• Title/Summary/Keyword: Peak load demand

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A Study on the Demand Forecasting Control using A Composite Fuzzy Model (복합 퍼지모델을 이용한 디맨드 예측 제어에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Chang-Il;Seong, Gi-Cheol;Yu, In-Geun
    • The Transactions of the Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers A
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    • v.51 no.9
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    • pp.417-424
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    • 2002
  • This paper presents an industrial peak load management system for the peak demand control. Kohonen neural network and wavelet transform based techniques are adopted for industrial peak load forecasting that will be used as input data of the peak demand control. Firstly, one year of historical load data of a steel company were sorted and clustered into several groups using Kohonen neural network and then wavelet transforms are applied with Biorthogonal 1.3 mother wavelet in order to forecast the peak load of one minute ahead. In addition, for the peak demand control, composite fuzzy model is proposed and implemented in this work. The results are compared with those of conventional model, fuzzy model and composite model, respectively. The outcome of the study clearly indicates that the composite fuzzy model approach can be used as an attractive and effective means of the peak demand control.

Study of Peak Load Demand Estimation Methodology by Pearson Correlation Analysis with Macro-economic Indices and Power Generation Considering Power Supply Interruption

  • Song, Jiyoung;Lee, Jaegul;Kim, Taekyun;Yoon, Yongbeum
    • Journal of Electrical Engineering and Technology
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    • v.12 no.4
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    • pp.1427-1434
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    • 2017
  • Since the late 2000s, there has been growing preparation in South Korea for a sudden reunification of South and North Korea. Particularly in the power industry field, thorough preparations for the construction of a power infrastructure after reunification are necessary. The first step is to estimate the peak load demand. In this paper, we suggest a new peak demand estimation methodology by integrating existing correlation analysis methods between economic indicators and power generation quantities with a power supply interruption model in consideration of power consumption patterns. Through this, the potential peak demand and actual peak demand of the Nation, which experiences power supply interruption can be estimated. For case studies on North Korea after reunification, the potential peak demand in 2015 was estimated at 5,189 MW, while the actual peak demand within the same year was recorded as 2,461 MW. The estimated potential peak demand can be utilized as an important factor when planning the construction of power system facilities in preparation for reunification.

Adjustment of Load Regression Coefficients and Demand-Factor for the Peak Load Estimation of Pole-Type Transformers (주상 변압기 최대부하 추정을 위한 부하상관계수 및 수용율 조정)

  • Yun, Sang-Yun;Kim, Jae-Chul;Park, Kyung-Ho;Moon, Jong-Fil;Lee, Jin;Park, Chang-Ho
    • The Transactions of the Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers A
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    • v.53 no.2
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    • pp.87-96
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    • 2004
  • This paper summarizes the research results of the load management for pole transformers done in 1997-1998 and 2000-2002. The purpose of the research is to enhance the accuracy of peak load estimation in pole transformers. We concentrated our effort on the acquisition of massive actual load data for modifying the load regression coefficients, which related to the peak load estimation of lamp-use customers, and adjusting the demand-factor coefficients, which used for the peak load prediction of motor-use customers. To enhance the load regression equations, the 264 load data acquisition devices are equipped to the sample pole transformers. For the modification of demand factor coefficients, the peak load currents are measured in each customer and pole transformer for 13 KEPCO (Korea Electric Power Corporation) distribution branch offices. Case studies for 50 sample pole transformers show that the proposed coefficients could reduce estimating error of the peak load for pole transformers, compared with the conventional one.

Improvement Method of Peak Load Forecasting for Mortor-use Distribution Transformer by Readjustment of Demand Factor (호당 수용률 조정을 통한 동력용 배전 변압기 최대부하 예측 개선 방안)

  • Park, Kyung-Ho;Kim, Jae-Chul;Lee, Hee-Tea;Yun, Sang-Yun;Park, Chang-Ho;Lee, Young-Suk
    • Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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    • 2002.11b
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    • pp.41-43
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    • 2002
  • The contracted electric power and the demand factor of customers are used to predict the peak load in distribution transformers. The conventional demand factor was determined more than ten years ago. The contracted electric power and power demand have been increased. Therefore, we need to prepare the novel demand factor that appropriates at present. In this paper, we modify the demand factor to improve the peak load prediction of distribution transformers. To modify the demand factor, we utilize the 169 data acquisition devices for sample distribution transformers in winter, spring summer. And, the peak load currents were measured by the case studies using the actual load data, through which we verified that the proposed demand factors were correct than the conventional factors. A newly demand factor will be used to predict the peak load of distribution transformers.

