressors with different geometries, as well as multistage axial-flow compressors.

Performance Comparison of Deep Feature Based Speaker Verification Systems (깊은 신경망 특징 기반 화자 검증 시스템의 성능 비교)

  • Kim, Dae Hyun;Seong, Woo Kyeong;Kim, Hong Kook
    • Phonetics and Speech Sciences
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    • v.7 no.4
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    • pp.9-16
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    • 2015
  • In this paper, several experiments are performed according to deep neural network (DNN) based features for the performance comparison of speaker verification (SV) systems. To this end, input features for a DNN, such as mel-frequency cepstral coefficient (MFCC), linear-frequency cepstral coefficient (LFCC), and perceptual linear prediction (PLP), are first compared in a view of the SV performance. After that, the effect of a DNN training method and a structure of hidden layers of DNNs on the SV performance is investigated depending on the type of features. The performance of an SV system is then evaluated on the basis of I-vector or probabilistic linear discriminant analysis (PLDA) scoring method. It is shown from SV experiments that a tandem feature of DNN bottleneck feature and MFCC feature gives the best performance when DNNs are configured using a rectangular type of hidden layers and trained with a supervised training method.

Comparison of Chlorophyll-a Prediction and Analysis of Influential Factors in Yeongsan River Using Machine Learning and Deep Learning (머신러닝과 딥러닝을 이용한 영산강의 Chlorophyll-a 예측 성능 비교 및 변화 요인 분석)

  • Sun-Hee, Shim;Yu-Heun, Kim;Hye Won, Lee;Min, Kim;Jung Hyun, Choi
    • Journal of Korean Society on Water Environment
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    • v.38 no.6
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    • pp.292-305
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    • 2022
  • The Yeongsan River, one of the four largest rivers in South Korea, has been facing difficulties with water quality management with respect to algal bloom. The algal bloom menace has become bigger, especially after the construction of two weirs in the mainstream of the Yeongsan River. Therefore, the prediction and factor analysis of Chlorophyll-a (Chl-a) concentration is needed for effective water quality management. In this study, Chl-a prediction model was developed, and the performance evaluated using machine and deep learning methods, such as Deep Neural Network (DNN), Random Forest (RF), and eXtreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost). Moreover, the correlation analysis and the feature importance results were compared to identify the major factors affecting the concentration of Chl-a. All models showed high prediction performance with an R2 value of 0.9 or higher. In particular, XGBoost showed the highest prediction accuracy of 0.95 in the test data.The results of feature importance suggested that Ammonia (NH3-N) and Phosphate (PO4-P) were common major factors for the three models to manage Chl-a concentration. From the results, it was confirmed that three machine learning methods, DNN, RF, and XGBoost are powerful methods for predicting water quality parameters. Also, the comparison between feature importance and correlation analysis would present a more accurate assessment of the important major factors.

A study on the performance prediction of 4 cycle 4 cylinder S.I. engine considering the unsteady flow in the intake and exhaust pipes (흡배기 관내의 비정상 유동을 고려한 4사이클, 4기통 전기.점화 기관의 성능 예측에 관한 연구)

  • 박성서;김응서
    • Journal of the korean Society of Automotive Engineers
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    • v.13 no.6
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    • pp.72-81
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    • 1991
  • In this study, the analytic investigation of the unsteady flow in the intake and exhaust pipes has been carried out using the method of characteristics in one direction to predict volumetric efficiency. Based on the calculated volumetric efficiency, three zone predictive analysis using Wiebe function was applied to predict the engine performance and the results were compared with experiment. Mixture in the cylinder is subdivided into three zones during combustion process in this analysis; adiabatic core zone, thermal boundary layer zone and unburned zone. In each zone, pressure, temperature and gas composition have been calculated. In conclusion, it is possible to take account of the intake and exhaust pipe tuning effect in predicting the engine performance, by the analytic solution of the unsteady flow in the pipes, and comparison of prediction with experimental results shows a good agreement on the pressure variation in the intake and exhaust pipes which has a direct influence on the volumetric efficiency and performance of the engine.

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Developing a Quality Prediction Model for Wireless Video Streaming Using Machine Learning Techniques

  • Alkhowaiter, Emtnan;Alsukayti, Ibrahim;Alreshoodi, Mohammed
    • International Journal of Computer Science & Network Security
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    • v.21 no.3
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    • pp.229-234
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    • 2021
  • The explosive growth of video-based services is considered as the dominant contributor to Internet traffic. Hence it is very important for video service providers to meet the quality expectations of end-users. In the past, the Quality of Service (QoS) was the key performance of networks but it considers only the network performances (e.g., bandwidth, delay, packet loss rate) which fail to give an indication of the satisfaction of users. Therefore, Quality of Experience (QoE) may allow content servers to be smarter and more efficient. This work is motivated by the inherent relationship between the QoE and the QoS. We present a no-reference (NR) prediction model based on Deep Neural Network (DNN) to predict video QoE. The DNN-based model shows a high correlation between the objective QoE measurement and QoE prediction. The performance of the proposed model was also evaluated and compared with other types of neural network architectures, and three known machine learning methodologies, the performance comparison shows that the proposed model appears as a promising way to solve the problems.

Comparison of High Concentration Prediction Performance of Particulate Matter by Deep Learning Algorithm (딥러닝 알고리즘별 미세먼지 고농도 예측 성능 비교)

  • Lee, Jong-sung;Jung, Yong-jin;Oh, Chang-heon
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Information and Commucation Sciences Conference
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    • 2021.10a
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    • pp.348-350
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    • 2021
  • When predicting the concentration of fine dust using deep learning, there is a problem that the characteristics of a high concentration of 81㎍/m3 or more are not well reflected in the prediction model. In this paper, a comparison through predictive performance was conducted to confirm the results of reflecting the characteristics of fine dust in the high concentration area according to the deep learning algorithm. As a result of performance evaluation, overall, similar levels of results were shown, but the RNN model showed higher accuracy than other models at concentrations of "very bad" based on AQI. This confirmed that the RNN algorithm reflected the characteristics of the high concentration better than the DNN and LSTM algorithms.

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Saturation Prediction for Crowdsensing Based Smart Parking System

  • Kim, Mihui;Yun, Junhyeok
    • Journal of Information Processing Systems
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    • v.15 no.6
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    • pp.1335-1349
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    • 2019
  • Crowdsensing technologies can improve the efficiency of smart parking system in comparison with present sensor based smart parking system because of low install price and no restriction caused by sensor installation. A lot of sensing data is necessary to predict parking lot saturation in real-time. However in real world, it is hard to reach the required number of sensing data. In this paper, we model a saturation predication combining a time-based prediction model and a sensing data-based prediction model. The time-based model predicts saturation in aspects of parking lot location and time. The sensing data-based model predicts the degree of saturation of the parking lot with high accuracy based on the degree of saturation predicted from the first model, the saturation information in the sensing data, and the number of parking spaces in the sensing data. We perform prediction model learning with real sensing data gathered from a specific parking lot. We also evaluate the performance of the predictive model and show its efficiency and feasibility.