• Title/Summary/Keyword: Parametric Decision Making

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Design Optimization Using Conflicting Building Information - A case Study Focused on the View and Structure in High-Rise Building Design

  • Cheon, Janghwan
    • Architectural research
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    • v.15 no.2
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    • pp.69-75
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    • 2013
  • Within residential high-rise market there are many value determining factors. Site condition, view, program, units and structure are important parameters that are directly related to the financial aspect of the project. However, most of the studies of high-rise building design focus on the facade and the shape strategies from an esthetic point of view without considering these factors. The objective of this study is to investigate new design approach that incorporates site, program and structural information at an early stage as a generator of building form and explore a wide range of strategies to negotiate these factors in the process of design/decision making. Not being based on designer's subjective preference or style, architects still can create interesting building design through integration and negotiation of various building information. Since this form is based on real data, not just play of form, we can expect that this form has great potential to be developed into real one at the later design phase.

A Hybrid Approach Combining Data Envelopment Analysis and Machine Learning to Evaluate the Efficiency of System Integration Projects (SI 프로젝트의 효율성 평가를 위해 자료포괄분석과 기계학습을 결합한 하이브리드 분석)

  • Hong, Han-Kuk;Ha, Sung-Ho;Park, Sang-Chan
    • Asia pacific journal of information systems
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    • v.10 no.1
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    • pp.19-35
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    • 2000
  • Data Envelopment Analysis(DEA), a non-parametric productivity analysis tool, has become an accepted approach for assessing efficiency in a wide range of fields. Despite of its extensive applications, some features of DEA remain bothersome. DEA offers no guidelines to where relatively inefficient DMU(Decision Making Unit) improve since a reference set of an inefficient DMU consists of several efficient DMUs and it doesn't provide a stepwise path for improving the efficiency of each inefficient DMU considering the difference of efficiency. We aim to show that DEA can be used to evaluate the efficiency of System Integration Projects and suggest the methodology which overcomes the limitation of DEA through hybrid analysis utilizing DEA along with machine learning.

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Hybrid approach combining Data Envelopment Analysis and Machine Learning to Evaluate the Efficiency of System Integration Projects (SI 프로젝트의 효율성 평가를 위해 자료포괄분석과 기계학습을 결합한 하이브리드 분석)

  • Hong Han-Kuk;Kim Jong-Weon;Seo Bo-Ra
    • Proceedings of the Korea Society for Industrial Systems Conference
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    • 2006.05a
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    • pp.77-88
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    • 2006
  • Data Envelopment Analysis (DEA), a non-parametric productivity analysis tool, has become an accepted approach for assessing efficiency in a wide range of fields. Despite of its extensive applications, some features of DEA remain bothersome. DEA offers no guidelines to where relatively inefficient DMU(Decision Making Unit) improve since a reference set of an inefficient DMU consists of several efficient DMUs and it doesn't provide a stepwise path for improving the efficiency of each inefficient DMU considering the difference of efficiency. We aim to show that DEA can be used to evaluate the efficiency of System Integration Projects and suggest the methodology which overcomes the limitation of DEA through hybrid analysis utilizing DEA along with machine learning.

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Using DEA and AHP for Hierarchical Structures of Data

  • Pakkar, Mohammad Sadegh
    • Industrial Engineering and Management Systems
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    • v.15 no.1
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    • pp.49-62
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    • 2016
  • In this paper, we propose an integrated data envelopment analysis (DEA) and analytic hierarchy process (AHP) methodology in which the information about the hierarchical structures of input-output data can be reflected in the performance assessment of decision making units (DMUs). Firstly, this can be implemented by extending a traditional DEA model to a three-level DEA model. Secondly, weight bounds, using AHP, can be incorporated in the three-level DEA model. Finally, the effects of incorporating weight bounds can be analyzed by developing a parametric distance model. Increasing the value of a parameter in a domain of efficiency loss, we explore the various systems of weights. This may lead to various ranking positions for each DMU in comparison to the other DMUs. An illustrative example of road safety performance for a set of 19 European countries highlights the usefulness of the proposed approach.

A study on construction simulation of road tunnel using Decision Aids for Tunneling (DAT) (터널의사결정체계 (DAT)를 이용한 도로터널의 시공 시뮬레이션 연구)

  • Min, Sangyoon;Kim, Taek Kon;Einstein, H.H.;Lee, Jun S.;Kim, Ho Young
    • Journal of Korean Tunnelling and Underground Space Association
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    • v.5 no.2
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    • pp.161-174
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    • 2003
  • Applicability of the Decision Aids for Tunneling (DAT) technique is investigated in this study to better understand the efficiency of the decision making process during tunnel construction. For this, a traffic tunnel under construction is adopted and information on the construction procedure, i.e., overall geology, unit cost and construction time for each excavation process, is provided periodically. Various scattergrams in which cost-time simulation results are plotted are obtained according to the simulation methods and final prediction on the construction time/cost is made. It is found that the uncertainty in the cost distribution is greater than the uncertainty in the time distribution for each cycle simulation and the uncertainties in time and cost for the one time simulations are comparable. Future work will be concentrated on the updating scheme using the face mapping data and various parametric studies will also be performed.

