• Title/Summary/Keyword: Peak load estimation

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Smart Air Condition Load Forecasting based on Thermal Dynamic Model and Finite Memory Estimation for Peak-energy Distribution

  • Choi, Hyun Duck;Lee, Soon Woo;Pae, Dong Sung;You, Sung Hyun;Lim, Myo Taeg
    • Journal of Electrical Engineering and Technology
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    • v.13 no.2
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    • pp.559-567
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    • 2018
  • In this paper, we propose a new load forecasting method for smart air conditioning (A/C) based on the modified thermodynamics of indoor temperature and the unbiased finite memory estimator (UFME). Based on modified first-order thermodynamics, the dynamic behavior of indoor temperature can be described by the time-domain state-space model, and an accurate estimate of indoor temperature can be achieved by the proposed UFME. In addition, a reliable A/C load forecast can be obtained using the proposed method. Our study involves the experimental validation of the proposed A/C load forecasting method and communication construction between DR server and HEMS in a test bed. Through experimental data sets, the effectiveness of the proposed estimation method is validated.

Working Electrical Energy Forecasting for Peak Load Estimation of Distribution Transformer (주상변압기 최대부하 추정을 위한 수용가 사용전력량 예측)

  • Park, Chang-Ho;Cho, Seong-Soo;Kim, Jae-Cheol;Kim, Du-Bong;Yun, Sang-Yun;Lee, Dong-Jun
    • Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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    • 1998.07c
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    • pp.929-931
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    • 1998
  • This paper describes the peak load forecasting technique of distribution transformers with correlation equation. While customers are demanding safe energy supply, conventional correlation equation that is used for load management of distribution transformers in domestic has some problems. To get accurate correlation equation, se-correlation equation were examined using new collected using the measuring instrument dev for this study. It was recognized that the qua equation was the most accurate for peak forecasting from working electrical energy.

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An Estimation of Cooling Load for Control of Ice Storage System (빙축열 시스템의 제어를 위한 냉방부하 예측)

  • Yoo, Seong-Yeon;Han, Seung-Ho;No, Kwan-Jong;Lee, Je-Myo;Kang, Tae-Seok
    • Proceedings of the SAREK Conference
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    • 2005.11a
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    • pp.205-210
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    • 2005
  • Ice storage system stores cold energy using ice, which is used for cooling on next day. Ice storage system is the effective cooling system that uses cheep electric energy during a night, and also suppresses the peak load of electricity. In this study, the normalized temperature, relative humidity and specific humidity are analyzed using the weather data for past five years in order to estimate the cooling load for the control of ice storage system. The calculated cooling loads show fairly good agreement with the measured data of model hospital, especially at the outdoor design temperature of $25^{\circ}C$.

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Estimation of Electrical Loads Patterns by Usage in the Urban Railway Station by RNN (RNN을 활용한 도시철도 역사 부하 패턴 추정)

  • Park, Jong-young
    • The Transactions of The Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers
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    • v.67 no.11
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    • pp.1536-1541
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    • 2018
  • For effective electricity consumption in urban railway station such as peak load shaving, it is important to know each electrical load pattern by various usage. The total electricity consumption in the urban railway substation is already measured in Korea, but the electricity consumption for each usage is not measured. The author proposed the deep learning method to estimate the electrical load pattern for each usage in the urban railway substation with public data such as weather data. GRU (gated recurrent unit), a variation on the LSTM (long short-term memory), was used, which aims to solve the vanishing gradient problem of standard a RNN (recursive neural networks). The optimal model was found and the estimation results with that were assessed.

A study on the equivalent static wind load estimation of large span roofs (대스팬 지붕구조물의 등가정적 풍하중 산정에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Dae-Young;Kim, Ji-Young;Kim, Han-Young;Lee, Myung-Ho;Kim, Sang-Dae
    • 한국공간정보시스템학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2004.05a
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    • pp.245-251
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    • 2004
  • This paper discuss the conditionally sampled actual wind pressure distributions causing peak quasi-static wind loads in the large span roofs using the wind pressures at many locations on dome models measured simultaneously in a wind tunnel. The actual extreme pressure distributions are compared itk load-response-correlation (LRC) method and the quasi-steady pressure distributions. Based on the results, the reason for the discrepancy in the LRC pressure distribution and the actual extreme pressure distribution are discussed. Futhermore, a brief discussion is made of the equivalent static wind load estimation for the large span roofs.

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ESTIMATION OF REQUIRED CAPACITY OF SHUNT TYPE ACTIVE POWER FILTER WITH A THYRISTOR CONVERTER LOAD

  • Jeong, Seung-Gi;Kim, Dong-Ha
    • Proceedings of the KIPE Conference
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    • 1998.10a
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    • pp.802-807
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    • 1998
  • The main drawback of parallel type active power filters (APF) is the large capacity required for harmonic compensation. This paper evaluates the APF capacity requirement of harmonic/reactive power compensation for thyristor converter load. Theoretically achievable maximum power factor under partial load is evaluated. And it is shown that the APF capacity can be considerably reduced while slightly sacrificing the filtering performance by deliberately limiting the peak current of the APF.

