• Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
• /
• v.18 no.6
• /
• pp.717-732
• /
• 2011

We consider bootstrap confidence intervals for high quantiles of heavy-tailed distribution. A semi-parametric method is compared with the non-parametric and the parametric method through simulation study.

• Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
• /
• v.8 no.2
• /
• pp.261-270
• /
• 1997

This paper is proposed the parametric empirical Bayes(EB) confidence intervals which corrects the deficiencies in the naive EB confidence intervals of the scale parameter in the Weibull distribution under item-censoring scheme. In this case, the bootstrap EB confidence intervals are obtained by the parametric bootstrap introduced by Laird and Louis(1987). The comparisons among the bootstrap and the naive EB confidence intervals through Monte Carlo study are also presented.

• Journal of Electrical Engineering and Technology
• /
• v.13 no.4
• /
• pp.1504-1514
• /
• 2018

The objective of this study is to compare the suitability of a non-parametric and 3 parametric distributions in the characterization of prediction intervals of photovoltaic power forecasts with high confidence levels. The prediction intervals of the forecasts are calculated using a method based on recent past data similar to the target forecast input data, and on a distribution assumption for the forecast error. To compare the suitability of the distributions, prediction intervals were calculated using the proposed method and each of the 4 distributions. The calculations were done for one year of day-ahead forecasts of hourly power generation of 432 PV systems. The systems have different sizes and specifications, and are installed in different locations in Japan. The results show that, in general, the non-parametric distribution assumption for the forecast error yielded the best prediction intervals. For example, with a confidence level of 85% the use of the non-parametric distribution assumption yielded a median annual forecast error coverage of 86.9%. This result was close to the one obtained with the Laplacian distribution assumption (87.8% of coverage for the same confidence level). Contrasting with that, using a Gaussian and Hyperbolic distributions yielded median annual forecast error coverage of 89.5% and 90.5%.

• Publications of The Korean Astronomical Society
• /
• v.30 no.2
• /
• pp.271-273
• /
• 2015

The bulk motion of star clusters can be determined after careful membership analysis using parametric or non-parametric approaches. This study aims to implement non-parametric membership analysis based on Binned Kernel Density Estimators which takes into account measurements errors (simply called BKDE-e) to determine the average proper motion of each cluster. This method is applied to 178 selected star clusters with angular diameters less than 20 arcminutes. Proper motion data from UCAC4 are used for membership determination. Non-parametric analysis using BKDE-e successfully determined the average proper motion of 129 clusters, with good accuracy. Compared to COCD and NCOVOCC, there are 79 clusters with less than $3{\sigma}$ difference. Moreover, we are able to analyse the distribution of the member stars in vector point diagrams which is not always a normal distribution.

• Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
• /
• v.28 no.3
• /
• pp.359-370
• /
• 1999

We considered a change-point hazard rate model generalizing constant hazard rate model. This type of model is very popular in the sense that the Weibull and exponential distributions formulating survival time data are the special cases of it. Maximum likelihood estimation and the asymptotic properties such as the consistency and its limiting distribution of the change-point estimator were discussed. A parametric bootstrap method for finding confidence intervals of the unknown change-point was also suggested and the proposed method is explained through a practical example.

• The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
• /
• v.27 no.3
• /
• pp.461-473
• /
• 2014

We consider condence intervals for high quantiles of heavy-tailed distribution. The asymptotic condence intervals based on the limiting distribution of estimators are considered together with bootstrap condence intervals. We can also apply a non-parametric, parametric and semi-parametric approach to each of these two kinds of condence intervals. We considered 11 condence intervals and compared their performance in actual coverage probability and the length of condence intervals. Simulation study shows that two condence intervals (the semi-parametric asymptotic condence interval and the semi-parametric bootstrap condence interval using pivotal quantity) are relatively more stable under the criterion of actual coverage probability.

• Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
• /
• v.29 no.6
• /
• pp.641-653
• /
• 2022

Penalized least squares methods are important tools to simultaneously select variables and estimate parameters in linear regression. The penalized maximum likelihood can also be used for the same purpose assuming that the error distribution falls in a certain parametric family of distributions. However, the use of a certain parametric family can suffer a misspecification problem which undermines the estimation accuracy. To give sufficient flexibility to the error distribution, we propose to use the symmetric log-concave error distribution with LASSO penalty. A feasible algorithm to estimate both nonparametric and parametric components in the proposed model is provided. Some numerical studies are also presented showing that the proposed method produces more efficient estimators than some existing methods with similar variable selection performance.

• Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
• /
• v.24 no.4
• /
• pp.825-833
• /
• 2013

An estimation of confidence intervals is essential to calculate uncertainty for greenhouse gases inventory. It is generally assumed that the population has a normal distribution for the confidence interval of parameters. However, in case data distribution is asymmetric, like nonnormal distribution or positively skewness distribution, the traditional estimation method of confidence intervals is not adequate. This study compares two estimation methods of confidence interval; parametric and non-parametric method for exponential distribution as an asymmetric distribution. In simulation study, coverage probability, confidence interval length, and relative bias for the evaluation of the computed confidence intervals. As a result, the chi-square method and the standardized t-bootstrap method are better methods in parametric methods and non-parametric methods respectively.

• 제어로봇시스템학회:학술대회논문집
• /
• 2001.10a
• /
• pp.49.1-49
• /
• 2001

The skin color model is a very important concept in face detection, face recognition and face tracking. Usually, this model is obtained by estimating a probability density function of skin color distribution. In many cases, it is assumed that the underlying density function follows a Gaussian distribution. In this paper, a new method for non-parametric estimation of the probability density function, by using feed-forward neural network, is used to estimate the underlying skin color model. By using this method, the resulting skin color model is better than the Gaussian estimation and substantially approaches the real distribution. Applications to face detection and face ...

• The Korean Journal of Physiology and Pharmacology
• /
• v.13 no.5
• /
• pp.367-371
• /
• 2009

The estimation of 90% parametric confidence intervals (CIs) of mean AUC and Cmax ratios in bioequivalence (BE) tests are based upon the assumption that formulation effects in log-transformed data are normally distributed. To compare the parametric CIs with those obtained from nonparametric methods we performed repeated estimation of bootstrap-resampled datasets. The AUC and Cmax values from 3 archived datasets were used. BE tests on 1,000 resampled data sets from each archived dataset were performed using SAS (Enterprise Guide Ver.3). Bootstrap nonparametric 90% CIs of formulation effects were then compared with the parametric 90% CIs of the original datasets. The 90% CIs of formulation effects estimated from the 3 archived datasets were slightly different from nonparametric 90% CIs obtained from BE tests on resampled datasets. Histograms and density curves of formulation effects obtained from resampled datasets were similar to those of normal distribution. However, in 2 of 3 resampled log (AUC) datasets, the estimates of formulation effects did not follow the Gaussian distribution. Bias-corrected and accelerated (BCa) CIs, one of the nonparametric CIs of formulation effects, shifted outside the parametric 90% CIs of the archived datasets in these 2 non-normally distributed resampled log (AUC) datasets. Currently, the 80~125% rule based upon the parametric 90% CIs is widely accepted under the assumption of normally distributed formulation effects in log-transformed data. However, nonparametric CIs may be a better choice when data do not follow this assumption.