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A Study on the Peak Load Prediction for Molter-use Distribution Transformer (동력용 배전 변압기의 최대부하 예측 개선 방안에 관한 연구)

  • Park, Kyung-Ho;Kim, Jae-Chul;Yun, Sang-Yun;Lee, Young-Suk;Park, Chang-Ho
    • Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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    • 2002.07a
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    • pp.530-532
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    • 2002
  • The contracted electric power and the demand factor of customers are used to predict the peak load in distribution transformers. The conventional demand factor was determined more than ten years ago. The contracted electric power and power demand have been increased. Therefore, we need to prepare the novel demand factor that appropriates at present. In this paper, we modify the demand factor to improve the peak load prediction of distribution transformers. To modify the demand factor, we utilize the 169 data acquisition devices for sample distribution transformers. The peak load currents were measured by the case studies using the actual load data, through which we verified that the proposed demand factors were correct than the conventional factors. A newly demand factor will be used to predict the peak load of distribution transformers.

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Application of peak load for industrial water treatment plant design (공업용수 정수장 설계시 첨두부하 적용방안)

  • Kim, Jinkeun;Lee, Heenam;Kim, Dooil;Koo, Jayong;Hyun, Inhwan
    • Journal of Korean Society of Water and Wastewater
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    • v.30 no.3
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    • pp.225-231
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    • 2016
  • Peak load rate(i.e., maximum daily flow/average daily flow) has not been considered for industrial water demand planning in Korea to date, while area unit method based on average daily flow has been applied to decide capacity of industrial water treatment plants(WTPs). Designers of industrial WTPs has assumed that peak load would not exist if operation rate of factories in industrial sites were close to 100%. However, peak load rates were calculated as 1.10~2.53 based on daily water flow from 2009 to 2014 for 9 industrial WTPs which have been operated more than 9 years(9-38 years). Furthermore, average operation rates of 9 industrial WTPs was less than 70% which means current area unit method has tendency to overestimate water demand. Therefore, it is not reasonable to consider peak load for the calculation of water demand under current area unit method application to prevent overestimation. However, for the precise future industrial water demand calculation more precise data gathering for average daily flow and consideration of peak load rate are recommended.

A Study on the Load Forecasting Methods of Peak Electricity Demand Controller (최대수요전력 관리 장치의 부하 예측에 관한 연구)

  • Kong, In-Yeup
    • IEMEK Journal of Embedded Systems and Applications
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    • v.9 no.3
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    • pp.137-143
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    • 2014
  • Demand Controller is a load control device that monitor the current power consumption and calculate the forecast power to not exceed the power set by consumer. Accurate demand forecasting is important because of controlling the load use the way that sound a warning and then blocking the load when if forecasted demand exceed the power set by consumer. When if consumer with fluctuating power consumption use the existing forecasting method, management of demand control has the disadvantage of not stable. In this paper, load forecasting of the unit of seconds using the Exponential Smoothing Methods, ARIMA model, Kalman Filter is proposed. Also simulation of load forecasting of the unit of the seconds methods and existing forecasting methods is performed and analyzed the accuracy. As a result of simulation, the accuracy of load forecasting methods in seconds is higher.

Daily Peak Load Forecasting for Electricity Demand by Time series Models (시계열 모형을 이용한 일별 최대 전력 수요 예측 연구)

  • Lee, Jeong-Soon;Sohn, H.G.;Kim, S.
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.26 no.2
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    • pp.349-360
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    • 2013
  • Forecasting the daily peak load for electricity demand is an important issue for future power plants and power management. We first introduce several time series models to predict the peak load for electricity demand and then compare the performance of models under the RMSE(root mean squared error) and MAPE(mean absolute percentage error) criteria.

Demand Response of Large-Scale General and Industrial Customer using In-House Pricing Model (사내요금제를 활용한 대규모 수용가 수요반응에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Min-Jeong
    • The Transactions of The Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers
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    • v.65 no.7
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    • pp.1128-1134
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    • 2016
  • Demand response provides customer load reductions based on high market prices or system reliability conditions. One type of demand response, price-based program, induces customers to respond to changes in product rates. However, there are large-scale general and industrial customers that have difficulty changing their energy consumption patterns, even with rate changes, due to their electricity demands being commercial and industrial. This study proposes an in-house pricing model for large-scale general and industrial customers, particularly those with multiple business facilities, for self-regulating demand-side management and cost reduction. The in-house pricing model charges higher rates to customers with lower load factors by employing peak to off-peak ratios in order to reduce maximum demand at each facility. The proposed scheme has been applied to real world and its benefits are demonstrated through an example.

An Evaluation of Peak-Load Management in DSM Programs (부하관리 요금제 피크억제량 산정 개선방안 연구)

  • Kim, Jin-Ho;Hong, Jun-Hee
    • Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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    • 2008.07a
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    • pp.572-573
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    • 2008
  • Demand side management can be defined as series of planning and programs to change the electric usage pattern of customers from their normal ones with a least cost while meeting customers electric demand. In general, conventional demand side management programs can be classified into two groups, one of which is a load management and the other is energy efficiency. In this paper, the load management tariff programs in Korea are explored in terms of their effect on the peak demand reduction.

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