• 제목/요약/키워드: Peace

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On the Likelihood of Peace and War on the Korean Peninsula: A Causal Loop Analysis

  • 김강훈
    • 한국시스템다이내믹스연구
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    • 제10권4호
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    • pp.5-25
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    • 2009
  • Since the end of the 1950-1953 Korean War, many scholars and policymakers have expressed concern about the possibility of another conflict on the peninsula. In certain respects, the post-1953 North-South Korea relationship resembles the Cold War that existed between the United States and the Soviet Union, 1945-1990. Although a "hot" never occurred, peace was never guaranteed. By looking at international theories (i.e., realism and liberal theory) and by utilizing casual-loop diagram analysis, the main purpose of this research is to explore on the likelihood of peace and war on the Korean peninsula. First, several factors (e.g., economic stagnation of North Korea, unstable political systems, and so on) emphasized by realism perspectives are significantly related to the likelihood of conflict between North and South Korea. Conversely, several determinants (e.g., economic assistance to North Korea, inter-dialogue between two Koreas, cultural and social exchange, and so on) emphasized by liberal approaches are significantly related to likelihood of peace on the Korean peninsula. Given the two different interpretations about the likelihood of conflict or peace, it can be argued that a second military action might occur on the Korean peninsula if realism theories are true. However, if practical factors exist on the Korean peninsula, the two Korean can optimistically expect a peaceful reunification in the future, without interference from other countries.

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해원상생사상의 평화적 가치와 현대적 의의 (The Value of Peace and the Modern Significance of Haewon Sangsaeng)

  • 배규한
    • 대순사상논총
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    • 제40집
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    • pp.1-38
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    • 2022
  • 본 연구의 목적은 강증산(姜甑山, 1871~1909) 성사(聖師)의 해원상생(解冤相生)사상에 관한 평화적 가치를 모색하고, 그 현대적 의의를 조명하는 것이다. 증산은 구한말인 1871년 탄강하여 1909년 화천할 때까지 광구천하의 인류대망을 실현하기 위해 천지인 삼계를 근원적으로 혁신하는 천지공사(天地公事, 1901~1909)를 실행한 역사적 대종교가로 관련 종교계와 학계에서는 평가하고 있다. 증산의 주장은 크게 두 가지로 집약할 수 있다. 하나는 낡은 질서의 청산과 새로운 세상의 도래를 예시하는 '후천개벽사상'이고, 다른 하나는 인류 구제와 세계평화의 근본원리인 '해원상생사상'이다. 여기에서 '개벽'은 "적극적 평화에 대한 종교적인 표현"과 다름 아니고, '해원상생'은 "전세계의 평화이며 전인류의 화평" 원리이다. 특히, 해원상생은 대순진리회의 종지로서 대순사상의 근간을 이루는 주요사상이며, 증산의 천지공사를 관류하는 요체라 할 수 있다. 오늘날 해원상생은 공존과 상생, 평화를 말하는 담론뿐만 아니라 학술의 장에서도 다양하게 논의되거나 인용되고 있다. 해원상생은 구체적으로 세계갈등, 지역갈등, 문화갈등, 이념갈등, 빈부갈등, 세대갈등, 인종갈등, 종교갈등 등과 같은 세계사적 갈등구조에서부터 현대사회에 노정된 다양한 상극적 구조와 부조화 영역에서 학술적으로 심도있게 논의되고 있다. 이와 관련한 선행연구를 살펴보면, 주로 인간, 신명, 후천선경, 이상사회, 세계평화 등의 주요한 가치에 천착하고 있으며, 실천윤리, 실천철학, 실천원리, 관계의 조화, 윤리적 이상, 새로운 질서원리, 항구적 평화 등으로 조명되고 있다. 특히 해원상생의 윤리·철학·질서·원리로서의 의의는 인간과 세계에 대한 사랑·공존·조화·평화 등의 의미와 직접적으로 연결되어, 인간·신명·후천선경·이상사회·세계평화 등에서 그 가치가 발현되는 것으로 이해할 수 있다. 따라서 본 논문에서는 그간의 연구를 토대로 증산의 해원상생사상의 계승과 정립에 관한 사상적 연맥을 살펴보고 그 평화적 가치를 검토해봄으로써, 오늘날 해원상생의 원리와 사상이 세계와 인류에 던지는 그 현대적 의의를 모색해보고자 한다.

