• 한국도로학회논문집
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• 제16권5호
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• pp.165-171
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• 2014

PURPOSES : The objective of this study is to find Percentile Speed($V_p$) for Appraisal of Road Section with Recurring Congestion. METHODS : Percentile Speed($V_p$) is determined by correlation analysis of CSI that proposed existing literature. and CSI(Consistency Service Index) is a index that subtract service fail frequency from 100 points, and service fail is defined as traffic situation is driving less than 80kph speed. In this study, We analyzed the highest correlation percentile speed associated with CSI. This speed is chosen as a delay decision speed. In order to verifying reliability, it performed a comparison with the previous method. RESULTS : As a result, 30 percentile speed($V_{30}$) was decided as index speed for judgement of recurring congestion section, and through comparison with existing methods, we demonstrated that 30 percentile speed can be useful for judgement of recurring congestion section. CONCLUSIONS : This method to Determine recurring congestion section using the percentile speed($V_{30}$) was proposed for the first time in this paper. This method can be applicated more quickly and easily than existing method for determining of recurring delay section.

• 한국신뢰성학회지:신뢰성응용연구
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• 제1권1호
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• pp.55-63
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• 2001

In this paper, we utilize the asymptotic variance of $C_{pk}$ to propose a two-sided confidence interval based on percentile-t bootstrap method. This confidence interval is compared with the ones based on the standard and percentile bootstrap methods. Simulation results show that percentile-t bootstrap method is preferred to other methods for constructing the confidence interval.l.

• Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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• 제28권6호
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• pp.627-641
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• 2021

An asymmetric least squares estimation method has been employed to estimate linear models for percentile regression. An asymmetric maximum likelihood estimation (AMLE) has been developed for the estimation of Poisson percentile linear models. In this study, we propose generalized nonlinear percentile regression using the AMLE, and the use of the parametric bootstrap method to obtain confidence intervals for the estimates of parameters of interest and smoothing functions of estimates. We consider three conditional distributions of response variables given covariates such as normal, exponential, and Poisson for three mean functions with one linear and two nonlinear models in the simulation studies. The proposed method provides reasonable estimates and confidence interval estimates of parameters, and comparable Monte Carlo asymptotic performance along with the sample size and quantiles. We illustrate applications of the proposed method using real-life data from chemical and radiation epidemiological studies.

• 대한지역사회영양학회지
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• 제12권6호
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• pp.761-772
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• 2007

It has been suggested that vegetables protect the cardiovascular system in part by attenuating blood pressure. The purpose of the present research was to examine blood lipids according to vegetable intakes. Anthropometric measurements, blood pressures, nutrient intakes using the 24-hour recall method, and serum lipids of <50th percentile vegetable intake group (<50th percentile VIG; men=66, women=111) and ${\ge}50th$ percentile vegetable intake group (${\ge}50th$ percentile VIG; men=83, women=94) were estimated. The average age, height, and BMI were 54.7 years, 158.2 cm, 62.2 kg, and $24.9kg/m^2$ for <50th percentile VIG and 53.7 years, 159.6 cm, 63.0 kg, and $24.7kg/m^2$ for ${\ge}50th$ percentile VIG, respectively. The daily food intake of the ${\ge}50th$ percentile VIG was significantly higher than that of the <50th percentile VIG (p<0.001). Also, daily intakes of cereals (p<0.001), legumes (p<0.05), nuts (p<0.05), vegetables (p<0.001), and fruits (p<0.05) of the ${\ge}50th$ percentile VIG were significantly higher than those of the <50th percentile VIG. The daily energy intakes of ${\ge}50th$ percentile VIG and <50th percentile VIG were 1342.7 kcal and 1782.0 kcal (p<0.001), and most nutrient intakes of the ${\ge}50th$ percentile VIG was significantly higher than that of the <50th percentile VIG. Serum cholesterol of the ${\ge}50th$ percentile VIG were significantly lower than that of the <50th percentile VIG (p<0.01). Also, vegetable intake showed significantly negative correlations with total cholesterol (p<0.05) and LDL-cholesterol (p<0.05). Based on these results, it should be emphasized that increase of vegetable intake improves the blood lipid profile.

