• 제목/요약/키워드: Particular Risk Analysis

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Assessment of London underground tube tunnels - investigation, monitoring and analysis

  • Wright, Peter
    • Smart Structures and Systems
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    • 제6권3호
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    • pp.239-262
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    • 2010
  • Tube Lines has carried out a "knowledge and investigation programme" on the deep tube tunnels comprising the Jubilee, Northern and Piccadilly lines, as required by the PPP contract with London Underground. Many of the tunnels have been in use for over 100 years, so this assessment was considered essential to the future safe functioning of the system. This programme has involved a number of generic investigations which guide the assessment methodology and the analysis of some 5,000 individual structures. A significant amount of investigation has been carried out, including ultrasonic thickness measurement, detection of brickwork laminations using radar, stress measurement using magnetic techniques, determination of soil parameters using CPT, pressuremeter and laboratory testing, installation of piezometers, material and tunnel segment testing, and trialling of remote photographic techniques for inspection of large tunnels and shafts. Vibrating wire, potentiometer, electro level, optical and fibre-optic monitoring has been used, and laser measurement and laser scanning has been employed to measure tunnel circularity. It is considered that there is scope for considerable improvements in non-destructive testing technology for structural assessment in particular, and some ideas are offered as a "wish-list". Assessment reports have now been produced for all assets forming Tube Lines' deep tube tunnel network. For assets which are non-compliant with London Underground standards, the risk to the operating railway has to be maintained as low as reasonably practicable (ALARP) using enhanced inspection and monitoring, or repair where required. Monitoring techniques have developed greatly during recent years and further advances will continue to support the economic whole life asset management of infrastructure networks.

CSR 소비자이슈를 위한 생활용품 안전관리대상 유형 분류형태 연구 (A Classification Study on the Consumer Product Safety Management Target for CSR Consumer Issues)

  • 서정대
    • 한국안전학회지
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    • 제34권5호
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    • pp.119-131
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    • 2019
  • Among the themes for CSR(Corporate Social Responsibility), consumer issues include protecting the health and safety of consumers who purchase and use the products. In particular, ensuring product safety is a major theme of consumer issues for corporate social responsibility. Currently, the government implements the Electrical Appliances and Consumer Products Safety Control Act for product safety management and selects products that may harmful to consumers as safety control items, and manages the products by designating them as 4 types of safety certification, safety confirmation, supplier conformity verification, and safety standard compliance. In this paper, we propose management plans for the establishment of a more reasonable classification type of safety management target for 48 items of consumer products to be controlled by the act, and confirm the validity of the plan. First, we perform cluster analysis using data for CISS (Consumer Injury Surveillance System) to derive a new classification type of the safety management target. Next, we compare the results of the cluster analysis with the classification type of the act and the existing scenario classification method RAS (Risk Assessment by Scenario) and the causal network method RAMP (Risk Assessment Method based on Probability). Based on these results, we propose two new plans of safety management target classification and verify its validity.

해외건설공사 EPC/Turnkey 계약조건 핵심 리스크 세부조항 도출 - FIDIC Silver Book 2017년 개정판 기준으로 - (Deriving Key Risk Sub-Clauses for EPC/Turnkey Contract Conditions for Overseas Construction Projects - Based on FIDIC Conditions of Contract for EPC/Turnkey Projects, second edition 2017 -)

  • 홍성열;제재용;서성철;박형근
    • 한국건설관리학회논문집
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    • 제23권6호
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    • pp.101-110
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    • 2022
  • 최근 세계 건설시장은 2025년까지 연 평균 4.8%씩 성장할 것으로 예상하고 있으며, 이에 따른 해외건설 리스크도 증가할 것으로 전망하고 있다. 특히, 국내 건설업체들은 EPC(Engineering, Procurement, Construction)/Turnkey 사업에 집중적으로 참여하였지만, 계약적 리스크에 대응하지 못한 결과, 2013년부터 수조원대의 해외사업 손실을 입은 경험이 있다. 그럼에도 불구하고, 지금까지 EPC/Turnkey의 계약적 핵심 리스크 세부조항 도출에 대한 연구는 많지 않았다. 따라서 본 연구에서는 국제컨설팅엔지니어링연맹(FIDIC)에서 발행한 2017년 Silver Book 계약조건을 대상으로 핵심 리스크 세부조항을 연구하였다. 이를 위해서 국제건설계약 경험이 10년 이상인 30인의 전문가를 패널로 구성하여 FIDIC Silver Book 21개 조항 170개 세부조항을 델파이 설문조사를 실시하여 62개의 주요 리스크 세부조항을 도출하였다. 또한, 최종적으로 FMEA(Failure Mode and Effect Analysis)기법을 활용하여 RPN(Risk Priority Number)을 산정하였으며, Critical Risk 범위에 속하는 25개의 핵심 리스크 세부조항을 도출하였다. 본 연구 결과를 통하여 실무관점에서는 해외건설사업에서 입찰 및 계약체결 단계에서 주의 깊게 검토해야 할 계약조항들에 대해 참조할 수 있게 해주고, 학문관점에서는 해외건설 EPC/Turnkey 사업에서 사용되는 계약분야에 대해 어떤 방식으로 연구해야 할지의 방향성과 기초적 지식을 제공하고 있다.