비정형자료로부터의 평화지수 분석을 통한 한반도 정세 파악 방법 (Interpretation and Prediction of Situations on the Korean Peninsula by Peace Index Analysis from Unstructured Data)

  • 권오병;박다솔;최지혜;이재윤
    • 한국IT서비스학회지
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    • 제12권4호
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    • pp.423-434
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    • 2013
  • Since acquiring intelligence about political situations around the Korea Peninsular in a direct manner is nearly impossible, it is inevitable for the individuals or companies to rely on open and indirect data such as newspapers. However, since the contents in the newspapers are substantially unstructured and very large, conventional content analysis is time-consuming and hence very costly. Hence, this paper aims to propose a sentimental analysis method which computes daily 'peace index' from unstructured data in the newspapers. From the content analysis, words and phrases which represent the sentiment of a nation are carefully identified. To show the feasibility of the idea proposed in this paper, a prototype system with vocabulary repository about political situations was developed for estimating peace index automatically.

The Peace Effects of Inter-Korean Trade and the Political-Economic Separation: Analysis of the Reciprocal Effects of Inter-Korean Relations and Inter-Korean Trade

  • KYOOCHUL KIM
    • KDI Journal of Economic Policy
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    • 제45권3호
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    • pp.1-24
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    • 2023
  • This paper empirically examines the relationship between inter-Korean trade and inter-Korean relations over the past three decades. It asks two questions: (1) Does inter-Korean trade contribute to improved inter-Korean relations and peace on the Korean Peninsula? (2) Does improved inter-Korean relations lead to increased inter-Korean trade? The study employs a time-series causal relationship analysis methodology to answer these questions. The findings show that during the progressive government's reign, inter-Korean trade was not impacted by inter-Korean relations. This is due to the implementation of a political-economic separation policy towards North Korea. Moreover, the increase in general trade and processing on commission did enhance inter-Korean relations, reflecting the "inclusive policy" aimed at achieving peace on the Korean Peninsula through inter-Korean trade. In contrast, during the conservative government's reign, inter-Korean relations had a direct impact on inter-Korean trade, with deteriorating relations leading to a significant decrease in trade. This was due to the implementation of North Korea policies that were linked to politics and the economy.

한중일 지방정부 교류협력과 동북아 평화

  • 김관옥
    • 중국학논총
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    • 제61호
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    • pp.223-239
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    • 2019
  • Northeast Asian relations have been dominated by competitions rather than cooperation. Nevertheless, since the end of the Cold War, interchanges among South Korea, China, and Japan's local governments have been increasing rapidly. Why local governments of the three Northeast Asian states have maintained constant exchanges despite the sluggish cooperation of their central governments? What effects and limitations of exchanges among local governments in Northeast Asia on regional peace? The results of research show that effects of Northeast Asian local governments on regional peace is complicated. The study indicated that the local governments' exchanges had certain limitations in constructing the regional peace as an independent factor. However, it is also certain that the local governments' exchanges have contributed to the Northeast Asian peace, to some extent, by playing a complementary role in maintaining cooperation in local level.