• 한국시뮬레이션학회논문지
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• 제9권4호
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• pp.67-75
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• 2000

Often system analysts are interested in the estimation of percentile for system performance. For instance, in PERT network system, the percentile that the project. Typically the control variate method is used to reduce the variability of mean response using the correlation between the response and the control variates with a little additional cost during the course of simulation. In the same spirit, we apply this method to estimate the percentile of project completion time in PERT system, and evaluate the efficiency of the controlled estimator for its percentile.1 Simulation results indicate that the controlled estimators are more effective in reducing the variances of estimators than the simple estimators, however those tend to a little underestimate the percentiles for some critical values. We need more simulation experiments to examine such a kind of bias problem. We expect this research presents a step forward in the area of variance reduction techniques of stochastic simulation.

• 한국지진공학회논문집
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• 제15권2호
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• pp.43-51
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• 2011

확률론적 지진재해도 분석은 지진자료에 내재된 필연적인 불확실성을 효과적으로 반영하기 위한 방법으로, 다수의 지진 지체 모델과 감쇄식이 가중치와 함께 고려된다. 확률론적 지진재해도 분석을 통하여 산출된 재해도는 일반적으로 최대지반가속도에 대한 값으로, 연초과확률로 표시된다. 또 다수의 지진자료에 의해 발생되는 재해도의 불확실성 범위를 표시하기 위하여 평균 재해도 곡선뿐 아니라 15, 50, 85 백분위수의 곡선도 함께 도시한다. 따라서 백분위수는 산출된 재해도의 불확실성 범위를 나타내는 중요한 역할을 수행하게 되며 지진자료에 의한 가중치와 산출된 재해도의 관계를 이용한 여러 가지 방법에 의해 계산된다. 본 연구에서는 백분위수 분석 방법으로 중요도 누적법, 재해도 가중법, 최우법, 적률법을 선정하여 신울진 1,2호기의 확률론적 지진재해도분석으로 산출된 재해도의 백분위수를 계산 하였다. 전반적으로 중요도 누적법, 재해도 가중법, 최우법으로 계산된 백분위수 곡선의 경향이 유사하게 나타났으며 실제 산출된 전체 재해도의 특성을 잘 반영하였다. 적률법으로 계산된 백분위수는 평균 재해도에 가장 큰 영향을 미치는 부지를 포함한 지진원에 대한 재해도를 효과적으로 나타냈다. 본 연구에서는 전체 지진원과 부지를 포함한 지진원에 대한 평균 재해도가 거의 같게 나타나는 점을 고려하여 부지를 포함한 지진원의 재해도를 백분위수에 잘 반영하는 적률법을 효과적인 백분위수 산출방법으로 제시하였다.

• 산업경영시스템학회지
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• 제22권52호
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• pp.347-354
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• 1999

Statistical Process Control(SPC) which uses control charts is widely used to inspect and improve manufacturing process as a effective method. A parametric method is the most common in statistical process control. Shewhart chart was made under the assumption that measurements are independent and normal distribution. In practice, this assumption is often excluded, for example, in case of (equation omitted) chart, when the subgroup sample is small or correlation, it happens that measured data have bias or rejection of the normality test. A bootstrap method can be used in such a situation, which is calculated by resampling procedure without pre-distribution assumption. In this study, applying bootstrap percentile method to (equation omitted) chart, it is compared and evaluated standard process control limit with bootstrap percentile control limit. Also, under the normal and non-normal distributions, where parameter is 0.5, using computer simulation, it is compared standard parametric with bootstrap method which is used to decide process control limits in process quality.