다변량 모형을 이용한 보증데이터 분석 방법 연구 (A Study on Analysis Method of Warranty Data Using Multivariate Model)

  • 김종걸;성기우
    • 대한안전경영과학회지
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    • 제17권2호
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    • pp.241-247
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    • 2015
  • The purpose of the warranty data analysis can be classified into two categories. Two goals is a failure cause analysis and life prediction analysis. In this paper first, we applied multivariate analysis method that can be estimated in consideration of various factors on the failure cause warranty data. In particular, we apply the Tree model and Cox model. The advantage of the Tree is easy to interpret this result as compared to other models. In addition Cox model can quantitatively express the risk. Second, this paper proposed a multivariate life prediction model (AFT) considering a variety of factors. By applying the actual warranty data confirmed the usability.

뇌 차폐 해석에서 뇌격흡인 거리 수식과 영향 비교 (Comparison of Striking Distance Formulae and Their Effect on Lightning Shielding Analysis)

  • 김성삼
    • 전기학회논문지
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    • 제60권4호
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    • pp.694-699
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    • 2011
  • This paper compares the performance of lightning shielding analysis methods using the seven striking distance formulae in substation. For comparison, we evaluate the number of expected strikes and exposed area using WinIGS Software. Seven striking distance formulae are compared using the electrogeometric model analysis and the rolling sphere method. Based on the electrogeometric model analysis, the risk of shielding failure in either the whole substation or parts of it is determined. According to the simulation results, one can justify whether the substation satisfies the criterion of shielding design. In particular, according to the rolling sphere method, the exposed areas in substation determine the location of the additional shielding poles or shield wires. Therefore, the installation of the additional shielding poles and shield wires in substation was accepted by shield design at the phase conductors exposed in the larger area.

산후 한의진료를 받은 고위험산모와 일반산모의 한의진료 체중변화에 대한 후향적 분석 (Retrospective Analysis on Body Weight Changes in the Early Postpartum Period of Women of High-risk Pregnancy Experience and General Health after Korean Medicine Treatments.)

  • 이은희
    • 대한한방부인과학회지
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    • 제34권3호
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    • pp.65-78
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    • 2021
  • Objectives: This study was aimed to investigate the weight change of the high-risk group and the general maternal group and weight-relating factors in the early postpartum period. Methods: We retrospectively reviewed the medical records of those who received postpartum care from January 1, 2020, to December 31, 2020, in the postpartum care center affiliated with one Korean Medicine hospital. A total of 257 postpartum women's medical charts were included and divided into the high-risk group and the general maternal group. We investigated the weight changes and Body mass index (BMI) of the postpartum women and compared the difference between the two groups after taking the postpartum care. Finally, we used a Pearson correlation analysis to identify the weight-relating factors in the early postpartum period. Results: All the postpartum women showed the following results; 33.81±4.03 years old as the mean age; 22.23±3.28 as pre-pregnancy BMI; 58.21±9.18 kg of pre-pregnancy weight increased into 70.75±9.70 kg in the last month of pregnancy. Of the total 257 patients, 149 (58.0%) of high-risk pregnancy experience and 108 (42.0%) of general pregnancy were included. The edema index right after childbirth was significantly higher in the high-risk group than in the general maternal group (p<0.001), but there was no significant difference in BMI. After treatment with Korean medicine treatments, body weight, BMI, and edema index decreased significantly in both groups (p<0.01). As a result of correlation analysis, weight gain during pregnancy had a significant negative correlation with pre-pregnancy weight and pre-pregnancy BMI and a significant positive correlation with weight and BMI of the last month of pregnancy. In particular, pre-pregnancy BMI and body weight showed a significant negative correlation only in the high-risk group. Postpartum weight loss was significantly positively correlated with pre-pregnancy weight, pre-pregnancy BMI, weight & BMI of the pregnancy last month, weight gain during pregnancy, and decrease in edema (p<0.01) Conclusions: The weight during pregnancy of the high-risk group increased in inverse proportion to the pre-pregnancy BMI. The level of edema right after childbirth was significantly higher than that of the general maternal group, but showed a significant decrease after 2 weeks of Korean medicine treatments. Although it implicates the need for active Korean medicine treatments in the early postpartum period, further studies with controlled groups are needed.