Peace 포플러(Populus koreana X P. trichocarpa)의 줄기형성에 미치는 Thidiazuron 효과 (Effect of TDZ (Thidiazuron) on Shoot Proliferation of Peace Poplar)

  • 강호덕;문흥규;박인선;이민순
    • Journal of Plant Biotechnology
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    • 제31권1호
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    • pp.49-53
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    • 2004
  • 기공이 잎의 앞뒤 양면에 존재하는 생리ㆍ형태적 특징을 가지고 있는 외래 교잡종인 Peace (Populus koreana ${\times}$ P. trichocarpa)포플러의 효율적인 기내증식법을 개발하고자 액아와 엽육 절편을 이용하여 기내배양을 실시하였다. 몇 종류의 배지 시험을 통해 1/2MS배지를 적정배지로 선정할 수 있었고, 이 배지에 TDZ를 처리하여 multiple shoot 및 adventitious shoot유도 효과를 조사하였다. 절간액아 및 엽육을 절편으로 TDZ의 농도별 처리로 배양 2주 후부터 multiple shoot 및 adventitious shoot가 유도되었으며 절편 및 TDZ처리 농도에 따라 차이를 나타냈다. 액아로부터는 TDZ 처리로 절편당 5-7개의 multiple shoot가 유도된 반면 엽육 절편에서는 2-5개의 adventitious shoot가 유도되었다. 한편 부정아로부터 정상적 인 줄기의 성장에 있어서도 절편에 따른 차이를 나타냈다. 이상의 결과는 저농도의 TDZ의 처리로 peace포플러의 액아 혹은 엽육 절편의 기내배양을 통해 대량증식이 가능함을 보여주는 결과이다.

Value of Postoperative Radiation Therapy for Regional Control after Dissection in Head and Neck Squamous Cell Carcinoma Cases

  • Li, Xiao-Ming;Di, Bin;Shang, Yao-Dong;Tao, Zhen-Feng;Cheng, Ji-Min;He, Zhan-Guo
    • Asian Pacific Journal of Cancer Prevention
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    • 제14권7호
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    • pp.4273-4278
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    • 2013
  • Objective: We aimed to define clinicopathologic risk factors associated with regional recurrence (RR) and thus the effectiveness of postoperative radiotherapy (PORT) for neck control for head and neck squamous cell carcinomas (HNSCCs) with differing cervical lymph node status. Methods: A retrospective study was performed in 196 HNSCC patients with pathologically positive neck node (N+) to evaluate the high-risk factors for RR and to define the role of PORT in control after neck dissection and postoperative radiotherapy (PORT). Results: Overall, the RR rate after neck dissection and PORT was 29%. Extracapsular spread (ECS) was confirmed to be the only independent risk factor for RR. There were no significant risk factors associated with RR in the ECS- group. The 5-year disease-specific survival rate was 45%, which descended to 10% with the emergence of RR. Conclusions: ECS remains a determined risk factor for RR after neck dissection and PORT in patients with N+. PORT alone is not adequate for preventing RR in the neck with ECS after neck dissection. More intensive postoperative adjuvant therapies, especially combined chemotherapy and radiotherapy, are needed to prevent regional failure in HNSCC patients with ECS.

L. 톨스토이 문학에 나타난 전쟁 - 장편소설 『전쟁과 평화』를 중심으로 - (War in Leo Tolstoy's Literature and War and Peace)

  • 김성일
    • 비교문화연구
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    • 제34권
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    • pp.115-146
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    • 2014
  • Cyclical stories on Caucasus and Sebastopol Sketches, including War and Peace, have generally been said as masterpieces dealing with the theme of war in Leo Tolstoy's literature. Among them, it is no doubt that War and Peace is absolutely the best one describing the grand panorama of people's lives and war itself. The plot of this novel consists of the so-called Napoleonic War of 1812 and of diverse lives both from the upper class and lower class, more essentially it dramatically presents how these pictures made all literary participants experienced their destiny and lives. Throughout these texts, war, including of its cause and effects and participants, re-considers and re-evaluates all of each features. The most important themes in War and Peace is war itself as the novel's title says. Rather than a just backdrop to the novel, the war plays a significant role in providing the reader with various realistic, philosophic, moral and existentialist perspectives. Moreover, War and Peace for the writer shows contradictory two views about war; he severally criticizes the Napoleonic war of 1812 in the sense that it violets people's reason and nature. At the same time, however, Tolstoy considers that the war as liberation is justified and necessary for guarding people's nation, otechestvo in Russian. What the writer attempts to show from this novel, however, goes beyond the simple descriptions which were done above. Leo Tolstoy successfully offers and what he tries to show in the long run is that how people go through all kinds of sufferings and hardship and their spiritual resurrection, thereby leading to the vital force making history. For the writer, the essential force that makes history and people's lives is not heroic military leader like Napoleon, but those common people. And the novel serves a wonderful prelude expecting the Decembrist revolt in 1825, because all of the vital and active streams that Tolstoy emphasizes turn out true in Russian history.