• 생물환경조절학회지
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• 제27권3호
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• pp.269-275
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• 2018

온실 냉난방시스템 설계용 외부기상조건의 분석 기준을 설정하기 위하여 연간 백분위 방식에 의한 냉난방 설계기온을 분석하고, 기존의 계절 백분위 방식에 의한 설계기온과 비교 검토하였다. 우리나라 전 지역을 대상으로 현재 기상청에서 제공하는 기후평년값 기준 30년 간의 매 시각 기상자료를 분석에 사용하였다. 표준기상데이터의 이용이 제한적이기 때문에 전체 기상자료를 이용하여 매년 설계용 기상조건을 구하고, 전체 자료기간의 평균값을 분석에 사용하였다. 연간 백분위 방식으로 1년 기준 총 8,760시간의 백분위수 0.4%, 1%, 2%를 냉방 설계 외기온으로, 99.6%, 99%를 난방 설계 외기온으로 제시하였다. 연간 백분위 방식을 채택할 경우 계절 백분위 방식에 비하여 전체적으로 난방설계 외기온은 6.7~9.6% 상승하는 것으로 나타났으며, 냉방설계 외기온은 0.6~1.1% 하강하는 것으로 나타났다. 동일한 온실 조건에서 최대난방부하는 연간 백분위 방식을 채택할 경우 기존의 계절 백분위 방식에 비하여 약 3.0~3.6% 정도 감소하는 것으로 나타났고, 최대냉방부하에 미치는 영향은 미미한 것으로 분석되었다. 따라서 난방설계 외기온은 연간 백분위 방식으로의 변경에 대하여 고려할 필요가 있지만, 냉방설계 외기온은 두 방법 간의 차이가 거의 없으므로 아직까지 변경할 필요는 없는 것으로 판단된다. 전체적으로 현재의 계절 백분위 방식으로 분석한 설계 외기온을 사용하여도 큰 문제는 없을 것으로 생각되지만, 기후변화의 영향을 고려하여 주기적인 설계용 기상자료의 분석 및 설계기준의 개정이 필요하고, 현재의 기후평년값 기준연도가 바뀌는 2021년 이후에는 이 기간의 기상자료를 분석하여 새로운 설계기준으로 제공해야 할 것이므로, 그 때 연간 백분위 방식에 대한 전문가 그룹의 검토를 통하여 반영할 필요가 있을 것으로 판단된다.

• 대한한방소아과학회지
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• 제18권2호
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• pp.119-126
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• 2004

Objective : We used herbal medicine to treat various disease and also to keep good general condition of children. We aimed to evaluate the effect of herbal medicine on the growth of children treated with herbal medicine. Method: We studied 187 children who visited the department of Pediatrics, KyungHee Oriental Medical Hospital from March 2004 to August 2004. They meet condition as follows; they were treated for more than 6 months and they visited our clinic more than 3 times. Whenever patients visited our hospital, we measured their height, body weight and obesity degree using DS-102(dszenix, Seoul). We measured height percentile of first time visit, and that of last time visit. And we compared them using the Growth Statistics Curve made by the Korean Association of Pediatrics, 1998. Results : The mean growth of total children showed 4.04 percentile upwardly; the growth- up percentile of boys was 4.52 and that of girls was 3.26. Analysis according to disease resulted as follows; children with respiratory disease showed 10.29 percentile growth-up, digestive disease 4.21percentile, urinary disease 4 percentile, allergic disease 2.65 percentile, weak children 2.52 percentile and other disease 3.19 percentile. Conclusion : Herbal medical treatment helped growth not only in children who took medicine for growth retardation problem but children with various disease. Moreover herbal medical treatment applied to keep good general condition of children also gave positive effect on the growth of children.

• 한국안전학회지
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• 제12권1호
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• pp.113-121
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• 1997

Human reliability attempts to make precise quantitative analyses and predictions of the performance of human-machine(or product) systems. In order to yield more precise human error analysis, precise human error probabilities(HEPs) must be used in the analysis. However, because human behavior is influenced by factors that are called performance shaping factors(PSFs), the effects of PSFs must be considered to obtain precise HEPs, These are called basic HEPs or situation-specific HEPs. This paper presents a theoretical method for obtaining basic HEPs (i.e. , considering PSFs) in quantitative human error analysis. In this method, the weight which characterizes the degree of importance of several PSFs is obtained by the analytic hierarchy process. The quality scores of PSFs in the task situation are obtained by percentile concept. These scores are used in conjunction with the relative Importance weights of PSFs to compute the composite quality percentile score of PSFs in the task situation. Then, a new mapping method of the composite quality percentile score of PSFs into a situation-specific basic HEP is proposed with a numerical example.