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Application of a large-scale ensemble climate simulation database for estimating the extreme rainfall (극한강우량 산정을 위한 대규모 기후 앙상블 모의자료의 적용)

  • Kim, Youngkyu;Son, Minwoo
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.55 no.3
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    • pp.177-189
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    • 2022
  • The purpose of this study is to apply the d4PDF (Data for Policy Decision Making for Future Change) constructed from a large-scale ensemble climate simulation to estimate the probable rainfall with low frequency and high intensity. In addition, this study analyzes the uncertainty caused by the application of the frequency analysis by comparing the probable rainfall estimated using the d4PDF with that estimated using the observed data and frequency analysis at Geunsam, Imsil, Jeonju, and Jangsu stations. The d4PDF data consists of a total of 50 ensembles, and one ensemble provides climate and weather data for 60 years such as rainfall and temperature. Thus, it was possible to collect 3,000 annual maximum daily rainfall for each station. By using these characteristics, this study does not apply the frequency analysis for estimating the probability rainfall, and we estimated the probability rainfall with a return period of 10 to 1000 years by distributing 3,000 rainfall by the magnitude based on a non-parametric approach. Then, the estimated probability rainfall using d4PDF was compared with those estimated using the Gumbel or GEV distribution and the observed rainfall, and the deviation between two probability rainfall was estimated. As a result, this deviation increased as the difference between the return period and the observation period increased. Meanwhile, the d4PDF reasonably suggested the probability rainfall with a low frequency and high intensity by minimizing the uncertainty occurred by applying the frequency analysis and the observed data with the short data period.

Probabilistic Safety Assessment for High Level Nuclear Waste Repository System

  • Kim, Taw-Woon;Woo, Kab-Koo;Lee, Kun-Jai
    • Journal of Radiation Protection and Research
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    • v.16 no.1
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    • pp.53-72
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    • 1991
  • An integrated model is developed in this paper for the performance assessment of high level radioactive waste repository. This integrated model consists of two simple mathematical models. One is a multiple-barrier failure model of the repository system based on constant failure rates which provides source terms to biosphere. The other is a biosphere model which has multiple pathways for radionuclides to reach to human. For the parametric uncertainty and sensitivity analysis for the risk assessment of high level radioactive waste repository, Latin hypercube sampling and rank correlation techniques are applied to this model. The former is cost-effective for large computer programs because it gives smaller error in estimating output distribution even with smaller number of runs compared to crude Monte Carlo technique. The latter is good for generating dependence structure among samples of input parameters. It is also used to find out the most sensitive, or important, parameter groups among given input parameters. The methodology of the mathematical modelling with statistical analysis will provide useful insights to the decision-making of radioactive waste repository selection and future researches related to uncertain and sensitive input parameters.

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Phrase-based Topic and Sentiment Detection and Tracking Model using Incremental HDP

  • Chen, YongHeng;Lin, YaoJin;Zuo, WanLi
    • KSII Transactions on Internet and Information Systems (TIIS)
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    • v.11 no.12
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    • pp.5905-5926
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    • 2017
  • Sentiments can profoundly affect individual behavior as well as decision-making. Confronted with the ever-increasing amount of review information available online, it is desirable to provide an effective sentiment model to both detect and organize the available information to improve understanding, and to present the information in a more constructive way for consumers. This study developed a unified phrase-based topic and sentiment detection model, combined with a tracking model using incremental hierarchical dirichlet allocation (PTSM_IHDP). This model was proposed to discover the evolutionary trend of topic-based sentiments from online reviews. PTSM_IHDP model firstly assumed that each review document has been composed by a series of independent phrases, which can be represented as both topic information and sentiment information. PTSM_IHDP model secondly depended on an improved time-dependency non-parametric Bayesian model, integrating incremental hierarchical dirichlet allocation, to estimate the optimal number of topics by incrementally building an up-to-date model. To evaluate the effectiveness of our model, we tested our model on a collected dataset, and compared the result with the predictions of traditional models. The results demonstrate the effectiveness and advantages of our model compared to several state-of-the-art methods.

Numerical Modeling of Seawater Intrusion in Coastal Aquifer (연안 대수층에서 해수침투 축성 해석)

  • 이연규;이희석
    • Tunnel and Underground Space
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    • v.14 no.3
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    • pp.229-240
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    • 2004
  • Coastal aquifers may serve as major sources fur freshwater. In many coastal aquifers, intrusion of seawater has become one of the major constraints imposed on groundwater utilization. The management of groundwater in coastal acquifers means making decision as to the pumping rate and the spatial distribution of wells. Several numerical techniques for flow and solute transport simulation can provide the means to achieve this goal. As a basic study to predict the intrusion of seawater in coastal phreatic aquifers, the coupled flow and solute transport analysis was conducted by use of the 3-D finite element code, SWICHA. In order to understand how the location and the shape of freshwater-seawater transition zone were affected by the boundary conditions and hydrogeologic variables, parametric study was carried out.

The Explicit Treatment of Model Uncertainties in the Presence of Aleatory and Epistemic Parameter Uncertainties in Risk and Reliability Analysis

  • Ahn, Kwang-ll;Yang, Joon-Eon
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • v.35 no.1
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    • pp.64-79
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    • 2003
  • In the risk and reliability analysis of complex technological systems, the primary concern of formal uncertainty analysis is to understand why uncertainties arise, and to evaluate how they impact the results of the analysis. In recent times, many of the uncertainty analyses have focused on parameters of the risk and reliability analysis models, whose values are uncertain in an aleatory or an epistemic way. As the field of parametric uncertainty analysis matures, however, more attention is being paid to the explicit treatment of uncertainties that are addressed in the predictive model itself as well as the accuracy of the predictive model. The essential steps for evaluating impacts of these model uncertainties in the presence of parameter uncertainties are to determine rigorously various sources of uncertainties to be addressed in an underlying model itself and in turn model parameters, based on our state-of-knowledge and relevant evidence. Answering clearly the question of how to characterize and treat explicitly the forgoing different sources of uncertainty is particularly important for practical aspects such as risk and reliability optimization of systems as well as more transparent risk information and decision-making under various uncertainties. The main purpose of this paper is to provide practical guidance for quantitatively treating various model uncertainties that would often be encountered in the risk and reliability modeling process of complex technological systems.