한반도 평화와 번영시대에 부합하는 군 정신전력 교육 발전방안 (A study on development strategies for military spiritual education complying with the era of peace and prosperity on the Korean Peninsula)

  • 김남석;박효선
    • 안보군사학연구
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    • 통권15호
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    • pp.1-30
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    • 2018
  • This study focused on how to supplement and develop military spiritual education in response to promotion of peace and prosperity and Change of Security Environment on the Korean Peninsula. In order to succeed in the peace and prosperity on the Korean Peninsula policy, Strengthening the military spiritual education is necessary. This study was analyzed through the survey and the results are as follows: First, the awareness level of military spiritual education is more than 68%. Second, the satisfaction level of education has been quit motivated, but, the respondents demands various methods of eduction. Third, the current mental power scores showed no significant difference for environmental change. In addition, based on the results of the research, the problem of military spiritual education is as follows. It is not enough to secure the identity that can firmly support the era of peace and prosperity on the Korean peninsula. Poor budget support might hinder improving poor education facilities and outdated equipment. Furthermore, there is a lack of research on future-oriented educational system in support of traditional education methods of repetition-type repeated education and unification. Therefore, we deducted the following development strategies for the military spiritual education in this paper. First, it is necessary to strengthen the military spiritual education to support the era of peace and prosperity on the Korean Peninsula. Second, for enhancing educational environments, the educational facilities and equipments should be improved by understanding the characteristics of the education target. Third, the integrated management of military research institutes specialized in military spiritual education should be pursued as a system development for ensuring the continuous effect of education. In conclusion, continuous attention and research are needed to establish national perspective and national security perspective, raise the military spirit and utilize various education development programs in order to develop efficient military spiritual education in the future.

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6·25전쟁 종전선언의 기회와 위험 분석: 안보의 시각 (An Analysis on Declaration of the End of the Korean War: Opportunities and Risks)

  • 박휘락
    • 의정연구
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    • 제24권3호
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    • pp.55-83
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    • 2018
  • 본 논문은 2018년 북한의 비핵화를 위한 협상이 진행되면서 북한이 종전선언 채택을 요구해온 상황과 관련하여 그것이 한국에게 어떤 기회와 위험을 의미하는지를 평가해보기 위한 목적으로 작성되었다. 이를 위하여 평화, 평화체제, 평화협정과 종전선언을 비롯한 개념들을 정리하였고, 북한이 종전선언을 주장해온 경과와 이면의 의도를 평가하였다. 그러고 나서 이러한 종전선언에 합의할 경우 한국에게 어떤 기회의 측면이 가능하고, 어떤 위험의 요소를 우려해야 하는지를 분석하였다. 분석 결과, 종전선언이 채택될 경우 북한의 비핵화에 관한 진전을 기대할 수 있고, 한반도의 평화체제 구축에 기여할 수 있으며, 남북관계에 대한 한국의 명분을강화할 수 있는 기회의 측면이 존재한다고 평가하였다. 반면에, 종전선언이 채택될 경우 유엔군사령부의 해체는 물론이고, 주한미군 철수까지 요구될 수 있으며, 종전선언에 합의한 후 오히려 북한이 비핵화를 중단시킬 우려도 존재하고, 무엇보다 국민들의 대북 경각심이 약화될 위험이 크다고 판단하였다. 따라서 한국은 종전선언의 기회보다는 위험에 더욱 주목하여 신중하게 접근할 필요가 있다.