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Comparison of the 6-DOF Motion Sensor and Stain Gauge Data for Ice Load Estimation on IBRV ARAON (쇄빙연구선 ARAON호의 빙하중 추정을 위한 6자유도 운동계측 및 스트레인 게이지 데이터의 비교 분석)

  • Min, Jung Ki;Cheon, Eun-Jee;Kim, Jin Myung;Lee, Sang Chul;Choi, Kyungsik
    • Journal of the Society of Naval Architects of Korea
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    • v.53 no.6
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    • pp.529-535
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    • 2016
  • This study focuses on the comparison of measured data from 6-DOF motion sensor and strain gauge installed in the IBRV ARAON during 2015 summer voyage in the Arctic. Procedures to calculate the global ice load from MotionPak II inertial measurement system and the local load from stain gauge system are discussed. The ship's speed and peak load are determined in the concept of an ice collision "event". It is found that the peak values in the global ice calculated form whole ship motion analysis fall in the range of 1.5~3 times of the local ice load based in strain gauge measurement.

A Dynamic Rating System for Power Cables (I) - Real Time CTM(Conductor Temperature Monitoring) (전력 케이블 실시간 허용전류산정 시스템에 관한 연구 (I) - 실시간 도체 온도 추정 시스템)

  • 남석현;이수길;홍진영;김정년;정성환
    • The Transactions of the Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers A
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    • v.52 no.7
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    • pp.414-420
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    • 2003
  • The domestic needs for larger capability of power sources are increasing to cope with the expanding power load which results from the industrial developments & the progressed life style. In summer, the peak load is mainly due to the non-industrial reasons such as air-conditioners and other cooling equipments. To cover the concentrated peak load in stable, the power transmission lines should be more constructed and efficiently operated. The ampacity design of the underground cable system is generally following international standards such as IEC287, IEC60853 and JCS168 which regards the shape of 100% daily full power loads. It is not so efficient to neglect the real shapes of load curves generally below 60~70% of full load. The dynamic (real time) rating system tends to be used with the measured thermal parameters which make it possible to calculate the maximum ampacity within required periods. In this paper, the CTM(Conductor Temperature Monitoring) which is the base of dynamic rating systems for tunnel environment is proposed by a design of lumped thermal network ($\pi$-type thermal model) and distribution temperature sensor attached configuration, including the estimation results of its performances by load cycle test on 345kV single phase XLPE cable.

A Study on the Development of the Optimal Capacity Estimation Algorithm of Intergrated Energy Facilities Based on Operating Conditions (운용상태를 고려한 집단에너지설비의 최적용량 산정 알고리즘의 개발에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Chang Sik;Song, Myung Ho;Yeom, Jee hoon;Shin, Jungyull
    • Journal of Energy Engineering
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    • v.28 no.4
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    • pp.94-102
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    • 2019
  • The purpose of this study is to propose a method for optimizing heat generation facilities to maximize revenue by investigating their operational status during times of maximum heat demand for district heating. Based on the derived result, this study also proposes a method for determining a given power plant's optimal equipment, such as combined heat and power plant(CHP), peak load boilers (PLB), heat accumulators, and so on, depending on heat demand and facility capacities. It also offers a guide for how to operate facilities more economically by considering the operational status of district heating companies.

Probabilistic Distribution of Displacement Response of Frictionally Damped Structures under Earthquake Loads (지진하중을 받는 마찰형 감쇠를 갖는 구조물의 변위 응답 확률 분포)

  • Lee, Sang-Hyun;Park, Ji-Hun;Youn, Kyung-Jo;Min, Kyung-Won
    • Proceedings of the Computational Structural Engineering Institute Conference
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    • 2007.04a
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    • pp.639-644
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    • 2007
  • The accurate peak response estimation of a seismically excited structure with frictional damping system(FDS) is very difficult since the structure with FDS shows nonlinear behavior dependent on the structural period, loading characteristics, and relative magnitude between the frictional force and the excitation load. Previous studies have estimated that by replacing a nonlinear system with an equivalent linear one or by employing the response spectrum obtained based on nonlinear time history and statistical analysis. In the case that on earthquake load is defined with probabilistic characteristics, the corresponding response of the structure with FDS has probabilistic distribution. In this study, nonlinear time history analyses were performed for the structure with FDS subjected to artificial earthquake loads generated using Kanai-Tajimi filter. An equation for the probability density function (PDF) of the displacement response is proposed by adapting the PDF of the normal distribution. Finally, coefficients of the proposed PDF is obtained by regression analysis of the statistical distribution of the time history responses. Finally, the correlation between PDFs and statistical response distribution is presented.

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