Delphi기법을 통한 교통수요예측 Risk Management 적용 방안 (Application of Risk Management to Forecasting Transportation Demand by Delphi Technique)

  • 정성봉;이수호;남궁백규
    • 한국철도학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국철도학회 2011년도 춘계학술대회 논문집
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    • pp.1572-1581
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    • 2011
  • Since 'The Act on Private Investment of The Infrastructure' was established in 1994, private investment as well as government's investment has been active on transport infrastructure. But investment of transport infrastructure has more risks than others due to overforecast of transport demand for ensuring project validity, and cost uncertainty arising from financial crisis, commodity prices and so on. In the case of Incheon international airport express, after 2 years and 6 months, Incheon international airport express is opened, Korail take over equity stake in private investor due to the problems of MRG(Minimum Revenue Guarantee) be contracted with private investor. Not only that, in other case of Yong-in light rail, it is ongoing for legal disputes between Yong-in local government and private investor on account of opening delaying. On current Investment Assessment System of Transport Infrastructure, Risk Management system on investment of transport infrastructure is inadequate because Sensitivity Analysis in economic efficiency have been performed on the simple method which only changes benefits, expense and social discount rate. For this reason, this study analyze risks for investment of transport infrastructure demand forecast, and rise to the management practice for every particular item.

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사례 분석을 통한 김치냉장고의 화재 위험성에 관한 연구 (A Study on the Fire Risk of the Kimchi Refrigerator through Case Analysis of Fire Accidents)

  • 박남규;지홍근;송재용
    • 한국안전학회지
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    • 제35권2호
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    • pp.1-7
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    • 2020
  • In this paper, we describe fire risk of Kimchi refrigerator. The Kimchi refrigerator has been widely spread and used starting from the first half of 2000 and recently fire accidents caused by the Kimchi refrigerator emerged as social concern. In particular, in products of a specific manufacturer, it is not an environmental factor, but a characteristic that the fire is caused due to a defect of the product itself is shown. These features are judged to be formed by unique defects regardless of external factor by forming electrically arc mark in the relay element. In this paper, we analyzed the cause of the fire occurring in the Kimchi refrigerator and finally confirmed the characteristic that the fire occurred mainly in the relay element due to insufficient capacity of the relay element. Therefore, when a fire occurs in a product of the same maker as the Kimchi refrigerator mentioned in this paper, it is always judged that the inspection of the relay element should be carried out.

Prevalence in Food Safety Behaviors of Pregnant Women and Their Associated Factors

  • Cha, Myeong-Hwa
    • Journal of Community Nutrition
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    • 제7권3호
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    • pp.141-148
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    • 2005
  • Food handling practices playa key role in the prevalence of food-borne illness. Despite the fact that pregnant women are high risk groups for food-borne disease, little is known about their actual food handling practices at home. The objective of this study was to investigate behaviors regarding food-related hygienic practices of pregnant women. The questionnaire included questions in five major areas : personal hygiene ; adequate cooking ; avoiding cross contamination ; keeping food at safe temperatures ; and avoiding food from unsafe sources. Analysis of 488 questionnaires showed the respondents were unaware of the importance of safe food handling practices. Especially, pregnant women in our study should be encouraged to be careful about either risk of adequate cooking $(2.08\pm0.66)$ and keeping foods at safe temperatures $(2.69\pm0.63)$. Residency and number of children were consistent independent predictors of food handling behaviors. Previous food safety education also was found to have significant effect on food handling practices. TV news and newspapers were considered the most usable sources of food safety information by respondents. The behaviors identified in this study represent ones of particular importance for high-risk populations, like pregnant women. These population characteristics identified in this study could be incorporated in development of food safety educational programs for pregnant women being vulnerable on food-borne illness. Our results could have implications for the design of effective food safety educational efforts. This study indicates the need for continued and improved food safety education and for enforcing systematic food safety education for pregnant women.

코로나19 이후 음주수준에 영향을 미치는 요인분석: 한국노동패널 자료를 활용하여(2018-2020) (Factors of Drinking Frequency and Amount after COVID-19 Pandemic: Using Korean Labor and Income Panel Study(2018-2020))

  • 김미년;이원재
    • 대한방사선기술학회지:방사선기술과학
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    • 제45권6호
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    • pp.503-513
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    • 2022
  • The purpose of the study is to investigate the characteristics of the subjects and analyze and confirm the association between related factors in order to study the factors affecting drinking level after COVID-19 using data from the Korea Labor and Income Panel(2018-2020). The result of the study indicated that male group, 10s and 20s, unemployed status, and groups whose personal income fell before COVID-19 have a high risk of increased drinking levels. n particular, in the group where the frequency of drinking before COVID-19 decreased, the risk of increasing the level of drinking after COVID-19 was found to be higher. Further research is needed on this group of subjects. Based on this, various studies on drinking factors are needed through long-term monitoring studies on drinking levels after COVID-19.